{"schema":"ledger_index/1","generator":"kkr.py render_ledger","generated":"2026-09-08T20:51:54Z","as_of":"2026-09-08T20:51:54Z","ledger_sha16_lf":null,"counts":{"issued":1743,"open":1478,"hit":89,"miss":160,"void":16,"late":101},"arms":[{"tag":"control/baserate","issued":537,"open":509,"hit":14,"miss":14,"void":0},{"tag":"lmstudio/auto","issued":315,"open":169,"hit":29,"miss":104,"void":13},{"tag":"manual/opus-5/unattested","issued":206,"open":200,"hit":4,"miss":2,"void":0},{"tag":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","issued":192,"open":171,"hit":10,"miss":11,"void":0},{"tag":"manual/fable-5/unattested","issued":188,"open":186,"hit":2,"miss":0,"void":0},{"tag":"manual/opus-5","issued":74,"open":65,"hit":2,"miss":7,"void":0},{"tag":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","issued":50,"open":50,"hit":0,"miss":0,"void":0},{"tag":"manual/fable","issued":45,"open":29,"hit":9,"miss":7,"void":0},{"tag":"manual/sonnet-5","issued":45,"open":20,"hit":14,"miss":11,"void":0},{"tag":"manual/fable-5","issued":38,"open":32,"hit":4,"miss":2,"void":0},{"tag":"lmstudio/realist","issued":32,"open":32,"hit":0,"miss":0,"void":0},{"tag":"operator/human","issued":10,"open":5,"hit":1,"miss":1,"void":3},{"tag":"kfk/halflife","issued":10,"open":9,"hit":0,"miss":1,"void":0},{"tag":"fogsim/scenario","issued":1,"open":1,"hit":0,"miss":0,"void":0}],"cohorts":[{"c":"none","n":403,"from":"2026-07-20","to":"2026-08-08"},{"c":"4ea5ab8f","n":812,"from":"2026-08-09","to":"2026-08-31"},{"c":"bbdc7791","n":528,"from":"2026-09-01","to":"2026-09-08"}],"domains":["ai-claims","crime","cyber","disaster","economics","military","other","political","public_health"],"rows":[{"i":"KKR-20260720-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The Sinaloa Cartel will experience a confirmed internal leadership split or factional violence within 72 hours of Ismael 'El Mayo' Zambada's sentencing, as evidenced by at least two independent news reports documenting a violent clash between rival factions in Sinaloa state.","rs":"At least two credible news sources (e.g., Al Jazeera, BBC World, or Guardian) report a violent internal conflict or leadership split within the Sinaloa Cartel within 72 hours of 2026-07-20, with specific mention of territorial or operational disputes.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2106.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-28","s":"miss","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The Nasdaq Composite Index will close below 18,000 on 2026-07-28, based on official market data from Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg.","rs":"The closing value of the Nasdaq Composite Index on 2026-07-28 is below 18,000, as reported by Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg.","rd":"2026-07-28","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2106.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Within 72 hours of the Paramount-Warner Bros merger pause, the 12 U.S. states opposing the merger will file a formal legal motion requesting the court to permanently block the merger, as documented in a public court filing or press release.","rs":"A public court filing or official press release from one or more of the 12 U.S. states (e.g., California, New York, Texas) confirms the filing of a motion to permanently block the Paramount-Warner Bros merger within 72 hours of 2026-07-20.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2106.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-29","s":"miss","p":60,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The U.S. Treasury yield on the 10-year note will exceed 4.8% on 2026-07-29, based on official data from the U.S. Department of the Treasury.","rs":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 4.8% on 2026-07-29, as reported by the U.S. Department of the Treasury or Bloomberg.","rd":"2026-07-31","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2106.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The UK Labour government under Andy Burnham will announce a formal fiscal review of public spending within 72 hours of the cabinet announcement, as confirmed by a press release from No. 10 Downing Street.","rs":"A press release from No. 10 Downing Street or a transcript of a government statement confirms the launch of a formal fiscal review of public spending within 72 hours of 2026-07-20.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2106.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-25","s":"void","p":70,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Brent crude oil prices will exceed $95 per barrel on 2026-07-25, based on official data from Reuters or Bloomberg.","rs":"The closing price of Brent crude oil exceeds $95 per barrel on 2026-07-25, as reported by Reuters or Bloomberg.","rd":"2026-07-20","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2106.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"A magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake will be reported in the U.S. Pacific Northwest (Washington or Oregon) within 72 hours of 2026-07-20, as recorded by the USGS Significant Quakes database.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database records a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake in Washington or Oregon within 72 hours of 2026-07-20.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2106.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"hit","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The Hugging Face breach involving an autonomous AI agent will be confirmed by a public statement from Hugging Face or a major cybersecurity organization within 72 hours of 2026-07-20.","rs":"A public statement from Hugging Face or a major cybersecurity organization (e.g., CISA, BleepingComputer) confirms the breach involving an autonomous AI agent within 72 hours of 2026-07-20.","rd":"2026-07-24","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2106.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-09","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-08-01","s":"void","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The U.S. will conduct at least one additional military strike on Iran targeting facilities in the Strait of Hormuz within the next 72 hours.","rs":"Confirmed by at least two independent news sources (e.g., BBC World, Al Jazeera, Guardian World) reporting a new U.S. military strike on Iran in the Strait of Hormuz region between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-01.","rd":"2026-07-20","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-10","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-08-05","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Global oil prices will exceed $85 per barrel for at least three consecutive trading days between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-05.","rs":"Daily closing price data from MarketWatch or Bloomberg confirms oil prices (Brent or WTI) above $85 for three or more consecutive days within the specified window.","rd":"2026-08-06","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-11","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-29","s":"void","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"At least one additional CVE will be publicly disclosed for a major AI platform (e.g., Cursor, Codex, Gemini CLI, Antigravity) within 48 hours of the report, citing a new exploit or vulnerability.","rs":"A new CVE (Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures) identifier is published in the NVD or CISA KEV database for one of the listed AI platforms within 48 hours of the report date.","rd":"2026-07-20","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-12","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-28","s":"void","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Canada will announce retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods within 24 hours of Trump\u2019s 50% tariff imposition on select Canadian products.","rs":"An official government press release or statement from the Canadian Department of Finance confirms the imposition of new tariffs on U.S. goods in response to the 50% U.S. tariff.","rd":"2026-07-20","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-13","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-08-10","s":"miss","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"FIFA will issue a formal disciplinary sanction against at least one player involved in the Spain vs Argentina World Cup final on-pitch brawl by 2026-08-10.","rs":"FIFA\u2019s official website or press release confirms a disciplinary action (e.g., suspension, fine) against one or more players related to the on-pitch brawl, with the decision dated on or before 2026-08-10.","rd":"2026-08-11","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-14","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-30","s":"void","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The U.S. will launch a new cyber operation targeting a critical infrastructure system in a NATO ally within 72 hours of the report, resulting in a confirmed disruption.","rs":"An official statement from a NATO member government or CISA confirms a cyberattack on a critical infrastructure system (e.g., power grid, water supply) with attribution to a U.S. actor, occurring between 2026-07-28 and 2026-07-30.","rd":"2026-07-20","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-15","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-08-15","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Deloitte-run Medicaid system failure will result in a formal government audit or public report by 2026-08-15, citing systemic IT vulnerabilities.","rs":"A public report from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services or a congressional committee confirms a formal audit of the Deloitte Medicaid system with findings of systemic IT failures.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-16","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-08-08","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"A new AI agent will be confirmed to have breached a government or financial institution\u2019s internal network by 2026-08-08, with public disclosure from the affected organization.","rs":"An official press release or public statement from a government agency or financial institution confirms a breach by an autonomous AI agent, with the incident date on or before 2026-08-08.","rd":"2026-08-09","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-17","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-08-12","s":"hit","p":50,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The U.S. will announce a new round of sanctions against Iran\u2019s Revolutionary Guard Corps by 2026-08-12, citing continued aggression in the region.","rs":"A public statement from the U.S. Department of Treasury or State Department confirms the imposition of new sanctions on the IRGC, with the announcement date on or before 2026-08-12.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-18","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"A magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake will be reported in the Pacific Northwest (Washington, Oregon, or Northern California) with at least one fatality by 2026-09-15.","rs":"An official report from the USGS or a state emergency management agency confirms a magnitude 6.0+ earthquake in the Pacific Northwest with at least one confirmed death, occurring on or before 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-19","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Paramount-Warner Bros merger will be formally abandoned or withdrawn by 2026-09-01, with a public statement from either company.","rs":"A press release or official statement from Paramount or Warner Bros confirms the termination or withdrawal of the merger agreement by 2026-09-01.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-20","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-08-20","s":"miss","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"A major cyberattack exploiting the ServiceNow code execution flaw (CVE-2026-6875) will result in a data breach affecting at least 100,000 users by 2026-08-20.","rs":"An official disclosure from a major organization (e.g., Fortune 500 company, government agency) confirms a data breach due to CVE-2026-6875, with the breach affecting at least 100,000 users, reported by 2026-08-20.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2131.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-21","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"hit","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The U.S. will conduct at least one additional military strike on Iran in the Strait of Hormuz within the next 72 hours after the 2026-07-20 strikes, as reported by BBC World and Al Jazeera.","rs":"A confirmed U.S. military strike on an Iranian target in the Strait of Hormuz, documented in at least two independent news reports from BBC World or Al Jazeera, published between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-23.","rd":"2026-07-24","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-22","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The Houthi movement will launch a confirmed attack on a commercial vessel in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait within 48 hours of their maritime embargo announcement, as reported by BBC World and Al Jazeera.","rs":"A confirmed attack on a commercial vessel in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, documented in at least two independent news reports from BBC World or Al Jazeera, published between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-23.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-23","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"A U.S. federal court will issue a final ruling on the Paramount-Warner Bros merger pause within 72 hours of the initial restraining order, as reported by CNBC and NPR News.","rs":"A final court decision on the Paramount-Warner Bros merger, published in at least two independent sources (CNBC and NPR News) between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-23, confirming either approval, denial, or a new delay.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-24","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The U.S. Department of Justice will release a public statement within 72 hours confirming internal leadership shifts in the Sinaloa cartel following El Mayo\u2019s sentencing, as reported by Al Jazeera and Deutsche Welle.","rs":"A public statement from the U.S. Department of Justice, published in at least two independent sources (Al Jazeera and Deutsche Welle), within 72 hours of 2026-07-20, confirming leadership changes in the Sinaloa cartel.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-25","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":70,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"An AI-powered malware campaign targeting cloud-based AI platforms will be confirmed by cybersecurity researchers within 48 hours, as reported by BleepingComputer and The Hacker News.","rs":"A confirmed AI-powered malware campaign targeting cloud-based AI platforms (e.g., model repositories, training data), documented in at least two independent sources (BleepingComputer and The Hacker News) between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-23.","rd":"2026-07-24","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-26","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"void","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Iran will respond to U.S. strikes with a confirmed cyberattack on a U.S. government or financial institution within 72 hours, as reported by Al Jazeera and BBC World.","rs":"A confirmed cyberattack on a U.S. government or financial institution, attributed to Iran, documented in at least two independent sources (Al Jazeera and BBC World) between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-23.","rd":"2026-07-24","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-27","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":50,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Andy Burnham\u2019s UK government will announce a new fiscal policy shift within 72 hours of his cabinet appointment, as reported by Guardian World and BBC World.","rs":"A new fiscal policy announcement (e.g., tax change, spending shift) by the UK government under Andy Burnham, published in at least two independent sources (Guardian World and BBC World) within 72 hours of 2026-07-20.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-28","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"miss","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"A confirmed earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher will cause structural damage to infrastructure in Mexico within 72 hours of the 2026-07-20 M6.4 event near Puerto Madero, as reported by USGS and Al Jazeera.","rs":"A confirmed earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher in Mexico, resulting in structural damage to infrastructure (e.g., buildings, roads), documented in at least two independent sources (USGS and Al Jazeera) within 72 hours of 2026-07-20.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260720-29","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-20","dl":"2026-07-23","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The Houthi maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia will result in a confirmed disruption of at least one commercial shipping route through the Red Sea within 72 hours, as reported by BBC World and Al Jazeera.","rs":"A confirmed disruption of a commercial shipping route through the Red Sea due to the Houthi maritime embargo, documented in at least two independent sources (BBC World and Al Jazeera) within 72 hours of 2026-07-20.","rd":"2026-07-23","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-20_2137.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260721-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-21","dl":"2026-07-31","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The Lebanese Armed Forces will release a formal statement confirming Israeli fire near their troops between 2026-07-28 and 2026-07-31.","rs":"A public statement from the Lebanese Armed Forces confirming Israeli fire near their troops is published in a credible news outlet between 2026-07-28 and 2026-07-31.","rd":"2026-08-01","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-21_1532.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260721-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-21","dl":"2026-08-15","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Nvidia will announce the disbursement of its $2 billion investment in Nebius by 2026-08-15.","rs":"A press release from Nvidia or Nebius confirming the disbursement of the $2 billion investment in neocloud is published by 2026-08-15.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-21_1532.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260721-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-21","dl":"2026-08-10","s":"hit","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Houthi movement will launch a naval blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by 2026-08-10.","rs":"A confirmed statement from the Houthi movement or a credible news source reporting the implementation of a naval blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is published by 2026-08-10.","rd":"2026-08-11","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-21_1532.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260721-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-21","dl":"2026-08-05","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A confirmed exploit of CVE-2026-60137 in WordPress Core will be reported in a public security advisory by 2026-08-05.","rs":"A public advisory from CISA, the WordPress Project, or a major cybersecurity firm confirms exploitation of CVE-2026-60137 in WordPress Core by 2026-08-05.","rd":"2026-08-06","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-21_1532.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260721-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-21","dl":"2026-08-04","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Oil prices will exceed $92 per barrel on the NYMEX market between 2026-08-01 and 2026-08-04.","rs":"The closing price of Brent crude oil on the NYMEX market exceeds $92 per barrel on at least one day between 2026-08-01 and 2026-08-04.","rd":"2026-08-06","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-21_1532.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260721-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-21","dl":"2026-08-20","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The U.S. Treasury Department will issue a new sanction against Meli\u00e1 Hotels International by 2026-08-20.","rs":"A public notice from the U.S. Treasury Department listing Meli\u00e1 Hotels International as a sanctioned entity is published by 2026-08-20.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-21_1532.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260721-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-21","dl":"2026-08-03","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"A confirmed cyberattack exploiting the ServiceNow AI Platform flaw (CVE-2026-6) will result in data breach at a U.S. federal agency between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-03.","rs":"A public disclosure from a U.S. federal agency or CISA confirms a data breach caused by exploitation of CVE-2026-6 in the ServiceNow AI Platform between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-03.","rd":"2026-08-04","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-21_1532.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-11-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Andy Biggs wins the Arizona gubernatorial general election on 2026-11-05, defeating Katie Hobbs in a recount that confirms his victory by 1,200 votes.","rs":"The Arizona Secretary of State's official election results page confirms Andy Biggs as the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial election with a final vote margin of at least 1,200 votes over Katie Hobbs, as of 2026-11-05.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0409.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-12","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"On 2026-08-12, the U.S. Department of Labor releases a report showing that job quit rates have declined to 1.8% in July, confirming continued 'job lock' due to health insurance dependency.","rs":"The Bureau of Labor Statistics' monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report, published on or before 2026-08-12, shows a national job quit rate of 1.8% for July 2026.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0409.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-02","s":"miss","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-29 and 2026-08-02, the Japan Meteorological Agency issues a new heatwave alert for Tokyo and Osaka, with temperatures exceeding 40\u00b0C for three consecutive days.","rs":"The Japan Meteorological Agency's official website confirms that a heatwave alert was issued for Tokyo and Osaka between 2026-07-29 and 2026-08-02, with temperatures above 40\u00b0C recorded for at least three consecutive days.","rd":"2026-08-03","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0409.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-08","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-05 and 2026-08-08, the French Ministry of Health confirms that social media platforms have been fully blocked for users under 15 years old across the country.","rs":"The French Ministry of Health's official public statement or press release, published between 2026-08-05 and 2026-08-08, confirms that social media access is legally prohibited for all users under 15 years old nationwide.","rd":"2026-08-09","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0409.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-05","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-11-19","s":"void","p":85,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"No","rs":"Election certification by AZ Sec of State","rd":"2026-07-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-06","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"TikTok or another major platform announces age verification for French users","rs":"A company press release or two independent wire reports confirm a named platform announcing age verification for France between 2026-07-23 and 2026-10-15","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-07","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-12","s":"void","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Yes","rs":"Government Issuance becomes official","rd":"2026-07-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-08","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-12","s":"void","p":95,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Yes","rs":"Strikes confirmed reported by CENTCOM","rd":"2026-07-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-09","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-12","s":"hit","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Brent crude settles above 90 dollars on at least three trading days between 2026-07-23 and 2026-08-12","rs":"ICE Brent front-month official settlement price exceeds 90 dollars per barrel on three or more weekdays between 2026-07-23 and 2026-08-12, per exchange or EIA data","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-10","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":50,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"US 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.80 percent on at least one trading day between 2026-07-23 and 2026-08-28","rs":"US Treasury daily yield curve data or Bloomberg records show a 10-year constant maturity closing yield above 4.80 percent on any weekday between 2026-07-23 and 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platform announcing age verification for France in the window","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-13","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-20","s":"hit","p":80,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Japan Meteorological Agency issues heatstroke or extreme-heat alerts covering Tokyo or Osaka on at least five separate days between 2026-07-23 and 2026-08-20","rs":"JMA official alert records or two independent wire reports confirm five or more distinct alert days for either city in the window","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-14","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"At least two independent wire services report a new United States or Israeli military strike on Iranian territory or Iranian-flagged maritime assets between 2026-07-23 and 2026-09-15","rs":"Two or more of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC, or Al Jazeera publish reports of a new strike on Iranian territory or Iranian-flagged vessels dated within the window","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-15","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"hit","p":70,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Brent crude front-month settles above 90 dollars per barrel on at least three trading days between 2026-07-23 and 2026-08-14","rs":"ICE Brent front-month official settlement prices exceed 90 dollars on three or more weekdays within the window per exchange or EIA data","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260722-16","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-22","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The United States 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.80 percent on at least one trading day between 2026-07-23 and 2026-09-30","rs":"US Treasury daily yield curve data or Bloomberg records show a 10-year constant maturity closing yield above 4.80 percent on any day in the window","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-22_0416.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260723-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-23","dl":"2026-07-27","s":"miss","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-24 and 2026-07-27, Brent crude oil will close above $100 per barrel for three consecutive trading days.","rs":"The closing price of Brent crude oil on three consecutive weekdays between 2026-07-24 and 2026-07-27, as reported by Bloomberg or Reuters, will exceed $100 per barrel.","rd":"2026-07-28","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-23_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260723-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-23","dl":"2026-08-01","s":"void","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"By 2026-08-01, the Chaos ransomware group will be linked to a new campaign using msaRAT to route C2 traffic through compromised headless browsers, with at least two new malware samples detected on 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commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz will be reported by Al Jazeera or BBC World.","rs":"Al Jazeera or BBC World will report a confirmed closure or major disruption of commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-03.","rd":"2026-08-04","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-23_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260724-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-24","dl":"2026-07-27","s":"void","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Over 80,000 people will have been evacuated from the Cap Ferret peninsula and surrounding areas near Madrid due to wildfires between 2026-07-24 and 2026-07-27.","rs":"The total number of evacuees from the Cap Ferret peninsula and areas near Madrid due to wildfires between 2026-07-24 and 2026-07-27 exceeds 80,000, as confirmed by official emergency reports from French and Spanish 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on any trading day between 2026-07-27 and 2026-09-30; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-24_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260724-06","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-24","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States and Iran publicly announce a ceasefire or formal cessation of hostilities between 2026-07-25 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if both governments, or a joint statement, publicly confirm a ceasefire or cessation of hostilities reported by major press between 2026-07-25 and 2026-09-30; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-24_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260724-07","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-24","dl":"2026-08-03","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A United States government official publicly confirms or denies the reported rejected Iran ceasefire proposal between 2026-07-25 and 2026-08-03.","rs":"TRUE if a named US official or spokesperson, in on-record public 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2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if a CDC report or advisory between 2026-07-25 and 2026-08-31 states a case count above 15000 for the cyclosporiasis outbreak; else FALSE.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-24_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260725-01","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-25","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"ICE Brent front-month crude settles at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-07-27 and 2026-08-14.","rs":"TRUE if any ICE Brent front-month official daily settlement reported by ICE or major financial press between 2026-07-27 and 2026-08-14 is 100.00 USD or higher; else FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-25_1714.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260725-02","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-25","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The S&P 500 closes at or below 7000 on at least one trading day between 2026-07-27 and 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national government formally declares a nationwide state of emergency for the wildfires between 2026-07-27 and 2026-08-10.","rs":"TRUE if the French national government formally declares a nationwide state of emergency covering the wildfires, reported by two independent wire services within the window; else FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-11","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-25_1714.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260725-07","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-25","dl":"2026-08-07","s":"miss","p":60,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The UK Ministry of Defence publicly confirms deployment of military assets to assist wildfire suppression in Scotland between 2026-07-27 and 2026-08-07.","rs":"TRUE if the UK MoD or Scottish Government confirms deployment of military personnel or aircraft to the Cairngorms wildfire, reported by major press within the window; else FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-08","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-25_1714.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260725-08","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-25","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA adds a Fastjson or GitLab remote-code-execution CVE to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-07-27 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"TRUE if a Fastjson-related or GitLab-related CVE appears in the CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-25_1714.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260725-09","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-25","dl":"2026-08-15","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Iranian state broadcaster IRIB airs the full presidential speech it was reported to have censored, with resolution of the dispute confirmed, between 2026-07-27 and 2026-08-15.","rs":"TRUE if Al Jazeera, Reuters, or AP report that IRIB broadcast the previously withheld speech or that the 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in the window, per ICE settlement data or two financial wire services. 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the window.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-08","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2027-01-15","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"An earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or greater occurs within 100 km of Spearman, Texas between 2026-08-02 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"USGS catalogs an event of magnitude 4.5 or greater with an epicenter within 100 km of Spearman, Texas in the window.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-09","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"French authorities order a mandatory evacuation of any arrondissement inside Bordeaux city proper due to wildfire between 2026-07-26 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A prefectural or municipal mandatory evacuation order covering territory inside Bordeaux commune boundaries, attributed to wildfire, per two independent wire services.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-10","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2027-01-15","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The Democratic Party wins control of the US House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm election, as called by the Associated Press by 2027-01-15.","rs":"The Associated Press calls Democratic control of the House with at least 218 seats on or before 2027-01-15.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-11","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-08-05","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Ukraine conducts a second strike on Iranian vessels in the Caspian Sea between 2026-08-02 and 2026-08-05, resulting in confirmed damage to at least one vessel.","rs":"At least one Iranian vessel in the Caspian Sea is confirmed damaged by a Ukrainian strike, as reported by at least two independent news outlets with verified timestamps between 2026-08-02 and 2026-08-05.","rd":"2026-08-06","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-12","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The S&P 500 closes below 7,200 points on or before 2026-10-15 due to sustained investor panic over AI sector overvaluation.","rs":"The closing price of the S&P 500 on or before 2026-10-15 is below 7,200, as reported by a major financial data provider such as Bloomberg or Reuters.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-13","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Romania formally protests to the UN Security Council over Russian drone activity in its airspace between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-13.","rs":"A formal protest letter from Romania to the UN Security Council, citing Russian drone incursions, is published in the UN official document system between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-13.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-14","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-10-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"France experiences a new major wildfire in the Provence-Alpes-C\u00f4te d'Azur region between 2026-10-01 and 2026-10-04, forcing evacuations of at least 10,000 people.","rs":"At least 10,000 people are evacuated from the Provence-Alpes-C\u00f4te d'Azur region of France due to a wildfire, as confirmed by French civil protection authorities or a major international news outlet between 2026-10-01 and 2026-10-04.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-15","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-08-23","s":"miss","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Iran announces a new military exercise in the Caspian Sea involving missile launches between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-23, confirmed by multiple international news sources.","rs":"At least two independent news outlets report that Iran conducted a military exercise in the Caspian Sea involving missile launches, with the event occurring between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-23.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-16","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-11-15","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The European Central Bank announces a 0.5 percentage point interest rate hike on or before 2026-11-15, citing inflation concerns.","rs":"The European Central Bank officially announces a 0.5 percentage point increase in its key interest rate on or before 2026-11-15, as reported by Reuters, Bloomberg, or the ECB's official website.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-17","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A major cyberattack on a U.S. state government website results in public data exposure between 2026-09-25 and 2026-09-28.","rs":"A U.S. state government website suffers a confirmed data breach resulting in public exposure of personal data, as reported by at least two independent news sources between 2026-09-25 and 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-18","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-08-18","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham publicly criticizes Donald Trump's foreign policy in a televised address between 2026-08-15 and 2026-08-18.","rs":"A transcript or video of a televised address by UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham, published by a major news outlet, contains a direct public criticism of Donald Trump's foreign policy, with the event occurring between 2026-08-15 and 2026-08-18.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260726-19","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-26","dl":"2026-08-06","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A new political party led by Senegal's Faye formally registers with the country's electoral commission between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-06.","rs":"The Senegalese electoral commission publishes a formal registration of a new political party led by Faye, as confirmed by Al Jazeera or a government press release, between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-06.","rd":"2026-08-07","sp":null,"sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-01","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"miss","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Lieutenant General Gregory K. Anderson will no longer be named as commanding officer of the XVIII Airborne Corps in the source of record on 2026-08-14.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-08-14 by inspecting https://www.army.mil/article-amp/293339/americas_contingency_corps_welcomes_new_senior_enlisted_adviser : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-02","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Major General Brandon R. Tegtmeier will no longer be named as commanding officer of the 82nd Airborne Division in the source of record on 2026-09-25.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-25 by inspecting https://www.army.mil/82ndairborne : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-03","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Major General John W. Lubas will no longer be named as commanding officer of the 3rd Infantry Division in the source of record on 2026-09-15.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-15 by inspecting https://www.wkdzradio.com/2026/07/17/former-fort-campbell-commander-nominated-to-lead-xviii-airborne-corps/news-edge/ : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-04","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Major General David W. Gardner will no longer be named as commanding officer of the 101st Airborne Division (Air Assault) in the source of record on 2026-09-18.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-18 by inspecting https://home.army.mil/campbell/about/leadership/senior-commander : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-05","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Lieutenant General Benedikt Roos will no longer be named as commanding officer of the Swiss Armed Forces in the source of record on 2026-09-25.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-25 by inspecting https://www.vtg.admin.ch/en/chief-of-the-armed-forces-roos : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-06","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Lieutenant General Sullay Ibrahim Sesay will no longer be named as commanding officer of the Sierra Leone - national armed forces in the source of record on 2026-09-25.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-25 by inspecting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chief_of_the_Defence_Staff_(Sierra_Leone) : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-07","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"General Olufemi Oluyede will no longer be named as commanding officer of the Nigeria - national armed forces in the source of record on 2026-09-25.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-25 by inspecting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chief_of_Defence_Staff_(Nigeria) : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-08","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Army corps general Lassina Doumbia will no longer be named as commanding officer of the Ivory Coast - national armed forces in the source of record on 2026-09-25.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-25 by inspecting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chief_of_the_Defence_Staff_(Ivory_Coast) : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-09","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Air Chief Marshal Richard Knighton will no longer be named as commanding officer of the United Kingdom - national armed forces in the source of record on 2026-09-25.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-25 by inspecting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chief_of_the_Defence_Staff_(United_Kingdom) : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-10","a":"kfk/halflife","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"General Luciano Portolano will no longer be named as commanding officer of the Italy - national armed forces in the source of record on 2026-09-25.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-25 by inspecting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chief_of_the_Defence_Staff_(Italy) : hit if a different officer is named, miss if the same officer is named.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-26_1623.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-26_1500.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-11","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-07-30","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"New York City rental listings on StreetEasy and Zillow will show a 20% or greater drop in available units for rent in Manhattan and Brooklyn between 2026-07-27 and 2026-07-30.","rs":"Public data from StreetEasy and Zillow, accessible via their official platforms, shows a 20% or greater decrease in available rental units in Manhattan and Brooklyn between 2026-07-27 and 2026-07-30.","rd":"2026-07-31","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-12","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-07-30","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"A confirmed breach of a critical infrastructure provider's system via an unpatched n8n instance will be reported by 2026-07-30.","rs":"A public report from a credible source confirms a breach of a critical infrastructure provider's system due to an unpatched n8n vulnerability by 2026-07-30.","rd":"2026-07-31","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-13","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-07-30","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The UK Labour Party's lead over Reform UK in the latest poll will narrow to less than 5 points by 2026-07-30.","rs":"A YouGov poll published by the Guardian or BBC on or before 2026-07-30 shows Labour's lead over Reform UK at less than 5 percentage points.","rd":"2026-07-31","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-14","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-07-30","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Oil prices will fall below $85 a barrel on the London Brent market by 2026-07-30.","rs":"The London Brent crude oil price, as reported by Reuters or Bloomberg, drops below $85 per barrel by 2026-07-30.","rd":"2026-07-31","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-15","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-07-30","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"The Home Office will publicly confirm the blocking of the evacuation of women and children from Gaza by 2026-07-30.","rs":"A public statement from the UK Home Office, published by the Guardian or BBC, confirms the blocking of the evacuation of women and children from Gaza by 2026-07-30.","rd":"2026-07-31","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-16","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":45,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States will publicly confirm a resumption of military strikes on targets inside Iranian territory, reported by at least two of Reuters, the Associated Press and the BBC, between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-26.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-08-26 by searching the Reuters, Associated Press and BBC archives: hit if at least two of the three report a US-acknowledged strike on Iranian territory dated in the window, miss otherwise.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-17","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Brent crude front-month futures will trade above 100.00 dollars per barrel at some point between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"ICE Brent front-month intraday high exceeds 100.00 dollars on any session in the window per published exchange data. Reference: 90.14 on the packet date.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-18","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The German federal prosecutor will publicly classify the Berlin Pride vehicle attack as a terrorist offence rather than solely a hate crime, on or before 2026-08-14.","rs":"Resolved by a statement on the Generalbundesanwalt website, or reporting by two of Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Deutsche Welle and Reuters dated on or before 2026-08-14.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-19","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-10-31","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The German federal cabinet will approve a draft bill tightening extremism or weapons law that explicitly references the Berlin Pride attack, on or before 2026-10-31.","rs":"Resolved by the Bundesregierung cabinet decisions page listing such a Gesetzentwurf on or before 2026-10-31, with the attack named in the accompanying release.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-20","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"At least three separately published national voting-intention polls will place Reform UK ahead of Labour, each with fieldwork ending between 2026-07-28 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Counted from the pollsters' own published tables for that fieldwork window. Three distinct polling companies required; repeat waves by one company count once.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-21","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-08-10","s":"hit","p":62,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Benjamin Netanyahu and Volodymyr Zelenskyy will both be reported as having met Donald Trump in person on United States soil between 2026-07-27 and 2026-08-10.","rs":"Resolved by White House schedules or pool reports, or by two wire services, showing both leaders in a face-to-face meeting with Trump in the window.","rd":"2026-08-11","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-22","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":68,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States Senate will confirm Jay Clayton to the intelligence post for which he was nominated, on or before 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved by the roll-call record on congress.gov showing a completed confirmation vote in the affirmative on or before 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-23","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-10-31","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"An official United States Department of Defense or service publication will report more than 900 US service members injured in the Iran conflict since February 2026, published on or before 2026-10-31.","rs":"Resolved by a figure exceeding 900 appearing in a DoD, CENTCOM or service public-affairs release or congressional testimony transcript dated on or before 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-24","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":47,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Israeli cabinet will publicly approve an expansion of ground operations in Gaza beyond the limited force approved in July 2026, on or before 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved by an Israeli Prime Minister's Office statement or two wire services reporting a cabinet decision expanding the approved force, dated on or before 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-25","a":"manual/fable","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The European Forest Fire Information System will record more than 400000 hectares burned in Spain for calendar year 2026, as published on or before 2026-11-30.","rs":"Resolved by the EFFIS annual burnt-area statistics for Spain, read from the EFFIS portal on 2026-11-30. Hit if the cumulative figure exceeds 400000 hectares.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-26","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"hit","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States conducts at least one military strike on Iranian territory between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-14.","rs":"Resolved yes if US Central Command or the Department of Defense confirms a strike on Iranian territory in that window, or if two or more of AP, Reuters and AFP report one.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-27","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The upper bound of the US federal funds target range is above 3.75 percent on 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the FOMC implementation note in effect on 2026-10-30. Yes if the upper bound of the target range exceeds 3.75 percent on that date.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-28","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"ICE Brent front-month crude futures settle below 85.00 US dollars per barrel on 2026-08-28.","rs":"Resolved from the official ICE settlement price for the front-month Brent contract on 2026-08-28. Yes if that settlement is below 85.00 US dollars.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-29","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"CISA adds a vulnerability in the n8n workflow automation platform to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-07-28 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog on 2026-10-30. Yes if any entry naming n8n carries a date-added inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-30","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"OpenAI publishes a public incident report or postmortem covering the agent-related compromise reported on 2026-07-27, on or before 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved by checking the OpenAI official blog and security pages on 2026-09-30. Yes if a dated public writeup of that specific incident is present.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-31","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Labour leads Reform UK in at least two nationally published Great Britain voting-intention polls fielded entirely within September 2026.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-10-05 from the Wikipedia opinion polling page for the next UK general election. Yes if two or more qualifying September polls show a Labour lead.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-32","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The German federal government formally introduces draft legislation tightening extremism or hate-crime law in the Bundestag between 2026-07-28 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Resolved from the Bundestag document register on 2026-11-30. Yes if a government bill on extremism or hate-crime law is registered inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-33","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"A Meteo-France station records a maximum air temperature of 45.0 degrees Celsius or higher in metropolitan France between 2026-07-28 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"Resolved from Meteo-France published observations on 2026-09-15. Yes if any metropolitan station reports a daily maximum of 45.0 degrees Celsius or above.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-34","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"At least one person is formally charged with a homicide offense in connection with the 2026-07-26 Seattle festival shooting, on or before 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from King County Prosecuting Attorney charging documents or two major wire reports as of 2026-09-30. Yes if any homicide charge has been filed.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260727-35","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-27","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"CXMT shares close below their first-trading-day closing price on 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the listing exchange official closing price on 2026-09-30 compared with the first-trading-day close. Yes if the 2026-09-30 close is lower.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-27_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-27_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-01","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The official death toll from the 2026-07-28 Kyushu earthquake exceeds 50 as reported on 2026-08-14.","rs":"Resolved from Japan Fire and Disaster Management Agency or Cabinet Office figures on 2026-08-14. Yes if the confirmed dead exceed 50.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-02","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Nasdaq Composite closes below 23,000 on 2026-08-28.","rs":"Resolved from the official Nasdaq closing value on 2026-08-28. Yes if the close is below 23,000.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-03","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"ICE Brent front-month crude futures settle below 80.00 US dollars per barrel on 2026-08-28.","rs":"Resolved from the official ICE settlement for the front-month Brent contract on 2026-08-28. Yes if that settlement is below 80.00.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-04","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The upper bound of the US federal funds target range is above 3.75 percent on 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the FOMC implementation note in effect on 2026-10-30. Yes if the upper bound exceeds 3.75 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-05","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The United States and Iran announce a signed written agreement or framework between 2026-07-29 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"Resolved yes if both governments confirm a written agreement or framework, or two or more of AP, Reuters and AFP report one as signed, by 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-06","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"At least one additional attack on a commercial vessel in the Red Sea or the Gulf is claimed by or attributed to Houthi forces between 2026-07-29 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"Resolved from UKMTO or IMB incident reporting, or concurrent reporting by two major wires, as of 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-07","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"A US healthcare or medical-billing breach affecting more than 5,000,000 individuals is posted to the HHS breach portal between 2026-07-29 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the HHS Office for Civil Rights breach portal on 2026-10-30. Yes if any entry inside the window reports over 5,000,000 individuals affected.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-08","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":88,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The Federal Communications Commission takes no formal action to revoke or deny renewal of an ABC-affiliated broadcast license on or before 2026-11-30.","rs":"Resolved from the FCC daily digest and EDOCS on 2026-11-30. Yes if no revocation or renewal denial affecting an ABC affiliate has been adopted.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-09","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"At least one person is charged in connection with either shooting near the United States consulate in Toronto, on or before 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from Toronto Police Service releases or concurrent reporting by two major wires as of 2026-10-30. Yes if any charge has been laid for either incident.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260728-10","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-28","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"EFFIS reports more than 100,000 hectares burned in France for calendar year 2026, as published on or before 2026-11-30.","rs":"Resolved from the EFFIS annual burnt-area statistics for France read on 2026-11-30. Yes if the cumulative figure exceeds 100,000 hectares.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-28_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-28_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-08-15","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"On or before 2026-08-15, a coordinated cyberattack compromises at least 15 water utility systems in the United States, resulting in a public shutdown of operational control systems.","rs":"At least 15 water utility systems in the U.S. report a confirmed public shutdown of operational control systems due to a cyberattack between 2026-08-05 and 2026-08-15, as verified by CISA or a major news outlet.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-17, the S&P 500 index closes below 7,000 points for three consecutive trading days.","rs":"The S&P 500 closes below 7,000 on three consecutive trading days between 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-17, as reported by Bloomberg or Reuters.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"On or before 2026-10-20, a major earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher strikes Japan, resulting in over 1,000 fatalities.","rs":"A magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquake occurs in Japan and results in at least 1,000 confirmed fatalities, as reported by USGS and BBC World.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-11-12","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-11-05 and 2026-11-12, the U.S. Senate confirms a nominee to the Supreme Court who has previously served as a federal judge.","rs":"A nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court is confirmed by the Senate between 2026-11-05 and 2026-11-12, and the nominee has previously served as a federal judge.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-12-01 and 2026-12-08, Iran launches a missile or drone attack on a U.S. military base in the Middle East.","rs":"Iran launches a missile or drone attack on a U.S. military base in the Middle East between 2026-12-01 and 2026-12-08, as confirmed by Al Jazeera or BBC World.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2027-01-10","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"On or before 2027-01-10, a major cyberattack on a U.S. state government results in the public exposure of more than 1 million personal records.","rs":"A cyberattack on a U.S. state government leads to the public exposure of more than 1 million personal records between 2026-08-05 and 2027-01-10, as verified by CISA or a major news outlet.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-27, the U.S. dollar strengthens to a value of 1.08 against the euro.","rs":"The EUR/USD exchange rate falls to 1.08 or lower between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-27, as reported by Bloomberg or Reuters.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-12-25","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"On or before 2026-12-25, a new U.S. federal law is passed that mandates the use of SBOMs for all software used in critical infrastructure.","rs":"A new U.S. federal law is enacted by December 25, 2026, requiring the use of Software Bill of Materials (SBOMs) for all software used in critical infrastructure, as confirmed by CISA or Congress.gov.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-09","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-08, a U.S. presidential candidate announces a major policy shift on climate change during a national address.","rs":"A U.S. presidential candidate delivers a national address between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-08 that announces a major policy shift on climate change, as reported by CNN or The New York Times.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-10","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-10-22","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-10-15 and 2026-10-22, a major wildfire in California burns over 100,000 acres and causes at least 20 fatalities.","rs":"A wildfire in California burns over 100,000 acres and causes at least 20 fatalities between 2026-10-15 and 2026-10-22, as confirmed by Cal Fire or BBC World.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-11","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"CISA adds a Gitea remote-code-execution vulnerability to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-07-30 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the CISA KEV catalog JSON on 2026-10-30. Yes if any entry has vendorProject or product matching Gitea and dateAdded between 2026-07-30 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-12","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA adds a vBulletin vulnerability to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-07-30 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the CISA KEV catalog JSON on 2026-10-30. Yes if any entry has vendorProject or product matching vBulletin and dateAdded inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-13","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA publishes an advisory, alert or advisory update that explicitly names the Minnesota water utility intrusions, on or before 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the CISA cybersecurity advisories index on 2026-09-30. Yes if any item published after 2026-07-29 names Minnesota water utilities or that campaign.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-14","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":18,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The official confirmed death toll from the 2026-07-28 Kyushu earthquake exceeds 100 as reported on 2026-08-31.","rs":"Resolved from Japan Fire and Disaster Management Agency or Cabinet Office figures published on or before 2026-08-31. Yes if confirmed dead exceed 100.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-15","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"USGS records at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.5 or greater within 100 km of the 2026-07-28 Uto epicentre between 2026-07-30 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the USGS FDSN event query, radius 100 km on the Uto epicentre, minmagnitude 5.5, starttime 2026-07-30, endtime 2026-09-30. Yes if any event returns.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-16","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":14,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"GDACS issues a Red alert for any event located in Japan between 2026-07-30 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the GDACS alert feed on 2026-10-30. Yes if any event with country Japan carries alertlevel Red and a date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-17","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States 10-year Treasury par yield closes at or above 4.90 percent on at least one business day between 2026-07-30 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the Treasury daily par yield curve XML, field BC_10YEAR, on 2026-10-30. Yes if any business day in the window closed at or above 4.90.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-18","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The ECB main refinancing operations rate on 2026-10-30 is unchanged from its level on 2026-07-29.","rs":"Resolved from the ECB Data Portal series FM.D.U2.EUR.4F.KR.MRR_FR.LEV on 2026-10-30. Yes if OBS_VALUE on that date equals the 2026-07-29 value.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-19","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"ICE Brent front-month crude settles at or above 100.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-07-30 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the official ICE Brent front-month settlement series read on 2026-09-30. Yes if any settlement in the window is at or above 100.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260729-20","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-29","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"A United States sanctions action designating Iranian persons or entities is published in the Federal Register between 2026-07-30 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the Federal Register documents API on 2026-10-30, agency Treasury or State. Yes if any document published in the window designates Iranian persons or entities.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-29_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-29_1502.md"},{"i":"FS-20260730-01","a":"fogsim/scenario","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-12-31","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"other","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"In the FogSim sealed campaign for scenario \"USA vs RUS - sourced personnel, illustrative\" (SIMULATED, seeded from the graded order of battle), the modal outcome across the declared run set is \"blue_holds\".","rs":"Resolved from the executed FogSim reveal for this scenario (fogsim_reveal_oob.json in this repository) read on 2026-12-31: YES if the most frequent outcome across revealed runs equals \"blue_holds\". This scores a MODEL, not a war.","rd":null,"sp":null,"sr":null},{"i":"KKR-20260730-01","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Strait of Hormuz is closed to commercial shipping for 24 or more consecutive hours between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-30, as reported by at least two of Reuters, the Associated Press and Lloyds List.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-30 by searching Reuters, AP and Lloyds List archives: hit if at least two report a closure or halt of commercial transits lasting 24 or more hours dated in the window, miss otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-02","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"NATO invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty in response to the missile impact on Polish territory reported on 2026-07-30, with the invocation announced between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-30: hit if NATO or the North Atlantic Council announces an Article 5 invocation tied to the Poland missile impact, per nato.int or two major wires, dated in the window; miss otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-03","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The Federal Reserve announces a reduction of the federal funds target range at its September 2026 FOMC meeting, with the decision published between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-30 from the FOMC statement at federalreserve.gov: hit if the September 2026 meeting statement announces a lower target range than the prior meeting, miss otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-04","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Situational Awareness LP or Leopold Aschenbrenner publicly announces that the fund is winding down, closing or returning external capital, between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-10-30: hit if at least two of Bloomberg, CNBC, FT or Reuters report an announced wind-down, closure or return of external capital for the fund, dated in the window; miss otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-05","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"CISA issues an Emergency Directive that names CVE-2026-20316, the Cisco Secure Firewall Management Center hard-coded credential vulnerability, between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-21.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-08-21 at the cisa.gov directives page: hit if an Emergency Directive issued in the window names CVE-2026-20316, miss otherwise.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-06","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Pakistani armed forces or ISPR publicly announce a new named military operation in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa or the former tribal districts between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-10-30: hit if ISPR or the Pakistani government announces a named operation in those areas within the window, per two major wires or ispr.gov.pk; miss otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-07","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2027-01-26","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Hadi Matar is sentenced on his federal terrorism-related convictions between 2026-07-31 and 2027-01-26.","rs":"Resolved on 2027-01-26: hit if at least two of AP, Reuters, BBC or Al Jazeera report a federal sentence imposed on Matar dated in the window, miss otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-08","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2027-01-26","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The government of Cameroon officially announces the death or the resignation of President Paul Biya between 2026-07-31 and 2027-01-26.","rs":"Resolved on 2027-01-26: hit if an official Cameroonian government announcement of Biya death or resignation, reported by at least two major international wires, is dated in the window; miss otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-09","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Ugandan authorities release Kizza Besigye from detention, including any transfer to house arrest or medical release abroad, between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-09-30: hit if at least two of BBC, Al Jazeera, Reuters or AP report Besigye released from detention in the window, miss otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-10","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The confirmed death toll of firefighters in the 2026 Crete wildfires reaches five or more between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"Resolved on 2026-08-31: hit if at least two of BBC, Guardian, DW or Reuters report five or more firefighter deaths attributed to the Crete fires, miss otherwise.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-11","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30, US Central Command or the Department of Defense publicly confirms at least one new military strike on targets inside Iranian territory.","rs":"True if an official US military or DoD statement, carried by two or more major outlets, confirms a strike inside Iran occurring between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-12","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Front-month Brent crude futures settle above 100.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if ICE front-month Brent settlement exceeds 100.00 dollars on any session from 2026-08-06 through 2026-10-30, per exchange or major financial press data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-13","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"NATO holds a formal Article 4 consultation at the request of a member state between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if NATO or a member government publicly confirms an Article 4 consultation held between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30. Routine North Atlantic Council statements do not resolve this true.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-14","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The Nasdaq Composite closes below 22,485 on at least one trading day between 2026-08-06 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"True if the official Nasdaq Composite close is below 22,485 on any session from 2026-08-06 through 2026-11-30, per exchange or major financial press data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-15","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Public reporting attributes exploitation of Cisco CVE-2026-20316 to a specifically named nation-state actor or tracked threat group between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if a report from Cisco Talos, CISA, or a major security vendor published between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30 names a specific state actor or tracked group exploiting CVE-2026-20316.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-16","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"All commercial shipping transits of the Strait of Hormuz halt for at least 72 consecutive hours between 2026-08-06 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"True if Lloyds List, the IMO, or the US Navy publicly confirm zero commercial transits of the strait across 72 consecutive hours falling between 2026-08-06 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-17","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction in the federal funds target range at a scheduled meeting held between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if an FOMC statement issued between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30 announces a lower target range for the federal funds rate.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-18","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The US Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Attorney General between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if the Senate record shows a successful confirmation vote seating Todd Blanche as Attorney General between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-19","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":22,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The confirmed death toll from the magnitude 6.8 Uto, Japan earthquake reaches 50 or more between 2026-08-06 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"True if Japanese government or major wire reporting between 2026-08-06 and 2026-08-31 states a confirmed death toll of at least 50 from that earthquake.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-20","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A single attack in Pakistan kills at least 10 police or military personnel between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if credible international reporting confirms one attack in Pakistan between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30 killing 10 or more police or military personnel.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States military will conduct at least one additional publicly reported airstrike on targets inside Iranian territory between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-13.","rs":"True if U.S. Central Command, the Pentagon, or a major wire service (Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera) reports a new U.S. strike on Iranian soil between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-13; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-22","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-20","s":"miss","p":22,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-20, NATO will hold or announce formal Article 4 consultations in response to the reported Russian missile breach of Polish airspace.","rs":"True if NATO, a NATO member government, Reuters, or AP reports that Article 4 consultations were formally requested or held over this specific incident between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-20; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-23","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-27, at least one additional commercial or military vessel will be struck by a drone, missile, or mine in the Persian Gulf, Red Sea, Strait of Hormuz, or eastern Mediterranean in connection with the Iran conflict.","rs":"True if a major wire service (Reuters, AP) or Lloyds List reports a new vessel strike in these waters tied to the Iran conflict between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-27; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-24","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The confirmed death toll from the magnitude 6.8 Uto, Japan earthquake will exceed 40 between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-14.","rs":"True if Japanese government authorities, NHK, or a major wire service reports a confirmed death toll above 40 for this earthquake between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-14; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-25","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-30 and 2026-09-15, a U.S. federal agency or critical-infrastructure operator will be publicly confirmed as compromised via the Cisco Secure Firewall Management Center hard-coded credential flaw CVE-2026-20316.","rs":"True if CISA, a federal agency, or a major outlet (Reuters, Hacker News, BleepingComputer) confirms a specific victim compromised through CVE-2026-20316 between 2026-07-30 and 2026-09-15; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-26","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-06","s":"miss","p":58,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Meta Platforms stock will close lower than its 2026-07-30 closing price at least once more between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-06.","rs":"True if Meta Platforms common stock records at least one additional daily close below its 2026-07-30 close on any trading day between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-06; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-07","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-27","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The U.S. Senate will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General between 2026-07-30 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if the U.S. Senate holds a floor vote confirming Todd Blanche as Attorney General, as reported by a major outlet, between 2026-07-30 and 2026-09-30; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-28","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"hit","p":68,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A militant group will publicly claim responsibility for the attack on the northwest Pakistan police post that killed 11 officers, between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-13.","rs":"True if a group such as Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan or an affiliate issues a public claim of responsibility reported by a major outlet between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-13; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260730-29","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-30","dl":"2026-08-20","s":"miss","p":28,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Confirmed fatalities from the current Crete, Greece wildfire event will exceed 5 between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-20.","rs":"True if Greek civil protection authorities or a major wire service reports more than 5 confirmed deaths from this wildfire event between 2026-07-30 and 2026-08-20; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-30_1503.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-30_1503.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-01","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"ICE Brent front-month crude futures settle at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on at least one weekday between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-11 amid Iranian attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz","rs":"ICE Brent front-month official settlement price is 95.00 USD or higher on any weekday between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-11, per exchange data or major financial press","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-02","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The September 2026 FOMC statement announces a federal funds target range higher than the July 2026 range, following three July dissents in favor of an increase","rs":"The FOMC statement published at federalreserve.gov on or before 2026-09-30 announces a target range above the range set at the July 2026 meeting","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-03","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Kalshi publicly announces suspension or geographic restriction of its prediction market services for New York users between 2026-08-07 and 2026-11-30 following the New York lawsuit","rs":"A Kalshi company statement or reports by two major outlets confirm suspension or geo-restriction of Kalshi services for New York users dated between 2026-08-07 and 2026-11-30","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-04","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"CISA adds the JetBrains TeamCity remote code execution vulnerability disclosed in late July 2026 to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-15","rs":"The cisa.gov KEV catalog lists the late July 2026 JetBrains TeamCity RCE vulnerability with a date-added between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-15","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-05","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A major security vendor publicly attributes at least one new npm package compromise, distinct from the Debug and Chalk incidents, to North Korean actors between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-15","rs":"The Hacker News or BleepingComputer report a named security vendor attributing a new npm package compromise to DPRK-linked actors, dated between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-15","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-06","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A first physical handover of Hamas weapons under the Gaza Board of Peace disarmament agreement is publicly confirmed between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-15","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, or Al Jazeera report a completed initial weapons handover by Hamas under the disarmament agreement, dated between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-15","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-07","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Saudi Arabia publicly confirms conducting new airstrikes inside Yemen between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-15, breaking the post-2022 pattern of relative calm with the Houthis","rs":"An official Saudi government or coalition statement confirming new airstrikes in Yemen in the window is reported by at least two major outlets between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-15","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-08","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"FIFA publicly suspends or withdraws the World Cup stake-sale investment plan between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-30 amid UEFA opposition and senior adviser resignations","rs":"Two of Reuters, AP, BBC, or the Guardian report FIFA suspending or withdrawing the World Cup investment or stake-sale plan, dated between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-30","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-09","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"At least one EU member state formally notifies temporary internal border controls citing the Ceuta migration surge between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-15","rs":"A European Commission border-control notification record or reports by two major outlets confirm a member state reintroducing internal border checks citing the Ceuta influx, dated in the window","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-10","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The mayor of St Paul, Minnesota resigns or announces resignation between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-30 following sexual harassment allegations by two police officials","rs":"Two major outlets or an official city statement report the St Paul mayor resigning or announcing resignation, dated between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-30","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-11","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":32,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-31, the Hamas disarmament agreement announced by the Gaza Board of Peace will produce a verified weapons handover or destruction event under third-party or press observation.","rs":"True if the Gaza Board of Peace or a major wire service (Reuters, AP, Al Jazeera, BBC) reports a verified Hamas weapons handover or destruction event under this agreement between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-31; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-12","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"hit","p":62,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-14, Iran or Iran-aligned forces will conduct at least one additional strike on a vessel or a US-linked asset in the Gulf states or the Strait of Hormuz.","rs":"True if U.S. Central Command or a major wire service (Reuters, AP, CNBC) reports a new Iran-linked strike on a vessel or Gulf-state US asset between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-14; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-13","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-21, Anthropic will publish a public postmortem or security advisory specifically addressing the reported Claude-related breach of three organizations and the PyPI malware upload.","rs":"True if Anthropic publishes a blog post, security advisory, or report specifically addressing this incident, as reported by a major outlet, between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-21; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-14","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-19","s":"hit","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-19, the confirmed death toll among migrants crossing the Spain-Morocco border at Ceuta during this surge will exceed 60.","rs":"True if Spanish authorities or a major wire service (Reuters, AP) reports a confirmed death toll above 60 from this border-crossing surge between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-19; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-07","s":"hit","p":56,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Apple stock will record at least one additional daily close lower than its 2026-07-31 close on any trading day between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-07.","rs":"True if Apple common stock closes below its 2026-07-31 close on at least one trading day between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-07; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-08","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30, the Federal Reserve will announce an increase in the federal funds rate.","rs":"True if the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the federal funds rate, as reported by a major financial outlet, between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":48,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-28, at least one additional named individual will publicly allege misconduct against the St Paul mayor, or the mayor will resign or face a formal ethics or criminal proceeding.","rs":"True if a major outlet reports a new named accuser, a resignation, or a formal ethics or criminal proceeding involving the St Paul mayor between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-28; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-24, the combined confirmed death toll from the current Greece and Spain wildfire events will exceed 5.","rs":"True if Greek or Spanish civil protection authorities or a major wire service reports a combined confirmed death toll above 5 from these wildfire events between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-24; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-18","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-18, Houthi forces and Saudi Arabia will exchange at least one additional publicly reported military strike, beyond the current flare-up in Yemen.","rs":"True if a major wire service (Reuters, AP, Al Jazeera) or Deutsche Welle reports a new Houthi-Saudi strike or attack in Yemen between 2026-07-31 and 2026-08-18; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-20","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The US Navy or Department of Defense publicly confirms a direct armed engagement between US forces and Iranian forces or Iranian-operated vessels or aircraft in or near the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if an official US Navy, CENTCOM, or DoD statement carried by two or more major outlets confirms such an engagement occurring between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-21","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A named international monitor, the Gaza Board of Peace, or the US government publicly confirms that Hamas has physically handed over heavy weapons between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if an official statement from the Board of Peace, a named international monitoring body, or the US government confirms a completed heavy-weapons handover in that window. Announcements of agreement alone do not resolve true.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-22","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-12-31","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The Federal Open Market Committee announces an increase in the federal funds target range at a scheduled meeting held between 2026-08-07 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"True if an FOMC statement issued between 2026-08-07 and 2026-12-31 announces a higher target range for the federal funds rate.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-23","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Front-month WTI crude futures settle above 95.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if NYMEX front-month WTI settlement exceeds 95.00 dollars on any session from 2026-08-07 through 2026-09-30, per exchange or major financial press data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-24","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Frontex or the European Commission publicly announces a deployment of personnel or emergency border funding to Spain in response to the Ceuta crossings between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if Frontex or the European Commission issues a public statement in that window announcing personnel deployment or emergency funds to Spain for the Ceuta border.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-25","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A US congressional committee, member of Congress, or federal agency publicly issues a letter, inquiry, or hearing notice addressed to Anthropic regarding the reported autonomous breach of three organizations between 2026-08-07 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"True if such a letter, formal inquiry, or hearing notice naming Anthropic and referencing the incident is publicly reported between 2026-08-07 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-26","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"CISA adds the JetBrains TeamCity remote code execution vulnerability disclosed in late July 2026 to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog shows an entry for that TeamCity vulnerability with a date added between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-27","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The CBOE Volatility Index closes above 35.00 on at least one trading day between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if the official VIX close exceeds 35.00 on any session from 2026-08-07 through 2026-10-30, per CBOE or major financial press data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-28","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"hit","p":50,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The confirmed death toll from the Broad Peak avalanche in Pakistan reaches eight or more, per public reporting between 2026-08-07 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"True if Pakistani authorities, Alpine Club of Pakistan, or major wire reporting state a confirmed death toll of at least eight from that avalanche during the window.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260731-29","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-07-31","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The mayor of St Paul, Minnesota resigns, is removed from office, or announces she will not seek re-election between 2026-08-07 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"True if credible reporting between 2026-08-07 and 2026-11-30 confirms resignation, removal, or a public announcement of not seeking re-election.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-07-31_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-07-31_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-08-23","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-16 and 2026-08-23, a cyberattack exploiting the Adobe Campaign Classic CVSS 10.0 vulnerability will result in a data breach affecting over 1 million users.","rs":"A public disclosure from Adobe or a third-party cybersecurity firm confirms that the Adobe Campaign Classic CVSS 10.0 vulnerability was exploited between 2026-08-16 and 2026-08-23, leading to a data breach affecting more than 1 million users.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-09-09 and 2026-09-16, Iran will launch a missile strike on a U.S. military installation in the Persian Gulf region.","rs":"A public report from at least two independent sources across hostile sides (AXIS, WEST) confirms a missile strike by Iran on a U.S. military installation in the Persian Gulf between 2026-09-09 and 2026-09-16, with no denial from U.S. defense sources.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-03","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The US Department of Defense or the White House publicly confirms US military strikes on targets inside Iran between 2026-08-08 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from defense.gov news releases and whitehouse.gov briefing transcripts on 2026-10-30. Yes if any on-record item published in the window confirms US strikes on Iranian territory.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-04","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":62,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"At least one additional commercial vessel is struck by weapons in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman between 2026-08-08 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the UKMTO maritime incident report index on 2026-09-30. Yes if any advisory in the window records a commercial vessel struck by missile, drone or gunfire in those waters.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-05","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"ICE Brent front-month crude settles above 110.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-10 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the official ICE Brent front-month settlement series read on 2026-10-30. Yes if any settlement in the window is above 110.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-06","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"NYMEX WTI front-month crude settles above 95.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the CME official NYMEX WTI front-month settlement series read on 2026-09-30. Yes if any settlement in the window is above 95.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-07","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"An extraordinary European Council or Justice and Home Affairs Council session on the Ceuta migration crisis convenes between 2026-08-08 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the Council of the EU meeting calendar on 2026-09-30. Yes if a special or extraordinary session in the window lists Ceuta or Spain-Morocco migration on its published agenda.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-08","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Gianni Infantino ceases to be FIFA president, by resignation or removal, announced between 2026-08-08 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"Resolved from FIFA official media releases on 2026-12-18. Yes if a release in the window announces his resignation, removal, or replacement as president.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-09","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA adds an Adobe Campaign Classic vulnerability to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-08 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Resolved from the CISA KEV catalog JSON on 2026-10-30. Yes if any entry has vendorProject Adobe, product matching Campaign Classic, and dateAdded inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-10","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA publishes an advisory or alert confirming a cyber incident that disrupted operations at a named US water or wastewater utility, between 2026-08-08 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Resolved from the CISA cybersecurity advisories index on 2026-11-30. Yes if any item published in the window names a US water or wastewater utility with disrupted operations.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-11","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"INGV records an earthquake of magnitude 4.0 or greater within 30 km of Naples between 2026-08-08 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Resolved from the INGV ISIDe event query, radius 30 km on 40.85N 14.27E, minmagnitude 4.0, starttime 2026-08-08, endtime 2026-11-30. Yes if any event returns.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-12","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Spanish or Moroccan authorities announce criminal charges against ten or more people over the Ceuta mass border crossing between 2026-08-08 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Resolved from Fiscalia General del Estado, Spanish Interior Ministry, and Moroccan MAP official releases on 2026-11-30. Yes if any names charges against ten or more individuals.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-13","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":68,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States or Israel will conduct a publicly confirmed military strike on Iranian oil, gas, or petrochemical infrastructure between 2026-08-08 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"Resolved from defense.gov news releases and idf.il statements on 2026-08-31. Yes if any release in the window confirms a US or Israeli strike on Iranian oil, gas, or petrochemical infrastructure.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-14","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-12-31","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Russia and Ukraine will sign or jointly announce a ceasefire or peace agreement intended to end large-scale hostilities, effective on or before 2026-12-31.","rs":"Resolved from kremlin.ru and president.gov.ua official statements on 2026-12-31. Yes if both confirm a signed or jointly announced ceasefire or peace agreement ending large-scale hostilities.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Federal Reserve will cut the federal funds rate at the conclusion of its September 15-16, 2026 FOMC meeting.","rs":"Resolved from the FOMC statement published on federalreserve.gov on 2026-09-16. Yes if the announced federal funds rate target range is lower than the range set after the July 2026 meeting.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"WTI crude oil front-month futures will settle above 95.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-08 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the CME official NYMEX WTI front-month settlement series read on 2026-09-30. Yes if any settlement in the window is above 95.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-10-31","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA, EPA, or FBI will issue an advisory, or Reuters or AP will report, that a cyberattack disrupted operational technology at a US water or wastewater utility, between 2026-08-08 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"Resolved from the CISA cybersecurity advisories index on 2026-10-31. Yes if any advisory published in the window names a US water or wastewater utility with disrupted operations.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-10-31","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, or xAI will disclose a new case, beyond incidents already public as of 2026-08-01, of one of its models autonomously breaching third-party systems, between 2026-08-08 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"Resolved from openai.com, anthropic.com, deepmind.google, and x.ai safety disclosures, cross-checked against Reuters and AP, on 2026-10-31. Yes if any confirms a new case, beyond incidents public by 2026-08-01, of autonomous third-party system breach.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Department of Justice will publicly release the Epstein-related documents subject to the New Mexico deadline noted in reporting as of 2026-08-01, on or before 2026-09-25.","rs":"Resolved from justice.gov releases and the docket of the underlying New Mexico court matter on 2026-09-25. Yes if DOJ has publicly released the documents subject to that deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-20","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-12-15","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A magnitude 4.0 or greater earthquake will strike the Campi Flegrei or greater Naples area of Italy, between 2026-08-08 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"Resolved from the INGV ISIDe event query, radius 20 km on 40.827N 14.139E, minmagnitude 4.0, starttime 2026-08-08, endtime 2026-12-15. Yes if any event returns.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A commercial oil tanker will be attacked in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman, reported by Reuters, AP, or a maritime security firm, between 2026-08-08 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolved from the UKMTO maritime incident report index on 2026-09-30. Yes if any advisory in the window records a commercial oil tanker struck by weapons in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-22","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Commercial vessel transit through the Strait of Hormuz is suspended for 48 or more consecutive hours between 2026-08-02 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"YES if at least two major international wire services report suspension of commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz lasting 48 or more consecutive hours between 2026-08-02 and 2026-10-30; otherwise NO.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-23","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"US or Israeli forces strike Iranian oil or gas export infrastructure at Kharg Island, Bandar Abbas, or Asaluyeh between 2026-08-02 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"YES if at least two major international news agencies report a US or Israeli strike on Iranian oil or gas export facilities at Kharg Island, Bandar Abbas, or Asaluyeh between 2026-08-02 and 2026-09-30; otherwise NO.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-24","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-12-31","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The 10-year US Treasury constant maturity yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on at least one trading day between 2026-08-03 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"YES if the US Treasury daily par yield curve shows the 10-year rate at or above 5.00 percent for any date between 2026-08-03 and 2026-12-31; otherwise NO.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-25","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Gianni Infantino ceases to hold the FIFA presidency by resignation, removal, or formal suspension between 2026-08-02 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"YES if FIFA or two major international news outlets report that Infantino resigned, was removed, or was formally suspended as FIFA president between 2026-08-02 and 2026-12-18; otherwise NO.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260801-26","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-01","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA adds an Adobe Campaign Classic vulnerability first disclosed between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-01 to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-02 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"YES if the CISA KEV catalog lists an Adobe Campaign Classic entry with dateAdded between 2026-08-02 and 2026-10-30; otherwise NO.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-01_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-01_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260802-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-02","dl":"2026-08-15","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"On 2026-08-15, a drone strike targeting a military installation in Kharkiv, Ukraine, will be confirmed by at least two independent sources from hostile sides (RU, UA) with no casualties reported.","rs":"At least two independent sources from hostile sides (RU and UA) report a drone strike on a military installation in Kharkiv, Ukraine, with no casualties stated in the corroborating reports, between 2026-08-15 and 2026-08-15.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-02_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-02_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260802-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-02","dl":"2026-09-12","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-12, a cyberattack exploiting a newly cataloged vulnerability in Google Chrome will result in the compromise of at least 10,000 user accounts on public-facing platforms.","rs":"At least 10,000 user accounts on public-facing platforms are compromised due to a cyberattack exploiting a vulnerability in Google Chrome, confirmed by at least two independent cybersecurity firms between 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-02_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-02_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260802-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-02","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"On 2026-10-05, a wildfire in Spokane, Washington, will lead to the evacuation of at least 5,000 residents, confirmed by a state emergency management agency.","rs":"A state emergency management agency confirms that at least 5,000 residents were evacuated due to a wildfire in Spokane, Washington, on 2026-10-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-02_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-02_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260802-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-02","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-11-01 and 2026-11-03, a new financial regulation in the European Union will be enacted requiring all banks to report real-time transaction data to a central authority.","rs":"A new financial regulation enacted by the European Union between 2026-11-01 and 2026-11-03 mandates that all banks report real-time transaction data to a central 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6.5 or higher is recorded in New Zealand, confirmed by the USGS Significant Quakes feed on 2026-09-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-02_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-02_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260802-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-02","dl":"2026-11-25","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"On 2026-11-25, a political scandal involving a U.S. federal official will lead to a formal investigation by Congress, confirmed by a major news outlet.","rs":"A formal investigation by Congress into a political scandal involving a U.S. federal official is confirmed by a major news outlet on 2026-11-25.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-02_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-02_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260802-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-02","dl":"2026-12-07","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-12-05 and 2026-12-07, a new military offensive will begin in the Gaza City area, confirmed by at least two independent 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from a U.S. federal agency, CISA, or a major news outlet identifies a successful exploitation of CVE-2026-18577 leading to a breach of a critical infrastructure system.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-12","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"At least one major wildfire in the U.S. Southwest results in over 1,000 evacuations between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-10.","rs":"At least one official public report from a U.S. state emergency management agency or a major news outlet confirms that over 1,000 people were evacuated due to a wildfire in the Southwest U.S. (Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada) during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Iran and the United States announce a formal diplomatic dialogue on the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"At least two independently verified news outlets, one from each country, report the official launch of a diplomatic dialogue between Iran and the United States regarding the Strait of Hormuz during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"A new ransomware variant named INC Ransomware is linked to a data breach affecting over 50,000 U.S. government employees between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"At least two independent news outlets or a CISA advisory confirms that the INC Ransomware is responsible for a data breach affecting more than 50,000 U.S. government employees during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":50,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The U.S. House Ethics Committee formally censures Representative Chuck Edwards between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"A public record from the U.S. House of Representatives or a major news outlet confirms that the House Ethics Committee has issued a formal censure of Representative Chuck Edwards during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The U.S. Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Attorney General by a vote of at least 60 in favor between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"A public record from the U.S. Senate or a major news outlet confirms that Todd Blanche was confirmed as Attorney General by a vote of 60 or more senators during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A cyberattack on a major U.S. financial institution results in the theft of over $100 million in digital assets between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"At least two independent news outlets or a CISA advisory confirms that a cyberattack on a U.S. financial institution led to the theft of over $100 million in digital assets during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-09","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-12","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A drone attack on a Russian beach in Crimea kills at least seven people between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-10.","rs":"At least seven people are confirmed dead from a drone attack on a Russian beach in Crimea, as reported by at least two independently verified news outlets with distinct sources, including one from a hostile side.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-10","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-18577 compromises at least one critical infrastructure system in the United States between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"At least one confirmed public report from a U.S. federal agency, CISA, or a major news outlet identifies a successful exploitation of CVE-2026-18577 leading to a breach of a critical infrastructure system.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-11","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-12","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"At least one major wildfire in the U.S. Southwest results in over 1,000 evacuations between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-10.","rs":"At least one official public report from a U.S. state emergency management agency or a major news outlet confirms that over 1,000 people were evacuated due to a wildfire in the Southwest U.S. (Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada) during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-12","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Iran and the United States announce a formal diplomatic dialogue on the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"At least two independently verified news outlets, one from each country, report the official launch of a diplomatic dialogue between Iran and the United States regarding the Strait of Hormuz during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-13","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A new ransomware variant named INC Ransomware is linked to a data breach affecting over 50,000 U.S. government employees between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"At least two independent news outlets or a CISA advisory confirms that the INC Ransomware is responsible for a data breach affecting more than 50,000 U.S. government employees during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-14","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The U.S. House Ethics Committee formally censures Representative Chuck Edwards between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"A public record from the U.S. House of Representatives or a major news outlet confirms that the House Ethics Committee has issued a formal censure of Representative Chuck Edwards during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-15","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The U.S. Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Attorney General by a vote of at least 60 in favor between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"A public record from the U.S. Senate or a major news outlet confirms that Todd Blanche was confirmed as Attorney General by a vote of 60 or more senators during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-16","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A cyberattack on a major U.S. financial institution results in the theft of over $100 million in digital assets between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11.","rs":"At least two independent news outlets or a CISA advisory confirms that a cyberattack on a U.S. financial institution led to the theft of over $100 million in digital assets during the event window.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_0013.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_2351.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-17","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":88,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Israeli air, drone, or artillery strikes inside Gaza City occur between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"True if Al Jazeera and BBC World each report an Israeli air, drone, or artillery strike inside Gaza City occurring between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-18","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Russia's Ministry of Defence claims 100 or more Ukrainian drones destroyed or intercepted over a single night between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"True if Russia's Ministry of Defence publicly claims destroying or intercepting 100 or more Ukrainian drones over one overnight period between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24, per wire reporting.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-19","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Front-month Brent crude settles at or below 75.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if front-month Brent futures post a settlement price at or below 75.00 US dollars per barrel on any trading day between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-20","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2027-01-04","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at a scheduled meeting held between 2026-08-10 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"True if an FOMC statement issued at a scheduled meeting within the window announces an increase to the federal funds target range.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-21","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA adds a CVE affecting N-able N-central to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog contains an entry for a CVE in N-able N-central carrying a date-added value between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-22","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The UK Information Commissioners Office confirms a formal investigation or enforcement action over the PNLD breach between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if the ICO publishes a statement, case page, or enforcement notice confirming formal investigation or enforcement action regarding the PNLD breach, dated within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-23","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The US Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Attorney General between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if the Senate roll call record shows a confirmation vote approving Todd Blanche as Attorney General on a date between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-24","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The National Interagency Fire Center posts National Preparedness Level 5 on at least one day between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"True if an NIFC daily situation report dated between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-15 states National Preparedness Level 5.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-25","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"US and Iranian officials hold a confirmed direct bilateral meeting between 2026-08-10 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"True if the US State Department and Iran's foreign ministry both confirm a direct bilateral meeting between US and Iranian officials held within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-26","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Israel and Palestinian armed factions in Gaza will be reported to have observed a continuous halt in strikes lasting at least 48 hours, beginning between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"True if two or more wire services or the UN report a Gaza ceasefire holding at least 48 continuous hours with a start date between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-24, confirmed by 2026-08-27.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-27","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A UN body, the ICC, or a major human rights organization will announce it has opened a formal investigation into the 2026-08-03 Sudan army drone strike on a court session, between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-25.","rs":"True if the UN, ICC, or a named human rights organization publicly announces a formal investigation or fact-finding inquiry into the strike, with the announcement dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-25, confirmed by 2026-08-28.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-28","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"AstraZeneca and Bristol Myers Squibb will announce a signed definitive merger or acquisition agreement between 2026-08-04 and 2026-09-04.","rs":"True if both companies issue a joint press release or regulatory filing confirming a signed definitive agreement, dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-09-04, confirmed by 2026-09-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-29","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The Federal Reserve will raise its federal funds target range above the level in effect on 2026-08-03, in an FOMC decision announced between 2026-08-10 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"True if an FOMC post-meeting statement dated between 2026-08-10 and 2026-12-31 raises the target range above its 2026-08-03 level, confirmed via the Federal Reserve press release by 2027-01-06.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-30","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"hit","p":42,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add an entry for the N-able N-central vulnerability described in the 2026-08-03 report, with the addition dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-18.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog lists an N-able N-central CVE with a date-added field between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-18, confirmed by checking the catalog on 2026-08-21.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-31","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":62,"dom":"political","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The US Senate will hold a floor vote resulting in confirmation or rejection of the pending nomination of Todd Blanche, between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21.","rs":"True if the Senate floor vote record (Congress.gov or a wire service) shows a confirmation or rejection vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21, confirmed by 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-32","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":28,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The wildfire(s) reported destroying homes and forcing evacuations near Spokane, Washington on 2026-08-03 will reach full containment, as reported by state or federal fire authorities, between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21.","rs":"True if Washington state fire authorities or InciWeb report the Spokane-area wildfire(s) at 100 percent containment, with the containment date between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21, confirmed by 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Israeli air, drone, or artillery strikes inside Gaza City occur between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"True if Al Jazeera and BBC World each report an Israeli air, drone, or artillery strike inside Gaza City occurring between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Russia's Ministry of Defence claims 100 or more Ukrainian drones destroyed or intercepted over a single night between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"True if Russia's Ministry of Defence publicly claims destroying or intercepting 100 or more Ukrainian drones over one overnight period between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24, per wire reporting.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Front-month Brent crude settles at or below 75.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if front-month Brent futures post a settlement price at or below 75.00 US dollars per barrel on any trading day between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2027-01-04","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at a scheduled meeting held between 2026-08-10 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"True if an FOMC statement issued at a scheduled meeting within the window announces an increase to the federal funds target range.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA adds a CVE affecting N-able N-central to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog contains an entry for a CVE in N-able N-central carrying a date-added value between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The UK Information Commissioners Office confirms a formal investigation or enforcement action over the PNLD breach between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if the ICO publishes a statement, case page, or enforcement notice confirming formal investigation or enforcement action regarding the PNLD breach, dated within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-39","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The US Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Attorney General between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if the Senate roll call record shows a confirmation vote approving Todd Blanche as Attorney General on a date between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-40","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The National Interagency Fire Center posts National Preparedness Level 5 on at least one day between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"True if an NIFC daily situation report dated between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-15 states National Preparedness Level 5.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-41","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"US and Iranian officials hold a confirmed direct bilateral meeting between 2026-08-10 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"True if the US State Department and Iran's foreign ministry both confirm a direct bilateral meeting between US and Iranian officials held within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-42","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Israel and Palestinian armed factions in Gaza will be reported to have observed a continuous halt in strikes lasting at least 48 hours, beginning between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"True if two or more wire services or the UN report a Gaza ceasefire holding at least 48 continuous hours with a start date between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-24, confirmed by 2026-08-27.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-43","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A UN body, the ICC, or a major human rights organization will announce it has opened a formal investigation into the 2026-08-03 Sudan army drone strike on a court session, between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-25.","rs":"True if the UN, ICC, or a named human rights organization publicly announces a formal investigation or fact-finding inquiry into the strike, with the announcement dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-25, confirmed by 2026-08-28.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-44","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"AstraZeneca and Bristol Myers Squibb will announce a signed definitive merger or acquisition agreement between 2026-08-04 and 2026-09-04.","rs":"True if both companies issue a joint press release or regulatory filing confirming a signed definitive agreement, dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-09-04, confirmed by 2026-09-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-45","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Federal Reserve will raise its federal funds target range above the level in effect on 2026-08-03, in an FOMC decision announced between 2026-08-10 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"True if an FOMC post-meeting statement dated between 2026-08-10 and 2026-12-31 raises the target range above its 2026-08-03 level, confirmed via the Federal Reserve press release by 2027-01-06.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add an entry for the N-able N-central vulnerability described in the 2026-08-03 report, with the addition dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-18.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog lists an N-able N-central CVE with a date-added field between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-18, confirmed by checking the catalog on 2026-08-21.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The US Senate will hold a floor vote resulting in confirmation or rejection of the pending nomination of Todd Blanche, between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21.","rs":"True if the Senate floor vote record (Congress.gov or a wire service) shows a confirmation or rejection vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21, confirmed by 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The wildfire(s) reported destroying homes and forcing evacuations near Spokane, Washington on 2026-08-03 will reach full containment, as reported by state or federal fire authorities, between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21.","rs":"True if Washington state fire authorities or InciWeb report the Spokane-area wildfire(s) at 100 percent containment, with the containment date between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21, confirmed by 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-03_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-03_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-49","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-18","s":"void","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-06 and 2026-08-13, a cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-18577 in N-able N-central systems results in unauthorized access to at least one critical infrastructure network.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-06 and 2026-08-13 for CVE-2026-18577.","rd":"2026-08-05","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-50","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-25","s":"void","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17, a wildfire in the Russian Federation, as reported by GDACS Alerts, burns more than 10,000 hectares.","rs":"The GDACS Alerts system records a green forest fire notification for the Russian Federation with a burned area exceeding 10,000 hectares between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17.","rd":"2026-08-05","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-51","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-18, a new political scandal involving a U.S. federal official is reported by at least two independent outlets, including Al Jazeera and BBC World.","rs":"At least two independent news outlets, including Al Jazeera and BBC World, publish a report on a new political scandal involving a U.S. federal official between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-52","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-20, a major cyberattack on a U.S. government agency is confirmed by at least two independent sources, including BleepingComputer and The Hacker News.","rs":"At least two independent sources, including BleepingComputer and The Hacker News, publish a report confirming a major cyberattack on a U.S. government agency between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-20.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-53","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-15 and 2026-08-22, a new political development involving Iran's foreign ministry and the U.S. government is reported by at least two independent sources, including Al Jazeera and BBC World.","rs":"At least two independent sources, including Al Jazeera and BBC World, publish a report on a new political development involving Iran's foreign ministry and the U.S. government between 2026-08-15 and 2026-08-22.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-54","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-16 and 2026-08-23, a new economic policy shift by the U.S. Federal Reserve is announced by at least two independent financial news outlets, including CNBC and MarketWatch.","rs":"At least two independent financial news outlets, including CNBC and MarketWatch, publish a report announcing a new economic policy shift by the U.S. Federal Reserve between 2026-08-16 and 2026-08-23.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-55","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-24, a new cyberattack on a major financial institution in Europe is confirmed by at least two independent sources, including BleepingComputer and The Hacker News.","rs":"At least two independent sources, including BleepingComputer and The Hacker News, publish a report confirming a new cyberattack on a major financial institution in Europe between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-56","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-25","s":"miss","p":52,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21 the United States and Iran both publicly announce a concluded agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial transit.","rs":"TRUE if a US government body and an Iranian government body each publicly confirm a concluded Hormuz transit agreement dated between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-21, per two international wire services.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-57","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"hit","p":45,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-05 and 2026-08-25 a single long-range strike incident in Ukraine kills ten or more people.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian state emergency or prosecution authorities report ten or more killed in one strike incident dated in the window, corroborated by two international wire services.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-58","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The S&P 500 closes down 3.00 percent or more from the prior close on at least one session between 2026-08-05 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if official S&P 500 closing values show a single-session close-to-close decline of 3.00 percent or greater on any date between 2026-08-05 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-59","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds a further N-able N-central vulnerability with a date-added value between 2026-08-05 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains an N-able N-central CVE other than CVE-2026-18577 and CVE-2026-18556 carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-08-05 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-60","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Attorney General in a recorded floor vote held between 2026-08-05 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a Congress.gov Senate roll call vote dated between 2026-08-05 and 2026-10-16 records confirmation of the Blanche nomination to be Attorney General.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-61","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":84,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The man charged over the largest 2026 Washington state wildfire faces at least one arson count filed and not dismissed at any point between 2026-08-05 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the Washington state court docket for that defendant shows an arson count filed and not dismissed on a date between 2026-08-05 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-62","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-20","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-18, a single Russian or Ukrainian long-range strike will be independently confirmed by two or more wire services, such as Reuters, AP, or AFP, to have killed 20 or more people in one incident.","rs":"TRUE if two or more independent wire services report one strike in the window with a confirmed death toll of 20 or more; FALSE if no single incident reaches that two-source-confirmed toll by 2026-08-20.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-63","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-25, the Israeli and Lebanese governments will each publicly confirm one specific written security arrangement, such as a troop withdrawal timeline, border demarcation, or disarmament mechanism, reached through the talks round described in item 90.","rs":"TRUE if both governments confirm the same specific written arrangement by 2026-08-27; FALSE if talks continue, stall, or collapse without a jointly confirmed written arrangement.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-64","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-04 and 2026-09-08, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add a second CVE, distinct from CVE-2026-18577, affecting N-able N-central.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists any additional N-able N-central CVE with a date-added value in the window; FALSE if no such second entry appears by 2026-09-10.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-65","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-08-13","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-11, the Japan Meteorological Agency will issue a Special Warning, its highest alert level, for Typhoon Dolphin covering at least one prefecture.","rs":"TRUE if JMA public advisories show a Special Warning issued for Typhoon Dolphin in the window; FALSE if JMA issues no Special Warning by 2026-08-13.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-66","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-04 and 2026-11-04, the person charged with arson over the Old Trails wildfire in item 9 will be indicted or have an information filed advancing the case to Washington Superior Court.","rs":"TRUE if the county Superior Court docket shows the case advanced via indictment or filed information in the window; FALSE if it remains at initial charge, or is dismissed, by 2026-11-06.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260804-67","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-04","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-04 and 2026-11-04, the Second Circuit Court of Appeals will enter an order or ruling, on the merits or on a stay motion, in New York's case over the ICE-officer mask ban blocked in item 113.","rs":"TRUE if the Second Circuit public docket shows an order or ruling on this matter within the window; FALSE if none appears by 2026-11-06.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-04_1502.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-04_1502.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260805-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-05","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"miss","p":85,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA KEV catalog includes CVE-2026-9198 (IBM Langflow Code Injection) as actively exploited between 2026-08-05 and 2026-08-12.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-05 and 2026-08-12 for CVE-2026-9198.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260805-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-05","dl":"2026-08-14","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake with a depth of less than 100km occurs in the Philippines between 2026-08-05 and 2026-08-12.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed reports a magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake with a depth of less than 100km in the Philippines between 2026-08-05 and 2026-08-12.","rd":"2026-08-15","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-01","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":48,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"ICE Brent front-month crude futures settle at or below 70.00 USD per barrel on at least one settlement date between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Any ICE-published front-month Brent settlement price with a settlement date between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30 is 70.00 or lower.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-02","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A filing entered on the US Court of International Trade docket between 2026-08-06 and 2026-12-15 states that cumulative IEEPA tariff refunds issued have reached 150 billion USD or more.","rs":"A government filing on the CIT docket dated inside the window states cumulative IEEPA refunds of at least 150 billion USD. A lower stated figure resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-03","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"UKMTO issues an incident advisory, or CENTCOM issues a statement, reporting an attack on or seizure of a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman between 2026-08-06 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A UKMTO advisory or CENTCOM statement dated inside the window reports an attack on or seizure of a commercial vessel in the named waters.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-04","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA KEV catalog carries at least one entry naming Gitea in its vendorProject or product field, with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-06 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"A CISA KEV entry naming Gitea in vendorProject or product carries a dateAdded value inside the window. No such entry resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-05","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of the epicenter of USGS event us6000ti6x, with an origin time between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A USGS FDSN event query for magnitude 6.0 or greater, radius 300 km around the us6000ti6x epicenter, origin time inside the window, returns one or more events.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-06","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The House Committee on Ethics publishes a statement or report on ethics.house.gov naming Representative Max Miller, dated between 2026-08-06 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A document published on ethics.house.gov and dated inside the window names Representative Max Miller. No such document resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-07","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":90,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-06 and 2026-08-20, the USGS Earthquake Catalog will record at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater anywhere in the world.","rs":"True if the USGS Earthquake Catalog lists any event of magnitude 6.0 or greater with origin time between 2026-08-06 and 2026-08-20, checked 2026-08-24; false otherwise.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-08","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-11-10","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Abdul El-Sayed will win the 2026 Michigan US Senate general election held on 2026-11-03.","rs":"True if official Michigan certified results or an AP race call name Abdul El-Sayed the winner of the Michigan US Senate general election, checked 2026-11-10; false otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States and Iran both publicly confirm a concluded agreement governing commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if official US and Iranian government statements confirming a concluded Hormuz transit agreement are issued in the window and reported by at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A Russian missile or drone strike on Kyiv city kills at least 5 people in a single attack between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-31, per Ukrainian official casualty statements.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian authorities state at least 5 killed in one strike on Kyiv city within the window, reported by at least two international news outlets; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-11","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one entry for Gitea, n8n, or TP-Link Omada with a date-added value between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if the public CISA KEV catalog contains an entry whose vendor or product names Gitea, n8n, or TP-Link Omada with dateAdded between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-12","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least 12 new entries with date-added values between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the public CISA KEV catalog contains 12 or more entries with dateAdded between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-13","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-12-01","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Abdul El-Sayed wins the Michigan US Senate general election held 2026-11-03.","rs":"TRUE if AP declares El-Sayed the winner or Michigan certified results show him with the most votes for US Senate; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-14","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2027-02-01","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Pete Hegseth departs the office of US Secretary of War, via announced resignation or removal, between 2026-08-06 and 2027-01-30.","rs":"TRUE if the White House or the department officially announces the resignation, removal, or departure of Hegseth with the announcement dated in the window, reported by two major outlets; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-15","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The USGS catalog records at least one magnitude 5.0 or greater earthquake within 100 km of the 2026-08-05 Sarangani M6.3 epicenter, with origin time between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-04.","rs":"TRUE if USGS ComCat lists at least one M5.0 or greater event within 100 km of USGS event us6000ti6x with origin time between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-04 UTC; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-16","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"ICE Brent front-month crude futures settle at or below 70.00 USD per barrel on at least one settlement date between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Any ICE-published front-month Brent settlement price with a settlement date between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30 is 70.00 or lower.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-17","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A filing entered on the US Court of International Trade docket between 2026-08-06 and 2026-12-15 states that cumulative IEEPA tariff refunds issued have reached 150 billion USD or more.","rs":"A government filing on the CIT docket dated inside the window states cumulative IEEPA refunds of at least 150 billion USD. A lower stated figure resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-18","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"UKMTO issues an incident advisory, or CENTCOM issues a statement, reporting an attack on or seizure of a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman between 2026-08-06 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A UKMTO advisory or CENTCOM statement dated inside the window reports an attack on or seizure of a commercial vessel in the named waters.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-19","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA KEV catalog carries at least one entry naming Gitea in its vendorProject or product field, with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-06 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"A CISA KEV entry naming Gitea in vendorProject or product carries a dateAdded value inside the window. No such entry resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-20","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of the epicenter of USGS event us6000ti6x, with an origin time between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A USGS FDSN event query for magnitude 6.0 or greater, radius 300 km around the us6000ti6x epicenter, origin time inside the window, returns one or more events.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-21","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The House Committee on Ethics publishes a statement or report on ethics.house.gov naming Representative Max Miller, dated between 2026-08-06 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A document published on ethics.house.gov and dated inside the window names Representative Max Miller. No such document resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-22","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":31,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-06 and 2026-08-20, the USGS Earthquake Catalog will record at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater anywhere in the world.","rs":"True if the USGS Earthquake Catalog lists any event of magnitude 6.0 or greater with origin time between 2026-08-06 and 2026-08-20, checked 2026-08-24; false otherwise.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-23","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-11-10","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Abdul El-Sayed will win the 2026 Michigan US Senate general election held on 2026-11-03.","rs":"True if official Michigan certified results or an AP race call name Abdul El-Sayed the winner of the Michigan US Senate general election, checked 2026-11-10; false otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-24","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The United States and Iran both publicly confirm a concluded agreement governing commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if official US and Iranian government statements confirming a concluded Hormuz transit agreement are issued in the window and reported by at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A Russian missile or drone strike on Kyiv city kills at least 5 people in a single attack between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-31, per Ukrainian official casualty statements.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian authorities state at least 5 killed in one strike on Kyiv city within the window, reported by at least two international news outlets; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-26","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one entry for Gitea, n8n, or TP-Link Omada with a date-added value between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if the public CISA KEV catalog contains an entry whose vendor or product names Gitea, n8n, or TP-Link Omada with dateAdded between 2026-08-06 and 2026-10-30; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least 12 new entries with date-added values between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the public CISA KEV catalog contains 12 or more entries with dateAdded between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-12-01","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Abdul El-Sayed wins the Michigan US Senate general election held 2026-11-03.","rs":"TRUE if AP declares El-Sayed the winner or Michigan certified results show him with the most votes for US Senate; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2027-02-01","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Pete Hegseth departs the office of US Secretary of War, via announced resignation or removal, between 2026-08-06 and 2027-01-30.","rs":"TRUE if the White House or the department officially announces the resignation, removal, or departure of Hegseth with the announcement dated in the window, reported by two major outlets; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The USGS catalog records at least one magnitude 5.0 or greater earthquake within 100 km of the 2026-08-05 Sarangani M6.3 epicenter, with origin time between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-04.","rs":"TRUE if USGS ComCat lists at least one M5.0 or greater event within 100 km of USGS event us6000ti6x with origin time between 2026-08-06 and 2026-09-04 UTC; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-05_1501.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-05_1501.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-31","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-15 and 2026-08-22, Iran and Oman will publicly confirm a maritime coordination agreement for the Strait of Hormuz via a joint statement from both foreign ministries.","rs":"A joint statement issued by the foreign ministries of Iran and Oman confirms the establishment of a maritime coordination agreement for the Strait of Hormuz, specifying route coordinates and operational protocols.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-06_0426.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-06_0426.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-32","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-08-25, a verified cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-63077 will be reported by at least two independent sources with differing geopolitical affiliations.","rs":"At least two independent sources, one from a Western outlet and one from a non-Western outlet, report a confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-63077 between 2026-08-18 and 2026-08-25.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-06_0426.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-06_0426.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-33","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-29, the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce a rate hike of at least 25 basis points in a public statement.","rs":"The Federal Reserve issues a public statement announcing a 25 basis point or greater increase in the federal funds rate between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-29.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-06_0426.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-06_0426.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-34","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2026-08-31, a confirmed cyberattack using the Khunt post-exploitation toolkit will be reported by at least two independent sources with differing geopolitical affiliations.","rs":"At least two independent sources, one from a Western outlet and one from a non-Western outlet, report a confirmed cyberattack using the Khunt post-exploitation toolkit between 2026-08-24 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-06_0426.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-06_0426.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-35","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01, a verified wildfire will be reported in the U.S. Southwest (Arizona, New Mexico, or Nevada) with a containment status of 'under control' or 'contained' by 2026-09-05.","rs":"A wildfire in Arizona, New Mexico, or Nevada is reported by a U.S. government or international disaster alert system (e.g., GDACS) with a containment status of 'under control' or 'contained' by 2026-09-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-06_0426.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-06_0426.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260806-36","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-06","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-02, a confirmed political resignation of a senior U.S. government official (e.g., cabinet member, senator, or agency head) will be reported by at least two independent news outlets with differing political leanings.","rs":"A confirmed resignation of a senior U.S. government official (e.g., cabinet member, senator, or agency head) is reported by at least two independent news outlets with differing political affiliations between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-06_0426.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-06_0426.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"hit","p":32,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A drone strike in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, results in at least one casualty between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17.","rs":"At least one report from a credible news outlet (BBC World, Al Jazeera, or Guardian World) published between 2026-08-12 and 2026-08-19 confirms a drone strike in Zaporizhzhia with at least one casualty.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas is confirmed by both sides via a joint statement between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17.","rs":"A joint statement from both Israel and Hamas, published by at least two independent outlets (e.g., BBC World, Al Jazeera, Guardian World), confirms a ceasefire agreement between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A new tropical cyclone named CHAN-HOM-26 causes at least one fatality in a country affected by the storm between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17.","rs":"At least one credible news report (BBC World, Al Jazeera, Guardian World) published between 2026-08-12 and 2026-08-19 confirms a fatality linked to CHAN-HOM-26 in a country affected by the storm.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"miss","p":22,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A new political scandal involving Todd Blanche, U.S. Attorney General nominee, is confirmed by two independent outlets between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17.","rs":"Two independent news outlets (e.g., Guardian World, CNBC, BBC World) publish reports between 2026-08-12 and 2026-08-19 confirming a new political scandal involving Todd Blanche.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-05","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":88,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The US Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Attorney General by recorded roll call vote between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Congress.gov or senate.gov roll call record shows a Senate vote confirming Todd Blanche as United States Attorney General with a vote date between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-06","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2027-01-19","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Houthi forces take control of Marib city, Yemen, between 2026-08-08 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera report Marib city under Houthi control, or the Yemeni government concedes its loss, with event dates inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-07","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A vulnerability in Claude Code or Gemini CLI disclosed in early August 2026 is added to the CISA KEV catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-08-08 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed lists a CVE whose product or description names Claude Code or Gemini CLI, with dateAdded between 2026-08-08 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-08","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The US Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Attorney General on a recorded roll call vote held between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Congress.gov Senate roll call records show a successful confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche as Attorney General, vote date between 2026-08-07 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-09","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Russia sanctions bill passed by the Senate on 2026-08-07 becomes public law between 2026-08-08 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"Congress.gov shows the Senate-passed Russia sanctions measure championed by Lindsey Graham with status Became Law, dated between 2026-08-08 and 2026-12-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-10","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Levi Strauss and Co files a Form 8-K disclosing a material cybersecurity incident under Item 1.05 between 2026-08-08 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"SEC EDGAR shows a Form 8-K filed by Levi Strauss and Co with filing date between 2026-08-08 and 2026-11-30 containing Item 1.05 Material Cybersecurity Incidents.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-11","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2027-01-07","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA adds at least one WordPress core or WordPress plugin vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a date added between 2026-08-08 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one entry whose vendorProject or product field names WordPress, with dateAdded between 2026-08-08 and 2026-12-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-12","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":27,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Houthi forces launch a ground assault on Marib city or its immediate outskirts between 2026-08-08 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Al Jazeera and at least one of Reuters, AP, or BBC report a Houthi ground offensive against Marib city or its immediate outskirts occurring inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-13","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Colombian government publicly announces suspension or termination of peace negotiations with the ELN between 2026-08-08 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Two of Reuters, AP, El Tiempo, or BBC report a Colombian government announcement suspending or ending negotiations with the ELN, dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-14","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The Copernicus Climate Change Service ranks August 2026 among the three warmest Augusts on record for Europe.","rs":"The C3S monthly climate bulletin covering August 2026 states that European average surface air temperature ranked first, second, or third warmest for August in its record.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Spain will move beyond its stated threat and implement reciprocal entry checks on travelers from Italy, between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"TRUE if the Spanish Interior Ministry announces active reciprocal checks on Italy-origin travelers between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24, confirmed by at least two of Al Jazeera, BBC, or DW; FALSE otherwise.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"miss","p":22,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Houthi forces will be reported to have captured or besieged a district-level administrative center in Marib or Hodeidah governorate, between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-28.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Al Jazeera, Reuters, AP, or the Yemeni government report Houthi capture or siege of a named district center between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-28; FALSE otherwise.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"open","p":42,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The ELN will be reported responsible for an attack killing at least one Colombian security-force member, between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-28.","rs":"TRUE if the Colombian Defense Ministry or at least two of Reuters, AP, or El Tiempo report an ELN-attributed killing of a security-force member between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-28; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"BLS will report a second consecutive month of net job losses for August 2026, in the Employment Situation release published between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-12.","rs":"TRUE if the BLS Employment Situation report covering August 2026, released between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-12, shows negative net nonfarm payroll change; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260807-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-07","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The US Senate will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-11.","rs":"TRUE if the Senate confirms Blanche by roll-call vote between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-11, per congress.gov or at least two of NPR, CNBC, or Guardian; FALSE if rejected, withdrawn, or no vote occurs.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-07_1747.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-07_1747.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a drone attack using a Shahed-type UAV will be confirmed by at least two independently biased sources (one from RU, one from UA) targeting a civilian infrastructure site in Donetsk, Ukraine, resulting in at least one structural damage report.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog does not carry a date-added value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 for a vulnerability exploited in a drone attack on a civilian infrastructure site in Donetsk, Ukraine, and no two independently biased sources (one from RU, one from UA) corroborate a drone attack with structural damage during that window.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2026-08-31, a major earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher will occur in the United States, as recorded by the USGS Significant Quakes feed.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed records a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake in the United States between 2026-08-24 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-05","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31, the US Senate will pass a resolution to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General, as recorded in the official Congressional Record.","rs":"The Congressional Record contains a formal vote confirming Todd Blanche as Attorney General of the United States between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, a new wildfire will be reported in the United States by the GDACS Alerts feed, with a confirmed area burned exceeding 10,000 acres.","rs":"The GDACS Alerts feed records a new wildfire in the United States between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03 with a confirmed area burned exceeding 10,000 acres.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-28 and 2026-09-04, a coordinated cyberattack targeting at least three financial institutions in Europe will be confirmed by two independent cybersecurity sources, resulting in data exfiltration.","rs":"Two independent cybersecurity sources confirm a coordinated cyberattack targeting at least three financial institutions in Europe between 2026-08-28 and 2026-09-04, resulting in data exfiltration.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-09","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-05, a new political scandal involving a US senator will be reported by two major wire services (e.g., Reuters, AP), with allegations of corruption or misuse of funds.","rs":"Two major wire services (e.g., Reuters, AP) report a new political scandal involving a US senator between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-05, with allegations of corruption or misuse of funds.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-07","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":90,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-22 at least one Russian missile or drone strike causing damage or casualties in Kyiv city or Kyiv oblast is reported by at least two of BBC, Reuters, AP, AFP.","rs":"By the deadline, published reporting from at least two of BBC, Reuters, AP, AFP documents such a strike with impact dated inside the window; otherwise false.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-08","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-09 and 2026-10-09 the US Department of Justice announces the extradition of at least one defendant from Colombia to the United States on drug trafficking charges.","rs":"A justice.gov press release dated inside the window announces at least one extradition from Colombia on drug trafficking charges; absent such a release, false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-09","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-08-18","s":"hit","p":65,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-08 and 2026-08-15 the circulation center of Typhoon Dolphin makes landfall on mainland China.","rs":"GDACS tropical cyclone records, JMA, or CMA tracking show the center of Dolphin crossing the mainland China coastline inside the window; dissipation over water or landfall elsewhere resolves false.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-10","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry naming Metabase as vendor or product with a date-added value between 2026-08-09 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"The public CISA KEV catalog contains an entry whose vendor or product field names Metabase with a dateAdded value inside the window; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-11","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The incumbent governor of Rhode Island is defeated in a gubernatorial primary held between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Rhode Island Department of State results show the sitting governor losing a September 2026 gubernatorial primary; if the incumbent wins, is unopposed, is not a candidate, or no primary occurs, false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-12","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Between 2026-08-09 and 2026-10-09 the United States and Iran announce an agreement or arrangement governing commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz.","rs":"An official statement dated inside the window on state.gov or whitehouse.gov announces a US-Iran agreement, arrangement, or understanding on Strait of Hormuz commercial transit; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-13","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":88,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Ukrainian authorities report at least one civilian killed by a Russian missile or drone strike in Kyiv city or Kyiv oblast between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-10.","rs":"Kyiv city or oblast military administration reports a civilian killed in a strike dated between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-10, carried by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-14","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":82,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A continuing appropriations act extending US federal funding past 2026-09-30 is enacted into law between 2026-08-09 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Congress.gov shows a continuing appropriations measure with status Became Public Law, enactment date between 2026-08-09 and 2026-09-30, funding agencies beyond 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-15","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA adds a Metabase vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a date-added value between 2026-08-09 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry naming Metabase in vendorProject or product with dateAdded between 2026-08-09 and 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-16","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":48,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":null,"st":"CISA adds at least 25 distinct CVE records to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with date-added values between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Count of distinct cveID entries in the CISA KEV catalog with dateAdded between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30 inclusive is 25 or greater.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-17","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Iran publicly announces an agreed arrangement permitting international commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-11 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The Iranian foreign ministry, IRGC, or presidency announces a Hormuz transit or reopening arrangement dated in the window, reported by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, Al Jazeera.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":62,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Russia strikes Kyiv with a single wave using four or more distinct weapon types (missile, drone, glide bomb, cruise, ballistic, etc), corroborated by both Ukrainian and Russian-aligned sources, between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"TRUE if Kyiv is struck by four or more distinct weapon types in one wave between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-24, reported by both Ukrainian and Russian-aligned sources, adjudicated by 2026-08-26.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":36,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A NATO member state reports intercepting or shooting down a Russian-attributed drone inside its own territory, between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"TRUE if a NATO government or NATO itself publicly confirms intercepting or downing a Russian-attributed drone within a member state territory between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-24, confirmed by 2026-08-26.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-20","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Iran imposes a closure or blockade on commercial shipping transit through the Strait of Hormuz at any point between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if Iran announces or enforces a closure, blockade, or de facto halt of transit through the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08, confirmed by two or more wire services by 2026-09-10.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-08-25","s":"hit","p":74,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"A CVE for the Metabase authentication-bypass or SQL-injection vulnerability reported as actively exploited on 2026-08-07 and 2026-08-08 is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, with dateAdded between 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a Metabase-related CVE with dateAdded between 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-23, checked by 2026-08-25.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-22","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":14,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"CISA updates the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog entry for CVE-2026-8037, the Progress LoadMaster command-injection vulnerability, so that knownRansomwareCampaignUse equals Known, at any point between 2026-08-09 and 2026-09-06.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV entry for CVE-2026-8037 shows knownRansomwareCampaignUse equal to Known at any check between 2026-08-09 and 2026-09-06, verified by 2026-09-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-23","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"The sitting Governor of Rhode Island leaves office, through resignation, recall, impeachment conviction, or removal, at any point between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if the individual holding the Rhode Island governorship on 2026-08-08 is no longer Governor of Rhode Island at any point between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08, confirmed by 2026-09-10.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260808-24","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-08","dl":"2026-08-18","s":"hit","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":null,"st":"Typhoon Dolphin makes landfall on the coast of mainland China at any point between 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-16.","rs":"TRUE if the China Meteorological Administration or the Joint Typhoon Warning Center records a mainland China landfall for Typhoon Dolphin between 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-16, confirmed by 2026-08-18.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-08_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-08_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25, a cyberattack exploiting a vulnerability in a critical infrastructure system is reported by at least two wire services with independent verification, and the CISA KEV catalog includes the vulnerability with a date-added value in that window.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25, and the attack is reported by at least two wire services with independent verification.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-08-30, a new cyberattack targeting a U.S. government system is reported by two wire services with independent verification, and the CISA KEV catalog includes the vulnerability with a date-added value in that window.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-27 and 2026-08-30, and the attack is reported by two wire services with independent verification.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-03","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":90,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one Russian missile or drone strike on Odesa city or oblast occurs between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC, Al Jazeera report, citing Ukrainian officials, a Russian strike on Odesa city or oblast occurring between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-04","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"An attack on or seizure of a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman, attributed to Iran or Iran-aligned forces, occurs between 2026-08-10 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC report an in-window attack on or seizure of a commercial vessel in those waters, attributing it to Iran or Iran-aligned forces.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-05","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":92,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake worldwide with origin time between 2026-08-10 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"The USGS catalog at earthquake.usgs.gov, queried on the deadline, lists at least one event of magnitude 7.0 or greater with origin time inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-06","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-08-19","s":"hit","p":65,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Typhoon Dolphin makes landfall on the coast of mainland China or Hainan, excluding Taiwan, between 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-16.","rs":"CMA or JMA bulletins, or at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, report the storm center making landfall on mainland China or Hainan, excluding Taiwan, within the window.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-07","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran and Oman publicly announce a concluded arrangement governing commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz, announced between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"An Iranian government or IRGC source and an Omani government source both describe a concluded transit arrangement, carried by Reuters plus one of AP, AFP, or Oman News Agency.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-08","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Houthi-claimed attack strikes a Saudi Aramco facility between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-07, and a Saudi official body confirms an impact at that facility.","rs":"Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree claims a strike naming an Aramco site, and the Saudi Energy Ministry or Aramco confirms fire, damage, or interception there.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-09","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-08-17","s":"miss","p":82,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Francesca Hong wins the Democratic nomination for governor of Wisconsin in the scheduled partisan primary held 2026-08-11.","rs":"Wisconsin Elections Commission canvass returns, or an Associated Press race call, show Hong with the most votes in the Democratic gubernatorial primary.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-10","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Israeli government publicly accepts the Board of Peace 15-point Gaza document between 2026-08-11 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"Netanyahu, the Office of the Prime Minister, or a security cabinet decision states that Israel accepts the 15-point document, reported by Reuters and the Times of Israel.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-11","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Trial proceedings in the New York state prosecution of Luigi Mangione commence in open court between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The New York County Supreme Court docket or courtroom reporting records jury selection or opening statements in the state case beginning inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-12","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":48,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater worldwide with origin time between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A USGS FDSN event query bounded to the window returns at least one event with preferred magnitude 7.5 or greater.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-13","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-08-18","s":"hit","p":80,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"On 2026-08-11, the South Carolina Republican special primary for U.S. Senate fails to produce a majority winner among the nine-candidate field, triggering a runoff.","rs":"South Carolina State Election Commission certified results or an AP call confirms the vote share of the leading candidate was below 50 percent, requiring a runoff.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-14","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-16 and 2026-09-15, the Yemen-based Houthi movement claims responsibility for a new attack on Saudi Arabian oil, gas, or energy infrastructure, separate from the 2026-08-09 Aramco refinery incident.","rs":"At least two independent outlets (e.g. Reuters, AP, Al Jazeera) report a Houthi-claimed attack on Saudi energy infrastructure occurring between 2026-08-16 and 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":92,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-16 and 2026-09-15, at least one additional Russian missile, drone, or artillery strike on Odesa oblast, Ukraine is reported and corroborated by sources on both the Russian and Ukrainian sides.","rs":"At least two independently-biased public sources, one Russian-aligned and one Ukrainian-aligned, or two independent wire services, report a strike on Odesa oblast within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-08-22","s":"miss","p":7,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-20, an Irish court grants Daniel Kinahan bail pending trial, rather than remanding him in custody at every hearing.","rs":"Irish Times, RTE, or Irish Examiner reporting confirms a court granted Kinahan bail at any hearing occurring in the window.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260809-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-09","dl":"2026-11-12","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Form 10-Q filed by Berkshire Hathaway for the quarter ended 2026-09-30 reports cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments below 365.5 billion dollars, continuing the Q2 decline.","rs":"The Form 10-Q filed on SEC EDGAR by Berkshire Hathaway for the quarter ended 2026-09-30, filed between 2026-10-01 and 2026-11-10, shows cash and equivalents under 365.5 billion dollars.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-09_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-09_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone strike using a Shahed-type UAV will be reported in Kyiv, Ukraine, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, resulting in at least one confirmed casualty.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 and includes a report of a drone strike in Kyiv with at least one confirmed casualty, as verified by at least two independent outlets (BBC World, Al Jazeera) with no conflicting reports.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":85,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog will list the Critical Progress LoadMaster flaw as actively exploited between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 and includes the Critical Progress LoadMaster flaw with a status of 'actively exploited'.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A 7.4 magnitude earthquake will be confirmed by the USGS in Colombia between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, with at least 50 fatalities reported in official sources.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed records a magnitude 7.4 earthquake in Colombia with a date between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, and at least two independent sources (Al Jazeera, Guardian World) report 50 or more fatalities.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":70,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A cyberattack exploiting the SonicWall SMA1000 flaw will be reported by BleepingComputer between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"BleepingComputer publishes a report between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 confirming a cyberattack exploiting the SonicWall SMA1000 flaw, with at least one affected organization named.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS will record a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake in the United States between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed records a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake in the United States with a date between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major offensive operation will be reported in the Zaporizhzhia region of Ukraine between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, with at least one side reporting a territorial gain.","rs":"At least two independent outlets (BBC World, Al Jazeera) report a major offensive operation in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, with at least one side claiming a territorial gain.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Register will publish a new rule on food ingredient oversight by the HHS between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"The Federal Register carries a document published between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 that announces a new rule on food ingredient oversight by the HHS, as verified by a public search.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new cyberattack using AI-generated phishing content will be confirmed by The Hacker News between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"The Hacker News publishes a report between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 confirming a cyberattack involving AI-generated phishing content, with at least one organization named as affected.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-09","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Trump's foreign licensing business revenue will exceed $60 million in the third quarter of 2026, as reported by CNBC.","rs":"CNBC publishes a report between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 confirming that Trump's foreign licensing business revenue exceeded $60 million in Q3 2026.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-10","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-31, Ukrainian forces strike at least one oil refinery or oil processing facility on Russian territory, corroborated by at least two international news organizations.","rs":"At least two international news organizations (e.g. Reuters, AFP, BBC) report a Ukrainian strike hitting a named Russian oil refinery or oil processing facility occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-11","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle above 110.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-11.","rs":"Official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement price exceeds 110.00 USD on any trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-11, per ICE settlement records.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-12","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Intel prices or completes a common stock offering of at least 10 billion USD between 2026-08-11 and 2026-10-30, per filings on SEC EDGAR.","rs":"SEC EDGAR shows an Intel Corporation prospectus supplement, 424B, or 8-K filed between 2026-08-11 and 2026-10-30 pricing or completing a common stock offering with gross proceeds of at least 10 billion USD.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-13","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A US House committee or subcommittee holds a hearing between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-18 at which an OpenAI or Anthropic executive testifies about the reported AI company security breach.","rs":"Congress.gov or official House committee records list a hearing held between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-18 with a witness from OpenAI or Anthropic addressing the breach.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-14","a":"manual/fable-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS catalogs at least one M6.0 or greater earthquake with epicenter within 200 km of event us6000tjl2 and origin time between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-10 UTC.","rs":"The USGS earthquake catalog lists an event of magnitude 6.0 or higher, epicenter within 200 km of USGS event us6000tjl2, origin time between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-10 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-15","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry with vendorProject Progress Software carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one vulnerability record whose vendorProject field is Progress Software and whose dateAdded field falls between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-16","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2027-01-08","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"LexisNexis Risk Solutions reports a data breach affecting 100000 or more individuals to the Maine Attorney General between 2026-08-11 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if the Maine AG data breach notification database lists a filing by LexisNexis Risk Solutions or a LexisNexis entity, dated 2026-08-11 through 2026-12-31, with total affected of 100000 or more.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-17","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NYMEX front-month WTI crude settles at or below 72.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if CME official settlement data for the front-month NYMEX WTI light sweet crude contract shows a settlement price of 72.00 or lower on any trading day from 2026-08-11 through 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-18","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NYMEX front-month WTI crude settles at or above 100.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if CME official settlement data for the front-month NYMEX WTI light sweet crude contract shows a settlement price of 100.00 or higher on any trading day from 2026-08-11 through 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-19","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iranian forces seize or forcibly board at least one commercial merchant vessel in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO issues an incident advisory describing an Iranian seizure or boarding of a merchant vessel in that area within the window and at least one of Reuters, AP, or AFP reports the same incident.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-20","a":"manual/opus-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Israeli cabinet or security cabinet formally approves the United States 15-point Gaza plan between 2026-08-11 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if the Israeli Prime Minister Office or Government Press Office announces cabinet approval of that plan within the window and both Reuters and AP report the approval.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"miss","p":60,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) catalog will add an entry for a SonicWall SMA1000 vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a SonicWall SMA1000 CVE with dateAdded between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-24 inclusive, checked as of 2026-08-26; FALSE otherwise.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-22","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran will seize, board, or fire upon a commercial vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO, the US Fifth Fleet or IMSC, Reuters, or AP report an Iranian seizure, boarding, or attack on a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-23","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"WTI crude oil NYMEX front-month settlement price will close at or above 85.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if any CME/NYMEX WTI front-month settlement between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31 is 85.00 USD/bbl or higher; FALSE if all settlements in that span stay below 85.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-24","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":47,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukraine will conduct a further confirmed drone or missile strike on an oil refinery or energy facility in Tatarstan, Bashkortostan, or Samara Oblast between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, RFE/RL, or the Institute for the Study of War report a Ukrainian strike on a refinery or energy facility in Tatarstan, Bashkortostan, or Samara Oblast between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-25","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"An Irish court will issue a bail ruling, either granting or denying bail, for Daniel Kinahan between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if RTE, the Irish Times, or BBC report an Irish court bail ruling, grant or denial, for Daniel Kinahan issued between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-26","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Israeli government will publicly announce acceptance, in full or amended form, of the Trump-backed 15-point Gaza plan it rejected around 2026-08-10, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, Times of Israel, or Haaretz report an Israeli government statement accepting the 15-point plan, in full or amended form, issued between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-27","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-08-19","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the 2026-08-10 M7.4 earthquake in western Colombia will reach 50 or more, as reported by Colombia UNGRD, Reuters, or AP, at any point between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17.","rs":"TRUE if Colombia UNGRD, Reuters, or AP report a cumulative confirmed toll of 50 or more for the 2026-08-10 western Colombia earthquake between 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-17; FALSE if it stays below 50.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-28","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"LexisNexis will publicly confirm that consumer or customer personal data was accessed or exfiltrated in the server incident disclosed around 2026-08-10, via an SEC filing, a state attorney general breach-notification portal, or a company statement, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if LexisNexis, a state attorney general breach-notification filing, or an SEC EDGAR filing confirms personal data was accessed or exfiltrated in this incident, with that confirmation occurring between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-29","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Intel Corporation will price and close the 15 billion USD stock offering referenced in reporting on 2026-08-10, as confirmed by an SEC EDGAR filing, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if Intel files an SEC EDGAR Form 424B or 8-K confirming pricing and closing of the referenced stock offering between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-30","a":"manual/sonnet-5","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2027-02-03","s":"open","p":42,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ofcom will publish a decision, either finding a breach or clearing GB News, regarding the guest remarks on pride and paedophilia referenced in reporting on 2026-08-10, between 2026-10-01 and 2027-01-31.","rs":"TRUE if an Ofcom Broadcast and On Demand Bulletin decision on this complaint or segment is published between 2026-10-01 and 2027-01-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry with vendorProject Progress Software carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one vulnerability record whose vendorProject field is Progress Software and whose dateAdded field falls between 2026-08-10 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2027-01-08","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"LexisNexis Risk Solutions reports a data breach affecting 100000 or more individuals to the Maine Attorney General between 2026-08-11 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if the Maine AG data breach notification database lists a filing by LexisNexis Risk Solutions or a LexisNexis entity, dated 2026-08-11 through 2026-12-31, with total affected of 100000 or more.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NYMEX front-month WTI crude settles at or below 72.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if CME official settlement data for the front-month NYMEX WTI light sweet crude contract shows a settlement price of 72.00 or lower on any trading day from 2026-08-11 through 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NYMEX front-month WTI crude settles at or above 100.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if CME official settlement data for the front-month NYMEX WTI light sweet crude contract shows a settlement price of 100.00 or higher on any trading day from 2026-08-11 through 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iranian forces seize or forcibly board at least one commercial merchant vessel in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO issues an incident advisory describing an Iranian seizure or boarding of a merchant vessel in that area within the window and at least one of Reuters, AP, or AFP reports the same incident.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260810-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-10","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Israeli cabinet or security cabinet formally approves the United States 15-point Gaza plan between 2026-08-11 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if the Israeli Prime Minister Office or Government Press Office announces cabinet approval of that plan within the window and both Reuters and AP report the approval.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-10_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-10_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25, the CISA KEV catalog will add a new entry for a vulnerability in Microsoft SharePoint exploited in ransomware attacks, with a date-added value between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25 for a vulnerability in Microsoft SharePoint exploited in ransomware attacks.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-23 and 2026-08-26, the S&P 500 will close above 7,800 points on at least one weekday within the window, based on the official market close data from the NYSE.","rs":"The S&P 500 closes above 7,800 points on at least one weekday between 2026-08-23 and 2026-08-26, as reported by the NYSE.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-30","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2026-08-27, a wildfire in California's Big Sur region will result in at least one confirmed fatality, as reported by two independent outlets (Guardian World and BBC World).","rs":"Two independent outlets (Guardian World and BBC World) report at least one confirmed fatality from a wildfire in California's Big Sur region between 2026-08-24 and 2026-08-27.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-30","s":"miss","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-28, the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce a 0.25 percentage point increase in the federal funds rate, as confirmed by a press release from the Federal Reserve Board.","rs":"A press release from the Federal Reserve Board confirms a 0.25 percentage point increase in the federal funds rate between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-28.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-26 and 2026-08-29, a cyberattack exploiting a zero-day vulnerability in OpenAI's GPT-5.6-Cyber model will be reported by at least two independent outlets (The Hacker News and BleepingComputer), with no public patch released by OpenAI.","rs":"Two independent outlets (The Hacker News and BleepingComputer) report a cyberattack exploiting a zero-day vulnerability in OpenAI's GPT-5.6-Cyber model between 2026-08-26 and 2026-08-29, with no public patch released by OpenAI.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"void","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-08-30, the European Parliament will vote to abolish the death penalty for all crimes, as confirmed by a press release from the European Parliament.","rs":"A press release from the European Parliament confirms the abolition of the death penalty for all crimes between 2026-08-27 and 2026-08-30.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-28 and 2026-08-31, a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake will be recorded by the USGS in the Philippines, with a depth of less than 70 km and a location within 100 km of the island of Mindanao.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database records a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake with a depth of less than 70 km and a location within 100 km of the island of Mindanao between 2026-08-28 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-01, the U.S. Department of Justice will announce the indictment of a former senior official from the Trump administration for obstruction of justice, as confirmed by a press release from the DOJ.","rs":"A press release from the U.S. Department of Justice confirms the indictment of a former senior official from the Trump administration for obstruction of justice between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-09","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-30 and 2026-09-02, a new ransomware group called 'Gunra' will be confirmed by CISA to have exploited a vulnerability in Fortinet firewalls, with a public exploit available by 2026-09-02.","rs":"CISA issues a public advisory confirming that the Gunra ransomware group exploited a vulnerability in Fortinet firewalls between 2026-08-30 and 2026-09-02, with a public exploit available by 2026-09-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":92,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one Russian missile or drone strike on Kyiv city between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-11 is acknowledged by Ukrainian officials and reported by at least two international wire services.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian officials acknowledge and two of Reuters, AP, AFP report at least one Russian air attack impacting Kyiv city with strike date between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-11.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-11","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran jointly announce a signed ceasefire or framework agreement between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if the US government and the government of Iran each officially confirm a signed ceasefire or framework agreement announced between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-30, per two international wire services.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-12","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NYMEX WTI crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if CME official settlement data show the WTI front-month contract settling at or above 100.00 USD on any trading day between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-13","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The New York Fed Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit covering Q3 2026, published between 2026-11-01 and 2026-12-15, states aggregate credit card balances at or above 1.26 trillion USD.","rs":"TRUE if the NY Fed Q3 2026 Household Debt and Credit report, released between 2026-11-01 and 2026-12-15, states aggregate credit card balances at or above 1.26 trillion USD.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-14","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one Microsoft SharePoint vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains at least one entry whose product field references SharePoint and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-15","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA publishes a new cybersecurity advisory, distinct from any existing on 2026-08-11, that names Gunra ransomware, with publication date between 2026-08-12 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"TRUE if the cisa.gov advisories index lists an advisory first published between 2026-08-12 and 2026-12-04 whose text names Gunra.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-16","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UK Met Office announces between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-10 that summer 2026 was the warmest summer on record for the UK in its national temperature series.","rs":"TRUE if a Met Office publication dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-10 states summer 2026 set the UK record for warmest summer in its series.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-17","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2027-02-03","s":"open","p":5,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian authorities transfer Bashar al-Assad to Syrian government custody between 2026-08-12 and 2027-01-31.","rs":"TRUE if two of Reuters, AP, AFP report that Assad was transferred from Russia into Syrian government custody with transfer date between 2026-08-12 and 2027-01-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-18","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one CVE whose vendorProject is Fortinet or Schneider Electric, with dateAdded between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed holds at least one entry with vendorProject Fortinet or Schneider Electric and a dateAdded value between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-19","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one new Microsoft SharePoint Server CVE, with dateAdded between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a KEV entry whose product field names SharePoint carries a dateAdded between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-16 inclusive and was absent from the catalog on 2026-08-11.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-20","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US Treasury designates at least one person or entity for facilitating North Korean arms or missile transfers to Russia, with the action dated between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if an OFAC press release or SDN list update dated inside the window names DPRK-to-Russia arms, missile, or munitions transfer as a basis for the designation.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-21","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States and Iranian officials hold a publicly acknowledged direct bilateral meeting between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if a US executive branch statement and an Iranian foreign ministry statement both confirm a direct bilateral meeting held inside the window, and two of Reuters, AP, AFP report it.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-22","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NYMEX front-month WTI crude futures settle at or above 95.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CME published settlement price for the front-month WTI contract is 95.00 or higher on any trading day between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-23","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-20","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The New York Fed Household Debt and Credit Report for Q3 2026 reports aggregate credit card balances above 1.26 trillion US dollars.","rs":"TRUE if the Q3 2026 report published on newyorkfed.org states an aggregate credit card balance greater than 1.26 trillion dollars, published on or before the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-24","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Thailand adopts a cabinet resolution or statutory amendment permanently tightening civilian firearm permit rules, adopted between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if a Thai government announcement plus reporting by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, Bangkok Post confirm a cabinet resolution or Firearms Act amendment adopted inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-25","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS catalog lists at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake within 300 km of USGS event us6000tjl2, with origin time between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS FDSN event query returns at least one M6.0 or greater event within 300 km of the us6000tjl2 epicenter with origin time inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-26","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA will add a Microsoft SharePoint remote-code-execution entry to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, with the event occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-25, per items 16 and 23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a Microsoft SharePoint RCE entry with dateAdded between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-25; FALSE if no such entry exists by the deadline.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-27","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":68,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A US water or energy utility beyond those in items 33, 34, and 37 will publicly disclose a new ransomware incident, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if BleepingComputer, The Hacker News, or a CISA advisory reports a new confirmed US water- or energy-utility ransomware incident dated 2026-08-11 to 2026-09-08, confirmed by 2026-09-10; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-28","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"miss","p":28,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS will record an aftershock of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 100 km of the M7.4 mainshock in item 39, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-22.","rs":"TRUE if USGS lists an M6.0+ event within 100 km of us6000tjl2 with an origin time between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-22; else FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-29","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CAL FIRE will report the Big Sur-area wildfire from item 41 at 50 percent containment or higher, with the milestone reached between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-01.","rs":"TRUE if the CAL FIRE incident page for the fire in item 41 shows containment at or above 50 percent at any point between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-01; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-30","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-09","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"WTI crude oil will settle at or above 90.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08, extending the move in item 63.","rs":"TRUE if the NYMEX WTI front-month settlement price is 90.00 USD per barrel or higher on any trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-31","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Intel common stock will close at or above 100.00 USD on the Nasdaq on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-10, following the offering in item 84.","rs":"TRUE if Nasdaq closing price data show INTC at or above 100.00 USD on any session between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-10; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-32","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A named wire service will report a new clash between Nigerian security forces and non-state armed groups in northwestern Nigeria with 10 or more combined fatalities, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-01, per item 99.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera reports a new northwestern-Nigeria clash with 10 or more combined fatalities dated 2026-08-11 to 2026-09-01; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-33","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Independent trackers will corroborate a Russian strike using North Korean-supplied missiles against Ukraine, beyond the claim in items 92 and 109, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-29.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of ISW, Reuters, or AP attribute a Russian strike dated 2026-08-11 to 2026-08-29 to North Korean-supplied missiles; else FALSE.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-34","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-18","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Hungarian President Baka, elected as an Orban critic per items 122, 124, and 125, will decline to sign or will refer to the Constitutional Court a government-backed bill, between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-16.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, or DW reports Baka refusing signature or referring a Fidesz-backed bill to the Constitutional Court between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-16; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-35","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-11","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A US federal agency will file new public criminal or civil charges against Gautam Adani or a named Adani Group executive, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-11-09, despite the dismissal in item 9.","rs":"TRUE if DOJ, SEC, or another US federal agency announces new public charges against Adani or an Adani Group executive dated 2026-08-11 to 2026-11-09, confirmed by 2026-11-11; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one Russian missile or drone strike on Kyiv city between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-11 is acknowledged by Ukrainian officials and reported by at least two international wire services.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian officials acknowledge and two of Reuters, AP, AFP report at least one Russian air attack impacting Kyiv city with strike date between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-11.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran jointly announce a signed ceasefire or framework agreement between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if the US government and the government of Iran each officially confirm a signed ceasefire or framework agreement announced between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-30, per two international wire services.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NYMEX WTI crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if CME official settlement data show the WTI front-month contract settling at or above 100.00 USD on any trading day between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-39","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The New York Fed Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit covering Q3 2026, published between 2026-11-01 and 2026-12-15, states aggregate credit card balances at or above 1.26 trillion USD.","rs":"TRUE if the NY Fed Q3 2026 Household Debt and Credit report, released between 2026-11-01 and 2026-12-15, states aggregate credit card balances at or above 1.26 trillion USD.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-40","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one Microsoft SharePoint vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains at least one entry whose product field references SharePoint and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-41","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA publishes a new cybersecurity advisory, distinct from any existing on 2026-08-11, that names Gunra ransomware, with publication date between 2026-08-12 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"TRUE if the cisa.gov advisories index lists an advisory first published between 2026-08-12 and 2026-12-04 whose text names Gunra.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-42","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UK Met Office announces between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-10 that summer 2026 was the warmest summer on record for the UK in its national temperature series.","rs":"TRUE if a Met Office publication dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-10 states summer 2026 set the UK record for warmest summer in its series.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-43","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2027-02-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian authorities transfer Bashar al-Assad to Syrian government custody between 2026-08-12 and 2027-01-31.","rs":"TRUE if two of Reuters, AP, AFP report that Assad was transferred from Russia into Syrian government custody with transfer date between 2026-08-12 and 2027-01-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-44","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one CVE whose vendorProject is Fortinet or Schneider Electric, with dateAdded between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed holds at least one entry with vendorProject Fortinet or Schneider Electric and a dateAdded value between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-45","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one new Microsoft SharePoint Server CVE, with dateAdded between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a KEV entry whose product field names SharePoint carries a dateAdded between 2026-08-12 and 2026-10-16 inclusive and was absent from the catalog on 2026-08-11.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US Treasury designates at least one person or entity for facilitating North Korean arms or missile transfers to Russia, with the action dated between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if an OFAC press release or SDN list update dated inside the window names DPRK-to-Russia arms, missile, or munitions transfer as a basis for the designation.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States and Iranian officials hold a publicly acknowledged direct bilateral meeting between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if a US executive branch statement and an Iranian foreign ministry statement both confirm a direct bilateral meeting held inside the window, and two of Reuters, AP, AFP report it.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NYMEX front-month WTI crude futures settle at or above 95.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CME published settlement price for the front-month WTI contract is 95.00 or higher on any trading day between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-49","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-20","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The New York Fed Household Debt and Credit Report for Q3 2026 reports aggregate credit card balances above 1.26 trillion US dollars.","rs":"TRUE if the Q3 2026 report published on newyorkfed.org states an aggregate credit card balance greater than 1.26 trillion dollars, published on or before the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-50","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Thailand adopts a cabinet resolution or statutory amendment permanently tightening civilian firearm permit rules, adopted between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if a Thai government announcement plus reporting by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, Bangkok Post confirm a cabinet resolution or Firearms Act amendment adopted inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-51","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS catalog lists at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake within 300 km of USGS event us6000tjl2, with origin time between 2026-08-12 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS FDSN event query returns at least one M6.0 or greater event within 300 km of the us6000tjl2 epicenter with origin time inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-52","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA will add a Microsoft SharePoint remote-code-execution entry to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, with the event occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-25, per items 16 and 23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a Microsoft SharePoint RCE entry with dateAdded between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-25; FALSE if no such entry exists by the deadline.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-53","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A US water or energy utility beyond those in items 33, 34, and 37 will publicly disclose a new ransomware incident, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if BleepingComputer, The Hacker News, or a CISA advisory reports a new confirmed US water- or energy-utility ransomware incident dated 2026-08-11 to 2026-09-08, confirmed by 2026-09-10; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-54","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"miss","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS will record an aftershock of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 100 km of the M7.4 mainshock in item 39, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-22.","rs":"TRUE if USGS lists an M6.0+ event within 100 km of us6000tjl2 with an origin time between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-22; else FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-55","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CAL FIRE will report the Big Sur-area wildfire from item 41 at 50 percent containment or higher, with the milestone reached between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-01.","rs":"TRUE if the CAL FIRE incident page for the fire in item 41 shows containment at or above 50 percent at any point between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-01; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-56","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-09","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"WTI crude oil will settle at or above 90.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08, extending the move in item 63.","rs":"TRUE if the NYMEX WTI front-month settlement price is 90.00 USD per barrel or higher on any trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-08; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-57","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Intel common stock will close at or above 100.00 USD on the Nasdaq on at least one trading day between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-10, following the offering in item 84.","rs":"TRUE if Nasdaq closing price data show INTC at or above 100.00 USD on any session between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-10; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-58","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A named wire service will report a new clash between Nigerian security forces and non-state armed groups in northwestern Nigeria with 10 or more combined fatalities, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-09-01, per item 99.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera reports a new northwestern-Nigeria clash with 10 or more combined fatalities dated 2026-08-11 to 2026-09-01; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-59","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"hit","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Independent trackers will corroborate a Russian strike using North Korean-supplied missiles against Ukraine, beyond the claim in items 92 and 109, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-08-29.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of ISW, Reuters, or AP attribute a Russian strike dated 2026-08-11 to 2026-08-29 to North Korean-supplied missiles; else FALSE.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-60","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-18","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Hungarian President Baka, elected as an Orban critic per items 122, 124, and 125, will decline to sign or will refer to the Constitutional Court a government-backed bill, between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-16.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, or DW reports Baka refusing signature or referring a Fidesz-backed bill to the Constitutional Court between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-16; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260811-61","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-11","dl":"2026-11-11","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A US federal agency will file new public criminal or civil charges against Gautam Adani or a named Adani Group executive, occurring between 2026-08-11 and 2026-11-09, despite the dismissal in item 9.","rs":"TRUE if DOJ, SEC, or another US federal agency announces new public charges against Adani or an Adani Group executive dated 2026-08-11 to 2026-11-09, confirmed by 2026-11-11; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-11_1750.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-11_1750.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-08-22","s":"miss","p":32,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher occurs in the South Sandwich Islands region between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-19, with a depth of less than 50km.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database records an event with magnitude \u22656.0, depth <50km, and location within the South Sandwich Islands region between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-19.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-08-22","s":"hit","p":38,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A cyberattack exploiting the vulnerability CVE-2026-20349 in Cisco Secure Firewall ASA/FTD is confirmed by two independent sources (e.g., BleepingComputer, The Hacker News) between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-19.","rs":"Two independent, non-aligned sources (e.g., BleepingComputer, The Hacker News) report a confirmed exploitation of CVE-2026-20349 in Cisco Secure Firewall ASA/FTD between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-19.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-08-22","s":"hit","p":26,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A coordinated cyberattack targeting U.S. water utilities is confirmed by two independent sources (e.g., NPR News, CISA) between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-19.","rs":"Two independent sources (e.g., NPR News, CISA) report a confirmed cyberattack targeting U.S. water utilities between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-19.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-08-22","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major offensive operation by Iran or its proxies in the Israel-Gaza-Levant theatre is confirmed by two hostile sides (IL, PS, AXIS) between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-19.","rs":"Two hostile sides (IL, PS, or AXIS) confirm a major offensive operation in the Israel-Gaza-Levant theatre between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-19, with at least one dedicated report from each side.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-05","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one attack on a commercial vessel occurs in the Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb, or Gulf of Aden between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO or US CENTCOM publicly reports at least one attack on a commercial vessel in the Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb, or Gulf of Aden occurring between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-06","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A vulnerability affecting VMware vCenter Server is added to the CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog contains an entry naming VMware vCenter Server with dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-07","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Microsoft Defender vulnerability is added to the CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains an entry whose product field names Microsoft Defender with dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-08","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS records an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of USGS event us6000tjl2 with origin time between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-12 UTC.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of event us6000tjl2 with origin time between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-12 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian authorities seize or detain a commercial vessel flagged in or owned by an EU or UK entity between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, and AFP report Russian seizure or detention of an EU or UK flagged or owned commercial vessel occurring between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The government of Iraq announces a signed agreement or decree providing for disarmament or integration of Iran-aligned militia groups between 2026-08-13 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera report an Iraqi government announcement of a signed disarmament or integration agreement or decree covering Iran-aligned militias between 2026-08-13 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-11","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"North Korea conducts at least one further ballistic missile launch between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"True if South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff confirm a North Korean ballistic missile launch dated between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-20, carried by at least two of Yonhap, Reuters, and Associated Press.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-12","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian forces seize or detain at least one commercial vessel flagged in or operated from an EU member state between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"True if at least two of Reuters, Associated Press, and the flag state government confirm Russian seizure or detention of a named EU-flagged or EU-operated commercial vessel between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-13","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog gains an entry naming Microsoft SharePoint Server or VMware vCenter Server with a date-added value between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry whose product field names SharePoint Server or vCenter Server with a dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-14","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":70,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Electoral Commission of Zambia declares Hakainde Hichilema elected president in the first round, announced between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-20.","rs":"True if the ECZ formally declares Hichilema president-elect between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-20 with more than 50 percent of valid votes, avoiding a runoff.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-15","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake located in Colombia with origin time between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"True if USGS ANSS ComCat lists an event of magnitude 6.0 or above whose place field names Colombia with origin time between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A CVE tied to the Microsoft Defender ShieldBreak privilege-escalation flaw disclosed around 11 Aug 2026 will be added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a CVE matching the ShieldBreak Defender flaw with dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, checked 2026-09-04; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Houthi or other Iran-aligned attack will kill at least one person in Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, or Strait of Hormuz shipping-lane activity between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, beyond the fatalities already reported 12 Aug 2026.","rs":"TRUE if two or more wire services report a fatal Houthi or Iran-aligned attack on shipping or shipping-adjacent targets in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, or Strait of Hormuz corridor between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, checked 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":27,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russia will board, detain, or seize a European Union-flagged or EU-owned commercial vessel between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, consistent with the tit-for-tat seizure warning reported 12 Aug 2026.","rs":"TRUE if two or more wire services or hostile-side channels confirm Russian authorities boarded, detained, or seized an EU-flagged or EU-owned vessel between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, checked 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"hit","p":58,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Hakainde Hichilema will be declared winner of Zambia's 13 August 2026 presidential election outright in the first round, with more than 50 percent of valid votes, by 2026-08-21.","rs":"TRUE if the Electoral Commission of Zambia declares Hichilema the first-round winner with over 50 percent of valid votes by 2026-08-21; a runoff or another winner resolves FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-20","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":42,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A magnitude 6.0 or greater aftershock will be recorded by USGS within the epicentral region of the 12 Aug 2026 M7.4 Colombia earthquake between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-11.","rs":"TRUE if USGS lists a magnitude 6.0-plus event within 200 km of the M7.4 Colombia mainshock, dated between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-11, checked 2026-09-14; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Egyptian student whose kidnapping was livestreamed, per the report dated 12 Aug 2026, will be confirmed located, released, or recovered by two or more sources between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if two or more news sources confirm the student has been located, released, or recovered, dated between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, checked 2026-09-04; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-22","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one attack on a commercial vessel occurs in the Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb, or Gulf of Aden between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO or US CENTCOM publicly reports at least one attack on a commercial vessel in the Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb, or Gulf of Aden occurring between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-23","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A vulnerability affecting VMware vCenter Server is added to the CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog contains an entry naming VMware vCenter Server with dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-24","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Microsoft Defender vulnerability is added to the CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains an entry whose product field names Microsoft Defender with dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS records an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of USGS event us6000tjl2 with origin time between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-12 UTC.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of event us6000tjl2 with origin time between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-12 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-26","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian authorities seize or detain a commercial vessel flagged in or owned by an EU or UK entity between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, and AFP report Russian seizure or detention of an EU or UK flagged or owned commercial vessel occurring between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The government of Iraq announces a signed agreement or decree providing for disarmament or integration of Iran-aligned militia groups between 2026-08-13 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera report an Iraqi government announcement of a signed disarmament or integration agreement or decree covering Iran-aligned militias between 2026-08-13 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"North Korea conducts at least one further ballistic missile launch between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"True if South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff confirm a North Korean ballistic missile launch dated between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-20, carried by at least two of Yonhap, Reuters, and Associated Press.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian forces seize or detain at least one commercial vessel flagged in or operated from an EU member state between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"True if at least two of Reuters, Associated Press, and the flag state government confirm Russian seizure or detention of a named EU-flagged or EU-operated commercial vessel between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog gains an entry naming Microsoft SharePoint Server or VMware vCenter Server with a date-added value between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry whose product field names SharePoint Server or vCenter Server with a dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"hit","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Electoral Commission of Zambia declares Hakainde Hichilema elected president in the first round, announced between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-20.","rs":"True if the ECZ formally declares Hichilema president-elect between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-20 with more than 50 percent of valid votes, avoiding a runoff.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake located in Colombia with origin time between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"True if USGS ANSS ComCat lists an event of magnitude 6.0 or above whose place field names Colombia with origin time between 2026-08-13 and 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A CVE tied to the Microsoft Defender ShieldBreak privilege-escalation flaw disclosed around 11 Aug 2026 will be added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a CVE matching the ShieldBreak Defender flaw with dateAdded between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, checked 2026-09-04; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Houthi or other Iran-aligned attack will kill at least one person in Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, or Strait of Hormuz shipping-lane activity between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, beyond the fatalities already reported 12 Aug 2026.","rs":"TRUE if two or more wire services report a fatal Houthi or Iran-aligned attack on shipping or shipping-adjacent targets in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, or Strait of Hormuz corridor between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, checked 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russia will board, detain, or seize a European Union-flagged or EU-owned commercial vessel between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, consistent with the tit-for-tat seizure warning reported 12 Aug 2026.","rs":"TRUE if two or more wire services or hostile-side channels confirm Russian authorities boarded, detained, or seized an EU-flagged or EU-owned vessel between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, checked 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"hit","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Hakainde Hichilema will be declared winner of Zambia's 13 August 2026 presidential election outright in the first round, with more than 50 percent of valid votes, by 2026-08-21.","rs":"TRUE if the Electoral Commission of Zambia declares Hichilema the first-round winner with over 50 percent of valid votes by 2026-08-21; a runoff or another winner resolves FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A magnitude 6.0 or greater aftershock will be recorded by USGS within the epicentral region of the 12 Aug 2026 M7.4 Colombia earthquake between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-11.","rs":"TRUE if USGS lists a magnitude 6.0-plus event within 200 km of the M7.4 Colombia mainshock, dated between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-11, checked 2026-09-14; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260812-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-12","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Egyptian student whose kidnapping was livestreamed, per the report dated 12 Aug 2026, will be confirmed located, released, or recovered by two or more sources between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if two or more news sources confirm the student has been located, released, or recovered, dated between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-02, checked 2026-09-04; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-12_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-12_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":28,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone strike targeting a Russian military installation in Sevastopol occurs between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, resulting in at least one confirmed casualty.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, and at least one report from a credible source (BBC World, Al Jazeera, or Defense One) confirms a drone strike on a Russian military installation in Sevastopol with at least one confirmed casualty.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":18,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher occurs in the Pacific Northwest between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, as reported by USGS Significant Quakes.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database records an event with magnitude \u22656.0 and epicenter within the Pacific Northwest region (Washington, Oregon, or adjacent offshore) between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":22,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran announces a ceasefire with Israel in the Levant Theatre between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, confirmed by at least two independent sources (BBC World and Al Jazeera).","rs":"At least two independent sources (BBC World and Al Jazeera) report that Iran officially announces a ceasefire with Israel in the Levant Theatre between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"void","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A wildfire in the Boise Mountains region, triggered by extreme heat, is confirmed by the NWS Flash Flood Warning system between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rs":"The National Weather Service (NWS) Flash Flood Warning system records a warning issued between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 for the Boise Mountains region, citing wildfire risk due to extreme heat and dry conditions.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":38,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The White House confirms the launch of offensive hack-back operations against hostile state actors by a private cybersecurity firm between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, as reported by BleepingComputer.","rs":"BleepingComputer publishes a report on or before 2026-08-24 confirming that the White House has authorized offensive hack-back operations against hostile state actors by a private cybersecurity firm, with a direct quote from a White House official.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major oil spill from a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz is confirmed by Al Jazeera between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, with damage to marine life reported.","rs":"Al Jazeera publishes a report between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 confirming a major oil spill in the Strait of Hormuz, with at least one independent marine biologist or environmental agency confirming ecological damage.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The European Parliament passes a resolution banning countries at war from hosting the Eurovision Song Contest between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, as recorded in the European Parliament's official register.","rs":"The European Parliament's official register contains a resolution passed between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24 banning countries at war from hosting the Eurovision Song Contest, with a public docket number and date.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-08","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry whose affected product is Microsoft SharePoint, with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if a fetch of the CISA KEV JSON at the deadline shows any Microsoft SharePoint entry with dateAdded between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The White House publicly names a specific individual as the next White House press secretary, acting or permanent, between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if AP or Reuters carries a White House announcement, dated between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-30, naming a specific successor as press secretary; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"hit","p":70,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Reform UK candidate is declared the winner of the Clacton by-election held on 2026-08-13.","rs":"TRUE if the returning officer's declared result, as carried by BBC or PA Media, names the Reform UK candidate as the winner; otherwise FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-11","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one reactor unit at Romania's Cernavoda nuclear plant records nonzero electricity output on the ENTSO-E transparency platform on at least one day between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if ENTSO-E actual generation per generation unit shows output above 0 MW for any Cernavoda unit on any date between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-12","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran both publicly confirm a ceasefire or framework agreement between them, with confirmations dated between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if statements from both the US and Iranian governments confirming a ceasefire or framework agreement, each carried by AP, Reuters, or AFP, are dated between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-30; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-13","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The OHCHR human rights monitoring mission monthly update covering August 2026 reports a Ukraine civilian-killed total lower than the July 2026 total it states.","rs":"TRUE if the published OHCHR HRMMU update covering August 2026 states an August civilian-killed total strictly below its stated July 2026 total; FALSE if equal, higher, or no update is published by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-14","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":82,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Nick Reiner enters a plea in court to the indictment referenced in reporting dated 2026-08-13, with the plea entered between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if Los Angeles County court records, or reporting by AP, Reuters, or the Los Angeles Times, show a plea entered by Nick Reiner between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-15; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-15","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry whose affected product is Microsoft SharePoint, with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if a fetch of the CISA KEV JSON at the deadline shows any Microsoft SharePoint entry with dateAdded between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-16","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The White House publicly names a specific individual as the next White House press secretary, acting or permanent, between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if AP or Reuters carries a White House announcement, dated between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-30, naming a specific successor as press secretary; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-17","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-21","s":"hit","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Reform UK candidate is declared the winner of the Clacton by-election held on 2026-08-13.","rs":"TRUE if the returning officer's declared result, as carried by BBC or PA Media, names the Reform UK candidate as the winner; otherwise FALSE.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-18","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one reactor unit at Romania's Cernavoda nuclear plant records nonzero electricity output on the ENTSO-E transparency platform on at least one day between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if ENTSO-E actual generation per generation unit shows output above 0 MW for any Cernavoda unit on any date between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-19","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran both publicly confirm a ceasefire or framework agreement between them, with confirmations dated between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if statements from both the US and Iranian governments confirming a ceasefire or framework agreement, each carried by AP, Reuters, or AFP, are dated between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-30; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-20","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The OHCHR human rights monitoring mission monthly update covering August 2026 reports a Ukraine civilian-killed total lower than the July 2026 total it states.","rs":"TRUE if the published OHCHR HRMMU update covering August 2026 states an August civilian-killed total strictly below its stated July 2026 total; FALSE if equal, higher, or no update is published by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-21","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Nick Reiner enters a plea in court to the indictment referenced in reporting dated 2026-08-13, with the plea entered between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if Los Angeles County court records, or reporting by AP, Reuters, or the Los Angeles Times, show a plea entered by Nick Reiner between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-15; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-22","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-18, CISA adds at least one Microsoft SharePoint Server CVE to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry with vendorProject Microsoft and a product string naming SharePoint, carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-18 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-23","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-27, Ukrainian forces strike a Russian Black Sea port, oil terminal, or grain terminal, and both sides acknowledge the strike.","rs":"A Russian regional governor or the Russian Defence Ministry and a Ukrainian military or intelligence source each describe a strike on a Russian Black Sea port facility occurring inside the window, carried by Reuters or AFP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-24","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20, Iranian forces seize, board, or detain at least one commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz or the Gulf of Oman.","rs":"UKMTO issues an incident advisory and Reuters or Lloyds List reports an Iranian seizure, boarding, or detention of a commercial vessel in those waters occurring inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-25","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":74,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A named successor to Karoline Leavitt as White House press secretary is publicly announced between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The White House or the President names a specific individual as press secretary or acting press secretary inside the window, reported by both the Associated Press and Reuters.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-26","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS records at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake within 250 km of the epicenter of event us6000tjl2, with origin time between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"A USGS ComCat query returns one or more events of magnitude 6.0 or above within 250 km of the us6000tjl2 epicenter with origin time inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-18, CISA adds at least one Microsoft SharePoint Server CVE to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry with vendorProject Microsoft and a product string naming SharePoint, carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-18 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-27, Ukrainian forces strike a Russian Black Sea port, oil terminal, or grain terminal, and both sides acknowledge the strike.","rs":"A Russian regional governor or the Russian Defence Ministry and a Ukrainian military or intelligence source each describe a strike on a Russian Black Sea port facility occurring inside the window, carried by Reuters or AFP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20, Iranian forces seize, board, or detain at least one commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz or the Gulf of Oman.","rs":"UKMTO issues an incident advisory and Reuters or Lloyds List reports an Iranian seizure, boarding, or detention of a commercial vessel in those waters occurring inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A named successor to Karoline Leavitt as White House press secretary is publicly announced between 2026-08-14 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The White House or the President names a specific individual as press secretary or acting press secretary inside the window, reported by both the Associated Press and Reuters.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS records at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake within 250 km of the epicenter of event us6000tjl2, with origin time between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"A USGS ComCat query returns one or more events of magnitude 6.0 or above within 250 km of the us6000tjl2 epicenter with origin time inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-32","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CVE-2026-55040, the Microsoft SharePoint JWT authentication-bypass flaw under active exploitation via public proof-of-concept code as of 13 Aug 2026, will be added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-25.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog at cisa.gov lists CVE-2026-55040 with a dateAdded date between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-25, checked as of 2026-08-27.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-33","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A specific victim organization of the City-Forum data-theft campaign against Salesforce Experience Cloud and ServiceNow portals will be publicly named, by the victim, by Reco, or by another named security-research firm, between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-22.","rs":"A named security vendor, the victim itself, or a wire service publicly identifies a specific organization as a confirmed City-Forum campaign victim, in reporting dated between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-34","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"miss","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-28, Ukrainian forces will conduct a further confirmed drone or missile strike on Russian Black Sea export or naval infrastructure, at a port such as Novorossiysk, Tuapse, or another Black Sea facility.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, or the Institute for the Study of War daily assessment report a Ukrainian strike on Russian Black Sea port or naval infrastructure between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-28, checked by 2026-09-01.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-35","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"WTI crude oil, the NYMEX front-month futures contract, will settle at or above 85.00 USD per barrel at the close of trading on 2026-09-15.","rs":"The NYMEX WTI front-month settlement price for 2026-09-15, as published by CME Group, the EIA, or a financial data provider, is 85.00 USD per barrel or higher.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"hit","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CVE-2026-55040, the Microsoft SharePoint JWT authentication-bypass flaw under active exploitation via public proof-of-concept code as of 13 Aug 2026, will be added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-25.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog at cisa.gov lists CVE-2026-55040 with a dateAdded date between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-25, checked as of 2026-08-27.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A specific victim organization of the City-Forum data-theft campaign against Salesforce Experience Cloud and ServiceNow portals will be publicly named, by the victim, by Reco, or by another named security-research firm, between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-22.","rs":"A named security vendor, the victim itself, or a wire service publicly identifies a specific organization as a confirmed City-Forum campaign victim, in reporting dated between 2026-08-13 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"miss","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-28, Ukrainian forces will conduct a further confirmed drone or missile strike on Russian Black Sea export or naval infrastructure, at a port such as Novorossiysk, Tuapse, or another Black Sea facility.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, or the Institute for the Study of War daily assessment report a Ukrainian strike on Russian Black Sea port or naval infrastructure between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-28, checked by 2026-09-01.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260813-39","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-13","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"WTI crude oil, the NYMEX front-month futures contract, will settle at or above 85.00 USD per barrel at the close of trading on 2026-09-15.","rs":"The NYMEX WTI front-month settlement price for 2026-09-15, as published by CME Group, the EIA, or a financial data provider, is 85.00 USD per barrel or higher.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-13_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-13_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260814-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-14","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25, a significant earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or higher will be recorded by the USGS in the Pacific Northwest, with a location within 50 km of the San Andreas Fault.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database will list an event with magnitude \u22655.0 and location within 50 km of the San Andreas Fault between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260814-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-14","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"miss","p":60,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"On 2026-08-23, the S&P 500 will close above 7,800 points, based on the final settlement price from the NYSE.","rs":"The S&P 500 closes at or above 7,800 points on 2026-08-23, as reported by the NYSE final settlement price.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260814-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-14","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a data breach involving the exposure of over 1 million user accounts will be confirmed by two independent sources in the United States, with the breach linked to a RingCentral system.","rs":"Two independent U.S.-based sources will confirm a data breach affecting over 1 million user accounts linked to RingCentral between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260814-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-14","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25, a major cyberattack will be reported by at least two hostile sides in the Iran Theatre, with the attack targeting critical infrastructure and involving a known exploit chain.","rs":"At least two hostile sides (AXIS, WEST) will report a cyberattack on critical infrastructure in the Iran Theatre between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25, with the attack involving a known exploit chain.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260814-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-14","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a new government policy will be announced in the United Kingdom that imposes a temporary ban on disposable barbecues in areas classified as 'tinderbox' due to extreme heat risk.","rs":"A government-issued policy in the United Kingdom, confirmed by two independent news outlets, will impose a temporary ban on disposable barbecues in areas classified as 'tinderbox' due to extreme heat risk between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260814-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-14","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25, a new military alliance will be formally announced by Saudi Arabia and its regional partners, with the stated purpose of defending the Red Sea from maritime threats.","rs":"A formal announcement of a new military alliance for Red Sea defense will be made by Saudi Arabia and at least two regional partners between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-25, confirmed by two independent news outlets.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-01","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS ComCat catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with epicenter within 300 km of USGS event us6000tjl2 and origin time between 2026-08-15 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"A ComCat query on the deadline returns at least one M 6.0 or greater event meeting the distance and origin-time criteria.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-02","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The WHO Director-General declares the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern between 2026-08-15 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A WHO announcement of a PHEIC determination for the DRC Ebola outbreak, published on who.int within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-03","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS ComCat catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with epicenter within 300 km of USGS event us6000tjl2 and origin time between 2026-08-15 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"A ComCat query on the deadline returns at least one M 6.0 or greater event meeting the distance and origin-time criteria.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-04","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The WHO Director-General declares the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern between 2026-08-15 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A WHO announcement of a PHEIC determination for the DRC Ebola outbreak, published on who.int within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-05","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one VMware vCenter Server entry, listed under vendorProject VMware or Broadcom, with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if a KEV entry naming VMware vCenter Server in its product field carries a dateAdded between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-13 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-06","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FRED series DGS10 records a daily value at or above 5.00 percent on at least one business day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if any non-missing DGS10 observation dated inside the window is 5.00 or greater as published in the FRED series.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-07","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A NATO member state formally requests Article 4 consultations between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if NATO publishes a statement confirming Article 4 consultations were invoked, and Reuters and the Associated Press both report the request, dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-08","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UK Electoral Commission publishes a concluded investigation outcome naming Reform UK on its enforcement register between 2026-08-17 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if the Electoral Commission enforcement outcomes register carries an entry naming Reform UK with a published date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-09","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The World Health Organization declares the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern between 2026-08-17 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"TRUE if WHO publishes an IHR Emergency Committee statement or Director-General declaration designating this outbreak a PHEIC, dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-10","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Luigi Mangione enters a guilty plea to at least one count in the New York state prosecution between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if the New York state court docket in that prosecution records a guilty plea entered by the defendant on a date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-11","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one VMware vCenter Server entry, listed under vendorProject VMware or Broadcom, with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if a KEV entry naming VMware vCenter Server in its product field carries a dateAdded between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-13 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-12","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FRED series DGS10 records a daily value at or above 5.00 percent on at least one business day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if any non-missing DGS10 observation dated inside the window is 5.00 or greater as published in the FRED series.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-13","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A NATO member state formally requests Article 4 consultations between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if NATO publishes a statement confirming Article 4 consultations were invoked, and Reuters and the Associated Press both report the request, dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-14","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UK Electoral Commission publishes a concluded investigation outcome naming Reform UK on its enforcement register between 2026-08-17 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if the Electoral Commission enforcement outcomes register carries an entry naming Reform UK with a published date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-15","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The World Health Organization declares the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern between 2026-08-17 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"TRUE if WHO publishes an IHR Emergency Committee statement or Director-General declaration designating this outbreak a PHEIC, dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-16","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Luigi Mangione enters a guilty plea to at least one count in the New York state prosecution between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if the New York state court docket in that prosecution records a guilty plea entered by the defendant on a date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate, FRED series DGS10, closes at or above 4.75 percent on at least one trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The FRED DGS10 series shows a closing value of 4.75 or higher for at least one date between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-25.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":42,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NATO or a Baltic national air force kinetically shoots down or intercepts a drone or unmanned aerial vehicle inside Estonian, Latvian, or Lithuanian airspace, distinct from the August 14, 2026 Balvi incident, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"NATO, a Baltic Ministry of Defence, or two of Reuters, AP, and Bloomberg confirm a kinetic drone shoot-down in Baltic airspace within the window, distinct from the Aug 14 Balvi incident.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The government of Russia publishes a decree ordering a new mandatory, non-contract mobilization wave of reservists, distinct from routine conscription and from the September 2022 partial mobilization, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The official Russian legal register, pravo.gov.ru, publishes a mobilization decree, corroborated by two of Reuters, AP, ISW, and Meduza, within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-20","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate, FRED series DGS10, closes at or above 4.75 percent on at least one trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The FRED DGS10 series shows a closing value of 4.75 or higher for at least one date between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-25.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-21","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NATO or a Baltic national air force kinetically shoots down or intercepts a drone or unmanned aerial vehicle inside Estonian, Latvian, or Lithuanian airspace, distinct from the August 14, 2026 Balvi incident, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"NATO, a Baltic Ministry of Defence, or two of Reuters, AP, and Bloomberg confirm a kinetic drone shoot-down in Baltic airspace within the window, distinct from the Aug 14 Balvi incident.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-22","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The government of Russia publishes a decree ordering a new mandatory, non-contract mobilization wave of reservists, distinct from routine conscription and from the September 2022 partial mobilization, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The official Russian legal register, pravo.gov.ru, publishes a mobilization decree, corroborated by two of Reuters, AP, ISW, and Meduza, within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-14_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-14_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-23","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-08-30","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake occurs in Indonesia between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28, with a depth between 10km and 150km and a confirmed death toll of at least 10.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes catalog records an event with magnitude >= 7.0, depth between 10km and 150km, location within Indonesia, and a confirmed death toll of at least 10 as reported by two independent wire services (BBC World, Al Jazeera) by 2026-08-30.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-15_1726.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-15_1726.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-24","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least 12 people are killed in Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28, confirmed by two independent sources (BBC World, Al Jazeera).","rs":"Two independent sources (BBC World, Al Jazeera) report a confirmed death toll of at least 12 in Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28, with the event window ending no later than 2026-08-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-15_1726.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-15_1726.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-25","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one major wildfire in Europe causes over 100 evacuations between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28, confirmed by two independent sources (BBC World, Al Jazeera).","rs":"Two independent sources (BBC World, Al Jazeera) report that a wildfire in Europe caused over 100 evacuations between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-15_1726.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-15_1726.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260815-26","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-15","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new political alliance is formally announced between Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28, confirmed by two independent sources (Al Jazeera, BBC World).","rs":"Two independent sources (Al Jazeera, BBC World) report the formal announcement of a new defense or political alliance between Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-15_1726.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-15_1726.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260816-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-16","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, the CISA KEV catalog will include at least one new entry for a vulnerability exploited in the wild with a public exploit and a date-added value between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-20.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-20 for a vulnerability with a public exploit and confirmed active use in the wild.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260816-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-16","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, the USGS Significant Quakes catalog will record at least one earthquake with magnitude 6.0 or higher and a depth of 10 km or less in Indonesia.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes catalog carries an event with magnitude \u22656.0 and depth \u226410 km in Indonesia between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260816-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-16","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, at least one drone strike will be reported in Kyiv by two or more independently biased outlets across hostile sides (RU, UA, WEST, AXIS) with corroborating reports.","rs":"At least one drone strike in Kyiv is reported by two or more independently biased outlets across hostile sides (RU, UA, WEST, AXIS) with corroborating reports between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260816-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-16","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, the European Union will formally announce a new sanctions package targeting Iran's energy sector.","rs":"The European Union issues a public statement confirming a new sanctions package targeting Iran's energy sector between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260816-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-16","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a wildfire in Belgium will grow to exceed 1,000 hectares and be reported by at least two independent sources.","rs":"A wildfire in Belgium exceeds 1,000 hectares in size and is reported by at least two independent sources between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260816-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-16","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":15,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce a rate hike of at least 25 basis points.","rs":"The U.S. Federal Reserve announces a rate hike of at least 25 basis points between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260816-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-16","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a new cyberattack using AI-generated phishing content will be confirmed by at least two independent sources in the United States.","rs":"A cyberattack using AI-generated phishing content is confirmed by at least two independent sources in the United States between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260816-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-16","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a major political scandal involving a U.S. federal official will be reported by two or more major U.S. news outlets with conflicting narratives.","rs":"A major political scandal involving a U.S. federal official is reported by two or more major U.S. news outlets with conflicting narratives between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-01","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":90,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one Russian air attack using missiles or drones causes an impact, explosion, or fire within Kyiv city between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"True if strikes on Kyiv city between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31 are reported by Ukrainian officials and by at least one Russian or non-Ukrainian international outlet.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-02","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":88,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukrainian drones or missiles strike a target at least 100 km from the Ukraine-Russia border inside Russia, causing fire, damage, or casualties, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"True if Russian regional or federal officials acknowledge a Ukrainian drone or missile strike at least 100 km from the Ukraine border causing damage, fire, or casualties between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-03","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Houthi (Ansar Allah) forces take control of central Marib city, Yemen, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"True if at least two major international news organizations report Houthi forces control central Marib city by 2026-12-31, with Yemeni government or coalition sources conceding withdrawal or loss.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-04","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if the official ICE Brent front-month settlement price is at or above 100.00 USD on any trading day from 2026-08-17 through 2026-10-30, per ICE settlement data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-05","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Authorities announce the arrest or charging of at least one suspect in the 2026-08-15 Virginia State shooting in which five people were shot, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if a law enforcement agency publicly announces an arrest or charges in the 2026-08-15 Virginia State five-victim shooting, reported by at least one national outlet, by 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-06","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one Russian air attack using missiles or drones causes an impact, explosion, or fire within Kyiv city between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"True if strikes on Kyiv city between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31 are reported by Ukrainian officials and by at least one Russian or non-Ukrainian international outlet.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-07","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukrainian drones or missiles strike a target at least 100 km from the Ukraine-Russia border inside Russia, causing fire, damage, or casualties, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"True if Russian regional or federal officials acknowledge a Ukrainian drone or missile strike at least 100 km from the Ukraine border causing damage, fire, or casualties between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-08","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Houthi (Ansar Allah) forces take control of central Marib city, Yemen, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"True if at least two major international news organizations report Houthi forces control central Marib city by 2026-12-31, with Yemeni government or coalition sources conceding withdrawal or loss.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-09","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if the official ICE Brent front-month settlement price is at or above 100.00 USD on any trading day from 2026-08-17 through 2026-10-30, per ICE settlement data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-10","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Authorities announce the arrest or charging of at least one suspect in the 2026-08-15 Virginia State shooting in which five people were shot, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if a law enforcement agency publicly announces an arrest or charges in the 2026-08-15 Virginia State five-victim shooting, reported by at least one national outlet, by 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-11","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukrainian long-range strikes halt loadings at a named Russian crude export terminal - Novorossiysk, Tuapse, Primorsk, or Ust-Luga - with the strike occurring between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-21.","rs":"Reuters or Bloomberg reports suspended loadings at one of those four terminals attributed to a strike inside the window, and a Russian federal or regional official confirms the attack, by 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-12","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or above USD 100.00 per barrel on at least one trading session between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The ICE Futures Europe published daily settlement for the front-month Brent contract reaches 100.00 or higher on any session in that range, checked 2026-11-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-13","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Walmart reports Walmart US comparable sales excluding fuel of 4.5 percent or higher for fiscal Q2 2027 in its scheduled 2026-08-20 earnings release.","rs":"The Q2 FY27 earnings release furnished on Form 8-K to SEC EDGAR states Walmart US comparable sales excluding fuel at or above 4.5 percent, checked 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-14","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2027-01-20","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"FDA publishes a Federal Register document on the FSMA Section 204 food traceability rule - proposed rule, final rule, or request for information - between 2026-08-24 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"federalregister.gov lists an FDA document naming food traceability in its title or abstract with a publication date inside that range, checked 2027-01-20.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-15","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A second person is charged over the 2026-08-15 Virginia State University shooting, with the charges filed between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-05.","rs":"Chesterfield County Police, the Commonwealth Attorney, or Virginia online court records show charges against a second defendant filed inside that range, checked 2026-10-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-16","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukrainian long-range strikes halt loadings at a named Russian crude export terminal - Novorossiysk, Tuapse, Primorsk, or Ust-Luga - with the strike occurring between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-21.","rs":"Reuters or Bloomberg reports suspended loadings at one of those four terminals attributed to a strike inside the window, and a Russian federal or regional official confirms the attack, by 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-17","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or above USD 100.00 per barrel on at least one trading session between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The ICE Futures Europe published daily settlement for the front-month Brent contract reaches 100.00 or higher on any session in that range, checked 2026-11-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-18","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Walmart reports Walmart US comparable sales excluding fuel of 4.5 percent or higher for fiscal Q2 2027 in its scheduled 2026-08-20 earnings release.","rs":"The Q2 FY27 earnings release furnished on Form 8-K to SEC EDGAR states Walmart US comparable sales excluding fuel at or above 4.5 percent, checked 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-19","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2027-01-20","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"FDA publishes a Federal Register document on the FSMA Section 204 food traceability rule - proposed rule, final rule, or request for information - between 2026-08-24 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"federalregister.gov lists an FDA document naming food traceability in its title or abstract with a publication date inside that range, checked 2027-01-20.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-20","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A second person is charged over the 2026-08-15 Virginia State University shooting, with the charges filed between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-05.","rs":"Chesterfield County Police, the Commonwealth Attorney, or Virginia online court records show charges against a second defendant filed inside that range, checked 2026-10-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20, Qatar and Iran issue public statements that converge on a single account of the fate of the three Iranian pilots Qatar allegedly shot down in March 2026, either confirming them alive and held or confirming their deaths.","rs":"TRUE if Qatar and Iran state the same outcome for the three named pilots, reported by Reuters, AP, or AFP, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-22","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":6,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-15, the United States government takes a formal, documented action asserting a sovereignty or territorial claim over any part of the Strait of Hormuz, beyond rhetorical statements by the President.","rs":"TRUE if the Federal Register, a State Department notice, or a wire service reports a formal US filing or action claiming sovereignty over Hormuz waters between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-15; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-23","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31, a cybersecurity vendor or outlet other than BleepingComputer, such as Krebs on Security, The Hacker News, Malwarebytes, SentinelOne, or Objective-See, publishes independent research naming and attributing the AmnesiaStealer macOS malware campaign.","rs":"TRUE if a named second security vendor or outlet publishes independent attribution of AmnesiaStealer between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-24","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20, the US Navy or Department of Defense publicly confirms that USS George Washington has relieved USS Abraham Lincoln on its Middle East deployment station.","rs":"TRUE if DoD or Navy public affairs, or a wire service citing an on-record defense official, confirms the Lincoln to George Washington handover between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20, Qatar and Iran issue public statements that converge on a single account of the fate of the three Iranian pilots Qatar allegedly shot down in March 2026, either confirming them alive and held or confirming their deaths.","rs":"TRUE if Qatar and Iran state the same outcome for the three named pilots, reported by Reuters, AP, or AFP, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-26","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-15, the United States government takes a formal, documented action asserting a sovereignty or territorial claim over any part of the Strait of Hormuz, beyond rhetorical statements by the President.","rs":"TRUE if the Federal Register, a State Department notice, or a wire service reports a formal US filing or action claiming sovereignty over Hormuz waters between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-15; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31, a cybersecurity vendor or outlet other than BleepingComputer, such as Krebs on Security, The Hacker News, Malwarebytes, SentinelOne, or Objective-See, publishes independent research naming and attributing the AmnesiaStealer macOS malware campaign.","rs":"TRUE if a named second security vendor or outlet publishes independent attribution of AmnesiaStealer between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20, the US Navy or Department of Defense publicly confirms that USS George Washington has relieved USS Abraham Lincoln on its Middle East deployment station.","rs":"TRUE if DoD or Navy public affairs, or a wire service citing an on-record defense official, confirms the Lincoln to George Washington handover between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-20; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-16_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-16_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-29","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-24","s":"miss","p":90,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"On 2026-08-21, the CISA KEV catalog will include CVE-2025-62593 with a date-added value of 2026-08-18.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a record with the identifier CVE-2025-62593 and a date-added value of 2026-08-18.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-30","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a drone strike will be reported in Kyiv with at least one corroborating report from a hostile side.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side (RU, UA, AXIS, or WEST) confirms a drone strike in Kyiv between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-31","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a cyberattack exploiting CVE-2025-62593 will be confirmed by two independent sources.","rs":"Two independent sources (not from the same outlet or network) confirm a cyberattack exploiting CVE-2025-62593 between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-32","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a wildfire will be reported in France with at least one corroborating report from a hostile side.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side (IL, PS, AXIS, or WEST) confirms a wildfire in France between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-33","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":70,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a drone strike will be reported in Khan Younis with at least one corroborating report from a hostile side.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side (IL, PS, AXIS, or WEST) confirms a drone strike in Khan Younis between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-34","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"miss","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a large-scale DDoS attack will disrupt Threema secure messaging service.","rs":"A large-scale DDoS attack will be confirmed to have disrupted Threema secure messaging service between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-35","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":60,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a drone strike will be reported in Moscow with at least one corroborating report from a hostile side.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side (RU, UA, IL, or WEST) confirms a drone strike in Moscow between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-36","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a drone strike will be reported in Dnipro with at least one corroborating report from a hostile side.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side (RU, UA, or AXIS) confirms a drone strike in Dnipro between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-37","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"miss","p":70,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a drone strike will be reported in Nablus with at least one corroborating report from a hostile side.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side (AXIS, PS, or IL) confirms a drone strike in Nablus between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-38","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-08-26","s":"hit","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a drone strike will be reported in Sumy with at least one corroborating report from a hostile side.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side (RU, UA, or AXIS) confirms a drone strike in Sumy between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-08-27","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-39","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States military strikes a target inside Oman between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, or BBC report a US military strike on Omani territory or territorial waters between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-40","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":34,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"WTI crude oil settles at or above 90.00 USD per barrel on any trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if the CME/NYMEX WTI front-month settlement price is at or above 90.00 USD per barrel on any trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-15; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-41","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":37,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds a VMware vCenter Server CVE to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a Date Added value between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a VMware vCenter Server entry with Date Added between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-42","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Philips or GE publicly confirms data theft from the Clop-attributed breach between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if a company statement, SEC filing, or wire report quotes Philips or GE confirming data theft between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-30; FALSE if both remain in investigating or denied status.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-43","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":47,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Zambian prosecutors file formal criminal charges against at least one arrested opposition figure between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, or BBC report formal charges filed against an arrested Zambian opposition figure between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-44","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":17,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The World Health Organization declares the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-14.","rs":"TRUE if the WHO Director-General publishes a PHEIC declaration naming the DRC Ebola outbreak between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-14; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-45","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Virginia prosecutors file adult criminal charges against the campus shooting suspect between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"TRUE if a Virginia court record, AP, or BBC report states the suspect faces adult criminal charges between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14; FALSE if the case remains exclusively juvenile.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31, a cybersecurity vendor or outlet other than BleepingComputer, such as Krebs on Security, The Hacker News, Malwarebytes, SentinelOne, or Objective-See, publishes independent research naming and attributing the AmnesiaStealer macOS malware campaign.","rs":"TRUE if a named second security vendor or outlet publishes independent attribution of AmnesiaStealer between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States military strikes a target inside Oman between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, or BBC report a US military strike on Omani territory or territorial waters between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"WTI crude oil settles at or above 90.00 USD per barrel on any trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if the CME/NYMEX WTI front-month settlement price is at or above 90.00 USD per barrel on any trading day between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-15; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-49","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds a VMware vCenter Server CVE to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a Date Added value between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a VMware vCenter Server entry with Date Added between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-50","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Philips or GE publicly confirms data theft from the Clop-attributed breach between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if a company statement, SEC filing, or wire report quotes Philips or GE confirming data theft between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-30; FALSE if both remain in investigating or denied status.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-51","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Zambian prosecutors file formal criminal charges against at least one arrested opposition figure between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, or BBC report formal charges filed against an arrested Zambian opposition figure between 2026-08-17 and 2026-08-31; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-52","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The World Health Organization declares the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-14.","rs":"TRUE if the WHO Director-General publishes a PHEIC declaration naming the DRC Ebola outbreak between 2026-08-17 and 2026-11-14; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-53","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Virginia prosecutors file adult criminal charges against the campus shooting suspect between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"TRUE if a Virginia court record, AP, or BBC report states the suspect faces adult criminal charges between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-14; FALSE if the case remains exclusively juvenile.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-54","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-17 at least one drone attack on Moscow city or Moscow oblast is reported by the Moscow mayor or the Russian Ministry of Defense and by at least one Ukrainian or Western outlet.","rs":"True if a drone attack on Moscow city or oblast occurring 2026-08-18 through 2026-09-17 is reported by Russian official channels and by at least one of Reuters, AP, BBC, or a Ukrainian outlet.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-55","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-30 the United States conducts a military strike on targets inside the territory of Oman.","rs":"True if at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report a US military strike on targets inside Omani territory occurring between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-56","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30 United States ground forces conduct combat operations inside the internationally recognized territory of Iran.","rs":"True if at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report US ground forces engaged in combat operations inside Iran between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-57","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield published in FRED series DGS10 is at or above 5.00 percent for at least one business day between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"True if any DGS10 daily value published by FRED for dates 2026-08-18 through 2026-11-30 is at or above 5.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-58","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A CVE identifier for the Microsoft Defender vulnerability publicly tracked as ShieldBreak is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog gains an entry for a Microsoft Defender vulnerability, identified in vendor or CISA documentation as ShieldBreak, with dateAdded between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-16.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-59","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30 the WHO Director-General declares the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.","rs":"True if WHO publishes a Director-General statement declaring the DRC Ebola outbreak a PHEIC, dated between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-60","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"No candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round of the Brazilian presidential election held on 2026-10-04, sending the contest to a second round per official TSE results.","rs":"True if official TSE first-round results for the 2026-10-04 Brazilian presidential election show no candidate above 50 percent of valid votes, requiring a second round.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-61","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Authorities announce the arrest or charging of at least one suspect in the 2026-08-15 Virginia State shooting in which five people were shot, between 2026-08-17 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if a law enforcement agency publicly announces an arrest or charges in the 2026-08-15 Virginia State five-victim shooting, reported by at least one national outlet, by 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-62","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-17 at least one drone attack on Moscow city or Moscow oblast is reported by the Moscow mayor or the Russian Ministry of Defense and by at least one Ukrainian or Western outlet.","rs":"True if a drone attack on Moscow city or oblast occurring 2026-08-18 through 2026-09-17 is reported by Russian official channels and by at least one of Reuters, AP, BBC, or a Ukrainian outlet.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-63","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-30 the United States conducts a military strike on targets inside the territory of Oman.","rs":"True if at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report a US military strike on targets inside Omani territory occurring between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-64","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30 United States ground forces conduct combat operations inside the internationally recognized territory of Iran.","rs":"True if at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report US ground forces engaged in combat operations inside Iran between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-65","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield published in FRED series DGS10 is at or above 5.00 percent for at least one business day between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"True if any DGS10 daily value published by FRED for dates 2026-08-18 through 2026-11-30 is at or above 5.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-66","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A CVE identifier for the Microsoft Defender vulnerability publicly tracked as ShieldBreak is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog gains an entry for a Microsoft Defender vulnerability, identified in vendor or CISA documentation as ShieldBreak, with dateAdded between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-16.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-67","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30 the WHO Director-General declares the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.","rs":"True if WHO publishes a Director-General statement declaring the DRC Ebola outbreak a PHEIC, dated between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-68","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"No candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round of the Brazilian presidential election held on 2026-10-04, sending the contest to a second round per official TSE results.","rs":"True if official TSE first-round results for the 2026-10-04 Brazilian presidential election show no candidate above 50 percent of valid votes, requiring a second round.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-69","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds the exploited VMware vCenter flaw CVE-2026-59310 to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-59310 whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-31 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-70","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":6,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"US forces conduct a military strike on Omani territory or Omani territorial waters between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The US Defense Department or CENTCOM acknowledges a strike on Omani territory or territorial waters occurring in that window, and both Reuters and Agence France-Presse report it.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-71","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS catalogs an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 250 km of the epicenter of event us6000tkt2 between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A USGS ComCat query for magnitude 6.0 or greater events within 250 km of the us6000tkt2 epicenter, origin times between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-30 UTC, returns at least one event.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-72","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds the exploited VMware vCenter flaw CVE-2026-59310 to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-59310 whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-31 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-73","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"US forces conduct a military strike on Omani territory or Omani territorial waters between 2026-08-18 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The US Defense Department or CENTCOM acknowledges a strike on Omani territory or territorial waters occurring in that window, and both Reuters and Agence France-Presse report it.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260817-74","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-17","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS catalogs an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 250 km of the epicenter of event us6000tkt2 between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A USGS ComCat query for magnitude 6.0 or greater events within 250 km of the us6000tkt2 epicenter, origin times between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-30 UTC, returns at least one event.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-17_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-17_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a drone strike will be reported in Kyiv with casualties claimed by Ukrainian sources.","rs":"At least one report from a Ukrainian source confirms casualties from a drone strike in Kyiv between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-27","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will exceed 5.33% at the close of any trading day.","rs":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, as reported by FRED, exceeds 5.33% on at least one trading day between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a wildfire in Belgium will be classified as 'red' by GDACS.","rs":"GDACS issues a red alert for a wildfire in Belgium between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a cyberattack exploiting CVE-2025-62593 will be reported by at least two independent sources.","rs":"At least two independent, non-identical sources report a cyberattack exploiting CVE-2025-62593 between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a U.S. federal court will issue a ruling on the Disney ABC First Amendment lawsuit against the FCC.","rs":"A U.S. federal court issues a ruling on the Disney ABC First Amendment lawsuit against the FCC between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake will be recorded in Indonesia by the USGS.","rs":"The USGS reports a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake in Indonesia between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":10,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a political scandal involving a U.S. state governor will be reported by at least three major wire services.","rs":"At least three major wire services (e.g., AP, Reuters, Bloomberg) report a political scandal involving a U.S. state governor between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a major cyberattack on a financial institution will be confirmed by the CISA KEV catalog and reported by two major financial news outlets.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog lists a vulnerability exploited in a major cyberattack on a financial institution, and two major financial news outlets report the incident between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":90,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian forces strike Kyiv with missiles or drones at least once between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-18, confirmed by Ukrainian officials and carried by a major international wire service.","rs":"Reuters, AP, or AFP and at least one Ukrainian government source report a Russian missile or drone strike on Kyiv occurring between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States forces conduct military strikes on targets inside Iranian territory between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The US Department of Defense or the President announces US strikes on targets inside Iran conducted between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-30, and Iranian state media acknowledge strikes occurred.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-11","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A vulnerability in a GitLab product is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog contains at least one entry listing GitLab as vendor or product with dateAdded between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-12","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A petition challenging the 2026 Zambian presidential election result is filed with the Constitutional Court of Zambia between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-04.","rs":"Constitutional Court of Zambia records or at least two international wire services report a petition challenging the presidential result was filed between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-13","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A jury verdict is returned or a mistrial is declared between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30 in the Nevada trial over the 1996 killing of Tupac Shakur.","rs":"Nevada court records or at least two major wire services report a jury verdict returned or a mistrial declared in the Tupac Shakur murder trial between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-14","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater with an epicenter in Indonesia occurring between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31 UTC.","rs":"The USGS ComCat catalog lists at least one event of magnitude 6.5 or greater located within Indonesia with origin time between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-15","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":87,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-01, the Ukrainian Air Force command reports on at least seven separate overnight periods that Russia launched 100 or more one-way attack drones.","rs":"Daily Ukrainian Air Force air-defence tallies covering nights from 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-01 show 100 or more drones launched on seven or more of those nights, with at least one wire service reporting the same figures.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-16","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":7,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States conducts at least one military strike on Omani territory between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, and BBC report a US strike on Omani soil dated between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31, or US Central Command confirms one.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-17","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-30, either Russia or the United Kingdom expels at least one accredited diplomat of the other state.","rs":"The Russian foreign ministry or the UK Foreign Office announces the expulsion of at least one diplomat of the other state, dated 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-30, corroborated by two wire services.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-18","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2027-01-20","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry whose vendorProject field is GitLab, with a dateAdded between 2026-08-19 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"A fetch of the CISA KEV JSON feed returns at least one entry with vendorProject GitLab and a dateAdded between 2026-08-19 and 2027-01-15 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-19","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"In the Disney and ABC First Amendment suit against the FCC, the FCC files a motion to dismiss or an answer between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The federal docket for the ABC or Disney suit against the FCC records a motion to dismiss or an answer filed by the FCC between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-20","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one magnitude 6.5 or greater event with an epicenter in Indonesia between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A USGS FDSN event query for 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-30 returns one or more events of magnitude 6.5 or greater within the Indonesian region bounding box.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":6,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States will carry out a military strike on a target inside Oman between 2026-08-19 and 2026-08-26.","rs":"TRUE if the US government, the Omani government, or two independent wire services confirm a US military strike inside Oman during the window; adjudicated 2026-08-28.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-22","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CVE-2026-19478, the critical GitLab GraphQL flaw patched 2026-08-17, will be added to the CISA KEV catalog between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-16.","rs":"TRUE if CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog lists CVE-2026-19478 with a date-added value inside the window; adjudicated 2026-09-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-23","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A jury will return a verdict, guilty or not guilty, in the Duane Keffe D Davis murder trial in Clark County, Nevada, between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"TRUE if Clark County District Court or at least two independent wire services report a jury verdict in the Davis trial inside the window; a hung jury counts as FALSE; adjudicated 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-24","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":55,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS will record a magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake within 150 km of the M7.7 Ende, Indonesia mainshock (2026-08-17, 22:29 UTC), between 2026-08-19 and 2026-08-26.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS Earthquake Catalog lists any magnitude 6.0 or greater event within 150 km of the Ende mainshock epicenter, origin time inside the window; adjudicated 2026-08-28.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian forces strike Kyiv with missiles or drones at least once between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-18, confirmed by Ukrainian officials and carried by a major international wire service.","rs":"Reuters, AP, or AFP and at least one Ukrainian government source report a Russian missile or drone strike on Kyiv occurring between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-26","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States forces conduct military strikes on targets inside Iranian territory between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The US Department of Defense or the President announces US strikes on targets inside Iran conducted between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-30, and Iranian state media acknowledge strikes occurred.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A vulnerability in a GitLab product is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog contains at least one entry listing GitLab as vendor or product with dateAdded between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A petition challenging the 2026 Zambian presidential election result is filed with the Constitutional Court of Zambia between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-04.","rs":"Constitutional Court of Zambia records or at least two international wire services report a petition challenging the presidential result was filed between 2026-08-18 and 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A jury verdict is returned or a mistrial is declared between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30 in the Nevada trial over the 1996 killing of Tupac Shakur.","rs":"Nevada court records or at least two major wire services report a jury verdict returned or a mistrial declared in the Tupac Shakur murder trial between 2026-08-18 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater with an epicenter in Indonesia occurring between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31 UTC.","rs":"The USGS ComCat catalog lists at least one event of magnitude 6.5 or greater located within Indonesia with origin time between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-01, the Ukrainian Air Force command reports on at least seven separate overnight periods that Russia launched 100 or more one-way attack drones.","rs":"Daily Ukrainian Air Force air-defence tallies covering nights from 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-01 show 100 or more drones launched on seven or more of those nights, with at least one wire service reporting the same figures.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States conducts at least one military strike on Omani territory between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, and BBC report a US strike on Omani soil dated between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-31, or US Central Command confirms one.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-30, either Russia or the United Kingdom expels at least one accredited diplomat of the other state.","rs":"The Russian foreign ministry or the UK Foreign Office announces the expulsion of at least one diplomat of the other state, dated 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-30, corroborated by two wire services.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2027-01-20","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry whose vendorProject field is GitLab, with a dateAdded between 2026-08-19 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"A fetch of the CISA KEV JSON feed returns at least one entry with vendorProject GitLab and a dateAdded between 2026-08-19 and 2027-01-15 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"In the Disney and ABC First Amendment suit against the FCC, the FCC files a motion to dismiss or an answer between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The federal docket for the ABC or Disney suit against the FCC records a motion to dismiss or an answer filed by the FCC between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one magnitude 6.5 or greater event with an epicenter in Indonesia between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A USGS FDSN event query for 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-30 returns one or more events of magnitude 6.5 or greater within the Indonesian region bounding box.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States will carry out a military strike on a target inside Oman between 2026-08-19 and 2026-08-26.","rs":"TRUE if the US government, the Omani government, or two independent wire services confirm a US military strike inside Oman during the window; adjudicated 2026-08-28.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CVE-2026-19478, the critical GitLab GraphQL flaw patched 2026-08-17, will be added to the CISA KEV catalog between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-16.","rs":"TRUE if CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog lists CVE-2026-19478 with a date-added value inside the window; adjudicated 2026-09-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-39","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A jury will return a verdict, guilty or not guilty, in the Duane Keffe D Davis murder trial in Clark County, Nevada, between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"TRUE if Clark County District Court or at least two independent wire services report a jury verdict in the Davis trial inside the window; a hung jury counts as FALSE; adjudicated 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260818-40","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-18","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS will record a magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake within 150 km of the M7.7 Ende, Indonesia mainshock (2026-08-17, 22:29 UTC), between 2026-08-19 and 2026-08-26.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS Earthquake Catalog lists any magnitude 6.0 or greater event within 150 km of the Ende mainshock epicenter, origin time inside the window; adjudicated 2026-08-28.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-18_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-18_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, at least one report from a hostile side in the Israel-Gaza-Levant Theatre will confirm a drone strike on Gaza City with casualties claimed in the corroborating reports.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side in the Israel-Gaza-Levant Theatre confirms a drone strike on Gaza City between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, with casualties claimed in the corroborating reports.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"void","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, the USGS Significant Quakes feed will record a magnitude 5.0 or higher earthquake in Indonesia with a depth of less than 10 km.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed records a magnitude 5.0 or higher earthquake in Indonesia with a depth of less than 10 km between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, at least one report from a hostile side in the Russia-Ukraine Theatre will confirm a missile strike on Kyiv with casualties claimed in the corroborating reports.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side in the Russia-Ukraine Theatre confirms a missile strike on Kyiv between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, with casualties claimed in the corroborating reports.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, at least one report from a hostile side in the Iran Theatre will confirm a ballistic missile strike on Tehran with casualties claimed in the corroborating reports.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side in the Iran Theatre confirms a ballistic missile strike on Tehran between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, with casualties claimed in the corroborating reports.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"hit","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, at least one report from a hostile side in the Russia-Ukraine Theatre will confirm a drone strike on Dnipro with casualties claimed in the corroborating reports.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side in the Russia-Ukraine Theatre confirms a drone strike on Dnipro between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, with casualties claimed in the corroborating reports.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-06","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds at least one new Microsoft-product vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a date-added value between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains at least one entry with vendorProject Microsoft and dateAdded between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; zero such entries grades MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-07","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-20 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The official ICE Brent front-month settlement price is at or above 100.00 USD on any trading day from 2026-08-20 through 2026-10-30; otherwise MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-08","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on at least one day between 2026-08-20 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 records a value at or above 5.00 for at least one date between 2026-08-20 and 2026-12-31; otherwise MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one missile or drone strike on United Arab Emirates territory attributed to Iran or Iran-aligned forces occurs between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report a strike on UAE territory within the window attributed to Iran or Iran-aligned forces; no machine-readable register exists for this class.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Voting in Palestinian national legislative or presidential elections takes place on at least one day between 2026-11-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera report ballots cast in Palestinian national elections within the window; postponement or cancellation grades MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-11","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Federal Register document published between 2026-08-20 and 2026-12-31 imposes a 50 percent tariff on a broad class of Canadian imports.","rs":"Federalregister.gov contains a presidential proclamation or agency notice published within the window that imposes a 50 percent tariff rate on Canadian imports broadly; otherwise MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-12","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2027-02-03","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one of the two Ukrainian nationals arrested in August 2026 over the Nord Stream sabotage enters German custody between 2026-08-20 and 2027-01-31.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or DW report the transfer of either suspect to German custody within the window; a German federal court docket entry also suffices.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-13","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS catalog records at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake within 250 km of event us6000tkt2 with origin time between 2026-08-20 and 2026-10-31 UTC.","rs":"A USGS FDSN event query centered on the us6000tkt2 epicenter with 250 km radius, minimum magnitude 6.0, and the window dates returns at least one event; zero events grades MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-14","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":92,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds at least one Microsoft vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a date-added value in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-11-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog contains at least one entry with vendorProject Microsoft and a dateAdded value between 2026-08-26 and 2026-11-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-15","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":93,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater occurs worldwide with origin time in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-10-31 UTC.","rs":"The USGS ComCat catalog lists at least one event of magnitude 7.0 or greater with origin time between 2026-08-26T00:00Z and 2026-10-31T23:59Z.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-16","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UAE government publicly attributes a missile or drone impact on UAE territory or territorial waters to Iran, for an impact in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-10-15.","rs":"Reuters and Agence France-Presse both report a UAE government statement attributing a missile or drone impact on UAE territory or territorial waters to Iran within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-17","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran publicly agrees to permit unrestricted commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz under an agreement announced in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-11-30.","rs":"Reuters and the Associated Press both report an agreement, announced within the window, under which Iran permits unrestricted commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-18","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-15","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Croatia surrenders to German custody the Ukrainian diver arrested in Pula on 2026-08-19 over the Nord Stream blasts, in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-12-11.","rs":"The German Federal Public Prosecutor confirms the suspect has been surrendered by Croatia and brought before a judge of the Federal Court of Justice within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-19","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NABU or SAPO issues a formal notice of suspicion to a serving or former official of the Ukrainian Office of the President in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-11-30.","rs":"NABU or SAPO publicly announces a notice of suspicion naming a serving or former Office of the President official, reported by Reuters and Ukrainska Pravda.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-20","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-09, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, or Oman formally announces new trade restrictions or a trade suspension against Iran, distinct from the UAE action already reported.","rs":"TRUE if, between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-09, the government of Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, or Oman issues an official trade-restriction announcement against Iran, per two of Reuters, AP, or Bloomberg.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-02, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog lists 10 or more entries with a dateAdded value in that range, following the 4 entries added 2026-08-18.","rs":"TRUE if the public CISA KEV JSON feed shows 10 or more entries with dateAdded between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-02 inclusive, queried on or after 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-22","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-18, the 10-Year Treasury constant maturity yield (FRED series DGS10) closes at or above 4.85 percent on at least one trading day, up from 4.65 percent on 2026-08-19.","rs":"TRUE if FRED series DGS10 records a daily close of 4.85 or higher on any trading day between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-18, per data available by 2026-09-21.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-23","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-11-15, German federal prosecutors file a formal indictment against the Ukrainian national arrested in Croatia over the 2022 Nord Stream pipeline bombings.","rs":"TRUE if the Generalbundesanwalt files a formal indictment against the Croatia-arrested individual, reported by two of Reuters, AP, or DPA, before 2026-11-17.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-24","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-16, USGS catalogs at least one aftershock of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 150 km of the M7.7 Ende, Indonesia epicenter recorded 2026-08-19.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS earthquake catalog lists an event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 150 km of the Ende epicenter with origin time between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-16.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-25","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":7,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-17, Ukraine's Verkhovna Rada or Central Election Commission formally schedules a date for a presidential election, following the sacked defence minister's public call for one.","rs":"TRUE if the Verkhovna Rada or Ukraine's Central Election Commission issues an official act setting a presidential election date, reported by two of Reuters, AP, or Ukrainska Pravda, by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-26","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-17, the WHO Director-General declares the Democratic Republic of Congo Ebola outbreak, which reached 5,000 cases this window, a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.","rs":"TRUE if WHO's Director-General issues a formal PHEIC declaration covering the DRC Ebola outbreak between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-17, per WHO statement and two wire services, by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds at least one new Microsoft-product vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a date-added value between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains at least one entry with vendorProject Microsoft and dateAdded between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; zero such entries grades MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-20 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The official ICE Brent front-month settlement price is at or above 100.00 USD on any trading day from 2026-08-20 through 2026-10-30; otherwise MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on at least one day between 2026-08-20 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 records a value at or above 5.00 for at least one date between 2026-08-20 and 2026-12-31; otherwise MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one missile or drone strike on United Arab Emirates territory attributed to Iran or Iran-aligned forces occurs between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report a strike on UAE territory within the window attributed to Iran or Iran-aligned forces; no machine-readable register exists for this class.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Voting in Palestinian national legislative or presidential elections takes place on at least one day between 2026-11-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera report ballots cast in Palestinian national elections within the window; postponement or cancellation grades MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Federal Register document published between 2026-08-20 and 2026-12-31 imposes a 50 percent tariff on a broad class of Canadian imports.","rs":"Federalregister.gov contains a presidential proclamation or agency notice published within the window that imposes a 50 percent tariff rate on Canadian imports broadly; otherwise MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2027-02-03","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one of the two Ukrainian nationals arrested in August 2026 over the Nord Stream sabotage enters German custody between 2026-08-20 and 2027-01-31.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or DW report the transfer of either suspect to German custody within the window; a German federal court docket entry also suffices.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS catalog records at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake within 250 km of event us6000tkt2 with origin time between 2026-08-20 and 2026-10-31 UTC.","rs":"A USGS FDSN event query centered on the us6000tkt2 epicenter with 250 km radius, minimum magnitude 6.0, and the window dates returns at least one event; zero events grades MISS.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds at least one Microsoft vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a date-added value in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-11-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog contains at least one entry with vendorProject Microsoft and a dateAdded value between 2026-08-26 and 2026-11-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater occurs worldwide with origin time in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-10-31 UTC.","rs":"The USGS ComCat catalog lists at least one event of magnitude 7.0 or greater with origin time between 2026-08-26T00:00Z and 2026-10-31T23:59Z.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UAE government publicly attributes a missile or drone impact on UAE territory or territorial waters to Iran, for an impact in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-10-15.","rs":"Reuters and Agence France-Presse both report a UAE government statement attributing a missile or drone impact on UAE territory or territorial waters to Iran within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran publicly agrees to permit unrestricted commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz under an agreement announced in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-11-30.","rs":"Reuters and the Associated Press both report an agreement, announced within the window, under which Iran permits unrestricted commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-39","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-15","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Croatia surrenders to German custody the Ukrainian diver arrested in Pula on 2026-08-19 over the Nord Stream blasts, in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-12-11.","rs":"The German Federal Public Prosecutor confirms the suspect has been surrendered by Croatia and brought before a judge of the Federal Court of Justice within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-40","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"NABU or SAPO issues a formal notice of suspicion to a serving or former official of the Ukrainian Office of the President in the window 2026-08-26 to 2026-11-30.","rs":"NABU or SAPO publicly announces a notice of suspicion naming a serving or former Office of the President official, reported by Reuters and Ukrainska Pravda.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-41","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-09, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, or Oman formally announces new trade restrictions or a trade suspension against Iran, distinct from the UAE action already reported.","rs":"TRUE if, between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-09, the government of Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, or Oman issues an official trade-restriction announcement against Iran, per two of Reuters, AP, or Bloomberg.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-42","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-02, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog lists 10 or more entries with a dateAdded value in that range, following the 4 entries added 2026-08-18.","rs":"TRUE if the public CISA KEV JSON feed shows 10 or more entries with dateAdded between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-02 inclusive, queried on or after 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-43","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-18, the 10-Year Treasury constant maturity yield (FRED series DGS10) closes at or above 4.85 percent on at least one trading day, up from 4.65 percent on 2026-08-19.","rs":"TRUE if FRED series DGS10 records a daily close of 4.85 or higher on any trading day between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-18, per data available by 2026-09-21.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-44","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-11-15, German federal prosecutors file a formal indictment against the Ukrainian national arrested in Croatia over the 2022 Nord Stream pipeline bombings.","rs":"TRUE if the Generalbundesanwalt files a formal indictment against the Croatia-arrested individual, reported by two of Reuters, AP, or DPA, before 2026-11-17.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-45","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-16, USGS catalogs at least one aftershock of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 150 km of the M7.7 Ende, Indonesia epicenter recorded 2026-08-19.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS earthquake catalog lists an event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 150 km of the Ende epicenter with origin time between 2026-08-19 and 2026-09-16.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-17, Ukraine's Verkhovna Rada or Central Election Commission formally schedules a date for a presidential election, following the sacked defence minister's public call for one.","rs":"TRUE if the Verkhovna Rada or Ukraine's Central Election Commission issues an official act setting a presidential election date, reported by two of Reuters, AP, or Ukrainska Pravda, by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260819-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-19","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-17, the WHO Director-General declares the Democratic Republic of Congo Ebola outbreak, which reached 5,000 cases this window, a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.","rs":"TRUE if WHO's Director-General issues a formal PHEIC declaration covering the DRC Ebola outbreak between 2026-08-19 and 2026-10-17, per WHO statement and two wire services, by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-19_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-19_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a magnitude 5.5 or higher earthquake will be recorded by the USGS in the region of Dunhuang, China.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed records a magnitude 5.5 or higher earthquake with a location within 100 km of Dunhuang, China, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a coordinated cyberattack exploiting the Zimbra SNMP flaw will be confirmed by two independent sources.","rs":"Two independent sources confirm a cyberattack exploiting the Zimbra SNMP flaw (CVE-2026-XXXXX) occurred between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":60,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, the US Treasury will announce a bond buyback operation exceeding $4 billion.","rs":"The US Treasury announces a bond buyback operation with a total value exceeding $4 billion between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a new military offensive will be reported in the Zaporizhzhia region with confirmed casualties.","rs":"Two or more independent sources report a new military offensive in the Zaporizhzhia region with confirmed casualties between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a tropical cyclone with Category 3 or higher intensity will be reported by GDACS.","rs":"GDACS Alerts records a tropical cyclone with Category 3 or higher intensity between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a new ceasefire agreement will be reported in the Israel-Gaza-Levant Theatre with confirmation from both Israeli and Palestinian sources.","rs":"Two independent sources, one from Israel and one from Palestine, confirm the establishment of a ceasefire agreement in the Israel-Gaza-Levant Theatre between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a major cyberattack on a critical infrastructure system in the United States will be confirmed by CISA.","rs":"CISA issues a public advisory confirming a major cyberattack on a critical infrastructure system in the United States between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"miss","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24, a new political scandal involving a senior U.S. official will be reported by two major wire services.","rs":"Two major wire services report a new political scandal involving a senior U.S. official between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-24.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds a CVE affecting Zimbra Collaboration with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry whose vendorProject or product field names Zimbra and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The USGS ComCat catalog records an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with epicenter within 150 km of USGS event us6000tkt2 near Ende, Indonesia, with origin time between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"A USGS ComCat query centered on event us6000tkt2 with a 150 km radius returns at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater event with origin time between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-16 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-11","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-12-14","s":"open","p":88,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The NOAA Climate Prediction Center ENSO diagnostic discussion scheduled for 2026-12-10 carries an active El Nino Advisory status.","rs":"The CPC ENSO diagnostic discussion published on or about 2026-12-10 states an El Nino Advisory is in effect; an ENSO-neutral or La Nina status grades false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-12","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures record an official daily settlement at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Published ICE Brent front-month official settlement prices show at least one value at or above 100.00 USD between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-13","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Congress.gov records Senate passage of a bill whose short title includes CLARITY Act between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"Congress.gov shows a passed-Senate action, by roll call or voice vote, on a bill whose short title includes CLARITY Act, with the action dated between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-14","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Russian missile or drone strike on the city of Kyiv occurring between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-20 kills five or more people.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP report a single Russian strike on Kyiv city between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-20 with an officially stated death toll of five or more.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-08-31","s":"hit","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-29, Russia will conduct another missile or drone strike on Kyiv, distinct from the strike already reported on 2026-08-20, confirmed by at least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, or Guardian.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, or Guardian report a new Russian missile or drone strike hitting Kyiv city limits between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-29, distinct from the strike reported on 2026-08-20.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"miss","p":22,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-28, GDACS will upgrade its overall alert level for Central Pacific tropical cyclone TWO-C-26, GDACS event 1001306, from Green to Orange or Red.","rs":"TRUE if the GDACS event page for eventid 1001306, eventtype TC, shows an Orange or Red overall alert level at any point between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-28.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-30, a commercial vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz will be attacked, mined, or seized, confirmed by two or more of UKMTO, US Fifth Fleet, Reuters, or AP.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of UKMTO, US Fifth Fleet/CENTCOM, Reuters, or AP report an attack, mining, or seizure of a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-31, CISA will add CVE-2026-73570, the actively exploited Zimbra Collaboration Suite SNMP command-injection flaw, to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog carries a dateAdded value for CVE-2026-73570 between 2026-08-20 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-10, the US Treasury OFAC Specially Designated Nationals list will add one or more new Iran-program designations under the economic isolation campaign Trump announced on 2026-08-19.","rs":"TRUE if OFAC SDN List data shows one or more new Iran-program designations with a listing date between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-10.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-20","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"On 2026-09-15, NYMEX WTI crude oil front-month futures will settle at or above 92.00 USD per barrel, up from the 86.42 USD close reported on 2026-08-20.","rs":"TRUE if the NYMEX WTI front-month futures settlement price on 2026-09-15 is at or above 92.00 USD per barrel per CME Group settlement data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-20, Zelenskyy or the Ukrainian government will officially announce a specific date for a wartime presidential election, confirmed by two or more major wire services.","rs":"TRUE if the Ukrainian presidency or Central Election Commission announces a specific wartime presidential election date between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-20, confirmed by two or more of Reuters, AP, or AFP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-22","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-24, Jewel Howard-Taylor, former Vice President of Liberia charged 2026-08-19 with drug trafficking and money laundering, will make a first court appearance in Liberia, reported by Reuters, AP, or BBC.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters, AP, or BBC report a first court appearance, arraignment, or bail hearing for Jewel Howard-Taylor in a Liberian court between 2026-08-20 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-23","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds at least one Zimbra Collaboration CVE to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, with a date-added value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry whose vendorProject or product field names Zimbra and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-25 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-24","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-11-24","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds at least one Citrix NetScaler ADC or NetScaler Gateway CVE to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, with a date-added value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-11-20.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry with vendorProject Citrix and a product field naming NetScaler, whose dateAdded falls between 2026-08-21 and 2026-11-20 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-25","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A single Russian strike on Kyiv city occurring between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-20 kills at least 10 people according to Ukrainian official figures.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, BBC and Guardian report one strike event in Kyiv city inside the window carrying an official Ukrainian death toll of 10 or more.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-26","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States forces conduct an officially acknowledged strike on targets inside Iranian territory between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The Department of Defense or the White House publicly confirms US munitions struck targets inside Iran, the strike dated inside the window, carried by both Reuters and AP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-27","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent front-month crude futures settle at or above 100.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"ICE published front-month Brent settlement data shows a settlement price of 100.00 or higher on at least one session dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-28","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield reaches 5.00 percent or higher on at least one business day between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 carries a value of 5.00 or greater on at least one observation date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-29","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS catalogs an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of the 2026-08-20 Ende, Indonesia M7.7 epicenter, with origin time between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"A USGS ComCat query for magnitude 6.0 or greater, radius 300 km from the Ende mainshock epicenter, across the stated window, returns one or more events.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-30","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Verkhovna Rada or Ukraine's Central Election Commission adopts an act naming a polling date for a nationwide presidential election, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP and BBC report adoption of an act or resolution naming a specific polling date for a Ukrainian presidential election inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-31","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Chinese court sentences a named former Evergrande Group executive other than Hui Ka Yan to ten years imprisonment or more, between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, BBC and South China Morning Post report a Chinese court imposing a term of ten years or more on a named former Evergrande executive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260820-32","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-20","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act becomes public law, with enactment dated between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"The Congress.gov actions list for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act shows a Became Public Law entry dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-20_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-20_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260821-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-21","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone strike targeting a military installation in Kyiv, Ukraine, occurs between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28, resulting in at least one confirmed casualty.","rs":"At least one confirmed casualty is reported by two independent, hostile-side news outlets (e.g., one Russian and one Ukrainian) within 48 hours of the event window's end, with the strike location confirmed as Kyiv.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260821-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-21","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog will include at least one new vulnerability with a CVSS score of 10.0 between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28 for a vulnerability with a CVSS score of 10.0.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260821-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-21","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake will be recorded by the USGS in Indonesia between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database records a seismic event with magnitude \u22656.0 and depth \u2264100km in Indonesia between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260821-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-21","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major political scandal involving a U.S. federal official will be reported by at least two major outlets (e.g., CNN, The New York Times, The Guardian) between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28.","rs":"At least two major news outlets (e.g., CNN, The New York Times, The Guardian) publish a report detailing a political scandal involving a U.S. federal official between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-01","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The 10-year Treasury constant-maturity yield (FRED series DGS10, 4.65 on 2026-08-19 after a 20-month high near 4.75 that week) records a daily value of 5.00 percent or higher on at least one day between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 shows at least one observation dated 2026-08-24 through 2026-09-30 inclusive with a value of 5.00 or greater.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-02","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-09","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"US Central Command publicly announces US strikes on land targets inside Iran conducted on at least one day between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-06, ending the kinetic pause that has held since the cancelled campaign of 2026-08-01 while the administration pivots to economic warfare.","rs":"A CENTCOM press release on centcom.mil or an official CENTCOM social media post states that US forces struck land targets inside Iran on a date from 2026-08-24 through 2026-09-06 inclusive; blockade actions against vessels do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-03","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Jury selection in United States v. Jeffries et al. (E.D.N.Y., Central Islip, Judge Nusrat Choudhury), set for late October after the 2026-08-20 competency ruling, begins on a date between 2026-10-01 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"The E.D.N.Y. docket for United States v. Jeffries et al. records a minute entry for jury selection or commencement of trial dated 2026-10-01 through 2026-11-13 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-04","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-08-28","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"On 2026-08-27, the first full Nasdaq trading session after Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) releases its August 26, 2026 after-market earnings, NVDA closes up or down 6 percent or more from its 2026-08-26 closing price.","rs":"Resolves YES if the official Nasdaq closing price for NVDA on 2026-08-27 differs from its 2026-08-26 closing price by 6 percent or more in either direction, per Nasdaq or a standard market-data provider; resolves NO if the move is smaller than 6 percent.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-05","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At the sentencing hearing scheduled for 2026-09-04 at Preston Crown Court, at least one of the five Barclays-branch Palestine Action defendants (Atiqnisar, Kelly, Malik, O'Hagan, or Yaniv) receives an immediate custodial sentence.","rs":"Resolves YES if Preston Crown Court sentencing coverage (BBC, Guardian, PA Media, or comparable outlets) confirms at least one of the five defendants receives an immediate custodial sentence rather than a suspended sentence, community order, or fine; resolves NO if all five receive non-custodial or suspended sentences.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-06","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-11-30","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The NOAA Climate Prediction Center ENSO Diagnostic Discussion issued in November 2026 states that El Nino conditions are present.","rs":"TRUE if the CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion dated in November 2026 characterizes the state of the system as El Nino conditions present or continuing; FALSE if it states ENSO-neutral or La Nina.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-07","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or above USD 110.00 per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-08-24 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if the ICE published settlement price for the Brent front-month contract is 110.00 USD per barrel or higher on any trading day in that range; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-08","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A document published in the Federal Register between 2026-08-24 and 2026-11-30 sets or amends a tariff-rate quota, duty rate or import allocation for beef entering the United States.","rs":"TRUE if a federalregister.gov query over that publication-date range returns at least one rule, proclamation or notice whose text sets or amends beef import duty or quota terms; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds CVE-2026-19478, the GitLab CE/EE GraphQL code-injection flaw (CVSS 9.4) reported exploited in the wild on 2026-08-19, to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON feed contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-19478 whose dateAdded field is a date from 2026-08-21 through 2026-09-18 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds CVE-2026-69836, the Microsoft Entra ID deserialization remote code execution flaw (CVSS 10.0) that Microsoft says was exploited and is already mitigated server-side, to the KEV catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON feed contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-69836 whose dateAdded field is a date from 2026-08-21 through 2026-09-18 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-11","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18, the USGS catalog records an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 150 km of the August 21, 2026 M6.7 Peru mainshock epicenter near Aniso, Peru.","rs":"Resolves YES if the USGS Earthquake Catalog lists an event of magnitude 6.0 or greater with an epicenter within 150 km of the M6.7 Peru mainshock, occurring between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18; resolves NO otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-12","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry for CVE-2026-19478, the GitLab remote code execution flaw reported under active exploitation on 2026-08-21.","rs":"Resolves YES if the CISA KEV catalog (kev.cisa.gov or its published JSON feed) lists CVE-2026-19478 with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18; resolves NO if no such entry exists by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-13","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry for a Microsoft Entra ID product vulnerability, corresponding to the maximum-severity flaw Microsoft disclosed as under active exploitation on 2026-08-21.","rs":"Resolves YES if the CISA KEV catalog lists at least one CVE with vendorProject Microsoft and a product field containing Entra, with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18; resolves NO if no such entry exists by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-14","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18, United States military forces carry out a kinetic strike on a target inside Iranian sovereign territory, including territorial waters.","rs":"Resolves YES if the strike is corroborated under the two-independent-side standard used in this record (for example, both Iranian and Western or Gulf-state sources) reporting a U.S. strike on Iranian territory within the window; resolves NO otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-18, Swedish police or prosecutors publicly classify the August 21, 2026 sword attack at a Swedish school as a terrorist offense under Swedish law.","rs":"Resolves YES if Polisen or the Swedish Prosecution Authority states, per reporting from BBC, Reuters, AP, TT, or a major Swedish outlet, that the attack is being investigated or charged as a terrorist offense under the Swedish Act on Criminal Responsibility for Terrorist Offences; resolves NO if authorities charge it solely as attempted murder, aggravated assault, or a similar non-terrorism offense, or make no such classification by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-31, a Hong Kong court sentences Lee Cheuk-yan or Chow Hang-tung in the West Kowloon incitement-to-subversion case, and at least one of the two receives an immediate custodial term of 3 years or longer.","rs":"Resolves YES if Hong Kong court reporting (for example HKFP, RTHK, Reuters, AP, SCMP) confirms a sentencing decision for Lee Cheuk-yan or Chow Hang-tung between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-31 in which at least one receives an immediate custodial term of 3 years or longer; resolves NO if sentencing occurs but neither meets that term, or the case has not reached sentencing by the window close.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-17","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog carries an entry for CVE-2026-19478 with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-10-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains cveID CVE-2026-19478 with a dateAdded on or after 2026-08-21 and on or before 2026-10-23; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-18","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds at least one vulnerability whose vendorProject field is Siemens to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-21 and 2026-11-27.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed holds at least one record with vendorProject equal to Siemens and dateAdded inside that range; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-19","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2027-01-22","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one Hong Kong Alliance vigil organiser convicted on 2026-08-21 receives an unsuspended custodial sentence handed down between 2026-08-21 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"TRUE if a Hong Kong court imposes imprisonment, not wholly suspended, on at least one convicted organiser inside that range, per two of Reuters, AFP, AP, BBC, SCMP; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-20","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Swedish prosecutors file an indictment against at least one suspect over the 2026-08-21 Swedish school sword attack, with the filing occurring between 2026-08-21 and 2026-12-11.","rs":"TRUE if Swedish Prosecution Authority or court records show an indictment filed inside that range for this attack, confirmed by two of SVT, TT, Reuters, BBC, AFP; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-21_1524.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-21_1524.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-21","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"U.S. and Canadian officials announce a new bilateral tariff agreement between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28","rs":"A joint statement from U.S. and Canadian officials, published in at least two independent outlets (e.g., BBC, CNBC), confirms a new bilateral tariff agreement between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-22","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher occurs in the Scotia Sea between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes catalog records a magnitude 6.5 or higher earthquake in the Scotia Sea between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28, with a depth of 10 km or less.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-23","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran announces the resumption of uranium enrichment at 60% purity between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28","rs":"Iran's foreign ministry or state media announces, via a public statement, the resumption of uranium enrichment at 60% purity between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28, confirmed by at least two independent outlets (AXIS, WEST).","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-24","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A cyberattack using a proxy botnet malware infects at least 10,000 vehicles with Android-based head units between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28","rs":"At least 10,000 vehicles with Android-based head units are confirmed infected by proxy botnet malware, as reported by BleepingComputer or The Hacker News between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-25","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new political scandal involving a U.S. federal official is confirmed by two independent outlets between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28","rs":"Two independent outlets (e.g., BBC, Guardian, Politico) publish a confirmed report of a political scandal involving a U.S. federal official between 2026-08-22 and 2026-08-28, with corroboration from a third source.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-26","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS records an earthquake of magnitude 5.5 or greater within 100 km of the 2026-08-20 M6.7 Aniso, Peru epicenter (14.641 S, 73.524 W) with origin time between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"The USGS ComCat catalog lists an event of magnitude 5.5 or greater, any depth, within 100 km of 14.641 S 73.524 W, origin time 2026-08-24 00:00 UTC to 2026-09-23 23:59 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-27","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2027-01-19","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Labor MP holds office as Premier of Victoria on 2027-01-15, meaning Labor retained government at the 2026-11-28 Victorian state election.","rs":"On 2027-01-15 the Parliament of Victoria or Victorian Government official listing shows the sitting Premier as a member of the Australian Labor Party.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-28","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-23 and 2026-10-02 the governments of the United States and Iran both publicly confirm an agreement (ceasefire or settlement) whose announced terms include reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping.","rs":"Statements from both the US government and the government of Iran, dated 2026-08-23 to 2026-10-02, confirm one agreement whose published terms include reopening Hormuz to commercial shipping; confirmed by Reuters and AP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-29","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-23 and 2026-10-02 the United States and Canada both announce an agreement that rescinds or suspends the 50 percent US tariffs on Canadian goods that took effect 2026-08-22, and US implementation is published by 2026-10-09.","rs":"Both governments announce the agreement between 2026-08-23 and 2026-10-02, and a Federal Register document or CBP CSMS message published by 2026-10-09 removes or suspends the 50 percent tariffs for all or most covered Canadian goods.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-30","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The 10-year US Treasury constant-maturity yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on at least one trading day between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 shows a value of 5.00 or higher for at least one observation dated between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-31","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least two distinct Microsoft CVEs in the September 2026 Patch Tuesday week, with dateAdded values between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-11.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains at least two distinct CVE entries with vendorProject Microsoft and dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-11 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-32","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A single Russian strike on one Ukrainian locality, occurring between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-13, produces an official Ukrainian death toll of 15 or more.","rs":"Ukrainian State Emergency Service, National Police, or regional military administration states 15 or more killed from one Russian strike on one locality on one day within 2026-08-24 to 2026-09-13, as reported by Reuters or AP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-33","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-09 the Clark County, Nevada jury in the Tupac Shakur murder trial returns a verdict of guilty of murder (first or second degree) against Duane Davis.","rs":"The Eighth Judicial District Court (Clark County) docket, or Reuters or AP, records a jury verdict of guilty of first- or second-degree murder against Duane Davis returned between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-09.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-34","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Democrats win a majority of the US House of Representatives in the 2026-11-03 midterm election, with the Associated Press calling control of the chamber for Democrats by 2026-12-01.","rs":"By 2026-12-01 the Associated Press has called House control for Democrats, crediting Democratic candidates with at least 218 of 435 seats in the 2026-11-03 general election.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-35","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2027-02-03","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2027-01-31, Israel or the United States will conduct a direct military strike on internationally recognized Iranian territory, excluding strikes on Iran aligned forces in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, or Yemen.","rs":"TRUE if two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or an official Israeli, US, or Iranian statement confirm a strike executed on Iranian territory, excluding Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, or Yemen; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-36","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-30, COMEX front month gold futures will settle at or above 4800.00 USD per troy ounce on at least one trading day.","rs":"TRUE if CME or COMEX publishes a front month gold futures settlement price of 4800.00 USD per ounce or higher on any trading day in the window; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-37","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-15, the Government of Canada will formally impose new tariffs on US goods, described by Canadian officials as a dollar for dollar or matching response to the US tariff increase reported on 2026-08-22.","rs":"TRUE if Finance Canada or the Canadian government announces new tariffs on US goods described as a dollar for dollar or matching response, confirmed by Reuters or CBC; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-38","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-31, a named cybersecurity outlet will report a confirmed unauthorized access incident, data breach, or cloud resource abuse case attributed to the leaked AWS keys documented on 2026-08-21.","rs":"TRUE if BleepingComputer, The Hacker News, or Krebs on Security reports a specific breach or resource abuse incident attributed to the leaked AWS keys by the deadline; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-39","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyless","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-21, an aftershock of magnitude 6.0 or greater will occur within 250 km of the August 21, 2026 magnitude 6.7 earthquake near Aniso, Peru.","rs":"TRUE if the USGS earthquake catalog lists an event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 250 km of the Aniso Peru mainshock within the stated window; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-40","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Canadian counter-tariffs on US-origin goods take legal effect between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-30 in response to the 50 percent US duties imposed 2026-08-22.","rs":"Canada Gazette Part II or a Department of Finance Canada order shows a surtax on US-origin goods with an effective date between 2026-08-24 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-41","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-21","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A complaint challenging the lawfulness of the Section 338 tariffs on Canadian goods is filed in a US federal court between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"A US Court of International Trade or federal district court docket shows a complaint filed in that window seeking to invalidate or enjoin the Section 338 duties on Canadian imports.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-42","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2027-02-05","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A general ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war takes effect between 2026-08-24 and 2027-01-31.","rs":"Both the Russian and Ukrainian governments announce a general cessation of hostilities taking effect inside the window, reported by Reuters and the Associated Press.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-43","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":62,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog gains at least one entry with vendorProject Microsoft and a dateAdded between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one record where vendorProject is Microsoft and dateAdded falls between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-44","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A single npm registry supply-chain compromise affecting 100 or more distinct packages occurs between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"Two of BleepingComputer, The Hacker News, and Socket describe one npm campaign in which 100 or more distinct packages were published carrying malicious code.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-45","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-21","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A jury returns a guilty verdict on the murder count against Duane Davis in the Clark County, Nevada prosecution over the 1996 killing of Tupac Shakur, between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"The Clark County District Court docket records a jury verdict of guilty on the murder count, entered inside that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260822-46","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-22","dl":"2026-10-28","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"USGS catalogs at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater with an origin time between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-23.","rs":"The USGS ComCat catalog lists at least one event with magnitude 7.5 or above and an origin time between 2026-08-24 and 2026-10-23.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-22_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-22_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-02","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone strike targeting Kyiv, Ukraine, occurs between 2026-08-24 and 2026-08-30, resulting in at least one confirmed casualty.","rs":"At least one confirmed casualty is reported in a drone strike on Kyiv, Ukraine, between 2026-08-24 and 2026-08-30, as verified by two independent, hostile-side news outlets (e.g., Al Jazeera and BBC World).","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A cyberattack exploiting a vulnerability listed in the CISA KEV catalog occurs between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01, disrupting a critical infrastructure provider in the UK.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01, and a public report confirms a cyberattack disrupting a UK critical infrastructure provider during that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-05","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake strikes Japan between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-02, with at least 10 fatalities reported.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database records a magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake in Japan between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-02, with at least 10 fatalities confirmed by two independent news outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-06","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new US economic sanction against Iran is formally announced by the Treasury Department between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, with a public press release issued.","rs":"The U.S. Department of the Treasury issues a public press release announcing a new economic sanction against Iran between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":26,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major offensive operation by Russian forces in the Kursk region of Ukraine begins between 2026-08-28 and 2026-09-04, confirmed by two hostile-side reports with independent corroboration.","rs":"Two reports from hostile sides (RU and UA) with independent channels confirm a major offensive operation by Russian forces in the Kursk region of Ukraine between 2026-08-28 and 2026-09-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-09","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new political crisis emerges in the UK Parliament over the recognition of Israel's actions in Gaza, with a formal motion of no confidence tabled between 2026-08-30 and 2026-09-06.","rs":"A formal motion of no confidence in the UK Parliament regarding recognition of Israel's actions in Gaza is tabled between 2026-08-30 and 2026-09-06, as confirmed by two independent news outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major wildfire breaks out in California, USA, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-07, with at least 500 homes destroyed, confirmed by two independent sources.","rs":"Two independent sources (e.g., NPR News and Al Jazeera) confirm a major wildfire in California, USA, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-07, with at least 500 homes destroyed.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":24,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new round of sanctions on Russia is imposed by the European Union, with a formal press release issued between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-08, confirmed by two independent news outlets.","rs":"The European Commission issues a formal press release announcing new sanctions on Russia between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-08, confirmed by two independent news outlets (e.g., BBC World and Al Jazeera).","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260823-09","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-23","dl":"2026-09-12","s":"open","p":27,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone strike on a military facility in Damascus, Syria, results in at least one confirmed casualty between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-09, confirmed by two hostile-side reports.","rs":"Two reports from hostile sides (PS, AXIS, WEST) with independent channels confirm a drone strike on a military facility in Damascus, Syria, between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-09, with at least one confirmed casualty.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-23_1515.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-23_1515.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260824-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-24","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Airstrikes on Gaza City, Gaza Strip, will result in at least one confirmed fatality between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"At least one confirmed fatality from an airstrike in Gaza City, as reported by two or more independent news outlets with differing geopolitical affiliations, including at least one from a Western, Israeli, or Palestinian source, with the event occurring between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-24_1533.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-24_1533.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260824-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-24","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone strike will be reported in Deir Al-Balah, Gaza Strip, resulting in at least one injury between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"At least one confirmed injury from a drone strike in Deir Al-Balah, as reported by two or more independently biased news outlets, including at least one from a Western, Israeli, or Palestinian source, with the event occurring between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-24_1533.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-24_1533.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260824-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-24","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog will include a new entry for a vulnerability in Zimbra software with a severity rating of Critical or High between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog, accessible at https://www.cisa.gov/kev, will contain a new entry with a date-added value between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01, referencing a Zimbra software vulnerability with a severity rating of Critical or High.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-24_1533.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-24_1533.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260824-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-24","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The S&P 500 will close below 7,600.00 on at least one weekday between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01.","rs":"The closing value of the S&P 500 index, as reported by the CBOE or a major financial data provider such as Bloomberg or Reuters, will be below 7,600.00 on at least one weekday between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-24_1533.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-24_1533.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260824-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-24","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone strike will be reported in Kyiv, Ukraine, resulting in at least one confirmed casualty between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01.","rs":"At least one confirmed casualty from a drone strike in Kyiv, as reported by two or more independently biased news outlets, including at least one from a Western or Ukrainian source, with the event occurring between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-24_1533.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-24_1533.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260824-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-24","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new cyberattack campaign targeting critical infrastructure in the U.S. will be attributed to a foreign state actor by CISA between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-01.","rs":"CISA will issue a public advisory or alert, accessible at https://www.cisa.gov/ or a major news outlet, attributing a cyberattack campaign targeting U.S. critical infrastructure to a foreign state actor, with the advisory issued between 2026-08-25 and 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a drone attack on a refinery in Russia's Krasnodar region between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31, resulting in at least two fatalities.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The S&P 500 index closed above 7,700 on a weekday between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"The S&P 500 closes above 7,700 on a weekday between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31, as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED).","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new U.S. federal law was enacted to impose sanctions on Iran, with at least 60 entities listed, between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"The Federal Register publishes a new U.S. law imposing sanctions on Iran, listing at least 60 entities, between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A magnitude 5.5 or higher earthquake occurred in Japan between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31, with a depth of less than 100 km.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes catalog lists an earthquake with magnitude 5.5 or higher and depth less than 100 km in Japan between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A new U.S. tariff on Canadian goods, valued at $20 billion, was announced by the Canadian government between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"CNBC Top News reports that the Canadian government announced a retaliatory tariff on $20 billion of U.S. goods between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-09-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major cyberattack targeting a U.S. defense contractor was confirmed by CISA between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rs":"CISA Advisories publishes a new advisory confirming a cyberattack on a U.S. defense contractor between 2026-08-25 and 2026-08-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-08","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-26 and 2026-11-30, a Russian presidential decree ordering a new general or partial mobilization of citizens into the armed forces is published on the official legal portal publication.pravo.gov.ru.","rs":"TRUE if publication.pravo.gov.ru carries a presidential decree dated 2026-08-26 through 2026-11-30 ordering general or partial mobilization of citizens; routine conscription-campaign and reservist training-assembly decrees do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"hit","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Nvidia (NVDA) official Nasdaq closing price on 2026-08-27, the session after its scheduled 2026-08-26 after-close earnings release, is more than 5.0 percent above or below its 2026-08-26 official close.","rs":"TRUE if the Nasdaq official closing price of NVDA on 2026-08-27 differs from the 2026-08-26 official close by more than 5.0 percent in either direction; a move of exactly 5.0 percent or less is FALSE.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-25 and 2026-10-31, the HHS Office for Civil Rights breach portal posts an entry naming Nutex Health or a Nutex-affiliated hospital with 500 or more individuals affected.","rs":"TRUE if the HHS OCR breach portal lists an entry whose covered-entity name contains Nutex or names a hospital Nutex Health publicly identifies as its facility, with submission date 2026-08-25 through 2026-10-31 and 500 or more individuals affected.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-11","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-26 and 2026-10-31, CISA adds to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog at least one Zimbra Collaboration vulnerability other than CVE-2026-73570.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry whose vendorProject or product field includes Zimbra, with a dateAdded value 2026-08-26 through 2026-10-31, and a cveID other than CVE-2026-73570.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-12","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"On at least one day between 2026-08-26 and 2026-10-15, the Singapore National Environment Agency 24-hour PSI for at least one of the five reporting regions reaches 101 or higher.","rs":"TRUE if NEA published 24-hour PSI data (data.gov.sg historical PSI or NEA haze page) shows a value of 101 or higher for any region on any day 2026-08-26 through 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-13","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":7,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The government of Iran submits or publicly announces formal withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if Iran files a withdrawal notice under NPT Article X or a wire service (Reuters, AP, AFP) reports such an announcement, dated between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-30; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-14","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A New York state court issues any order or ruling, including on a preliminary motion, in the business-group lawsuit against the city-owned grocery store 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appears.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"GDACS raises tropical cyclone JULIO-26 from Green to Orange or Red alert level before the system is marked dissipated, between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if the GDACS event page for JULIO-26 shows an Orange or Red alert level at any point between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-08; FALSE if it stays Green or is closed without upgrade.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-17","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The HHS Office for Civil Rights breach portal posts a hacking or IT incident breach filed by an entity whose name contains Nutex, with a submission date between 2026-08-25 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"TRUE if the OCR breach portal lists an entity containing Nutex, breach type hacking or IT incident, submission date between 2026-08-25 and 2026-12-15 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-18","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The LBMA Gold Price PM auction fixes at or above 5000.00 dollars per troy ounce on at least one business day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if any LBMA Gold Price PM fix dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30 is 5000.00 dollars or higher in the published LBMA price record.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-19","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US Federal Register publishes a presidential document imposing or raising tariffs on Canadian-origin goods, with a publication date between 2026-08-26 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if federalregister.gov returns a presidential document published inside that window whose operative text imposes or increases duties on goods of Canada.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-20","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"OFAC adds at least one entity with a listed address in mainland China or Hong Kong to the SDN list under an Iran-related program between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if an OFAC action inside that window designates an entity addressed in China or Hong Kong carrying an Iran-related program tag such as IRAN, IFSR, or IRGC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-21","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Russian presidential decree ordering a new partial or general mobilization is published on pravo.gov.ru with a signature date between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if the official Russian legal portal pravo.gov.ru carries a presidential ukaz signed inside that window ordering mobilization of reservists beyond the standing conscription cycle.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-22","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least four distinct Russian oil refineries are struck in drone attacks between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, each acknowledged by a Russian regional governor, ministry, or federal agency.","rs":"TRUE if four or more separately named Russian refineries are reported hit inside that window with acknowledgment from a Russian governor, ministry, or Rosaviatsia statement.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260825-23","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-25","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US District Court for the District of Columbia docket in the Lockerbie bombing prosecution carries an order setting a new trial date, entered between 2026-08-26 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if a docket entry in that case, dated inside the window, fixes a specific new trial date, as shown on PACER or 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have compromised a critical infrastructure organization in the United States.","rs":"The CISA Red Team is publicly confirmed to have compromised a critical infrastructure organization in the United States between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260826-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-26","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02, Iran will publicly announce a new agreement with Oman to maintain temporary maritime access through the Strait of Hormuz.","rs":"Iran publicly announces a new agreement with Oman to maintain temporary maritime access through the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260826-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-26","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02, the U.S. Treasury will release a public statement sanctioning a new group of Iranian hackers linked to critical infrastructure breaches.","rs":"The U.S. Treasury releases a public statement sanctioning a new group of Iranian hackers linked to critical infrastructure breaches between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260826-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-26","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02, the European Union will impose new sanctions on Russia related to military actions in Ukraine.","rs":"The European Union imposes new sanctions on Russia related to military actions in Ukraine between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260826-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-26","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02, the U.S. Department of Justice will publicly confirm a cyberattack on a major U.S. healthcare provider resulting in data exposure.","rs":"The U.S. Department of Justice publicly confirms a cyberattack on a major U.S. healthcare provider resulting in data exposure between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-01","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds CVE-2026-63520, the Microsoft SharePoint Business Connectivity Services remote code execution flaw that completes the chain with CVE-2026-55040, to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry for CVE-2026-63520 whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-02","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Boston Scientific files a Form 8-K or 8-K/A with the SEC that includes Item 1.05, Material Cybersecurity Incidents, for the August 2026 cyberattack between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-30, following its initial Item 8.01 disclosure.","rs":"EDGAR filings for CIK 885725 show a Form 8-K or 8-K/A with filing date 2026-08-27 through 2026-10-30 whose listed items include 1.05; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-03","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":90,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Xi Jinping holds an in-person meeting with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi on Egyptian territory between 2026-08-30 and 2026-09-04, as part of the state visit announced by the Chinese Foreign Ministry.","rs":"Both Xinhua or the Chinese Foreign Ministry and the Egyptian Presidency report an in-person Xi-Sisi meeting held on Egyptian territory between 2026-08-30 and 2026-09-04; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-04","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States and Iranian officials at the level of secretary of state, foreign minister, or presidential special envoy meet face to face for a negotiating session between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30, and both governments acknowledge the meeting.","rs":"Both the US State Department or White House and the Iranian Foreign Ministry publicly confirm a face to face US-Iran session at that level held between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30; mediated exchanges through third parties do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-05","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-19","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A CVE tied to the Microsoft SharePoint remote code execution exploit chain reported under active targeting on 2026-08-26 will be added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-17.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog lists a Microsoft SharePoint CVE with dateAdded between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-17, checked at the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-06","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-26","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Norway's National Security Authority or Police Security Service will publicly name a specific threat actor, group, or state as responsible for the 2026-08-25 DDoS attack on Norwegian government digital services, in a statement dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-24.","rs":"NSM, PST, or the Norwegian government issues a statement naming a specific actor for the Aug 25 DDoS attack, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-24, per at least one national or wire outlet.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-07","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-10","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States will announce a new or expanded tariff action targeting Canadian goods, explicitly framed as a response to Canada's 2026-08-25 announcement of retaliatory tariffs on about 20 billion dollars of US goods, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"The White House, USTR, or Commerce Department announces new or increased tariffs on Canada linked to the Aug 25 Canadian tariffs, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-08, per at least two wire or business outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-08","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Kremlin or the White House will confirm a direct, in-person meeting between the CIA Director and Vladimir Putin, following the CIA Director's Russia visit reported 2026-08-26 in which the Kremlin said meetings involved Russian intelligence officials but not Putin, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Peskov, the Kremlin press service, or the White House confirms a direct CIA Director-Putin meeting, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30, per at least two of Reuters, AP, TASS, or Al Jazeera.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-09","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-20","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Kemi Badenoch will cease to hold the position of Leader of the Conservative Party, whether by resignation, removal, or the result of a confidence vote, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"BBC, Reuters, the Guardian, or the Conservative Party confirms Kemi Badenoch is no longer party leader, with the change dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-12-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-10","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-17","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A verdict of guilty or not guilty will be delivered in the Malta criminal trial of Yorgen Fenech for the murder of journalist Daphne Caruana Galizia, between 2026-08-27 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"Malta court records or a report from Reuters, AP, Times of Malta, or the Guardian confirm a verdict in the Fenech trial, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2027-01-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-11","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the Nepal-Tibet border flash floods and avalanche first reported 2026-08-26 will reach at least 50, as stated by Nepal's Ministry of Home Affairs or a wire service, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"Nepal's Ministry of Home Affairs or a report from at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera states a confirmed death toll of 50 or more, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-20.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-12","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran will hold a formal, publicly confirmed round of nuclear talks, direct or via an intermediary, following the 2026-08-26 report that Trump said he was not in a hurry for Iran to return to talks, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-11-15.","rs":"The US State Department, Iranian Foreign Ministry, or Omani government confirms a formal round of US-Iran nuclear talks occurred, dated between 2026-09-05 and 2026-11-15, per at least two of Al Jazeera, Reuters, or AP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-13","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A temporary joint Iran-Oman maritime corridor through the Strait of Hormuz becomes operational, carrying at least one vessel transit between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The Oman News Agency or the Omani foreign ministry, and the Iranian foreign ministry, both state the corridor is in operation with at least one transit completed before 2026-11-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-14","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States and Iranian officials hold a direct negotiating session, in person or by video link, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The State Department or White House and the Iranian foreign ministry each confirm a direct session inside the window. Relay through Omani or Qatari mediators alone does not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-15","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":82,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"OFAC designates at least one foreign-registered company or non-Iranian-flagged vessel for facilitating Iranian oil sales, in an action dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The OFAC Recent Actions page or an SDN list update dated inside the window adds at least one foreign-registered entity or non-Iranian-flagged vessel under an Iran-related program tag.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-16","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA catalogues a Microsoft SharePoint vulnerability as actively exploited, with a KEV date-added value between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON holds an entry with vendorProject Microsoft, a product string naming SharePoint, and a dateAdded value between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-17","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A named extortion group publicly claims the Boston Scientific intrusion by listing the company on a leak site between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"At least two of BleepingComputer, Cybersecurity Dive, Reuters, and The Record report a named group listing Boston Scientific on an extortion leak site inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-18","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Bureau of Industry and Security adds a party to the Entity List over diversion of advanced computing items or AI servers to China, published in the Federal Register between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A Federal Register rule published inside the window adds at least one party to the Entity List with a justification resting on diversion of advanced computing items or AI servers to China.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-19","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll in Nepal from the 2026-08-26 Bhotekoshi and Trishuli flooding reaches 300 or more, stated by a Nepali government body between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority, the Home Ministry, or the Office of the Prime Minister of Nepal states a confirmed dead count of 300 or more for this event inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-20","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"UKMTO publishes at least one incident advisory reporting a merchant vessel struck or damaged by a projectile, mine, or uncrewed system within 100 nautical miles of the Strait of Hormuz, anchor 26.5N 56.3E, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"A UKMTO advisory at ukmto.org dated 2026-08-27 through 2026-09-25 reports a vessel struck or damaged by a projectile, mine, or uncrewed system at a position within 100 nm of 26.5N 56.3E; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-21","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll in Nepal from the 26 August 2026 Bhotekoshi-Trishuli avalanche flash flood reaches at least 250 by 2026-09-16, as published by Nepal Police, the Office of the Prime Minister of Nepal, or the NDRRMA.","rs":"By 2026-09-16 a figure of at least 250 confirmed dead in Nepal, excluding missing persons and excluding deaths in China, is published by Nepal Police, the Office of the Prime Minister, or the NDRRMA BIPAD portal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-22","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at its scheduled meeting on 2026-09-16, moving it above the 3.50 to 3.75 percent range held since 2026-07-29.","rs":"FRED series DFEDTARU shows an upper limit above 3.75 percent effective 2026-09-17, matching the FOMC policy statement released 2026-09-16.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-23","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds CVE-2026-63520, the Microsoft SharePoint Business Connectivity Services remote code execution flaw that completes the chain with CVE-2026-55040, to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry for CVE-2026-63520 whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-24","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Boston Scientific files a Form 8-K or 8-K/A with the SEC that includes Item 1.05, Material Cybersecurity Incidents, for the August 2026 cyberattack between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-30, following its initial Item 8.01 disclosure.","rs":"EDGAR filings for CIK 885725 show a Form 8-K or 8-K/A with filing date 2026-08-27 through 2026-10-30 whose listed items include 1.05; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Xi Jinping holds an in-person meeting with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi on Egyptian territory between 2026-08-30 and 2026-09-04, as part of the state visit announced by the Chinese Foreign Ministry.","rs":"Both Xinhua or the Chinese Foreign Ministry and the Egyptian Presidency report an in-person Xi-Sisi meeting held on Egyptian territory between 2026-08-30 and 2026-09-04; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-26","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States and Iranian officials at the level of secretary of state, foreign minister, or presidential special envoy meet face to face for a negotiating session between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30, and both governments acknowledge the meeting.","rs":"Both the US State Department or White House and the Iranian Foreign Ministry publicly confirm a face to face US-Iran session at that level held between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30; mediated exchanges through third parties do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"UKMTO publishes at least one incident advisory reporting a merchant vessel struck or damaged by a projectile, mine, or uncrewed system within 100 nautical miles of the Strait of Hormuz, anchor 26.5N 56.3E, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"A UKMTO advisory at ukmto.org dated 2026-08-27 through 2026-09-25 reports a vessel struck or damaged by a projectile, mine, or uncrewed system at a position within 100 nm of 26.5N 56.3E; otherwise false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll in Nepal from the 26 August 2026 Bhotekoshi-Trishuli avalanche flash flood reaches at least 250 by 2026-09-16, as published by Nepal Police, the Office of the Prime Minister of Nepal, or the NDRRMA.","rs":"By 2026-09-16 a figure of at least 250 confirmed dead in Nepal, excluding missing persons and excluding deaths in China, is published by Nepal Police, the Office of the Prime Minister, or the NDRRMA BIPAD portal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A temporary joint Iran-Oman maritime corridor through the Strait of Hormuz becomes operational, carrying at least one vessel transit between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The Oman News Agency or the Omani foreign ministry, and the Iranian foreign ministry, both state the corridor is in operation with at least one transit completed before 2026-11-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"United States and Iranian officials hold a direct negotiating session, in person or by video link, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The State Department or White House and the Iranian foreign ministry each confirm a direct session inside the window. Relay through Omani or Qatari mediators alone does not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"OFAC designates at least one foreign-registered company or non-Iranian-flagged vessel for facilitating Iranian oil sales, in an action dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The OFAC Recent Actions page or an SDN list update dated inside the window adds at least one foreign-registered entity or non-Iranian-flagged vessel under an Iran-related program tag.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA catalogues a Microsoft SharePoint vulnerability as actively exploited, with a KEV date-added value between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON holds an entry with vendorProject Microsoft, a product string naming SharePoint, and a dateAdded value between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A named extortion group publicly claims the Boston Scientific intrusion by listing the company on a leak site between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"At least two of BleepingComputer, Cybersecurity Dive, Reuters, and The Record report a named group listing Boston Scientific on an extortion leak site inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Bureau of Industry and Security adds a party to the Entity List over diversion of advanced computing items or AI servers to China, published in the Federal Register between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A Federal Register rule published inside the window adds at least one party to the Entity List with a justification resting on diversion of advanced computing items or AI servers to China.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll in Nepal from the 2026-08-26 Bhotekoshi and Trishuli flooding reaches 300 or more, stated by a Nepali government body between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority, the Home Ministry, or the Office of the Prime Minister of Nepal states a confirmed dead count of 300 or more for this event inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at its scheduled meeting on 2026-09-16, moving it above the 3.50 to 3.75 percent range held since 2026-07-29.","rs":"FRED series DFEDTARU shows an upper limit above 3.75 percent effective 2026-09-17, matching the FOMC policy statement released 2026-09-16.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-19","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A CVE tied to the Microsoft SharePoint remote code execution exploit chain reported under active targeting on 2026-08-26 will be added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-17.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog lists a Microsoft SharePoint CVE with dateAdded between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-17, checked at the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-26","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Norway's National Security Authority or Police Security Service will publicly name a specific threat actor, group, or state as responsible for the 2026-08-25 DDoS attack on Norwegian government digital services, in a statement dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-24.","rs":"NSM, PST, or the Norwegian government issues a statement naming a specific actor for the Aug 25 DDoS attack, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-24, per at least one national or wire outlet.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-39","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-10","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States will announce a new or expanded tariff action targeting Canadian goods, explicitly framed as a response to Canada's 2026-08-25 announcement of retaliatory tariffs on about 20 billion dollars of US goods, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"The White House, USTR, or Commerce Department announces new or increased tariffs on Canada linked to the Aug 25 Canadian tariffs, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-08, per at least two wire or business outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-40","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Kremlin or the White House will confirm a direct, in-person meeting between the CIA Director and Vladimir Putin, following the CIA Director's Russia visit reported 2026-08-26 in which the Kremlin said meetings involved Russian intelligence officials but not Putin, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Peskov, the Kremlin press service, or the White House confirms a direct CIA Director-Putin meeting, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30, per at least two of Reuters, AP, TASS, or Al Jazeera.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-41","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-20","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Kemi Badenoch will cease to hold the position of Leader of the Conservative Party, whether by resignation, removal, or the result of a confidence vote, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"BBC, Reuters, the Guardian, or the Conservative Party confirms Kemi Badenoch is no longer party leader, with the change dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-12-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-42","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-17","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A verdict of guilty or not guilty will be delivered in the Malta criminal trial of Yorgen Fenech for the murder of journalist Daphne Caruana Galizia, between 2026-08-27 and 2027-01-15.","rs":"Malta court records or a report from Reuters, AP, Times of Malta, or the Guardian confirm a verdict in the Fenech trial, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2027-01-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-43","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the Nepal-Tibet border flash floods and avalanche first reported 2026-08-26 will reach at least 50, as stated by Nepal's Ministry of Home Affairs or a wire service, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"Nepal's Ministry of Home Affairs or a report from at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera states a confirmed death toll of 50 or more, dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-20.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-44","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran will hold a formal, publicly confirmed round of nuclear talks, direct or via an intermediary, following the 2026-08-26 report that Trump said he was not in a hurry for Iran to return to talks, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-11-15.","rs":"The US State Department, Iranian Foreign Ministry, or Omani government confirms a formal round of US-Iran nuclear talks occurred, dated between 2026-09-05 and 2026-11-15, per at least two of Al Jazeera, Reuters, or AP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-26_1538.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-26_1538.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-45","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-26 and 2026-11-30, a Russian presidential decree ordering a new general or partial mobilization of citizens into the armed forces is published on the official legal portal publication.pravo.gov.ru.","rs":"TRUE if publication.pravo.gov.ru carries a presidential decree dated 2026-08-26 through 2026-11-30 ordering general or partial mobilization of citizens; routine conscription-campaign and reservist training-assembly decrees do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-01","s":"hit","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Nvidia (NVDA) official Nasdaq closing price on 2026-08-27, the session after its scheduled 2026-08-26 after-close earnings release, is more than 5.0 percent above or below its 2026-08-26 official close.","rs":"TRUE if the Nasdaq official closing price of NVDA on 2026-08-27 differs from the 2026-08-26 official close by more than 5.0 percent in either direction; a move of exactly 5.0 percent or less is FALSE.","rd":"2026-09-02","sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":23,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-26 and 2026-10-31, CISA adds to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog at least one Zimbra Collaboration vulnerability other than CVE-2026-73570.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry whose vendorProject or product field includes Zimbra, with a dateAdded value 2026-08-26 through 2026-10-31, and a cveID other than CVE-2026-73570.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"On at least one day between 2026-08-26 and 2026-10-15, the Singapore National Environment Agency 24-hour PSI for at least one of the five reporting regions reaches 101 or higher.","rs":"TRUE if NEA published 24-hour PSI data (data.gov.sg historical PSI or NEA haze page) shows a value of 101 or higher for any region on any day 2026-08-26 through 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-49","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The LBMA Gold Price PM auction fixes at or above 5000.00 dollars per troy ounce on at least one business day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if any LBMA Gold Price PM fix dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30 is 5000.00 dollars or higher in the published LBMA price record.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-50","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US Federal Register publishes a presidential document imposing or raising tariffs on Canadian-origin goods, with a publication date between 2026-08-26 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if federalregister.gov returns a presidential document published inside that window whose operative text imposes or increases duties on goods of Canada.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-51","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"OFAC adds at least one entity with a listed address in mainland China or Hong Kong to the SDN list under an Iran-related program between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if an OFAC action inside that window designates an entity addressed in China or Hong Kong carrying an Iran-related program tag such as IRAN, IFSR, or IRGC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-52","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Russian presidential decree ordering a new partial or general mobilization is published on pravo.gov.ru with a signature date between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if the official Russian legal portal pravo.gov.ru carries a presidential ukaz signed inside that window ordering mobilization of reservists beyond the standing conscription cycle.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-53","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least four distinct Russian oil refineries are struck in drone attacks between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, each acknowledged by a Russian regional governor, ministry, or federal agency.","rs":"TRUE if four or more separately named Russian refineries are reported hit inside that window with acknowledgment from a Russian governor, ministry, or Rosaviatsia statement.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-54","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US District Court for the District of Columbia docket in the Lockerbie bombing prosecution carries an order setting a new trial date, entered between 2026-08-26 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if a docket entry in that case, dated inside the window, fixes a specific new trial date, as shown on PACER or CourtListener.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-55","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The government of Iran submits or publicly announces formal withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if Iran files a withdrawal notice under NPT Article X or a wire service (Reuters, AP, AFP) reports such an announcement, dated between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-30; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-56","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":29,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A New York state court issues any order or ruling, including on a preliminary motion, in the business-group lawsuit against the city-owned grocery store initiative, between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if the case docket in the New York court e-filing system shows a judicial order or ruling entered between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-30 in this case; FALSE if no order is entered.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-57","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":31,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A named law-enforcement agency (Europol, FBI, or a national police force) announces additional arrests connected to the global cybercrime crackdown, between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if Europol, the FBI, or a national police agency issues a press release naming additional arrests tied to this operation, dated 2026-08-26 through 2026-09-08; FALSE if no such release appears.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-58","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"GDACS raises tropical cyclone JULIO-26 from Green to Orange or Red alert level before the system is marked dissipated, between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if the GDACS event page for JULIO-26 shows an Orange or Red alert level at any point between 2026-08-26 and 2026-09-08; FALSE if it stays Green or is closed without upgrade.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-25_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-25_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-59","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, the USGS will record a magnitude 5.0 or higher earthquake in Japan with a depth of less than 30km.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database will list a magnitude 5.0 or higher earthquake in Japan with a depth of less than 30km, occurring between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-60","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, the S&P 500 will close above 7,800 points on at least one weekday.","rs":"The S&P 500 will close above 7,800 points on at least one weekday between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, as reported by a major financial data provider.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-61","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, a confirmed military strike will occur in the Gaza City area, resulting in at least one reported casualty.","rs":"A confirmed military strike in Gaza City, verified by two independent sources from hostile sides (IL and PS), results in at least one reported casualty.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-62","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, a new political statement will be issued by Iran's foreign ministry regarding negotiations with the US, corroborated by both Axis and Western sources.","rs":"A statement issued by Iran's foreign ministry regarding negotiations with the US, corroborated by at least one source from the Axis and one from the Western side, will be published between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-63","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, a confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2021-23758 will be reported by at least two independent sources.","rs":"A confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2021-23758 will be reported by at least two independent sources, one from a Western outlet and one from an Axis-aligned outlet, between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-64","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, a confirmed forest fire will be reported in Canada with a size exceeding 10,000 hectares.","rs":"A confirmed forest fire in Canada, reported by GDACS Alerts and verified by a second independent source, will have a size exceeding 10,000 hectares between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-65","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, a confirmed political statement by Trump regarding Iran sanctions will be corroborated by both Western and Axis sources.","rs":"A political statement by Trump regarding Iran sanctions, published between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, will be corroborated by at least one Western and one Axis-aligned source.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-66","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-07","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-03, a confirmed military strike in Kyiv will result in at least one reported casualty.","rs":"A confirmed military strike in Kyiv, verified by two independent sources from hostile sides (RU and UA), results in at least one reported casualty.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-67","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC raises the target range for the federal funds rate above 3.50-3.75 percent at its scheduled 2026-09-16 meeting.","rs":"The FOMC statement dated 2026-09-16 on federalreserve.gov announces an increase in the target range; equivalently FRED series DFEDTARU shows a value above 3.75 on 2026-09-17.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-68","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Nvidia or Hugging Face officially confirms a definitive agreement for Nvidia to acquire Hugging Face between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A press release, SEC filing by NVIDIA Corp, or official company blog post dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30 states that Nvidia has entered a definitive agreement to acquire Hugging Face.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-69","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one civil complaint naming Carhartt Inc as defendant over the 2026 customer data breach is filed in a US federal district court between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"PACER or CourtListener shows a complaint filed between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-02 in any US federal district court that names Carhartt Inc as defendant and alleges harm from the 2026 data breach of about 12.9 million accounts.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-70","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds a vulnerability in the Avada WordPress theme to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry whose vendorProject, product, or vulnerabilityName field includes Avada, with dateAdded between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-71","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Official confirmed deaths from the 2026-08-26 Bhotekoshi-Trishuli flash flood, Nepal and Tibet combined, reach at least 1,000 by 2026-09-30.","rs":"Reuters, AP, or AFP reports that official confirmed deaths from the 2026-08-26 flood, Nepal police or NDRRMA figures plus Chinese official figures for Gyirong county, total at least 1,000 as of a date no later than 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-72","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Norwegian Royal House announces the death of King Harald V occurring between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-10.","rs":"An official statement from the Royal House of Norway (kongehuset.no) or NTB reports the death of King Harald V on a date between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-10 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-73","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran both publicly confirm signing a final agreement ending the war that began on 2026-02-28, with the signing occurring between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The White House or State Department and the Iranian Foreign Ministry or IRNA each confirm a signed final agreement ending the war, distinct from a ceasefire, memorandum, or framework, signed between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-74","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"UKMTO publishes at least three separate incident reports of merchant vessels struck by a projectile, mine, or other weapon in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or Persian Gulf between 2026-08-28 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The UKMTO incidents page (ukmto.org) lists at least three distinct incident references dated 2026-08-28 to 2026-09-30, each stating a vessel was struck, hit, or impacted in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or Persian Gulf.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-75","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Spanish authorities (Guardia Civil or Policia Nacional) announce at least one arrest in the 2026-08-27 Villena Treasure theft between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"An official Guardia Civil or Policia Nacional communication, or Reuters, AP, AFP, or EFE citing such officials, reports at least one person arrested (detenido) for the Villena Museum theft, with the arrest dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-76","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran, directly or through the mediating states of Qatar, Oman, or Pakistan named in current shuttle diplomacy, announce a ceasefire, truce, or negotiated framework ending active hostilities in the ongoing Iran war, with that announcement first reported between 2026-09-10 and 2026-10-10.","rs":"At least two independently owned wire services, or the US State Department and the Iranian foreign ministry both, confirm a ceasefire, truce, or framework agreement ending active US-Iran hostilities was announced within the stated window, checked by 2026-10-13.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-77","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian military forces conduct a strike, using missile, drone, or other kinetic means, that lands on the sovereign territory of a NATO member state, including the UK, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-03.","rs":"At least two independently owned news organizations, or a NATO member government and NATO itself, confirm a Russian-origin strike landed on NATO member territory within the window, checked by 2026-10-06.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-78","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":27,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog entry for CVE-2026-8452, the Citrix NetScaler ADC and Gateway flaw added 2026-08-26, has its knownRansomwareCampaignUse field changed to Yes between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The public CISA KEV catalog feed at cisa.gov shows knownRansomwareCampaignUse equal to Yes for CVE-2026-8452, with the change falling inside the window, checked by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-79","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-21","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Boston Scientific files a Form 8-K Item 1.05 material cybersecurity incident disclosure with the SEC regarding the cyberattack disclosed 2026-08-26, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-17.","rs":"SEC EDGAR shows a Boston Scientific Form 8-K containing Item 1.05 filed within the window, checked by 2026-10-21.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-80","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Open Market Committee raises the target federal funds rate range at the conclusion of its September 15-16, 2026 meeting.","rs":"The Federal Reserve post-meeting statement released 2026-09-16 shows a target federal funds rate range higher than the range in effect entering the meeting.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-81","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-02-04","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The military commission trial date for Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and co-defendants, currently set for June, is reported as vacated, postponed, or otherwise materially altered by a commission ruling, DOD announcement, or appellate court order, between 2026-09-03 and 2027-01-31.","rs":"A DOD, Office of Military Commissions, or major wire service report confirms the June trial date no longer stands as scheduled, with that report dated within the window, checked by 2027-02-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-82","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the August 2026 Nepal-Tibet flash flood and glacial lake outburst event reaches at least 800, as reported by the government of Nepal, Chinese authorities, or UN OCHA, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A government of Nepal, Chinese government, or UN OCHA situation report states a confirmed fatality count of 800 or more tied to this event, dated within the window, checked by 2026-10-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-83","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one individual arrested in the TeamPCP supply-chain hacking case is formally charged by an Australian prosecutorial authority or a foreign partner agency, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"An AFP, CDPP, DOJ, or equivalent prosecutorial press release, or a court filing, confirms formal charges were laid against at least one TeamPCP suspect within the window, checked by 2026-11-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-84","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add at least 20 CVE entries carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Fetch the CISA KEV JSON feed and count entries whose dateAdded field falls between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30 inclusive. A count of 20 or more resolves TRUE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-85","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":62,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Register will publish at least one presidential proclamation or executive order imposing new or increased US tariff rates, dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"A Federal Register presidential document published between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31 newly imposes or raises US duty rates on imported goods. Pure extensions of existing rates resolve FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-86","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran will hold publicly acknowledged direct bilateral talks between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"A US executive branch spokesperson and the Iranian foreign ministry each acknowledge that officials of the two states met directly between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31. Mediated contact alone resolves FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-87","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UK government will attribute to Russia an attack causing physical damage or casualties to UK territory, UK-flagged shipping, or UK armed forces, occurring between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"A UK minister or the Ministry of Defence states that Russia carried out such an attack occurring between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31 and names the damaged asset or casualties. Cyber intrusion alone resolves FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-88","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"King Harald V of Norway will die between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-31 and Crown Prince Haakon will succeed him as king.","rs":"The Royal House of Norway announces the death of King Harald V on a date between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-31, and Haakon is proclaimed king or takes the oath before the Storting.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-89","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Spanish authorities will detain at least one person in connection with the theft of the Treasure of Villena, with the detention occurring between 2026-08-27 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The Guardia Civil, the Policia Nacional, or the Spanish Interior Ministry states that a person was detained in connection with this theft between 2026-08-27 and 2026-11-30, carried by two independent outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-90","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC raises the target range for the federal funds rate above 3.50-3.75 percent at its scheduled 2026-09-16 meeting.","rs":"The FOMC statement dated 2026-09-16 on federalreserve.gov announces an increase in the target range; equivalently FRED series DFEDTARU shows a value above 3.75 on 2026-09-17.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-91","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Nvidia or Hugging Face officially confirms a definitive agreement for Nvidia to acquire Hugging Face between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A press release, SEC filing by NVIDIA Corp, or official company blog post dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-30 states that Nvidia has entered a definitive agreement to acquire Hugging Face.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-92","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one civil complaint naming Carhartt Inc as defendant over the 2026 customer data breach is filed in a US federal district court between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"PACER or CourtListener shows a complaint filed between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-02 in any US federal district court that names Carhartt Inc as defendant and alleges harm from the 2026 data breach of about 12.9 million accounts.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-93","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds a vulnerability in the Avada WordPress theme to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains an entry whose vendorProject, product, or vulnerabilityName field includes Avada, with dateAdded between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-94","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Official confirmed deaths from the 2026-08-26 Bhotekoshi-Trishuli flash flood, Nepal and Tibet combined, reach at least 1,000 by 2026-09-30.","rs":"Reuters, AP, or AFP reports that official confirmed deaths from the 2026-08-26 flood, Nepal police or NDRRMA figures plus Chinese official figures for Gyirong county, total at least 1,000 as of a date no later than 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-95","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Norwegian Royal House announces the death of King Harald V occurring between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-10.","rs":"An official statement from the Royal House of Norway (kongehuset.no) or NTB reports the death of King Harald V on a date between 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-10 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-96","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran both publicly confirm signing a final agreement ending the war that began on 2026-02-28, with the signing occurring between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The White House or State Department and the Iranian Foreign Ministry or IRNA each confirm a signed final agreement ending the war, distinct from a ceasefire, memorandum, or framework, signed between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-97","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"UKMTO publishes at least three separate incident reports of merchant vessels struck by a projectile, mine, or other weapon in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or Persian Gulf between 2026-08-28 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The UKMTO incidents page (ukmto.org) lists at least three distinct incident references dated 2026-08-28 to 2026-09-30, each stating a vessel was struck, hit, or impacted in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or Persian Gulf.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-98","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Spanish authorities (Guardia Civil or Policia Nacional) announce at least one arrest in the 2026-08-27 Villena Treasure theft between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"An official Guardia Civil or Policia Nacional communication, or Reuters, AP, AFP, or EFE citing such officials, reports at least one person arrested (detenido) for the Villena Museum theft, with the arrest dated between 2026-08-27 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-99","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran, directly or through the mediating states of Qatar, Oman, or Pakistan named in current shuttle diplomacy, announce a ceasefire, truce, or negotiated framework ending active hostilities in the ongoing Iran war, with that announcement first reported between 2026-09-10 and 2026-10-10.","rs":"At least two independently owned wire services, or the US State Department and the Iranian foreign ministry both, confirm a ceasefire, truce, or framework agreement ending active US-Iran hostilities was announced within the stated window, checked by 2026-10-13.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-100","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian military forces conduct a strike, using missile, drone, or other kinetic means, that lands on the sovereign territory of a NATO member state, including the UK, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-03.","rs":"At least two independently owned news organizations, or a NATO member government and NATO itself, confirm a Russian-origin strike landed on NATO member territory within the window, checked by 2026-10-06.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-101","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog entry for CVE-2026-8452, the Citrix NetScaler ADC and Gateway flaw added 2026-08-26, has its knownRansomwareCampaignUse field changed to Yes between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The public CISA KEV catalog feed at cisa.gov shows knownRansomwareCampaignUse equal to Yes for CVE-2026-8452, with the change falling inside the window, checked by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-102","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-21","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Boston Scientific files a Form 8-K Item 1.05 material cybersecurity incident disclosure with the SEC regarding the cyberattack disclosed 2026-08-26, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-17.","rs":"SEC EDGAR shows a Boston Scientific Form 8-K containing Item 1.05 filed within the window, checked by 2026-10-21.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-103","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Open Market Committee raises the target federal funds rate range at the conclusion of its September 15-16, 2026 meeting.","rs":"The Federal Reserve post-meeting statement released 2026-09-16 shows a target federal funds rate range higher than the range in effect entering the meeting.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-104","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-02-04","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The military commission trial date for Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and co-defendants, currently set for June, is reported as vacated, postponed, or otherwise materially altered by a commission ruling, DOD announcement, or appellate court order, between 2026-09-03 and 2027-01-31.","rs":"A DOD, Office of Military Commissions, or major wire service report confirms the June trial date no longer stands as scheduled, with that report dated within the window, checked by 2027-02-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-105","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-03","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the August 2026 Nepal-Tibet flash flood and glacial lake outburst event reaches at least 800, as reported by the government of Nepal, Chinese authorities, or UN OCHA, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A government of Nepal, Chinese government, or UN OCHA situation report states a confirmed fatality count of 800 or more tied to this event, dated within the window, checked by 2026-10-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-106","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At least one individual arrested in the TeamPCP supply-chain hacking case is formally charged by an Australian prosecutorial authority or a foreign partner agency, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"An AFP, CDPP, DOJ, or equivalent prosecutorial press release, or a court filing, confirms formal charges were laid against at least one TeamPCP suspect within the window, checked by 2026-11-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-107","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add at least 20 CVE entries carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Fetch the CISA KEV JSON feed and count entries whose dateAdded field falls between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30 inclusive. A count of 20 or more resolves TRUE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-108","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Register will publish at least one presidential proclamation or executive order imposing new or increased US tariff rates, dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"A Federal Register presidential document published between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31 newly imposes or raises US duty rates on imported goods. Pure extensions of existing rates resolve FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-109","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran will hold publicly acknowledged direct bilateral talks between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"A US executive branch spokesperson and the Iranian foreign ministry each acknowledge that officials of the two states met directly between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31. Mediated contact alone resolves FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-110","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UK government will attribute to Russia an attack causing physical damage or casualties to UK territory, UK-flagged shipping, or UK armed forces, occurring between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"A UK minister or the Ministry of Defence states that Russia carried out such an attack occurring between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31 and names the damaged asset or casualties. Cyber intrusion alone resolves FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-111","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"King Harald V of Norway will die between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-31 and Crown Prince Haakon will succeed him as king.","rs":"The Royal House of Norway announces the death of King Harald V on a date between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-31, and Haakon is proclaimed king or takes the oath before the Storting.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-112","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Spanish authorities will detain at least one person in connection with the theft of the Treasure of Villena, with the detention occurring between 2026-08-27 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The Guardia Civil, the Policia Nacional, or the Spanish Interior Ministry states that a person was detained in connection with this theft between 2026-08-27 and 2026-11-30, carried by two independent outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-113","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"ai-claims","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Anthropic records the provable inference prototype goal of its Frontier Safety Roadmap, stated as a prototype to be developed by 2026-09-30, as completed with a completion date on or before 2026-09-30, on the Frontier Safety Roadmap updates page at anthropic.com.","rs":"The Frontier Safety Roadmap updates page at anthropic.com lists the provable inference prototype goal with status Completed and a completion date on or before 2026-09-30, checked by 2026-10-14; a goal marked de-prioritized, removed, or completed after 2026-09-30 resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-114","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-07-15","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"ai-claims","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Anthropic records the Leveling up across the board security goal of its Frontier Safety Roadmap, stated with a target of 2027-07-01, as completed with a completion date on or before 2027-07-01, on the Frontier Safety Roadmap updates page at anthropic.com.","rs":"The Frontier Safety Roadmap updates page at anthropic.com lists the Leveling up across the board goal with status Completed and a completion date on or before 2027-07-01, checked by 2027-07-15; a goal marked de-prioritized, removed, or completed after 2027-07-01 resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-115","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-07","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"ai-claims","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"OpenAI publishes a revised Preparedness Framework, described by OpenAI as a revision or new version of the framework that dates largely to December 2023, on openai.com between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"openai.com carries a Preparedness Framework document with a version date between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31 that OpenAI describes as a revision or new version of the Preparedness Framework, checked by 2027-01-07; blog posts announcing an intent to revise, without a published revised framework, resolve false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-116","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"ai-claims","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Anthropic records the provable inference prototype goal of its Frontier Safety Roadmap, stated as a prototype to be developed by 2026-09-30, as completed with a completion date on or before 2026-09-30, on the Frontier Safety Roadmap updates page at anthropic.com.","rs":"The Frontier Safety Roadmap updates page at anthropic.com lists the provable inference prototype goal with status Completed and a completion date on or before 2026-09-30, checked by 2026-10-14; a goal marked de-prioritized, removed, or completed after 2026-09-30 resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-117","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-07-15","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"ai-claims","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Anthropic records the Leveling up across the board security goal of its Frontier Safety Roadmap, stated with a target of 2027-07-01, as completed with a completion date on or before 2027-07-01, on the Frontier Safety Roadmap updates page at anthropic.com.","rs":"The Frontier Safety Roadmap updates page at anthropic.com lists the Leveling up across the board goal with status Completed and a completion date on or before 2027-07-01, checked by 2027-07-15; a goal marked de-prioritized, removed, or completed after 2027-07-01 resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-118","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-07","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"ai-claims","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"OpenAI publishes a revised Preparedness Framework, described by OpenAI as a revision or new version of the framework that dates largely to December 2023, on openai.com between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"openai.com carries a Preparedness Framework document with a version date between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31 that OpenAI describes as a revision or new version of the Preparedness Framework, checked by 2027-01-07; blog posts announcing an intent to revise, without a published revised framework, resolve false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-119","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":13,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The reported 12.9 billion dollar Nvidia acquisition of Hugging Face is confirmed closed, meaning the transaction has legally completed, between 2026-09-03 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"A joint Nvidia and Hugging Face press release, or an Nvidia SEC filing, states the acquisition has closed within the window, checked by 2026-12-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-120","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The official confirmed death toll from the late-August 2026 Nepal-Tibet flash floods will stand at 750 or more at some point between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"Between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15, figures from the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority of Nepal plus official Chinese tallies for Tibet total 750 or more confirmed dead.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-121","a":"operator/human","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-07","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"ai-claims","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"OpenAI publishes a system card or preparedness report for the Astra model on openai.com between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31 that names at least one external organization, a government agency or an independent AI safety organization, as having evaluated the Astra model.","rs":"A system card or preparedness report for the Astra model published on openai.com between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31 names at least one government agency or independent AI safety organization as an evaluator of the Astra model, checked by 2027-01-07; a document naming no external evaluator resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260827-122","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-27","dl":"2027-01-07","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"ai-claims","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"OpenAI publishes a system card or preparedness report for the Astra model on openai.com between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31 that names at least one external organization, a government agency or an independent AI safety organization, as having evaluated the Astra model.","rs":"A system card or preparedness report for the Astra model published on openai.com between 2026-08-28 and 2026-12-31 names at least one government agency or independent AI safety organization as an evaluator of the Astra model, checked by 2027-01-07; a document naming no external evaluator resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-27_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-27_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A Russian drone strike on a warehouse near Kyiv between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-05 results in at least 37 fatalities, confirmed by BBC World and Guardian World reporting.","rs":"BBC World and Guardian World each publish a report between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-11 stating that a Russian drone strike on a warehouse near Kyiv between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-05 caused at least 37 fatalities.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog will include at least one new exploited vulnerability between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries at least one entry with a date-added value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major earthquake with magnitude 6.5 or higher will be recorded by USGS in the Pacific Northwest between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed records one or more events with magnitude \u22656.5 in the Pacific Northwest region between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The S&P 500 will close above 7,800 on at least one weekday between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The S&P 500 closes at or above 7,800 on at least one weekday between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, as reported by MarketWatch.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A cyberattack exploiting a flaw in PaperCut software will be confirmed by BleepingComputer between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"BleepingComputer publishes a report between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-17 confirming that a cyberattack exploited a flaw in PaperCut software between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will exceed 4.8% on at least one weekday between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 4.8% on at least one weekday between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, as reported by CNBC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone strike on Gaza City will be confirmed by Al Jazeera and BBC World between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"Al Jazeera and BBC World each publish a report between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-17 confirming a drone strike on Gaza City between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The European Union will report gas storage levels below 30% of capacity on at least one weekday between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The Guardian Business reports that EU gas storage levels are below 30% of capacity on at least one weekday between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-09","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major cyberattack exploiting a flaw in the Cosmos EVM will be confirmed by The Hacker News between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"The Hacker News publishes a report between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-17 confirming that a cyberattack exploited a flaw in the Cosmos EVM between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":93,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian forces conduct at least one drone or missile strike on Kyiv between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report a Russian drone or missile strike on Kyiv occurring between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-11","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran convene at least one publicly acknowledged round of direct or mediated negotiations between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Both the US and Iranian governments publicly acknowledge that direct or mediated negotiations between their officials convened on at least one date between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-12","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2027-01-04","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds a ServiceNow vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog contains at least one entry with vendorProject ServiceNow and a dateAdded value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-12-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-13","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The combined confirmed death toll from the Nepal-Tibet flash floods reaches at least 1000 between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"Official Nepali government figures or OCHA reporting state a combined Nepal and Tibet confirmed death toll of at least 1000 from the August 2026 flash floods, on or before 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-14","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The barrier lake at the Nepal-China border produces a further outburst or overflow causing new evacuations, damage, or deaths between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"At least two of BBC, Guardian, Al Jazeera, Reuters, or AP report a new outburst or overflow from the Nepal-China barrier lake between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-30 causing fresh evacuations, damage, or deaths.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC will leave the federal funds target range unchanged at its scheduled meeting concluding 2026-09-16, despite the hawkish Jackson Hole remarks in items 53, 55, and 56.","rs":"True if the FOMC statement released 2026-09-16 at 2pm ET sets the same target range in effect entering the meeting, per federalreserve.gov or a wire report.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-18","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A second, distinct flash-flood or lake-outburst event from the barrier lake in items 43 and 46 will hit Nepal or Tibet, separate from the flooding already reported as of 2026-08-28, between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"True if Nepal disaster authorities, Chinese state media, or two wire services report a new flood or outburst event from this barrier lake, distinct from the ongoing flooding, in that window, checked at the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-17","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range by 25 basis points at its scheduled 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-16 meeting, lifting the range to 3.75-4.00 percent.","rs":"The FOMC policy statement dated 2026-09-16 on federalreserve.gov sets the federal funds target range at 3.75 to 4.00 percent. A hold, a cut, or any other size of move resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-18","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukrainian authorities report Russian drone or missile impacts inside Kyiv city on at least six separate calendar days between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Kyiv City Military Administration or Ukrainian Air Force statements, each carried by Reuters, AFP, or AP, place drone or missile impacts inside Kyiv city on six or more distinct days in the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-19","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":7,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran halts commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz for at least 72 consecutive hours at some point between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"Two of Reuters, Lloyds List, and AP report that commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was suspended by Iranian action for 72 or more consecutive hours inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-20","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran hold direct, publicly acknowledged government-to-government talks between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Officials of both governments publicly confirm a direct meeting between US and Iranian representatives held inside the window, reported by two of Reuters, AP, and AFP. Indirect mediation only resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-21","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Combined confirmed deaths from the Nepal-Tibet glacial outburst flood reach 1,000 or more at some point between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"Nepal Police and Chinese authority tolls, as reported by two of Reuters, AP, and AFP, sum to 1,000 or more confirmed dead on any date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-22","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Austrian authorities announce at least one arrest in the Vienna museum theft of the 673-diamond necklace between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Vienna police or the Austrian public prosecutor announce an arrest or detention connected to the necklace theft, reported by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, and DPA, inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-23","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Russian forces conduct at least one drone or missile strike on Kyiv between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report a Russian drone or missile strike on Kyiv occurring between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-24","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran convene at least one publicly acknowledged round of direct or mediated negotiations between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Both the US and Iranian governments publicly acknowledge that direct or mediated negotiations between their officials convened on at least one date between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2027-01-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA adds a ServiceNow vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog contains at least one entry with vendorProject ServiceNow and a dateAdded value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-12-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-26","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The combined confirmed death toll from the Nepal-Tibet flash floods reaches at least 1000 between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"Official Nepali government figures or OCHA reporting state a combined Nepal and Tibet confirmed death toll of at least 1000 from the August 2026 flash floods, on or before 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The barrier lake at the Nepal-China border produces a further outburst or overflow causing new evacuations, damage, or deaths between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"At least two of BBC, Guardian, Al Jazeera, Reuters, or AP report a new outburst or overflow from the Nepal-China barrier lake between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-30 causing fresh evacuations, damage, or deaths.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC will leave the federal funds target range unchanged at its scheduled meeting concluding 2026-09-16, despite the hawkish Jackson Hole remarks in items 53, 55, and 56.","rs":"True if the FOMC statement released 2026-09-16 at 2pm ET sets the same target range in effect entering the meeting, per federalreserve.gov or a wire report.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-18","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A second, distinct flash-flood or lake-outburst event from the barrier lake in items 43 and 46 will hit Nepal or Tibet, separate from the flooding already reported as of 2026-08-28, between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"True if Nepal disaster authorities, Chinese state media, or two wire services report a new flood or outburst event from this barrier lake, distinct from the ongoing flooding, in that window, checked at the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range by 25 basis points at its scheduled 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-16 meeting, lifting the range to 3.75-4.00 percent.","rs":"The FOMC policy statement dated 2026-09-16 on federalreserve.gov sets the federal funds target range at 3.75 to 4.00 percent. A hold, a cut, or any other size of move resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukrainian authorities report Russian drone or missile impacts inside Kyiv city on at least six separate calendar days between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Kyiv City Military Administration or Ukrainian Air Force statements, each carried by Reuters, AFP, or AP, place drone or missile impacts inside Kyiv city on six or more distinct days in the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran halts commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz for at least 72 consecutive hours at some point between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"Two of Reuters, Lloyds List, and AP report that commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was suspended by Iranian action for 72 or more consecutive hours inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The United States and Iran hold direct, publicly acknowledged government-to-government talks between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Officials of both governments publicly confirm a direct meeting between US and Iranian representatives held inside the window, reported by two of Reuters, AP, and AFP. Indirect mediation only resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Combined confirmed deaths from the Nepal-Tibet glacial outburst flood reach 1,000 or more at some point between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"Nepal Police and Chinese authority tolls, as reported by two of Reuters, AP, and AFP, sum to 1,000 or more confirmed dead on any date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Austrian authorities announce at least one arrest in the Vienna museum theft of the 673-diamond necklace between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"Vienna police or the Austrian public prosecutor announce an arrest or detention connected to the necklace theft, reported by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, and DPA, inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-36","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, at least one Russian strike event in Kyiv city or Kyiv oblast kills 10 or more people according to Ukrainian state authorities.","rs":"Ukrainian state authorities attribute 10 or more deaths to a single strike event in Kyiv city or oblast occurring between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, carried by two international news agencies.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-37","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-30 and 2026-11-30, the US and Iranian governments both publicly confirm a specific round of direct or mediated negotiations, with venue or date named.","rs":"The US State Department or White House and the Iranian foreign ministry each publicly confirm a negotiation round with named venue or date occurring between 2026-08-30 and 2026-11-30, per two international outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-38","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"By 2026-10-30, the combined official confirmed death toll from the August 2026 Nepal-Tibet glacial outburst floods, per Nepali and Chinese authorities, reaches at least 1,000.","rs":"AP, Reuters, AFP, or BBC report official Nepali plus Chinese confirmed-dead figures for the August 2026 flood totaling 1,000 or more, dated on or before 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-39","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A PaperCut vulnerability is added to the CISA KEV catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one entry naming PaperCut with dateAdded between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-40","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-01","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-27.","rs":"Official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement prices show at least one settlement at or above 95.00 USD between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-27.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-41","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30, Treasury OFAC publishes a new or amended Venezuela general license authorizing petroleum-sector transactions.","rs":"The OFAC Venezuela sanctions page carries a general license, new or amended, dated between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30, whose text authorizes petroleum-sector transactions.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-42","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-31, US authorities remove Milo Yiannopoulos from the United States.","rs":"Two international outlets, citing DHS, ICE, or court records, report Yiannopoulos removed or deported from the US on a date between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-43","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-26","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add an entry for CVE-2026-81578 or CVE-2026-82078, the actively exploited PaperCut NG/MF flaws, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-24.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists CVE-2026-81578 or CVE-2026-82078 with dateAdded inside the window, checked on 2026-10-26; FALSE if neither entry appears by then.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-44","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"McKesson will file a document on SEC EDGAR, such as a Form 8-K/A or 10-Q, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-11-30 that states a specific number or bounded range of individuals affected by its August 2026 data theft incident.","rs":"TRUE if a McKesson SEC EDGAR filing dated in the window states a specific number or bounded range of affected individuals; FALSE if no such filing exists as of 2026-12-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-45","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-28","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Serbia will hold its snap parliamentary election on 2026-10-25 rather than on 2026-10-18, the two dates floated by President Aleksandar Vucic.","rs":"TRUE if Serbian election authorities or two of Reuters, AP, and AFP confirm voting occurred on 2026-10-25; FALSE if the vote is held 2026-10-18 or not confirmed by 2026-10-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-46","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A single Russian missile or drone strike will kill 10 or more people in Kyiv, Ukraine, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-05.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian officials and at least one of Reuters, AP, or AFP report 10 or more deaths from one strike on Kyiv in the window; checked 2026-10-07; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-47","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2027-02-03","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Mojtaba Khamenei will still publicly hold the title of Supreme Leader of Iran throughout the window from 2026-09-05 to 2027-01-31.","rs":"TRUE if Iranian state media and at least one of Reuters or AP confirm Mojtaba Khamenei still holds this title on 2027-01-31; FALSE if replaced, resigned, or killed before then.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-48","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the 26 August 2026 Nepal-Tibet glacial flood disaster will exceed 1,000 people at some point between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19.","rs":"TRUE if the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority of Nepal or two of Reuters, AP, and AFP report a confirmed toll above 1,000 in the window; checked 2026-09-22; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-49","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds CVE-2026-82078 or CVE-2026-81578 with a date_added value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains an entry for CVE-2026-82078 or CVE-2026-81578 carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-16 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-50","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Stolen City of Berlin administrative data is published on an extortion leak site between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of BBC, Reuters, dpa, Tagesspiegel or Heise report that data taken from Berlin city systems was published by the extortion group in that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-51","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Front-month ICE Brent crude settles at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if ICE publishes a front-month Brent futures settlement price of 100.00 USD or higher for any trading day inside that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-52","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2027-02-17","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A petition for a writ of certiorari arising from the 2026-08-28 Ninth Circuit prediction-market ruling is docketed at the US Supreme Court between 2026-08-29 and 2027-02-13.","rs":"TRUE if the Supreme Court electronic docket lists a certiorari petition naming Kalshi and Nevada gaming regulators, docketed on or before 2027-02-13.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-53","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Ukrainian Air Force reports at least 500 Russian drones and missiles launched in one overnight attack between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if a Ukrainian Air Force overnight air-situation report covering a night inside that window states a combined launch total of 500 or more munitions.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-54","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":42,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll in Nepal from the 2026-08-26 Rasuwa flood reaches at least 1000 between 2026-08-30 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal Police or the NDRRMA give a confirmed Nepal death toll of 1000 or more inside that window, carried by two of Reuters, AP, AFP or BBC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-55","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, at least one Russian strike event in Kyiv city or Kyiv oblast kills 10 or more people according to Ukrainian state authorities.","rs":"Ukrainian state authorities attribute 10 or more deaths to a single strike event in Kyiv city or oblast occurring between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, carried by two international news agencies.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-56","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-30 and 2026-11-30, the US and Iranian governments both publicly confirm a specific round of direct or mediated negotiations, with venue or date named.","rs":"The US State Department or White House and the Iranian foreign ministry each publicly confirm a negotiation round with named venue or date occurring between 2026-08-30 and 2026-11-30, per two international outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-57","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"By 2026-10-30, the combined official confirmed death toll from the August 2026 Nepal-Tibet glacial outburst floods, per Nepali and Chinese authorities, reaches at least 1,000.","rs":"AP, Reuters, AFP, or BBC report official Nepali plus Chinese confirmed-dead figures for the August 2026 flood totaling 1,000 or more, dated on or before 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-58","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A PaperCut vulnerability is added to the CISA KEV catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one entry naming PaperCut with dateAdded between 2026-08-29 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-59","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-01","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-27.","rs":"Official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement prices show at least one settlement at or above 95.00 USD between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-27.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-60","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30, Treasury OFAC publishes a new or amended Venezuela general license authorizing petroleum-sector transactions.","rs":"The OFAC Venezuela sanctions page carries a general license, new or amended, dated between 2026-08-29 and 2026-11-30, whose text authorizes petroleum-sector transactions.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-61","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-31, US authorities remove Milo Yiannopoulos from the United States.","rs":"Two international outlets, citing DHS, ICE, or court records, report Yiannopoulos removed or deported from the US on a date between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-62","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-26","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add an entry for CVE-2026-81578 or CVE-2026-82078, the actively exploited PaperCut NG/MF flaws, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-24.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists CVE-2026-81578 or CVE-2026-82078 with dateAdded inside the window, checked on 2026-10-26; FALSE if neither entry appears by then.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-63","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"McKesson will file a document on SEC EDGAR, such as a Form 8-K/A or 10-Q, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-11-30 that states a specific number or bounded range of individuals affected by its August 2026 data theft incident.","rs":"TRUE if a McKesson SEC EDGAR filing dated in the window states a specific number or bounded range of affected individuals; FALSE if no such filing exists as of 2026-12-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-64","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-28","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Serbia will hold its snap parliamentary election on 2026-10-25 rather than on 2026-10-18, the two dates floated by President Aleksandar Vucic.","rs":"TRUE if Serbian election authorities or two of Reuters, AP, and AFP confirm voting occurred on 2026-10-25; FALSE if the vote is held 2026-10-18 or not confirmed by 2026-10-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-65","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A single Russian missile or drone strike will kill 10 or more people in Kyiv, Ukraine, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-05.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian officials and at least one of Reuters, AP, or AFP report 10 or more deaths from one strike on Kyiv in the window; checked 2026-10-07; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-66","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2027-02-03","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Mojtaba Khamenei will still publicly hold the title of Supreme Leader of Iran throughout the window from 2026-09-05 to 2027-01-31.","rs":"TRUE if Iranian state media and at least one of Reuters or AP confirm Mojtaba Khamenei still holds this title on 2027-01-31; FALSE if replaced, resigned, or killed before then.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-67","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the 26 August 2026 Nepal-Tibet glacial flood disaster will exceed 1,000 people at some point between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19.","rs":"TRUE if the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority of Nepal or two of Reuters, AP, and AFP report a confirmed toll above 1,000 in the window; checked 2026-09-22; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-68","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds CVE-2026-82078 or CVE-2026-81578 with a date_added value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains an entry for CVE-2026-82078 or CVE-2026-81578 carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-16 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-69","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Stolen City of Berlin administrative data is published on an extortion leak site between 2026-08-29 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of BBC, Reuters, dpa, Tagesspiegel or Heise report that data taken from Berlin city systems was published by the extortion group in that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-70","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Front-month ICE Brent crude settles at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if ICE publishes a front-month Brent futures settlement price of 100.00 USD or higher for any trading day inside that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-71","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2027-02-17","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A petition for a writ of certiorari arising from the 2026-08-28 Ninth Circuit prediction-market ruling is docketed at the US Supreme Court between 2026-08-29 and 2027-02-13.","rs":"TRUE if the Supreme Court electronic docket lists a certiorari petition naming Kalshi and Nevada gaming regulators, docketed on or before 2027-02-13.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-72","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Ukrainian Air Force reports at least 500 Russian drones and missiles launched in one overnight attack between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if a Ukrainian Air Force overnight air-situation report covering a night inside that window states a combined launch total of 500 or more munitions.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-73","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll in Nepal from the 2026-08-26 Rasuwa flood reaches at least 1000 between 2026-08-30 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal Police or the NDRRMA give a confirmed Nepal death toll of 1000 or more inside that window, carried by two of Reuters, AP, AFP or BBC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-74","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-04","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Incumbent Edward Markey will win the Massachusetts Democratic US Senate primary held 2026-09-01, referenced in item 127.","rs":"True if the AP declares Markey the winner, or the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth official results show Markey with the most votes, checked at the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-28_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-28_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-75","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The FOMC statement of 2026-09-16 leaves the federal funds target range at or above the pre-meeting range of 3.50 to 3.75 percent.","rs":"The Federal Reserve statement and implementation note dated 2026-09-16 show a target range equal to or higher than 3.50 to 3.75 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-76","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Open Market Committee will announce a lower federal funds target range at the conclusion of its September 15-16, 2026 meeting than the range set in July 2026.","rs":"TRUE if the Federal Reserve statement released 2026-09-16 sets a federal funds target range below the range set after the July 2026 meeting; FALSE if held or raised.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-77","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"At the scheduled 2026-09-16 FOMC decision the Committee raises the federal funds target range to 3.75 to 4.00 percent.","rs":"TRUE if the FRED series DFEDTARU shows 4.00 for 2026-09-17, matching a 25 basis point increase announced in the 2026-09-16 FOMC statement.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260829-78","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-29","dl":"2026-11-24","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The UK government announces activation of Operation Safeguard or a new prison early release measure between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-20.","rs":"TRUE if a gov.uk press release or written ministerial statement dated in that window announces Operation Safeguard activation, Operation Early Dawn, or a new early release scheme.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-29_1537.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-29_1537.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-10","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A drone attack on Kyiv, Ukraine, resulting in at least one confirmed casualty, occurs between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-07.","rs":"At least one confirmed casualty from a drone attack on Kyiv, Ukraine, is reported by at least two independent sources from different hostile sides (RU, UA, AXIS) within the event window, with the first report appearing no later than 2026-09-07.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog includes at least one new exploited vulnerability with a public exploit between 2026-09-15 and 2026-09-22.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-15 and 2026-09-22 for at least one vulnerability that is marked as actively exploited in the wild.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Airstrikes on Gaza City, Gaza Strip, result in at least five confirmed civilian casualties between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12.","rs":"At least five confirmed civilian casualties from airstrikes on Gaza City are reported by at least two independent sources from different hostile sides (IL, PS, AXIS) within the event window, with the first report appearing no later than 2026-09-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-20","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Iran launches a missile attack on a U.S. military installation in the Persian Gulf region between 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-17.","rs":"A missile attack on a U.S. military installation in the Persian Gulf region is confirmed by at least two independent sources from different hostile sides (WEST, AXIS, RU) within the event window, with the first report appearing no later than 2026-09-17.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The S&P 500 index closes below 7,500.00 on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28.","rs":"The closing value of the S&P 500 index, as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) or a major exchange, is below 7,500.00 on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-27","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A cyberattack exploiting a known vulnerability in Cisco routers, confirmed by CISA, occurs between 2026-09-18 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog includes a vulnerability with a public exploit that is confirmed to have been used in a cyberattack against Cisco routers, with the first report of exploitation appearing between 2026-09-18 and 2026-09-25.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-10","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A major flash flood in Nepal results in at least 50 confirmed deaths between 2026-10-01 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"At least 50 confirmed deaths from a flash flood in Nepal are reported by at least two independent sources from different hostile sides (PS, WEST, RU) within the event window, with the first report appearing no later than 2026-10-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-29","s":"open","p":27,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A ransomware attack on a European government agency, confirmed by CISA or a national cybersecurity authority, occurs between 2026-10-20 and 2026-10-27.","rs":"A ransomware attack on a European government agency is confirmed by at least two independent sources (CISA, national cybersecurity authority, or major wire service) with a public report confirming the attack between 2026-10-20 and 2026-10-27.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-09","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":27,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the Russian strike on a Ukrainian arms depot, reported at 38 on 2026-08-30, will be revised to 45 or higher by a Ukrainian official source or a major wire service between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-13.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian officials, Reuters, AP, or AFP report a toll of 45 or more from this depot strike between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-13; otherwise FALSE at deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-10","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A commercial vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz will be attacked, seized, or forcibly diverted, as reported by UKMTO, Reuters, or AP, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO, Reuters, or AP report an attack, seizure, or forced diversion of a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-11","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Niger's military-led government will publicly announce formal charges or the opening of a court-martial against at least one soldier arrested in the late-August 2026 Niamey mutiny attempt, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if Niger's government, AFP, Reuters, or Al Jazeera report formal charges or a court-martial opened against at least one arrested soldier within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-12","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Manchester Airports Group, the ICO, or two independent outlets will confirm a data breach matching FulcrumSec's claimed August 2026 theft of 86 GB of data, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-27.","rs":"TRUE if MAG, the ICO, or two independent outlets confirm the breach, or verified stolen data surfaces on a leak marketplace, within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-13","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-16","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Register will publish a rule or notice modifying Section 232 steel or aluminum tariff treatment specifically naming Canada, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if the Federal Register publishes a rule or notice modifying Section 232 steel or aluminum tariff treatment of Canada within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-14","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-16","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US Treasury OFAC recent-actions list will show a new or amended Venezuela general or specific license implementing the 65 billion barrel oil deal announced in late August 2026, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if OFAC's published recent actions list carries a new or amended Venezuela license tied to this deal within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the Northern Cyprus ferry that capsized around 2026-08-30 with roughly 260 to 270 people aboard, six to seven confirmed dead as of 2026-08-30, will reach 15 or more per Cypriot, Turkish, or wire-service reporting, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-13.","rs":"TRUE if Cypriot or Turkish officials, Reuters, or AP report 15 or more confirmed dead from this ferry capsizing within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the late-August 2026 Nepal-Tibet border floods and landslides, reported at approximately 750 with about 3000 still missing as of 2026-08-30, will exceed 900 per Nepali government or wire-service reporting, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-27.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal's government, Reuters, AP, or AFP report a confirmed death toll above 900 from this flood and landslide event within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"German prosecutors will file a formal murder (Mord) charge, rather than a lesser homicide charge, against the suspect arrested for the fatal stabbing of a British woman at Rosenheim train station, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if Bavarian prosecutors or a German wire service report a Mord charge specifically filed against the suspect within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-18","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the Russian strike on a Ukrainian arms depot, reported at 38 on 2026-08-30, will be revised to 45 or higher by a Ukrainian official source or a major wire service between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-13.","rs":"TRUE if Ukrainian officials, Reuters, AP, or AFP report a toll of 45 or more from this depot strike between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-13; otherwise FALSE at deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-19","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A commercial vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz will be attacked, seized, or forcibly diverted, as reported by UKMTO, Reuters, or AP, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO, Reuters, or AP report an attack, seizure, or forced diversion of a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-20","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Niger's military-led government will publicly announce formal charges or the opening of a court-martial against at least one soldier arrested in the late-August 2026 Niamey mutiny attempt, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if Niger's government, AFP, Reuters, or Al Jazeera report formal charges or a court-martial opened against at least one arrested soldier within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-21","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Manchester Airports Group, the ICO, or two independent outlets will confirm a data breach matching FulcrumSec's claimed August 2026 theft of 86 GB of data, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-27.","rs":"TRUE if MAG, the ICO, or two independent outlets confirm the breach, or verified stolen data surfaces on a leak marketplace, within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-22","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-16","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Register will publish a rule or notice modifying Section 232 steel or aluminum tariff treatment specifically naming Canada, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if the Federal Register publishes a rule or notice modifying Section 232 steel or aluminum tariff treatment of Canada within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-23","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-16","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US Treasury OFAC recent-actions list will show a new or amended Venezuela general or specific license implementing the 65 billion barrel oil deal announced in late August 2026, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if OFAC's published recent actions list carries a new or amended Venezuela license tied to this deal within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-24","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the Northern Cyprus ferry that capsized around 2026-08-30 with roughly 260 to 270 people aboard, six to seven confirmed dead as of 2026-08-30, will reach 15 or more per Cypriot, Turkish, or wire-service reporting, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-13.","rs":"TRUE if Cypriot or Turkish officials, Reuters, or AP report 15 or more confirmed dead from this ferry capsizing within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed death toll from the late-August 2026 Nepal-Tibet border floods and landslides, reported at approximately 750 with about 3000 still missing as of 2026-08-30, will exceed 900 per Nepali government or wire-service reporting, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-09-27.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal's government, Reuters, AP, or AFP report a confirmed death toll above 900 from this flood and landslide event within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-26","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"German prosecutors will file a formal murder (Mord) charge, rather than a lesser homicide charge, against the suspect arrested for the fatal stabbing of a British woman at Rosenheim train station, between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if Bavarian prosecutors or a German wire service report a Mord charge specifically filed against the suspect within the window; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-27","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A single Russian strike on Kyiv occurring between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-27 produces an official Ukrainian death toll of 10 or more for that one attack.","rs":"TRUE if, for one attack occurring between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-27, the State Emergency Service of Ukraine or the Kyiv City Military Administration states a death toll of 10 or more for that attack, and Reuters or AFP carries that figure by 2026-09-30. Cumulative multi-day totals do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-28","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-09","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The individual serving as head of state of Niger on 2026-09-07 ceases to hold that office at some point between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-06.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters and AFP both report, by 2026-12-09, that the person serving as head of state of Niger on 2026-09-07 no longer holds that office as of any date on or before 2026-12-06, whether by removal, resignation, death, or transfer of power.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-29","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-09","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry naming WordPress or a WordPress plugin or theme, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-11-06.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON, fetched on 2026-11-09, contains at least one record whose vendorProject or product field references WordPress or a WordPress plugin or theme, and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-07 and 2026-11-06 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-30","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Manchester Airports Group confirms unauthorized access to its systems in an attributable statement issued between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a named Manchester Airports Group spokesperson or an official company statement acknowledging unauthorized access to its systems or theft of its data is carried by at least two of BBC News, Reuters, and BleepingComputer, dated between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-16, and verifiable by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-31","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-07","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US Treasury daily par yield curve records a 10-year constant maturity yield of 5.00 percent or higher on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"TRUE if the Treasury daily par yield curve published at home.treasury.gov, or FRED series DGS10, shows a 10-year value of 5.00 or above on any business day from 2026-09-08 through 2026-12-04, checked on 2026-12-07.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-32","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":62,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed cumulative death toll for the August 2026 Nepal-Tibet flood event reaches 1,000 or more in official figures issued between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a cumulative confirmed toll of 1,000 or more for this event, attributed to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority of Nepal, the Nepali Ministry of Home Affairs, or Chinese state authorities, is carried by at least two of Reuters, AFP, Al Jazeera, and the Guardian, dated on or before 2026-10-16 and verifiable by 2026-10-19. Missing-persons counts do not count toward the total.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-33","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2027-02-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Crown Prosecution Service announces a decision to bring criminal charges against at least one former undercover police officer in the undercover policing matter, between 2026-09-07 and 2027-01-29.","rs":"TRUE if the Crown Prosecution Service publishes a charging decision, or is reported by both the Guardian and BBC News to have made one, bringing criminal charges against at least one former undercover officer in connection with the undercover policing scandal, dated between 2026-09-07 and 2027-01-29 and verifiable by 2027-02-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-30","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A single Russian strike on Kyiv occurring between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-27 produces an official Ukrainian death toll of 10 or more for that one attack.","rs":"TRUE if, for one attack occurring between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-27, the State Emergency Service of Ukraine or the Kyiv City Military Administration states a death toll of 10 or more for that attack, and Reuters or AFP carries that figure by 2026-09-30. Cumulative multi-day totals do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-09","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The individual serving as head of state of Niger on 2026-09-07 ceases to hold that office at some point between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-06.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters and AFP both report, by 2026-12-09, that the person serving as head of state of Niger on 2026-09-07 no longer holds that office as of any date on or before 2026-12-06, whether by removal, resignation, death, or transfer of power.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-09","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry naming WordPress or a WordPress plugin or theme, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-11-06.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON, fetched on 2026-11-09, contains at least one record whose vendorProject or product field references WordPress or a WordPress plugin or theme, and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-07 and 2026-11-06 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Manchester Airports Group confirms unauthorized access to its systems in an attributable statement issued between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a named Manchester Airports Group spokesperson or an official company statement acknowledging unauthorized access to its systems or theft of its data is carried by at least two of BBC News, Reuters, and BleepingComputer, dated between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-16, and verifiable by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-07","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The US Treasury daily par yield curve records a 10-year constant maturity yield of 5.00 percent or higher on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"TRUE if the Treasury daily par yield curve published at home.treasury.gov, or FRED series DGS10, shows a 10-year value of 5.00 or above on any business day from 2026-09-08 through 2026-12-04, checked on 2026-12-07.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-39","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The confirmed cumulative death toll for the August 2026 Nepal-Tibet flood event reaches 1,000 or more in official figures issued between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a cumulative confirmed toll of 1,000 or more for this event, attributed to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority of Nepal, the Nepali Ministry of Home Affairs, or Chinese state authorities, is carried by at least two of Reuters, AFP, Al Jazeera, and the Guardian, dated on or before 2026-10-16 and verifiable by 2026-10-19. Missing-persons counts do not count toward the total.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-40","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2027-02-02","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Crown Prosecution Service announces a decision to bring criminal charges against at least one former undercover police officer in the undercover policing matter, between 2026-09-07 and 2027-01-29.","rs":"TRUE if the Crown Prosecution Service publishes a charging decision, or is reported by both the Guardian and BBC News to have made one, bringing criminal charges against at least one former undercover officer in connection with the undercover policing scandal, dated between 2026-09-07 and 2027-01-29 and verifiable by 2027-02-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-41","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry for a WordPress plugin or theme vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if a fetch of the CISA KEV JSON feed on the deadline shows any entry whose product or name field identifies a WordPress plugin or theme and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-42","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The S&P 500 index records an official daily close below 7000.00 on at least one trading day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if official S&P Dow Jones Indices closing values show any daily close strictly below 7000.00 for a trading date between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-43","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2027-01-08","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Register publishes at least one presidential proclamation or executive order modifying United States tariff treatment of Canadian-origin goods with a publication date between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if a federalregister.gov search returns a presidential document published between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31 that modifies tariff rates, coverage, or refunds applying to goods of Canadian origin.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-44","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30, the head of state of Niger is removed, replaced, or announces resignation, or a new military takeover of the government is completed.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AFP, BBC, Al Jazeera, or RFI report a completed change of head of state or completed military takeover in Niger occurring between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-45","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30, a commercial vessel transiting or anchored in the Strait of Hormuz or its approaches is struck by weapons fire or seized.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO issues an incident advisory, or at least two of Reuters, AP, or AFP report a strike on or seizure of a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz area between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-46","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, at least one Russian missile or drone strike inside Ukraine kills 10 or more people in a single attack, per official Ukrainian figures.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report an official Ukrainian death toll of 10 or more from a single Russian strike occurring between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry for a WordPress plugin or theme vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE if a fetch of the CISA KEV JSON feed on the deadline shows any entry whose product or name field identifies a WordPress plugin or theme and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The S&P 500 index records an official daily close below 7000.00 on at least one trading day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if official S&P Dow Jones Indices closing values show any daily close strictly below 7000.00 for a trading date between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-49","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2027-01-08","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Federal Register publishes at least one presidential proclamation or executive order modifying United States tariff treatment of Canadian-origin goods with a publication date between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if a federalregister.gov search returns a presidential document published between 2026-09-01 and 2026-12-31 that modifies tariff rates, coverage, or refunds applying to goods of Canadian origin.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-50","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30, the head of state of Niger is removed, replaced, or announces resignation, or a new military takeover of the government is completed.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AFP, BBC, Al Jazeera, or RFI report a completed change of head of state or completed military takeover in Niger occurring between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-51","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30, a commercial vessel transiting or anchored in the Strait of Hormuz or its approaches is struck by weapons fire or seized.","rs":"TRUE if UKMTO issues an incident advisory, or at least two of Reuters, AP, or AFP report a strike on or seizure of a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz area between 2026-08-31 and 2026-11-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-52","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, at least one Russian missile or drone strike inside Ukraine kills 10 or more people in a single attack, per official Ukrainian figures.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC report an official Ukrainian death toll of 10 or more from a single Russian strike occurring between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-53","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"US Central Command announces at least one new strike on Iranian forces, vessels, or territory occurring between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A CENTCOM release or two of Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera report a US strike on Iranian forces or territory dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-54","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A US or Gulf state authority publicly reports a naval mine detected, struck, or cleared in the Strait of Hormuz or its approaches between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"CENTCOM, the US Navy, or a Gulf state navy states that a mine was found, struck, or cleared in the strait or its approaches within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-55","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Front-month ICE Brent futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"ICE settlement data for the front-month Brent contract shows a settlement of 100.00 USD or higher on any trading day inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-56","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog carries at least 30 entries with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed counts 30 or more entries whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-57","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog carries at least one entry naming Cisco as vendorProject with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry whose vendorProject is Cisco and whose dateAdded value falls inside that range.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-58","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Nepal disaster authority puts the confirmed death toll from the August 2026 Nepal-Tibet floods at 1500 or more, at some point between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"An NDRRMA situation report or Nepal government figure dated inside the window states 1500 or more confirmed flood deaths in Nepal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-59","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"German authorities name a suspect, announce an arrest, or announce a warrant in the Leipzig drone attack between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The Generalbundesanwalt, the BKA, or Saxony police state that a suspect is named, arrested, or subject to a warrant in the Leipzig drone case within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-60","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukrenergo or DTEK announces emergency or rolling power cuts affecting Kyiv city on at least one day between 2026-09-15 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"An Ukrenergo or DTEK notice dated inside the window states that emergency or rolling outage schedules apply to consumers in Kyiv city.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-61","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"US Central Command announces at least one new strike on Iranian forces, vessels, or territory occurring between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A CENTCOM release or two of Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera report a US strike on Iranian forces or territory dated between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-62","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A US or Gulf state authority publicly reports a naval mine detected, struck, or cleared in the Strait of Hormuz or its approaches between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"CENTCOM, the US Navy, or a Gulf state navy states that a mine was found, struck, or cleared in the strait or its approaches within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-63","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Front-month ICE Brent futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"ICE settlement data for the front-month Brent contract shows a settlement of 100.00 USD or higher on any trading day inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-64","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog carries at least 30 entries with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed counts 30 or more entries whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-65","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA KEV catalog carries at least one entry naming Cisco as vendorProject with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry whose vendorProject is Cisco and whose dateAdded value falls inside that range.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-66","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Nepal disaster authority puts the confirmed death toll from the August 2026 Nepal-Tibet floods at 1500 or more, at some point between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"An NDRRMA situation report or Nepal government figure dated inside the window states 1500 or more confirmed flood deaths in Nepal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-67","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"German authorities name a suspect, announce an arrest, or announce a warrant in the Leipzig drone attack between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"The Generalbundesanwalt, the BKA, or Saxony police state that a suspect is named, arrested, or subject to a warrant in the Leipzig drone case within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-68","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Ukrenergo or DTEK announces emergency or rolling power cuts affecting Kyiv city on at least one day between 2026-09-15 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"An Ukrenergo or DTEK notice dated inside the window states that emergency or rolling outage schedules apply to consumers in Kyiv city.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-69","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A commercial or military vessel is struck, mined, or seized in or near the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"Resolves true if UKMTO, JMIC, Reuters, or AP report a vessel struck, mined, boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz within the window; false if no such report appears by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-70","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above USD 95.00 per barrel on any session between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-21.","rs":"Resolves true if ICE, Reuters, or Bloomberg data show a Brent front-month settlement at or above USD 95.00 on any trading day in the window; false if no such settlement occurs.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-71","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA or the FBI publishes an advisory formally attributing the Fire Ant intrusion campaign against Cisco network devices to a China-linked actor, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"Resolves true if CISA.gov or FBI.gov publishes an advisory naming a China-linked actor as responsible for the Fire Ant Cisco-targeting campaign within the window; false if no such advisory appears.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-72","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Nepal's government or GDACS reports a cumulative confirmed death toll of 100 or more from the late-August 2026 flood, landslide, and hydropower-site disaster, as of 2026-09-14.","rs":"Resolves true if Nepal's government or GDACS reports a confirmed cumulative death toll of 100 or more from the event as of 2026-09-14; false if the reported toll remains below 100.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-73","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Cypriot or Turkish-Cypriot authorities declare the search for the missing passengers of the northern Cyprus ferry capsize concluded, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-10.","rs":"Resolves true if Cypriot, Turkish-Cypriot, or wire-service reporting confirms the ferry capsize search ended, by rescue, recovery, or stand-down, within the window; false if the search remains active past 2026-09-10.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-74","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"German federal or state authorities publicly name a suspect or announce charges in the Leipzig drone attack on a Ukrainian-linked aircraft, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-21.","rs":"Resolves true if German federal or state prosecutors or police publicly name a suspect or announce charges in the Leipzig drone-attack case within the window; false if no naming occurs.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-75","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A further attempt to seize power from Niger's sitting government by military or paramilitary action occurs between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolves true if AP, Reuters, AFP, or Niger state media report a further attempted seizure of power against the sitting government within the window; false if no such attempt is reported.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-76","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A commercial or military vessel is struck, mined, or seized in or near the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"Resolves true if UKMTO, JMIC, Reuters, or AP report a vessel struck, mined, boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz within the window; false if no such report appears by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-77","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above USD 95.00 per barrel on any session between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-21.","rs":"Resolves true if ICE, Reuters, or Bloomberg data show a Brent front-month settlement at or above USD 95.00 on any trading day in the window; false if no such settlement occurs.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-78","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"CISA or the FBI publishes an advisory formally attributing the Fire Ant intrusion campaign against Cisco network devices to a China-linked actor, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"Resolves true if CISA.gov or FBI.gov publishes an advisory naming a China-linked actor as responsible for the Fire Ant Cisco-targeting campaign within the window; false if no such advisory appears.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-79","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Nepal's government or GDACS reports a cumulative confirmed death toll of 100 or more from the late-August 2026 flood, landslide, and hydropower-site disaster, as of 2026-09-14.","rs":"Resolves true if Nepal's government or GDACS reports a confirmed cumulative death toll of 100 or more from the event as of 2026-09-14; false if the reported toll remains below 100.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-80","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Cypriot or Turkish-Cypriot authorities declare the search for the missing passengers of the northern Cyprus ferry capsize concluded, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-10.","rs":"Resolves true if Cypriot, Turkish-Cypriot, or wire-service reporting confirms the ferry capsize search ended, by rescue, recovery, or stand-down, within the window; false if the search remains active past 2026-09-10.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-81","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-09-23","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"German federal or state authorities publicly name a suspect or announce charges in the Leipzig drone attack on a Ukrainian-linked aircraft, between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-21.","rs":"Resolves true if German federal or state prosecutors or police publicly name a suspect or announce charges in the Leipzig drone-attack case within the window; false if no naming occurs.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-82","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"A further attempt to seize power from Niger's sitting government by military or paramilitary action occurs between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"Resolves true if AP, Reuters, AFP, or Niger state media report a further attempted seizure of power against the sitting government within the window; false if no such attempt is reported.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-83","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":90,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog carries at least 8 entries with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if a fetch of the CISA KEV catalog on or after the deadline shows 8 or more entries whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-84","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if any official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement price between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30 is at or above 95.00 USD; exchange settlement records govern.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-85","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Nepal government confirmed death toll from the August 2026 flood disaster reaches at least 300 at any point between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if Nepali government statements carried by at least two international news agencies place the confirmed dead at 300 or more on any date between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-86","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-01","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Democratic candidates win at least 218 seats in the United States House of Representatives in the general election held 2026-11-03.","rs":"True if Associated Press race calls as of the deadline show Democratic candidates winning 218 or more House seats from the 2026-11-03 general election.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-87","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry with vendorProject Cisco and a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"True if the KEV catalog contains an entry whose vendorProject value is Cisco and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-88","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog carries at least 8 entries with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"True if a fetch of the CISA KEV catalog on or after the deadline shows 8 or more entries whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-89","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if any official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement price between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-30 is at or above 95.00 USD; exchange settlement records govern.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-90","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The Nepal government confirmed death toll from the August 2026 flood disaster reaches at least 300 at any point between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"True if Nepali government statements carried by at least two international news agencies place the confirmed dead at 300 or more on any date between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-91","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-01","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"Democratic candidates win at least 218 seats in the United States House of Representatives in the general election held 2026-11-03.","rs":"True if Associated Press race calls as of the deadline show Democratic candidates winning 218 or more House seats from the 2026-11-03 general election.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260831-92","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-08-31","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"4ea5ab8f","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry with vendorProject Cisco and a dateAdded value between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"True if the KEV catalog contains an entry whose vendorProject value is Cisco and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-01 and 2026-11-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-01","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-11-10","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Federal Register publishes at least one Presidential Document adjusting duties on steel or aluminum imports into the United States, with a publication date between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06.","rs":"TRUE if federalregister.gov lists at least one document of type Presidential Document, published between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06 inclusive, whose title or subject references adjusting imports of steel or aluminum into the United States, checked on 2026-11-10.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-02","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A lapse in federal appropriations begins 2026-10-01 because no measure funding agencies past 2026-09-30 is enacted.","rs":"Congress.gov shows no continuing resolution or appropriations act funding federal agencies past 2026-09-30 signed into law on or before 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-03","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at its scheduled 2026-09-16 decision, above the current 3.50 to 3.75 percent.","rs":"The FOMC statement released 2026-09-16 sets a target range whose upper bound exceeds 3.75 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-04","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog records 3 or more entries with dateAdded between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-14.","rs":"Resolves true if the published CISA KEV catalog feed shows 3 or more entries with dateAdded in the window when checked at the deadline; false if it shows fewer than 3.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-05","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Federal Open Market Committee raises the federal funds target range at its September 15-16, 2026 meeting.","rs":"Resolves true if the FOMC statement released 2026-09-16 sets the federal funds target range above the range in effect the day before the meeting; false if held or cut.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-06","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC decision announced 2026-09-16 raises the federal funds target range above the range in effect on 2026-09-15.","rs":"True if the Federal Reserve implementation note or FRED series DFEDTARU shows a target range effective after the 2026-09-16 decision higher than the range in effect on 2026-09-15; false if unchanged or lower.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-07","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A lapse in United States federal appropriations begins on 2026-10-01, with agency shutdown procedures taking effect that day.","rs":"True if no enacted appropriations act or continuing resolution covers 2026-10-01 and OMB directs agencies to execute shutdown plans that day; Congress.gov enacted-legislation records govern.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-08","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Commercial shipping transit through the Strait of Hormuz is suspended for at least 48 consecutive hours at any point between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"True if at least two international wire services, citing shipping authorities or maritime insurers, report a suspension of commercial Strait of Hormuz transits lasting 48 or more consecutive hours between 2026-09-01 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-31_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-31_1519.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-09","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-23","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-16, Manchester Airports Group or a UK government body publicly confirms unauthorized access to MAG systems in connection with the FulcrumSec claim.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of BBC, Reuters, BleepingComputer, or The Record report an official MAG, NCSC, or ICO statement confirming unauthorized access to MAG systems, dated between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-16.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-10","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-08-31 and 2026-10-30, the reported confirmed combined death toll for the August 2026 Nepal and Tibet floods reaches or exceeds 1000.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AFP, Al Jazeera, or Guardian report an official combined confirmed death toll of 1000 or more for the flood event, dated within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-08-30_1516.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-08-30_1516.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-11","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, at least one report from a hostile side confirms a drone strike on Kyiv with casualties claimed by Ukrainian sources.","rs":"At least one report from a hostile side (RU or UA) confirms a drone strike on Kyiv during the window, with casualties claimed in at least one corroborating report.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-12","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a tropical storm makes landfall in Texas with a storm surge warning issued by the National Weather Service.","rs":"The National Weather Service issues a storm surge warning for a tropical storm making landfall in Texas between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-13","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-81578 results in unauthorized access to a critical infrastructure system.","rs":"A confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-81578 results in unauthorized access to a critical infrastructure system, as reported by a public source.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-14","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 4.85 percent on a weekday.","rs":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 4.85 percent on a weekday between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-15","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a major wildfire in France causes damage to a wine-producing region as confirmed by Al Jazeera.","rs":"Al Jazeera publishes a report confirming a major wildfire in France that causes damage to a wine-producing region between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-16","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a cyberattack attributed to Russia-aligned actors targets a U.S. government agency using a previously unreported exploit.","rs":"A cyberattack attributed to Russia-aligned actors targets a U.S. government agency using a previously unreported exploit, confirmed by at least two independent sources.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-17","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a new political summit involving Russia, Iran, and the U.S. is confirmed by at least two hostile sides.","rs":"At least two hostile sides (e.g., RU, WEST, AXIS) confirm the existence of a new political summit involving Russia, Iran, and the U.S. between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":90,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Ed Markey defeats Seth Moulton in the Massachusetts Democratic primary for United States Senate held September 1, 2026.","rs":"TRUE if Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth results, as reported by AP or a Massachusetts wire service, show Ed Markey receiving more votes than Seth Moulton in the September 1, 2026 Democratic Senate primary. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"District Judge Tony Graf rules that Tyler Robinson is bound over for trial specifically on the aggravated murder count in the killing of Charlie Kirk, following the September 1, 2026 preliminary hearing ruling in Provo, [withheld].","rs":"TRUE if Judge Graf's ruling, as reported by AP, NBC News, or the [withheld] state courts spokesperson, binds Robinson over on the aggravated murder count. FALSE if that count is dismissed or reduced to a lesser charge, or no ruling issues by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-20","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"At least one additional commercial vessel is struck, attacked, boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-16.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, a UKMTO advisory, or a flag-state government statement report a vessel struck, attacked, boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman during the window. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"WTI crude oil front-month futures settle at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on any trading day between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-30. Reference: 88.02 USD per barrel on the packet date, 2026-09-01.","rs":"TRUE if the NYMEX WTI front-month settlement price closes at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on any trading day from 2026-09-02 through 2026-09-30 inclusive, per EIA or NYMEX settlement data. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-22","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US 10-year Treasury yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on any trading day between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-15. Reference: 4.77 percent on the packet date, 2026-09-01.","rs":"TRUE if the US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield, per the Treasury daily par yield curve or the FRED DGS10 series, closes at or above 5.00 percent on any date in the window. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-23","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds at least one new Microsoft Exchange Server vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog shows a dateAdded value in the window for a CVE with vendorProject Microsoft and a product field containing Exchange. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260901-24","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-01","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The confirmed or officially reported Nepal flood death toll reaches 1300 or more at any point between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal disaster authorities, the Red Cross, or a wire service report a confirmed or officially estimated Nepal flood death toll of 1300 or more on or before 2026-09-15. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-01","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-02 and 2026-12-31, a general ceasefire covering the entire front line in Ukraine takes effect, announced by both the Ukrainian and Russian governments.","rs":"True if president.gov.ua and kremlin.ru both publish statements confirming a general front-wide ceasefire in effect on a date between 2026-09-02 and 2026-12-31; localized, energy-only, or humanitarian pauses do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-02","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-31, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person, with the meeting confirmed by both the White House and the Kremlin.","rs":"True if whitehouse.gov and kremlin.ru both carry official confirmation or readouts of an in-person Trump-Putin meeting held between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-31; phone or video calls do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-03","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A lapse in US federal appropriations (government shutdown) begins on 2026-10-01 because no full-year or continuing appropriations covering that date is enacted beforehand.","rs":"True if OMB or OPM publishes lapse-in-appropriations (shutdown) guidance effective 2026-10-01, or Congress.gov shows no enacted full-year or continuing appropriations covering 2026-10-01 for any federal agency.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-04","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The 10-year US Treasury constant maturity yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on at least one trading day between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.77 percent on 2026-09-01.","rs":"True if FRED series DGS10 shows a daily value of 5.00 or higher for any date from 2026-09-02 through 2026-10-30; the Treasury daily par yield curve is the tiebreaker if FRED is unavailable.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-05","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The WTI crude oil spot price at Cushing settles at or above 100.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 88.02 dollars on 2026-09-01.","rs":"True if FRED series DCOILWTICO (EIA Cushing WTI spot) shows a daily value of 100.00 or higher for any date from 2026-09-02 through 2026-10-30; the EIA daily spot price table is the tiebreaker.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-06","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-30, CISA adds at least one Microsoft Exchange Server vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one entry with vendorProject Microsoft, product containing Exchange, and dateAdded between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-07","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, the [withheld] Fourth District Court orders Tyler Robinson bound over for trial on the aggravated murder charge in the killing of Charlie Kirk.","rs":"True if the [withheld] Fourth District Court docket, or the [withheld] County Attorney office, records a bindover order on the aggravated murder count dated 2026-09-01 through 2026-09-30; dismissal of that count or no ruling by 2026-09-30 resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-08","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The jury in the Lindsay Clancy murder trial in Plymouth County, Massachusetts returns a verdict on at least one count between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-11, rather than the judge declaring a mistrial for deadlock.","rs":"True if a verdict on any count (including not guilty by reason of insanity) is entered by Plymouth Superior Court, or reported by AP and the Boston Globe, dated 2026-09-01 through 2026-09-11; mistrial or no verdict resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-09","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The front-month ICE Brent crude futures contract settles at or above 100.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09. Reference: Brent 92.47 at seal on 2026-09-01.","rs":"ICE published front-month Brent settlement data shows a settlement at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day from 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-09; reference 92.47 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-10","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield reaches 5.00 percent or higher on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.77 percent at seal on 2026-09-01.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 carries a daily observation at or above 5.00 for at least one business day from 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-30; reference 4.77 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-11","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at the meeting concluding 2026-09-16 or the meeting concluding 2026-10-28. Reference: target range 3.50 to 3.75 percent in effect at seal on 2026-09-01.","rs":"The FOMC implementation note for 2026-09-16 or for 2026-10-28 sets a target range whose upper bound exceeds 3.75 percent; reference 3.50 to 3.75 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-12","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin hold an in-person meeting on a date between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The White House and the Kremlin each confirm an in-person Trump-Putin meeting held inside the window, and AP or Reuters reports from the venue.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-13","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A commercial vessel is struck by weapons fire in the Strait of Hormuz or the Gulf of Oman between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"UKMTO issues an incident advisory for a commercial vessel struck in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman inside the window, and Reuters reports the same incident.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-14","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Duane Davis is sentenced in the Eighth Judicial District Court of Clark County, Nevada on a date between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"The Eighth Judicial District Court docket records a judgment of conviction with a sentence imposed on Duane Davis on a date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-15","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Ed Markey defeats Seth Moulton in the Massachusetts Democratic primary for United States Senate held September 1, 2026.","rs":"TRUE if Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth results, as reported by AP or a Massachusetts wire service, show Ed Markey receiving more votes than Seth Moulton in the September 1, 2026 Democratic Senate primary. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-16","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-08","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"District Judge Tony Graf rules that Tyler Robinson is bound over for trial specifically on the aggravated murder count in the killing of Charlie Kirk, following the September 1, 2026 preliminary hearing ruling in Provo, [withheld].","rs":"TRUE if Judge Graf's ruling, as reported by AP, NBC News, or the [withheld] state courts spokesperson, binds Robinson over on the aggravated murder count. FALSE if that count is dismissed or reduced to a lesser charge, or no ruling issues by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-17","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"At least one additional commercial vessel is struck, attacked, boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-16.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, a UKMTO advisory, or a flag-state government statement report a vessel struck, attacked, boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman during the window. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-18","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"WTI crude oil front-month futures settle at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on any trading day between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-30. Reference: 88.02 USD per barrel on the packet date, 2026-09-01.","rs":"TRUE if the NYMEX WTI front-month settlement price closes at or above 95.00 USD per barrel on any trading day from 2026-09-02 through 2026-09-30 inclusive, per EIA or NYMEX settlement data. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-19","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US 10-year Treasury yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on any trading day between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-15. Reference: 4.77 percent on the packet date, 2026-09-01.","rs":"TRUE if the US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield, per the Treasury daily par yield curve or the FRED DGS10 series, closes at or above 5.00 percent on any date in the window. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-20","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds at least one new Microsoft Exchange Server vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog shows a dateAdded value in the window for a CVE with vendorProject Microsoft and a product field containing Exchange. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-21","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-17","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The confirmed or officially reported Nepal flood death toll reaches 1300 or more at any point between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-15.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal disaster authorities, the Red Cross, or a wire service report a confirmed or officially estimated Nepal flood death toll of 1300 or more on or before 2026-09-15. FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-22","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-02 and 2026-12-31, a general ceasefire covering the entire front line in Ukraine takes effect, announced by both the Ukrainian and Russian governments.","rs":"True if president.gov.ua and kremlin.ru both publish statements confirming a general front-wide ceasefire in effect on a date between 2026-09-02 and 2026-12-31; localized, energy-only, or humanitarian pauses do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-23","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-31, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person, with the meeting confirmed by both the White House and the Kremlin.","rs":"True if whitehouse.gov and kremlin.ru both carry official confirmation or readouts of an in-person Trump-Putin meeting held between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-31; phone or video calls do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-24","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A lapse in US federal appropriations (government shutdown) begins on 2026-10-01 because no full-year or continuing appropriations covering that date is enacted beforehand.","rs":"True if OMB or OPM publishes lapse-in-appropriations (shutdown) guidance effective 2026-10-01, or Congress.gov shows no enacted full-year or continuing appropriations covering 2026-10-01 for any federal agency.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The 10-year US Treasury constant maturity yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on at least one trading day between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.77 percent on 2026-09-01.","rs":"True if FRED series DGS10 shows a daily value of 5.00 or higher for any date from 2026-09-02 through 2026-10-30; the Treasury daily par yield curve is the tiebreaker if FRED is unavailable.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-26","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The WTI crude oil spot price at Cushing settles at or above 100.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-02 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 88.02 dollars on 2026-09-01.","rs":"True if FRED series DCOILWTICO (EIA Cushing WTI spot) shows a daily value of 100.00 or higher for any date from 2026-09-02 through 2026-10-30; the EIA daily spot price table is the tiebreaker.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-27","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":33,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-30, CISA adds at least one Microsoft Exchange Server vulnerability to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one entry with vendorProject Microsoft, product containing Exchange, and dateAdded between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30, the [withheld] Fourth District Court orders Tyler Robinson bound over for trial on the aggravated murder charge in the killing of Charlie Kirk.","rs":"True if the [withheld] Fourth District Court docket, or the [withheld] County Attorney office, records a bindover order on the aggravated murder count dated 2026-09-01 through 2026-09-30; dismissal of that count or no ruling by 2026-09-30 resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-15","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The jury in the Lindsay Clancy murder trial in Plymouth County, Massachusetts returns a verdict on at least one count between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-11, rather than the judge declaring a mistrial for deadlock.","rs":"True if a verdict on any count (including not guilty by reason of insanity) is entered by Plymouth Superior Court, or reported by AP and the Boston Globe, dated 2026-09-01 through 2026-09-11; mistrial or no verdict resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The front-month ICE Brent crude futures contract settles at or above 100.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09. Reference: Brent 92.47 at seal on 2026-09-01.","rs":"ICE published front-month Brent settlement data shows a settlement at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day from 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-09; reference 92.47 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield reaches 5.00 percent or higher on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.77 percent at seal on 2026-09-01.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 carries a daily observation at or above 5.00 for at least one business day from 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-30; reference 4.77 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-30","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at the meeting concluding 2026-09-16 or the meeting concluding 2026-10-28. Reference: target range 3.50 to 3.75 percent in effect at seal on 2026-09-01.","rs":"The FOMC implementation note for 2026-09-16 or for 2026-10-28 sets a target range whose upper bound exceeds 3.75 percent; reference 3.50 to 3.75 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":44,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin hold an in-person meeting on a date between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The White House and the Kremlin each confirm an in-person Trump-Putin meeting held inside the window, and AP or Reuters reports from the venue.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":53,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A commercial vessel is struck by weapons fire in the Strait of Hormuz or the Gulf of Oman between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"UKMTO issues an incident advisory for a commercial vessel struck in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman inside the window, and Reuters reports the same incident.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":43,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Duane Davis is sentenced in the Eighth Judicial District Court of Clark County, Nevada on a date between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"The Eighth Judicial District Court docket records a judgment of conviction with a sentence imposed on Duane Davis on a date inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-01_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-01_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-36","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, the CISA KEV catalog will include at least one entry for a zero-day vulnerability in SonicWall SMA1000 devices that was actively exploited in the wild.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24 for a vulnerability with CVE identifier or exploit description matching SonicWall SMA1000 zero-day flaws.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-37","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-28, at least one drone strike will be confirmed by two or more independently biased sources in the Kyiv region of Ukraine.","rs":"At least one drone strike event in Kyiv, Ukraine, is confirmed by two or more sources from distinct hostile sides (RU, UA) with no single side carrying more than 60% of the volume.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-38","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-23 and 2026-09-29, the S&P 500 index will close above 7,700 points on at least one trading day.","rs":"The S&P 500 closes at or above 7,700.00 on at least one weekday between 2026-09-23 and 2026-09-29, based on the official market close from a public exchange.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-39","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-10","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-25 and 2026-10-01, a new earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater will be recorded by the USGS in the Pacific Ring of Fire region.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed records a new earthquake event with magnitude \u22656.0 and depth \u2264100km in the Pacific Ring of Fire between 2026-09-25 and 2026-10-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-40","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-27 and 2026-10-03, a new ransomware attack will be confirmed by two or more independent sources targeting a U.S. healthcare provider, resulting in data exposure of over 100,000 patients.","rs":"At least two independently biased sources (e.g., BleepingComputer, The Hacker News) confirm a ransomware attack on a U.S. healthcare provider between 2026-09-27 and 2026-10-03, with data exposure affecting more than 100,000 patients.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-41","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-04, a new conflict escalation event involving Iran and Israel will be confirmed by two or more hostile sides in the Strait of Hormuz region.","rs":"At least two independently biased sources (AXIS, WEST, IL) confirm a new military event (e.g., missile, drone, naval engagement) in the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-42","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-05, a new political scandal involving a U.S. federal official will be reported by two or more independent outlets, resulting in a formal investigation or resignation.","rs":"At least two independent outlets (e.g., BBC World, Guardian World, Politico) report a new political scandal involving a U.S. federal official that leads to a formal investigation or resignation by 2026-10-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-43","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-30 and 2026-10-06, a new flood disaster in Nepal will be confirmed by two or more independent sources, resulting in at least 100 fatalities.","rs":"At least two independent sources (e.g., BBC World, Al Jazeera, Guardian World) confirm a new flood disaster in Nepal between 2026-09-30 and 2026-10-06, with a death toll of 100 or more.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-44","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry whose vendor or product fields reference SonicWall SMA1000, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A fetch of the CISA KEV catalog on the deadline shows at least one SMA1000 entry with dateAdded between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-45","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Front-month NYMEX WTI crude settles at or above 100.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 90.59 on the packet date.","rs":"CME official settlement data show any front-month CL settlement at or above 100.00 inside the window. Reference level at seal: 90.59.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-46","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield, FRED series DGS10, records a value at or above 5.00 percent on at least one business day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-12-31. Reference: 4.80 percent on the packet date.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 shows at least one daily value at or above 5.00 inside the window. Reference level at seal: 4.80 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-47","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A lapse in US federal appropriations begins on 2026-10-01 because no full-year appropriations act or continuing resolution covering all agencies is enacted on or before 2026-09-30.","rs":"Congress.gov shows no enacted government-wide funding measure signed by 2026-09-30 and OPM publicly issues shutdown furlough guidance effective 2026-10-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-48","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A continuous suspension of laden tanker transits through the Strait of Hormuz lasting at least 72 hours begins between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, AFP report, citing AIS or tracking data, a continuous 72-hour halt of laden tanker transits beginning inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-49","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"At least one US military strike on a target inside Iranian territory occurring between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-16 is acknowledged by US official channels and reported by Iranian state media.","rs":"CENTCOM or DoD publicly acknowledges a strike inside Iran occurring in the window, and at least one of IRNA, Tasnim, Press TV reports a strike on Iranian territory in the same window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-50","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A major US grid operator among PJM, MISO, ERCOT, SPP, NYISO, ISO-NE, CAISO declares an Energy Emergency Alert Level 2 or higher effective on a date between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-16.","rs":"The public notices archive of at least one named operator shows an EEA Level 2 or Level 3 declaration, or equivalent maximum generation emergency, effective inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-51","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or above 110.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 95.33 on the packet date 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the ICE Brent front-month official settlement price equals or exceeds 110.00 on any trading day from 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-30. Reference level 95.33 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-52","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":48,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US Treasury 10-year constant maturity par yield closes at or above 5.15 percent on at least one business day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-11-30. Reference: 4.80 percent on 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if FRED series DGS10 or the Treasury daily par yield curve records a 10-year value of 5.15 or higher on any date from 2026-09-03 through 2026-11-30. Reference 4.80 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-53","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one SonicWall vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one entry with vendorProject SonicWall and dateAdded from 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-15 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-54","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The HHS Office for Civil Rights breach portal lists an Aesto Health breach affecting 9,500,000 or more individuals, posted between 2026-09-03 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"TRUE if the HHS OCR breach portal shows a single entry naming Aesto Health with individuals affected of 9,500,000 or more and a submission date in that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-55","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russian official sources confirm UAV interception or debris over Moscow city or Moscow oblast on at least three separate calendar days between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if Russian Ministry of Defence or Moscow mayoral statements, echoed by Reuters or AFP, name three or more distinct dates in that window with UAV interception over Moscow.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-56","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A UN OCHA or Nepal NDRRMA report published between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-15 states a confirmed death toll of 1,500 or more from the 2026 Nepal-Tibet floods.","rs":"TRUE if an OCHA situation report on ReliefWeb or an NDRRMA bulletin, published in that window, states 1,500 or more confirmed deaths from the 2026 Nepal flood event.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-57","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"WTI crude oil, NYMEX front-month contract, settles at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on any trading day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30. Reference: 90.59 USD per barrel on the packet date, 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if CME/NYMEX settlement data or EIA daily spot price shows WTI at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on any date in the window; FALSE if no such settlement occurs.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-58","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The 10-year US Treasury note yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on any trading day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-25. Reference: 4.80 percent on the packet date, 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the Treasury.gov daily par yield curve or FRED series DGS10 records a 10-year close at or above 5.00 percent on any date in the window; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-59","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds a SonicWall SMA1000 vulnerability tied to the zero-days reported as actively exploited on 2026-09-02 to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, with dateAdded between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a SonicWall SMA1000 CVE with dateAdded inside the window; FALSE if no such entry appears by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-60","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds a GeoNetwork remote-code-execution vulnerability, the unauthenticated RCE chain reported affecting government geoportal backends on 2026-09-02, to the KEV catalog, with dateAdded between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a GeoNetwork-related CVE with dateAdded inside the window; FALSE if no such entry appears by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-61","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-26","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"[withheld] Fourth District Court sets a specific trial start date for Tyler Robinson, the man charged with murdering Charlie Kirk, at the scheduled October 23, 2026 hearing.","rs":"TRUE if [withheld] Fourth District Court records or a wire service confirm a trial start date was set at the October 23, 2026 hearing; FALSE if the hearing is postponed or no date is set.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-62","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Nepal's National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority reports a confirmed death toll of at least 1,500 from the August-September 2026 Nepal-Tibet floods, reported between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"TRUE if NDRRMA, Nepal's Home Ministry, or two independent wire services report a confirmed death toll of 1,500 or more within the window; FALSE if the reported toll stays below 1,500 throughout.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-63","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry whose vendor or product fields reference SonicWall SMA1000, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"A fetch of the CISA KEV catalog on the deadline shows at least one SMA1000 entry with dateAdded between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-64","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Front-month NYMEX WTI crude settles at or above 100.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 90.59 on the packet date.","rs":"CME official settlement data show any front-month CL settlement at or above 100.00 inside the window. Reference level at seal: 90.59.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-65","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield, FRED series DGS10, records a value at or above 5.00 percent on at least one business day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-12-31. Reference: 4.80 percent on the packet date.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 shows at least one daily value at or above 5.00 inside the window. Reference level at seal: 4.80 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-66","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A lapse in US federal appropriations begins on 2026-10-01 because no full-year appropriations act or continuing resolution covering all agencies is enacted on or before 2026-09-30.","rs":"Congress.gov shows no enacted government-wide funding measure signed by 2026-09-30 and OPM publicly issues shutdown furlough guidance effective 2026-10-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-67","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A continuous suspension of laden tanker transits through the Strait of Hormuz lasting at least 72 hours begins between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, AFP report, citing AIS or tracking data, a continuous 72-hour halt of laden tanker transits beginning inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-68","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"At least one US military strike on a target inside Iranian territory occurring between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-16 is acknowledged by US official channels and reported by Iranian state media.","rs":"CENTCOM or DoD publicly acknowledges a strike inside Iran occurring in the window, and at least one of IRNA, Tasnim, Press TV reports a strike on Iranian territory in the same window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-69","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A major US grid operator among PJM, MISO, ERCOT, SPP, NYISO, ISO-NE, CAISO declares an Energy Emergency Alert Level 2 or higher effective on a date between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-16.","rs":"The public notices archive of at least one named operator shows an EEA Level 2 or Level 3 declaration, or equivalent maximum generation emergency, effective inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-70","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or above 110.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 95.33 on the packet date 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the ICE Brent front-month official settlement price equals or exceeds 110.00 on any trading day from 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-30. Reference level 95.33 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-71","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US Treasury 10-year constant maturity par yield closes at or above 5.15 percent on at least one business day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-11-30. Reference: 4.80 percent on 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if FRED series DGS10 or the Treasury daily par yield curve records a 10-year value of 5.15 or higher on any date from 2026-09-03 through 2026-11-30. Reference 4.80 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-72","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one SonicWall vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains at least one entry with vendorProject SonicWall and dateAdded from 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-15 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-73","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The HHS Office for Civil Rights breach portal lists an Aesto Health breach affecting 9,500,000 or more individuals, posted between 2026-09-03 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"TRUE if the HHS OCR breach portal shows a single entry naming Aesto Health with individuals affected of 9,500,000 or more and a submission date in that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-74","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russian official sources confirm UAV interception or debris over Moscow city or Moscow oblast on at least three separate calendar days between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if Russian Ministry of Defence or Moscow mayoral statements, echoed by Reuters or AFP, name three or more distinct dates in that window with UAV interception over Moscow.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-75","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A UN OCHA or Nepal NDRRMA report published between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-15 states a confirmed death toll of 1,500 or more from the 2026 Nepal-Tibet floods.","rs":"TRUE if an OCHA situation report on ReliefWeb or an NDRRMA bulletin, published in that window, states 1,500 or more confirmed deaths from the 2026 Nepal flood event.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-76","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"WTI crude oil, NYMEX front-month contract, settles at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on any trading day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30. Reference: 90.59 USD per barrel on the packet date, 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if CME/NYMEX settlement data or EIA daily spot price shows WTI at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on any date in the window; FALSE if no such settlement occurs.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-77","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The 10-year US Treasury note yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on any trading day between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-25. Reference: 4.80 percent on the packet date, 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the Treasury.gov daily par yield curve or FRED series DGS10 records a 10-year close at or above 5.00 percent on any date in the window; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-78","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds a SonicWall SMA1000 vulnerability tied to the zero-days reported as actively exploited on 2026-09-02 to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, with dateAdded between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a SonicWall SMA1000 CVE with dateAdded inside the window; FALSE if no such entry appears by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-79","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds a GeoNetwork remote-code-execution vulnerability, the unauthenticated RCE chain reported affecting government geoportal backends on 2026-09-02, to the KEV catalog, with dateAdded between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists a GeoNetwork-related CVE with dateAdded inside the window; FALSE if no such entry appears by the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-80","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-10-26","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"[withheld] Fourth District Court sets a specific trial start date for Tyler Robinson, the man charged with murdering Charlie Kirk, at the scheduled October 23, 2026 hearing.","rs":"TRUE if [withheld] Fourth District Court records or a wire service confirm a trial start date was set at the October 23, 2026 hearing; FALSE if the hearing is postponed or no date is set.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260902-81","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-02","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Nepal's National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority reports a confirmed death toll of at least 1,500 from the August-September 2026 Nepal-Tibet floods, reported between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-23.","rs":"TRUE if NDRRMA, Nepal's Home Ministry, or two independent wire services report a confirmed death toll of 1,500 or more within the window; FALSE if the reported toll stays below 1,500 throughout.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-01","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-31 the United States government and the government of Iran each publicly confirm a ceasefire, truce, or mutual halt to strikes between the two states.","rs":"TRUE if official statements from both the US government (White House, State Department, or Pentagon) and Iran (Foreign Ministry, SNSC, or Supreme Leader office) confirm a bilateral ceasefire or halt to strikes announced between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-02","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The EIA daily WTI Cushing spot price (FRED series DCOILWTICO) is at or above 100.00 dollars per barrel on at least one observation date between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-02. Reference: WTI 90.59 on the packet date 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the FRED series DCOILWTICO (EIA Cushing WTI spot, daily) shows a value of 100.00 or higher for any observation date from 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-02 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-03","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-09","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"The BLS Employment Situation release scheduled for 2026-09-04 reports a first-estimate change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August 2026 below +75,000. Reference: ADP private payrolls +38,000 for August, reported 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the seasonally adjusted change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August 2026, as first printed in the BLS Employment Situation news release dated 2026-09-04, is less than +75,000; later revisions are ignored.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-04","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one CVE with vendorProject SonicWall and a product field naming SMA1000 or SMA 1000 series appliances, with dateAdded between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-16.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON feed contains an entry with vendorProject SonicWall, product containing SMA1000 or SMA 1000, and dateAdded between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-16 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-05","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A lapse in US federal appropriations begins on 2026-10-01: no law providing FY2027 appropriations, full-year or continuing, for every federal department is enacted by the end of 2026-09-30, and OMB or at least one department issues lapse or shutdown guidance effective 2026-10-01.","rs":"TRUE if Congress.gov shows no enacted law providing FY2027 appropriations, full-year or continuing, for every federal department by 2026-09-30, and OMB or at least one department publishes lapse or shutdown guidance effective 2026-10-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-06","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-30 the Council of the EU adopts a new numbered package of sanctions against Russia over the war in Ukraine, with the legal acts published in the Official Journal of the European Union.","rs":"TRUE if the Official Journal (EUR-Lex) publishes Council legal acts, dated between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-30, that the Council press release describes as a new numbered sanctions package against Russia; extensions or delistings alone do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-07","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The combined official confirmed death toll (excluding missing) from the Nepal-Tibet flood disaster reported from late August 2026 reaches at least 1,500 on any date between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-15. Reference: reported passing 1,000 on 2026-09-01.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal NDRRMA figures, or two of Reuters, AP, AFP citing officials, put the combined confirmed death toll (excluding missing) for the late-August 2026 Nepal-Tibet floods at 1,500 or more on any date from 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-08","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-31 the United States government and the government of Iran each publicly confirm a ceasefire, truce, or mutual halt to strikes between the two states.","rs":"TRUE if official statements from both the US government (White House, State Department, or Pentagon) and Iran (Foreign Ministry, SNSC, or Supreme Leader office) confirm a bilateral ceasefire or halt to strikes announced between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-31.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-09","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The EIA daily WTI Cushing spot price (FRED series DCOILWTICO) is at or above 100.00 dollars per barrel on at least one observation date between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-02. Reference: WTI 90.59 on the packet date 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the FRED series DCOILWTICO (EIA Cushing WTI spot, daily) shows a value of 100.00 or higher for any observation date from 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-02 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-10","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-09","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"The BLS Employment Situation release scheduled for 2026-09-04 reports a first-estimate change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August 2026 below +75,000. Reference: ADP private payrolls +38,000 for August, reported 2026-09-02.","rs":"TRUE if the seasonally adjusted change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August 2026, as first printed in the BLS Employment Situation news release dated 2026-09-04, is less than +75,000; later revisions are ignored.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-11","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one CVE with vendorProject SonicWall and a product field naming SMA1000 or SMA 1000 series appliances, with dateAdded between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-16.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog JSON feed contains an entry with vendorProject SonicWall, product containing SMA1000 or SMA 1000, and dateAdded between 2026-09-02 and 2026-09-16 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-12","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A lapse in US federal appropriations begins on 2026-10-01: no law providing FY2027 appropriations, full-year or continuing, for every federal department is enacted by the end of 2026-09-30, and OMB or at least one department issues lapse or shutdown guidance effective 2026-10-01.","rs":"TRUE if Congress.gov shows no enacted law providing FY2027 appropriations, full-year or continuing, for every federal department by 2026-09-30, and OMB or at least one department publishes lapse or shutdown guidance effective 2026-10-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-13","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-30 the Council of the EU adopts a new numbered package of sanctions against Russia over the war in Ukraine, with the legal acts published in the Official Journal of the European Union.","rs":"TRUE if the Official Journal (EUR-Lex) publishes Council legal acts, dated between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-30, that the Council press release describes as a new numbered sanctions package against Russia; extensions or delistings alone do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-14","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The combined official confirmed death toll (excluding missing) from the Nepal-Tibet flood disaster reported from late August 2026 reaches at least 1,500 on any date between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-15. Reference: reported passing 1,000 on 2026-09-01.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal NDRRMA figures, or two of Reuters, AP, AFP citing officials, put the combined confirmed death toll (excluding missing) for the late-August 2026 Nepal-Tibet floods at 1,500 or more on any date from 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-02_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-02_1520.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-15","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, at least one confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-83548 will be reported by two or more independent sources.","rs":"At least one confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-83548 is reported by two or more independent sources between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-16","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, the Netherlands will publicly confirm the transfer of at least $5 billion in gold from the United States to Canada or the United Kingdom.","rs":"The Netherlands publicly confirms the transfer of at least $5 billion in gold from the United States to Canada or the United Kingdom between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-17","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake will be recorded by the USGS in the South Sandwich Islands region.","rs":"The USGS records a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake in the South Sandwich Islands region between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-18","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, Iran will launch a missile strike against a target in Kuwait City, confirmed by at least two independent sources.","rs":"Iran launches a missile strike against a target in Kuwait City, confirmed by at least two independent sources between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-19","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, the Brent crude oil price will exceed $100 per barrel on at least one trading day.","rs":"The Brent crude oil price exceeds $100 per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-20","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-48710 will be reported by two or more independent sources.","rs":"A confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-48710 is reported by two or more independent sources between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-21","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a magnitude 5.5 or higher earthquake will be recorded by the USGS in China.","rs":"The USGS records a magnitude 5.5 or higher earthquake in China between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-22","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-9586 will be reported by two or more independent sources.","rs":"A confirmed cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-9586 is reported by two or more independent sources between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-23","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Iran or an Iran-aligned force conducts another confirmed strike (drone, missile, or cruise) against a target inside Kuwait or another Gulf Cooperation Council state between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19.","rs":"Two independently-biased outlets (for example a Western wire service and a Gulf or Iran-aligned channel) confirm a Kuwait or GCC-territory strike attributed to Iran or an Iran-aligned force occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19, checked by 2026-09-21.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-24","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A named Ukrainian government body announces disciplinary action, criminal charges, or a completed inquiry finding against personnel involved in the September 2, 2026 SBU-HUR shootout in Kyiv, with the announcement occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-03.","rs":"A Ukrainian official body publicly announces a named finding, charge, or disciplinary measure tied to the incident, occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-03, confirmed by two outlets by 2026-10-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-25","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 90.00 USD/bbl on 2026-09-25. Reference: 96.70 on the packet date (2026-09-03).","rs":"ICE Brent front-month futures daily settlement price on 2026-09-25 is 90.00 USD/bbl or higher, per exchange settlement data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-26","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":68,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"COMEX gold front-month futures settle at or above 4300.00 USD/oz on 2026-09-25. Reference: 4546.20 on the packet date (2026-09-03).","rs":"COMEX gold front-month futures daily settlement price on 2026-09-25 is 4300.00 USD/oz or higher, per exchange settlement data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-27","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC holds its federal funds target range unchanged at its September 15-16, 2026 meeting. Reference: 3.50-3.75 percent target range in effect on the packet date.","rs":"The FOMC post-meeting statement released 2026-09-16 states the target range is unchanged from 3.50-3.75 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-28","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Leon Black either appears for a rescheduled House Oversight Committee deposition or is formally held in contempt of Congress in connection with the Epstein-probe subpoena, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-17.","rs":"House Oversight Committee records or a wire-service report confirm either a completed Leon Black deposition or a committee contempt vote or referral occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-17, checked by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-29","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Bank of Japan raises its short-term policy interest rate at the Monetary Policy Meeting concluding 2026-09-18, to a level above the rate in effect on 2026-09-03.","rs":"The Statement on Monetary Policy published on boj.or.jp for the MPM concluding 2026-09-18 sets the uncollateralized overnight call rate guideline above the level in effect on 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-30","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Brent crude trades above 110.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-02. Reference: 96.70 on the packet date.","rs":"The FRED series DCOILBRENTEU (EIA Brent Europe spot) reports a daily value strictly above 110.00 for at least one observation dated 2026-09-04 through 2026-10-02 inclusive. Reference: 96.70 on the packet date.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-31","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds at least one CVE whose KEV vendorProject or product field names Elementor to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed (cisa.gov known-exploited-vulnerabilities.json) contains an entry whose vendorProject or product field includes Elementor and whose dateAdded is from 2026-09-03 through 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-32","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform votes to approve a report or resolution recommending that Leon Black be held in contempt of Congress between 2026-09-03 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"The committee website (oversight.house.gov) or Congress.gov records a committee vote approving a contempt of Congress report or resolution naming Leon Black, held on a date from 2026-09-03 through 2026-12-18 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-33","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US Department of Defense announces the death of at least one US service member from hostile action in the CENTCOM area of responsibility, with a date of death between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-01.","rs":"A casualty release on defense.gov identifies at least one US service member whose death is attributed to hostile action or enemy attack in the CENTCOM area of responsibility, with date of death 2026-09-04 through 2026-10-01 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-34","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS catalog records an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with epicenter within 300 km of the 2026-09-03 M6.3 event 84 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska (us7000tdvt), with origin time between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-03.","rs":"The USGS earthquake catalog (earthquake.usgs.gov) lists an event with magnitude 6.0 or greater, epicenter within 300 km of event us7000tdvt, and origin time from 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC through 2026-10-03 23:59 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-35","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The NOAA CPC weekly Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly reaches at least +2.0 degrees C for at least one week dated between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-28.","rs":"The NOAA CPC weekly SST anomaly table (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/wksst9120.for) shows a Nino 3.4 anomaly of 2.0 or higher for any week whose listed date falls from 2026-09-07 through 2026-12-28 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-36","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"UK Home Office figures record 900 or more people arriving in the UK by small boat on at least one single day between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The Home Office small boat arrivals dataset on gov.uk (migrants detected crossing the English Channel in small boats) shows a daily arrivals figure of 900 or more for at least one date from 2026-09-04 through 2026-10-31 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-37","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":92,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-02, Ukrainian forces strike at least one target inside internationally recognized Russian territory 200 km or more from the Russia-Ukraine border, acknowledged by both a Russian official source and a Ukrainian official or military-intelligence source.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if a strike meeting the statement, occurring in the window, is acknowledged by at least one Russian official source (MoD or regional governor) and one Ukrainian official source; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-38","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-04, the government or state news agency of Qatar (QNA) or Bahrain (BNA) confirms an Iranian missile or drone striking, or being intercepted over, its national territory.","rs":"Resolves TRUE on official Qatari or Bahraini government or state-agency confirmation of an Iranian projectile striking or intercepted over its territory within the window, corroborated by at least one international wire service; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-39","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-31, a decree published on the official website of the President of Ukraine removes the serving head of the SBU or the serving head of the GUR from that post.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if a presidential decree dated within the window and published at president.gov.ua removes the incumbent SBU chief or GUR chief; reassignment to another post counts as removal; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-40","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures record a daily settlement at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-30. Reference: Brent 96.70 at packet seal on 2026-09-03.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if any official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-30 is at or above 100.00 USD; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-41","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Federal Open Market Committee leaves the federal funds target range unchanged at its scheduled September 2026 meeting, per the FOMC statement posted at federalreserve.gov.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if the September 2026 FOMC statement maintains the pre-meeting federal funds target range with no change; any increase or cut resolves FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-42","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry whose vendor, product, or vulnerability name field contains Elementor, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-02 inclusive.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if the public CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry naming Elementor with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-02 inclusive; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-43","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry whose vendor or product field names CrowdStrike, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-11-30 inclusive.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if the public CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry with vendor or product naming CrowdStrike and a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-11-30 inclusive; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-44","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-12-04, the USGS earthquake catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with an epicenter within 300 km of USGS event us7000tdvt, the 2026-09-03 M6.3 near Nikolski, Alaska.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if a USGS ComCat query returns any event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of the us7000tdvt epicenter with origin time inside the window; catalog values as of the deadline govern.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-45","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-04, at least one additional munition impact on the sovereign territory of Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates is publicly attributed to Iran or Iran-aligned forces by the host government.","rs":"MET if two of Reuters, AP, AFP report a munition impact on one of those five states dated inside the window, and that host government publicly attributes the impact to Iran or Iran-aligned forces.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-46","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-09","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-12-04, commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz halts for at least 72 consecutive hours.","rs":"MET if Reuters and either Bloomberg or Lloyds List report a continuous period of at least 72 hours inside the window in which no laden commercial tanker transited the Strait of Hormuz.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-47","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC statement issued on 2026-09-16 leaves the federal funds target range unchanged from the range in effect on the packet date. Reference: target range 3.50 to 3.75 percent on 2026-09-03.","rs":"MET if the FOMC statement published on federalreserve.gov on 2026-09-16 maintains the federal funds target range at the level in effect on 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-48","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-10","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or below 88.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06. Reference: 96.70 on the packet date.","rs":"MET if the ICE published settlement price for the Brent front-month contract is 88.00 dollars or lower on any trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-49","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2027-02-02","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog carries an entry naming CrowdStrike as the vendor with a date-added value between 2026-09-04 and 2027-01-29.","rs":"MET if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains a record whose vendorProject field is CrowdStrike and whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-09-04 and 2027-01-29 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-50","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog gains at least 50 new entries with date-added values between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-02 inclusive.","rs":"MET if a count of CISA KEV catalog records whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-02 inclusive reaches 50 or more.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-51","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-09","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-11-04, Ukraine issues a notice of suspicion against at least one serving SBU or HUR officer over the Kyiv inter-agency shootout.","rs":"MET if the Prosecutor General office, the SBU, or the State Bureau of Investigation publicly announces a notice of suspicion naming a serving SBU or HUR officer in connection with the Kyiv shootout.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-52","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-16","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-11, the House Committee on Oversight approves a resolution recommending that Leon Black be held in contempt of Congress.","rs":"MET if a markup record or roll call published on oversight.house.gov shows committee approval of a contempt resolution naming Leon Black, dated between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-11.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-53","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The NOAA CPC Oceanic Nino Index value for the September-October-November 2026 season is at or above plus 2.0 degrees Celsius. Reference: UN and BoM record El Nino forecasts on the packet date.","rs":"MET if the CPC Oceanic Nino Index table on the CPC site lists a SON 2026 value of 2.0 or greater when read on the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-54","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Iran or an Iran-aligned force conducts another confirmed strike (drone, missile, or cruise) against a target inside Kuwait or another Gulf Cooperation Council state between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19.","rs":"Two independently-biased outlets (for example a Western wire service and a Gulf or Iran-aligned channel) confirm a Kuwait or GCC-territory strike attributed to Iran or an Iran-aligned force occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19, checked by 2026-09-21.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-55","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A named Ukrainian government body announces disciplinary action, criminal charges, or a completed inquiry finding against personnel involved in the September 2, 2026 SBU-HUR shootout in Kyiv, with the announcement occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-03.","rs":"A Ukrainian official body publicly announces a named finding, charge, or disciplinary measure tied to the incident, occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-03, confirmed by two outlets by 2026-10-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-56","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 90.00 USD/bbl on 2026-09-25. Reference: 96.70 on the packet date (2026-09-03).","rs":"ICE Brent front-month futures daily settlement price on 2026-09-25 is 90.00 USD/bbl or higher, per exchange settlement data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-57","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-25","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"COMEX gold front-month futures settle at or above 4300.00 USD/oz on 2026-09-25. Reference: 4546.20 on the packet date (2026-09-03).","rs":"COMEX gold front-month futures daily settlement price on 2026-09-25 is 4300.00 USD/oz or higher, per exchange settlement data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-58","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC holds its federal funds target range unchanged at its September 15-16, 2026 meeting. Reference: 3.50-3.75 percent target range in effect on the packet date.","rs":"The FOMC post-meeting statement released 2026-09-16 states the target range is unchanged from 3.50-3.75 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-59","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Leon Black either appears for a rescheduled House Oversight Committee deposition or is formally held in contempt of Congress in connection with the Epstein-probe subpoena, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-17.","rs":"House Oversight Committee records or a wire-service report confirm either a completed Leon Black deposition or a committee contempt vote or referral occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-17, checked by 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-60","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Bank of Japan raises its short-term policy interest rate at the Monetary Policy Meeting concluding 2026-09-18, to a level above the rate in effect on 2026-09-03.","rs":"The Statement on Monetary Policy published on boj.or.jp for the MPM concluding 2026-09-18 sets the uncollateralized overnight call rate guideline above the level in effect on 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-61","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Brent crude trades above 110.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-02. Reference: 96.70 on the packet date.","rs":"The FRED series DCOILBRENTEU (EIA Brent Europe spot) reports a daily value strictly above 110.00 for at least one observation dated 2026-09-04 through 2026-10-02 inclusive. Reference: 96.70 on the packet date.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-62","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds at least one CVE whose KEV vendorProject or product field names Elementor to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed (cisa.gov known-exploited-vulnerabilities.json) contains an entry whose vendorProject or product field includes Elementor and whose dateAdded is from 2026-09-03 through 2026-09-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-63","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform votes to approve a report or resolution recommending that Leon Black be held in contempt of Congress between 2026-09-03 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"The committee website (oversight.house.gov) or Congress.gov records a committee vote approving a contempt of Congress report or resolution naming Leon Black, held on a date from 2026-09-03 through 2026-12-18 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-64","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US Department of Defense announces the death of at least one US service member from hostile action in the CENTCOM area of responsibility, with a date of death between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-01.","rs":"A casualty release on defense.gov identifies at least one US service member whose death is attributed to hostile action or enemy attack in the CENTCOM area of responsibility, with date of death 2026-09-04 through 2026-10-01 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-65","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS catalog records an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with epicenter within 300 km of the 2026-09-03 M6.3 event 84 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska (us7000tdvt), with origin time between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-03.","rs":"The USGS earthquake catalog (earthquake.usgs.gov) lists an event with magnitude 6.0 or greater, epicenter within 300 km of event us7000tdvt, and origin time from 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC through 2026-10-03 23:59 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-66","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2027-01-06","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The NOAA CPC weekly Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly reaches at least +2.0 degrees C for at least one week dated between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-28.","rs":"The NOAA CPC weekly SST anomaly table (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/wksst9120.for) shows a Nino 3.4 anomaly of 2.0 or higher for any week whose listed date falls from 2026-09-07 through 2026-12-28 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-67","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"UK Home Office figures record 900 or more people arriving in the UK by small boat on at least one single day between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"The Home Office small boat arrivals dataset on gov.uk (migrants detected crossing the English Channel in small boats) shows a daily arrivals figure of 900 or more for at least one date from 2026-09-04 through 2026-10-31 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-68","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-02, Ukrainian forces strike at least one target inside internationally recognized Russian territory 200 km or more from the Russia-Ukraine border, acknowledged by both a Russian official source and a Ukrainian official or military-intelligence source.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if a strike meeting the statement, occurring in the window, is acknowledged by at least one Russian official source (MoD or regional governor) and one Ukrainian official source; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-69","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-04, the government or state news agency of Qatar (QNA) or Bahrain (BNA) confirms an Iranian missile or drone striking, or being intercepted over, its national territory.","rs":"Resolves TRUE on official Qatari or Bahraini government or state-agency confirmation of an Iranian projectile striking or intercepted over its territory within the window, corroborated by at least one international wire service; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-70","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-31, a decree published on the official website of the President of Ukraine removes the serving head of the SBU or the serving head of the GUR from that post.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if a presidential decree dated within the window and published at president.gov.ua removes the incumbent SBU chief or GUR chief; reassignment to another post counts as removal; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-71","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures record a daily settlement at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-30. Reference: Brent 96.70 at packet seal on 2026-09-03.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if any official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-30 is at or above 100.00 USD; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-72","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Federal Open Market Committee leaves the federal funds target range unchanged at its scheduled September 2026 meeting, per the FOMC statement posted at federalreserve.gov.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if the September 2026 FOMC statement maintains the pre-meeting federal funds target range with no change; any increase or cut resolves FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-73","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry whose vendor, product, or vulnerability name field contains Elementor, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-02 inclusive.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if the public CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry naming Elementor with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-03 and 2026-10-02 inclusive; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-74","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry whose vendor or product field names CrowdStrike, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-11-30 inclusive.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if the public CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry with vendor or product naming CrowdStrike and a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-11-30 inclusive; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-75","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-12-04, the USGS earthquake catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with an epicenter within 300 km of USGS event us7000tdvt, the 2026-09-03 M6.3 near Nikolski, Alaska.","rs":"Resolves TRUE if a USGS ComCat query returns any event of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of the us7000tdvt epicenter with origin time inside the window; catalog values as of the deadline govern.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-76","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-04, at least one additional munition impact on the sovereign territory of Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates is publicly attributed to Iran or Iran-aligned forces by the host government.","rs":"MET if two of Reuters, AP, AFP report a munition impact on one of those five states dated inside the window, and that host government publicly attributes the impact to Iran or Iran-aligned forces.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-77","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-09","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-12-04, commercial transit of the Strait of Hormuz halts for at least 72 consecutive hours.","rs":"MET if Reuters and either Bloomberg or Lloyds List report a continuous period of at least 72 hours inside the window in which no laden commercial tanker transited the Strait of Hormuz.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-78","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC statement issued on 2026-09-16 leaves the federal funds target range unchanged from the range in effect on the packet date. Reference: target range 3.50 to 3.75 percent on 2026-09-03.","rs":"MET if the FOMC statement published on federalreserve.gov on 2026-09-16 maintains the federal funds target range at the level in effect on 2026-09-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-79","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-10","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or below 88.00 dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06. Reference: 96.70 on the packet date.","rs":"MET if the ICE published settlement price for the Brent front-month contract is 88.00 dollars or lower on any trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-80","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2027-02-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog carries an entry naming CrowdStrike as the vendor with a date-added value between 2026-09-04 and 2027-01-29.","rs":"MET if the CISA KEV catalog JSON contains a record whose vendorProject field is CrowdStrike and whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-09-04 and 2027-01-29 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-81","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-06","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog gains at least 50 new entries with date-added values between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-02 inclusive.","rs":"MET if a count of CISA KEV catalog records whose dateAdded value falls between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-02 inclusive reaches 50 or more.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-82","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-11-09","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-04 and 2026-11-04, Ukraine issues a notice of suspicion against at least one serving SBU or HUR officer over the Kyiv inter-agency shootout.","rs":"MET if the Prosecutor General office, the SBU, or the State Bureau of Investigation publicly announces a notice of suspicion naming a serving SBU or HUR officer in connection with the Kyiv shootout.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-83","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-16","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-11, the House Committee on Oversight approves a resolution recommending that Leon Black be held in contempt of Congress.","rs":"MET if a markup record or roll call published on oversight.house.gov shows committee approval of a contempt resolution naming Leon Black, dated between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-11.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260903-84","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-03","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The NOAA CPC Oceanic Nino Index value for the September-October-November 2026 season is at or above plus 2.0 degrees Celsius. Reference: UN and BoM record El Nino forecasts on the packet date.","rs":"MET if the CPC Oceanic Nino Index table on the CPC site lists a SON 2026 value of 2.0 or greater when read on the deadline.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-03_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-03_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A drone strike on Kyiv's security services headquarters occurs between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, resulting in at least one confirmed casualty.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, and at least one report from a hostile side (RU, UA, AXIS) confirms a drone strike on Kyiv's security services HQ with at least one confirmed casualty in corroborating reports.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A cyberattack exploiting the Chrome V8 zero-day vulnerability is confirmed by at least two independent sources between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, and at least two independent sources (e.g., BleepingComputer, The Hacker News) confirm exploitation of the Chrome V8 zero-day vulnerability during that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A major earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher occurs in the United States between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, with at least one fatality reported.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes catalog carries a magnitude 6.0 or higher event with a depth of 70km or less, and at least one fatality is reported in corroborating sources (e.g., BBC World, Al Jazeera) between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The S&P 500 index closes below 7,600 on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rs":"The S&P 500 index closes below 7,600 on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, as recorded in the Market Snapshot data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A new vulnerability in Microsoft Teams is exploited in a coordinated attack on at least 100 organizations between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, and at least 100 organizations are confirmed to have been compromised via the Microsoft Teams vulnerability in corroborating reports.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A political scandal involving a U.S. presidential candidate leads to a formal indictment by a federal grand jury between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rs":"A federal grand jury issues a formal indictment against a U.S. presidential candidate, confirmed by at least two independent sources (e.g., Guardian World, NPR News) between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Iran announces a new military offensive in the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, confirmed by at least two hostile sides (AXIS, WEST).","rs":"At least two hostile sides (AXIS, WEST) confirm Iran announces a new military offensive in the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, as reported in corroborating sources.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 5.0% on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rs":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 5.0% on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, as recorded in the Market Snapshot data.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-09","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-12, the US dollar strengthens to a 10-year high against the euro, with EUR/USD falling below 1.1450 at the close of the final trading day.","rs":"The EUR/USD exchange rate closes below 1.1450 on 2026-09-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-04_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-10","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-13, a cyberattack exploiting the Chrome V8 zero-day vulnerability is confirmed by at least two independent sources, including CISA or BleepingComputer, with evidence of active exploitation in the wild.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-13, and at least two independent sources (e.g., BleepingComputer, The Hacker News) confirm active exploitation of the Chrome V8 zero-day vulnerability.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-04_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-11","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-09 and 2026-09-15, Iran launches a coordinated missile and drone attack on Israeli military installations in the Golan Heights, confirmed by at least two hostile sides (IL, PS) with casualty reports.","rs":"At least two hostile sides (IL, PS) report a coordinated missile and drone attack on Israeli military installations in the Golan Heights between 2026-09-09 and 2026-09-15, with confirmed casualties.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-04_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-12","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-09-19, a cyberattack targeting the Ukrainian power grid is confirmed by at least two hostile sides (RU, UA), with sustained outages reported in Kyiv.","rs":"At least two hostile sides (RU, UA) report a cyberattack on the Ukrainian power grid between 2026-09-13 and 2026-09-19, with sustained outages confirmed in Kyiv.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-04_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-13","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"The UN General Assembly will adopt the Togo-sponsored resolution replacing the Mercator projection with the Equal Earth projection at its scheduled vote on 2026-09-04.","rs":"TRUE if the UN's official record shows the map resolution adopted, by vote or consensus, on September 4, 2026; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-14","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":27,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"The AfD will win an outright majority, at least 42 of the 83 seats, in the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election held 2026-09-06, exceeding its pre-election polling average of roughly 39 projected seats.","rs":"TRUE if Sachsen-Anhalt's official results from the September 6, 2026 election allocate 42 or more of 83 seats to AfD; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"US envoys representing the Trump administration will hold in-person meetings with senior government officials in both Moscow and Kyiv between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-16 as part of the announced mediation relaunch.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of Reuters, AP, BBC, or Al Jazeera report the same US envoy team meeting senior officials in both Moscow and Kyiv between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-16; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC will cut its federal funds target range below the current 3.50-3.75 percent range, held through a 9-3 vote at the July 29, 2026 meeting, at its next meeting on September 16, 2026.","rs":"TRUE if the Federal Reserve's September 16, 2026 statement sets the target range below 3.50-3.75 percent; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Treasury/OFAC will publish at least one additional Iran-related sanctions designation under Operation Economic Outcast between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19, continuing the near-weekly cadence announced by Secretary Bessent.","rs":"TRUE if OFAC's Recent Actions page lists a new Iran-related designation dated between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":14,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"GDACS will upgrade at least one of its four Green forest-fire alerts logged 2026-09-04 (Mozambique event 1031563, DR Congo event 1031500, Zambia event 1031562, Ethiopia event 1031529) to Orange or Red between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19.","rs":"TRUE if the GDACS page for any of the four listed events shows Orange or Red level between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The actively exploited Chrome V8 vulnerability CVE-2026-85046, patched by Google on 2026-09-03, will be added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists CVE-2026-85046 with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-20","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Sara Duterte will be held in physical government custody for more than 24 continuous hours under the Quezon City Regional Trial Court arrest warrant, at any point between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of AP, Reuters, or Al Jazeera report Duterte held in custody beyond 24 continuous hours between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-21","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Houthi forces will be reported to have gained physical control of coastal territory directly on the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, beyond their existing inland and Hodeida-area positions, with the advance occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-05.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera report Houthi control of strait-front territory, not just Hodeida or inland areas, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-05; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-22","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":90,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds CVE-2026-85046, the Chrome V8 type confusion zero-day patched by Google on 2026-09-03, to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed at the deadline contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-85046 and a dateAdded value from 2026-09-04 through 2026-09-25 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-23","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds CVE-2026-20212, the Cisco Nexus 9000 Silicon One unauthenticated root RCE disclosed 2026-09-02 with no known exploitation at seal, to the KEV catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed at the deadline contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-20212 and a dateAdded value from 2026-09-04 through 2026-11-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-24","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"In the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election held 2026-09-06, the AfD wins an absolute majority of all seats (strictly more than half, counting overhang and leveling seats) in the official preliminary result.","rs":"The Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt official preliminary result (vorlaeufiges amtliches Endergebnis) for 2026-09-06 shows AfD seats strictly greater than half of all Landtag seats allocated.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-25","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"At its scheduled 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-16 meeting the FOMC raises the federal funds target range above the range held at seal (reference: 3.50 to 3.75 percent on the packet date).","rs":"The FOMC statement dated 2026-09-16 on federalreserve.gov, or FRED series DFEDTARL observed for 2026-09-17, shows a target range lower bound above 3.50 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-26","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CME NYMEX WTI crude (CL) front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09 (reference: 90.35 on the packet date).","rs":"CME Group published daily settlement for the front-month CL contract is at or above 100.00 on at least one trading day from 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-09 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-27","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"US envoys Steve Witkoff and/or Jared Kushner are physically present in Kyiv and meet President Zelensky in person between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-13.","rs":"The Office of the President of Ukraine (president.gov.ua) publishes a readout or photographs of the Kyiv meeting, and at least one of Reuters, AP or AFP independently reports the envoys in Kyiv within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-28","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Houthi forces take control of the Yemeni port city of Mokha (al-Mukha), Taiz governorate, between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"Either the internationally recognized Yemeni government acknowledges loss of Mokha, or at least two of Reuters, AP and AFP report Houthi forces control the city center and port, for an event dated within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-29","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Philippine Court of Appeals or Supreme Court issues a temporary restraining order, status quo ante order, or injunction halting the Quezon City RTC Branch 98 grave threats proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"An order of the Court of Appeals or Supreme Court dated within the window suspends or enjoins the Branch 98 grave threats proceedings against Duterte, confirmed by the issuing court or by two of Rappler, Inquirer, Philstar, Reuters.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-30","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-11 and 2026-09-25 the NSW Supreme Court sentences Daniel Billings for the murder of Molly Ticehurst to life imprisonment or to a non-parole period of 30 years or more.","rs":"The sentencing judgment (NSW Caselaw, R v Billings) or reporting by ABC and AAP shows a sentence handed down within the window that is life imprisonment or carries a non-parole period of at least 30 years.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-31","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one Google Chrome or Chromium V8 entry with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-18.","rs":"Fetch the CISA KEV JSON at the deadline; TRUE if any entry lists vendorProject Google, a product containing Chrome or Chromium V8, and dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-32","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one entry with vendorProject CrowdStrike and a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-25, following the reported FalconFlank SYSTEM privilege zero-day.","rs":"Fetch the CISA KEV JSON at the deadline; TRUE if any entry lists vendorProject CrowdStrike with dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-25; the entry need not be named FalconFlank.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-33","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The 10-year US Treasury constant maturity yield prints at or above 5.00 percent on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.78 percent on the packet date.","rs":"TRUE if FRED series DGS10 records a value of 5.00 or higher for any date between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.78 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-34","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The governments of Russia and Ukraine both announce a ceasefire or a mutual halt of long-range strikes with an effective date between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters and AP each carry statements from both the Kremlin and the Ukrainian presidential office confirming the same ceasefire or strike-halt agreement effective within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-35","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS ComCat catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or greater within 150 km of the 2026-09-04 M6.3 epicenter near Nikolski, Alaska, with origin time between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"TRUE if a ComCat query centered on the M6.3 event coordinates, radius 150 km, minimum magnitude 5.0, returns at least one event with origin time inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-36","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Argentina publishes in the Boletin Oficial a decree or resolution imposing sanctions or restrictive economic measures aimed at the Falkland Islands, companies operating there, or UK entities over the islands, dated between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if the Boletin Oficial de la Republica Argentina carries such an instrument with publication date inside the window; verbal threats without a published instrument do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-37","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":78,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at its scheduled 2026-09-16 decision. Reference: target range 3.50 to 3.75 percent on the packet date 2026-09-04.","rs":"TRUE if the FOMC policy statement on federalreserve.gov for the 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-16 meeting sets a target range with upper bound above 3.75 percent. Adjudicated 2026-09-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-38","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The South Korean government announces a naval or military deployment to Strait of Hormuz escort or security operations between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"TRUE if the defence ministry or presidential office of South Korea announces such a deployment in that window and both Yonhap and Reuters report it. Adjudicated 2026-12-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-39","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog gains an entry for a Google Chromium V8 vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities JSON contains a Google Chromium V8 record whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-09. Adjudicated 2026-10-13.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-40","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2027-02-18","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A CVE for the Cisco Nexus 9000 unauthenticated remote code execution flaw enters the CISA KEV catalog with dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2027-02-15.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON lists a Cisco NX-OS or Nexus 9000 record matching that flaw with dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2027-02-15. Adjudicated 2027-02-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-41","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte is taken into physical custody or surrenders to a Philippine court between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if Philippine authorities book or process her in custody, or she surrenders in court, in that window, per Reuters and the Philippine Daily Inquirer. Adjudicated 2026-11-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-42","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"USGS catalogs an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of event us7000tdvt with origin time between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if a USGS ComCat query returns an M6.0 or greater event within 300 km of the us7000tdvt epicenter with origin time in that window. Adjudicated 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-43","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"The UN General Assembly will adopt the Togo-sponsored resolution replacing the Mercator projection with the Equal Earth projection at its scheduled vote on 2026-09-04.","rs":"TRUE if the UN's official record shows the map resolution adopted, by vote or consensus, on September 4, 2026; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-44","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-11","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"The AfD will win an outright majority, at least 42 of the 83 seats, in the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election held 2026-09-06, exceeding its pre-election polling average of roughly 39 projected seats.","rs":"TRUE if Sachsen-Anhalt's official results from the September 6, 2026 election allocate 42 or more of 83 seats to AfD; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-45","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"US envoys representing the Trump administration will hold in-person meetings with senior government officials in both Moscow and Kyiv between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-16 as part of the announced mediation relaunch.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of Reuters, AP, BBC, or Al Jazeera report the same US envoy team meeting senior officials in both Moscow and Kyiv between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-16; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC will cut its federal funds target range below the current 3.50-3.75 percent range, held through a 9-3 vote at the July 29, 2026 meeting, at its next meeting on September 16, 2026.","rs":"TRUE if the Federal Reserve's September 16, 2026 statement sets the target range below 3.50-3.75 percent; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Treasury/OFAC will publish at least one additional Iran-related sanctions designation under Operation Economic Outcast between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19, continuing the near-weekly cadence announced by Secretary Bessent.","rs":"TRUE if OFAC's Recent Actions page lists a new Iran-related designation dated between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"GDACS will upgrade at least one of its four Green forest-fire alerts logged 2026-09-04 (Mozambique event 1031563, DR Congo event 1031500, Zambia event 1031562, Ethiopia event 1031529) to Orange or Red between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19.","rs":"TRUE if the GDACS page for any of the four listed events shows Orange or Red level between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-19; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-49","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The actively exploited Chrome V8 vulnerability CVE-2026-85046, patched by Google on 2026-09-03, will be added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists CVE-2026-85046 with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-50","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Sara Duterte will be held in physical government custody for more than 24 continuous hours under the Quezon City Regional Trial Court arrest warrant, at any point between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of AP, Reuters, or Al Jazeera report Duterte held in custody beyond 24 continuous hours between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-51","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Houthi forces will be reported to have gained physical control of coastal territory directly on the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, beyond their existing inland and Hodeida-area positions, with the advance occurring between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-05.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera report Houthi control of strait-front territory, not just Hodeida or inland areas, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-05; otherwise FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-52","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds CVE-2026-85046, the Chrome V8 type confusion zero-day patched by Google on 2026-09-03, to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed at the deadline contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-85046 and a dateAdded value from 2026-09-04 through 2026-09-25 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-53","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CISA adds CVE-2026-20212, the Cisco Nexus 9000 Silicon One unauthenticated root RCE disclosed 2026-09-02 with no known exploitation at seal, to the KEV catalog with a dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"The CISA KEV JSON feed at the deadline contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-20212 and a dateAdded value from 2026-09-04 through 2026-11-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-54","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"In the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election held 2026-09-06, the AfD wins an absolute majority of all seats (strictly more than half, counting overhang and leveling seats) in the official preliminary result.","rs":"The Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt official preliminary result (vorlaeufiges amtliches Endergebnis) for 2026-09-06 shows AfD seats strictly greater than half of all Landtag seats allocated.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-55","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"At its scheduled 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-16 meeting the FOMC raises the federal funds target range above the range held at seal (reference: 3.50 to 3.75 percent on the packet date).","rs":"The FOMC statement dated 2026-09-16 on federalreserve.gov, or FRED series DFEDTARL observed for 2026-09-17, shows a target range lower bound above 3.50 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-56","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CME NYMEX WTI crude (CL) front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09 (reference: 90.35 on the packet date).","rs":"CME Group published daily settlement for the front-month CL contract is at or above 100.00 on at least one trading day from 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-09 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-57","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"US envoys Steve Witkoff and/or Jared Kushner are physically present in Kyiv and meet President Zelensky in person between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-13.","rs":"The Office of the President of Ukraine (president.gov.ua) publishes a readout or photographs of the Kyiv meeting, and at least one of Reuters, AP or AFP independently reports the envoys in Kyiv within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-58","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Houthi forces take control of the Yemeni port city of Mokha (al-Mukha), Taiz governorate, between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"Either the internationally recognized Yemeni government acknowledges loss of Mokha, or at least two of Reuters, AP and AFP report Houthi forces control the city center and port, for an event dated within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-59","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Philippine Court of Appeals or Supreme Court issues a temporary restraining order, status quo ante order, or injunction halting the Quezon City RTC Branch 98 grave threats proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"An order of the Court of Appeals or Supreme Court dated within the window suspends or enjoins the Branch 98 grave threats proceedings against Duterte, confirmed by the issuing court or by two of Rappler, Inquirer, Philstar, Reuters.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-60","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-11 and 2026-09-25 the NSW Supreme Court sentences Daniel Billings for the murder of Molly Ticehurst to life imprisonment or to a non-parole period of 30 years or more.","rs":"The sentencing judgment (NSW Caselaw, R v Billings) or reporting by ABC and AAP shows a sentence handed down within the window that is life imprisonment or carries a non-parole period of at least 30 years.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-61","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one Google Chrome or Chromium V8 entry with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-18.","rs":"Fetch the CISA KEV JSON at the deadline; TRUE if any entry lists vendorProject Google, a product containing Chrome or Chromium V8, and dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-62","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one entry with vendorProject CrowdStrike and a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-25, following the reported FalconFlank SYSTEM privilege zero-day.","rs":"Fetch the CISA KEV JSON at the deadline; TRUE if any entry lists vendorProject CrowdStrike with dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-25; the entry need not be named FalconFlank.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-63","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The 10-year US Treasury constant maturity yield prints at or above 5.00 percent on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.78 percent on the packet date.","rs":"TRUE if FRED series DGS10 records a value of 5.00 or higher for any date between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.78 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-64","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The governments of Russia and Ukraine both announce a ceasefire or a mutual halt of long-range strikes with an effective date between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if Reuters and AP each carry statements from both the Kremlin and the Ukrainian presidential office confirming the same ceasefire or strike-halt agreement effective within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-65","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS ComCat catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or greater within 150 km of the 2026-09-04 M6.3 epicenter near Nikolski, Alaska, with origin time between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"TRUE if a ComCat query centered on the M6.3 event coordinates, radius 150 km, minimum magnitude 5.0, returns at least one event with origin time inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-66","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Argentina publishes in the Boletin Oficial a decree or resolution imposing sanctions or restrictive economic measures aimed at the Falkland Islands, companies operating there, or UK entities over the islands, dated between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if the Boletin Oficial de la Republica Argentina carries such an instrument with publication date inside the window; verbal threats without a published instrument do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-67","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC raises the federal funds target range at its scheduled 2026-09-16 decision. Reference: target range 3.50 to 3.75 percent on the packet date 2026-09-04.","rs":"TRUE if the FOMC policy statement on federalreserve.gov for the 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-16 meeting sets a target range with upper bound above 3.75 percent. Adjudicated 2026-09-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-68","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-12-18","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The South Korean government announces a naval or military deployment to Strait of Hormuz escort or security operations between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-15.","rs":"TRUE if the defence ministry or presidential office of South Korea announces such a deployment in that window and both Yonhap and Reuters report it. Adjudicated 2026-12-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-69","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog gains an entry for a Google Chromium V8 vulnerability with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities JSON contains a Google Chromium V8 record whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-09. Adjudicated 2026-10-13.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-70","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2027-02-18","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A CVE for the Cisco Nexus 9000 unauthenticated remote code execution flaw enters the CISA KEV catalog with dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2027-02-15.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON lists a Cisco NX-OS or Nexus 9000 record matching that flaw with dateAdded between 2026-09-04 and 2027-02-15. Adjudicated 2027-02-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-71","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte is taken into physical custody or surrenders to a Philippine court between 2026-09-04 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if Philippine authorities book or process her in custody, or she surrenders in court, in that window, per Reuters and the Philippine Daily Inquirer. Adjudicated 2026-11-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260904-72","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-04","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"USGS catalogs an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within 300 km of event us7000tdvt with origin time between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if a USGS ComCat query returns an M6.0 or greater event within 300 km of the us7000tdvt epicenter with origin time in that window. Adjudicated 2026-10-19.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-04_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-04_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, the S&P 500 index will close above 7,750.00 on at least one trading day.","rs":"The S&P 500 closes at or above 7,750.00 on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, based on the official market close from a major exchange.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, at least one new vulnerability in the PostgreSQL database system will be publicly disclosed and listed in the CISA KEV catalog.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog includes at least one new vulnerability affecting PostgreSQL, with a date-added value between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, the US dollar will trade above 1.17 against the euro on at least one trading day.","rs":"The EUR/USD exchange rate exceeds 1.17 on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, based on the official market close from a major exchange.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, a new earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater will be recorded by the USGS in the Pacific Ring of Fire region.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database records at least one earthquake with magnitude 6.0 or greater in the Pacific Ring of Fire region between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, at least one new forest fire in Africa will be reported by GDACS Alerts with a green or yellow alert level.","rs":"GDACS Alerts reports at least one new forest fire in Africa with a green or yellow alert level between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, a major cyberattack exploiting the Citrix NetScaler auth bypass vulnerability will be confirmed by two or more independent sources.","rs":"At least two independently biased sources (e.g., western, iranian, pro-ukraine, pro-russia) confirm a cyberattack exploiting the Citrix NetScaler auth bypass vulnerability (CVE-2026-XXXX) between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, the US will launch a new military operation in the Middle East targeting Iranian proxies, confirmed by at least two independent outlets.","rs":"At least two independently biased outlets (e.g., western, iranian, pro-ukraine, pro-russia) confirm a new US military operation in the Middle East targeting Iranian proxies between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28, a new political scandal involving a US government official will be reported by two or more major news outlets with differing political leanings.","rs":"At least two major news outlets with differing political leanings (e.g., BBC World, Guardian World, CNBC Top News, Al Jazeera) report a new political scandal involving a US government official between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-09","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12, at least one drone strike will be reported in the Kyiv region with confirmed casualties from a cross-bias source.","rs":"At least one drone strike in the Kyiv region between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12 is confirmed by at least two independently biased sources reporting casualties.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-05_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-10","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12, a major cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-85046 will be confirmed by at least two independent sources.","rs":"At least two independent sources confirm a cyberattack exploiting CVE-2026-85046 between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-05_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-11","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12, the US will conduct a military strike on an Iranian oil tanker in the Persian Gulf.","rs":"A US military strike on an Iranian oil tanker in the Persian Gulf is confirmed by at least two independently biased sources between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-05_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-12","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12, a new earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher will be recorded in the USGS Significant Quakes database.","rs":"A new earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher is recorded in the USGS Significant Quakes database between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-05_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-13","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"disaster","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12, at least one forest fire in Africa will be reported by GDACS Alerts with a green alert level.","rs":"At least one forest fire in Africa is reported by GDACS Alerts with a green alert level between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-05_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-14","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12, the US will announce new sanctions on Iran related to regional proxy activities.","rs":"The US announces new sanctions on Iran related to regional proxy activities between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12, confirmed by at least two independently biased sources.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-05_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260905-15","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-05","dl":"2026-09-14","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":"keyed","c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12, a new political scandal involving a US government official will be reported by at least two independent sources.","rs":"A new political scandal involving a US government official is reported by at least two independent sources between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-12.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-05_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-01","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Cumulative fatalities from the Yemen government-Houthi fighting referenced in the 2026-09-05 packet (ground combat, missile strikes) exceed 100 people, tallied at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, Al Jazeera, or BBC report a cumulative Yemen fatality count above 100 for this conflict phase between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-20, confirmed as of 2026-09-22; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-02","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":9,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russia and Ukraine, or their authorized representatives, publicly announce a signed ceasefire or peace agreement covering the active front line, following the 2026-09-05 arrival of US envoys Witkoff and Kushner in Moscow, at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, or a joint Russian-Ukrainian government statement confirm a signed ceasefire between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-15, confirmed as of 2026-10-19; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-03","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds a new entry for a Citrix NetScaler authentication-bypass vulnerability, with a Date Added value between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-19, following the 2026-09-04 BleepingComputer report of active exploitation.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog at cisa.gov lists a Citrix NetScaler authentication-bypass CVE with a Date Added value in that window, checked as of 2026-09-21; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-04","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Pete Hegseth leaves his Pentagon leadership role (resignation, removal, or reassignment), following the criticism referenced in the 2026-09-05 Guardian report, at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of AP, Reuters, or BBC report that Hegseth has left his Pentagon leadership post between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-31, confirmed as of 2026-11-02; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-05","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-07","s":"open","p":68,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Prosecutors formally move to retry Lindsay Clancy, or a court schedules a retrial date, following the mistrial declared per the 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-05 reporting, at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-05.","rs":"TRUE if at least one of Guardian or BBC reports that prosecutors have moved to retry Lindsay Clancy or that a retrial date is set, dated between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-05, confirmed as of 2026-12-07; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-06","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":13,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"GDACS raises its alert level for Tropical Cyclone TWENTYTHREE-26 (event ID 1001319) from Green to Orange or Red before the system dissipates, at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-19. Reference: Green alert as of 2026-09-04.","rs":"TRUE if the GDACS event page for event ID 1001319 shows an Orange or Red alert level at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-19, checked as of 2026-09-21; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-07","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-26, US forces strike, disable, or destroy at least one additional Iranian oil tanker or crude carrier, as announced by US Central Command.","rs":"TRUE if a US Central Command statement dated 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-26, carried by Reuters, AP, or AFP, reports a US strike on at least one Iranian oil tanker or crude carrier in that window, excluding the three struck 2026-09-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-08","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-03, the governments of Russia and Ukraine both publicly confirm a general ceasefire or cessation-of-hostilities agreement covering the entire front line.","rs":"TRUE if, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-03, official statements from both the Kremlin and the Ukrainian presidency confirm a front-wide ceasefire agreement, reported by Reuters or AP. Partial truces (energy, Black Sea, humanitarian pauses) do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-09","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-03-03","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2027-03-01, the US Fish and Wildlife Service publishes in the Federal Register a proposed rule to delist or downlist the gray wolf or Mexican wolf under the Endangered Species Act.","rs":"TRUE if federalregister.gov shows a document of type Proposed Rule from the Fish and Wildlife Service, publication date 2026-09-05 through 2027-03-01, proposing removal or reclassification of the gray wolf or Mexican wolf under the ESA.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-10","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":90,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-25, the US Treasury Office of Foreign Assets Control publishes at least one Iran-related designation action.","rs":"TRUE if the OFAC Recent Actions page (ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions) lists at least one action dated 2026-09-08 through 2026-09-25 whose title contains Iran-related Designations or Iran-related Designation Updates.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-11","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds CVE-2026-19490 (Citrix NetScaler ADC and Gateway authentication bypass) with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry for CVE-2026-19490 whose dateAdded field is between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-12","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-30, the Plymouth County District Attorney announces that the Commonwealth will retry Lindsay Clancy on the murder charges, or the Plymouth Superior Court schedules a retrial date.","rs":"TRUE if, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-30, the Plymouth County DA states that Clancy will be retried on the murder charges, or the court docket sets a retrial date, per AP or the Boston Globe.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-13","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-26, the USGS catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with epicenter within 300 km of USGS event us7000tdvt (M6.3, 84 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska).","rs":"TRUE if the USGS earthquake catalog (earthquake.usgs.gov) lists at least one event of magnitude 6.0 or greater, origin time 2026-09-06 through 2026-09-26 UTC, with epicenter within 300 km of event us7000tdvt.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-14","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"US forces conduct at least one additional military strike on Iranian military, IRGC, or Iranian state-owned assets between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-30, following the 2026-09-05 strikes on three Iranian oil tankers.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera report a US strike on Iranian military, IRGC, or state-owned assets occurring between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-15","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Iranian military or IRGC forces attack, board, or seize a commercial merchant vessel in the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, or Gulf of Oman between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-05.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera report Iranian military or IRGC forces attacking, boarding, or seizing a commercial merchant vessel in those waters between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-16","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry for the Citrix NetScaler ADC or NetScaler Gateway authentication bypass with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"The public CISA KEV catalog contains an entry naming Citrix NetScaler ADC or NetScaler Gateway with an authentication bypass description and dateAdded between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-17","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-03-04","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Federal Register publishes a US Fish and Wildlife Service or Interior Department document proposing or finalizing removal of Endangered Species Act protections for the gray wolf, with publication date between 2026-09-08 and 2027-03-01.","rs":"federalregister.gov contains a FWS or Interior document proposing or finalizing gray wolf ESA delisting with publication date between 2026-09-08 and 2027-03-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-18","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Plymouth County District Attorney announces the office will retry Lindsay Clancy, or a retrial date is entered on the court docket, between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"An on-record DA retrial announcement carried by two of AP, Reuters, BBC, Boston Globe, or a Plymouth Superior Court docket entry scheduling retrial, dated between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-19","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-03-02","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The criminal trial of Andrew and Tristan Tate on the Romanian trafficking indictment opens with a first hearing on the merits between 2026-09-06 and 2027-02-26.","rs":"At least two of BBC, Reuters, AP report the Tate brothers criminal trial in Romania has held its opening hearing on the merits between 2026-09-06 and 2027-02-26.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-20","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The governments of Russia and Ukraine both announce a signed general ceasefire agreement between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"Official statements from both the Russian and Ukrainian governments announcing a signed general ceasefire, each carried by at least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, dated between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-21","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"USGS ComCat lists at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with epicenter between 50N and 55N latitude and 175W and 164W longitude, with origin time between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-05 UTC.","rs":"The public USGS ComCat catalog contains at least one M6.0 or greater event inside the stated latitude-longitude box with origin time between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-05 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-22","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-03-04","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"An AfD politician is elected minister-president of a German state, or the AfD formally enters a state governing coalition, between 2026-09-06 and 2027-03-01.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, Deutsche Welle, BBC report an AfD minister-president election or formal AfD entry into a state governing coalition between 2026-09-06 and 2027-03-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-23","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":14,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russia and Ukraine jointly announce a ceasefire covering the entire line of contact, taking effect between 2026-09-06 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE only if both the Kremlin and the Ukrainian presidency announce a front-wide ceasefire taking effect in the window. Partial, capital-specific, or energy-infrastructure-only pauses do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-24","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-22","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Yemeni government or Saudi-led coalition forces announce the capture of a named district in Houthi-held Hodeidah, al-Jawf, or Saada governorate, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-19.","rs":"TRUE if a government or coalition claim of capturing a named district in those three governorates in the window is corroborated by Houthi-aligned media or by Reuters, AFP, or AP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-25","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-24","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog carries an entry for CVE-2026-19490, the Citrix NetScaler authentication bypass, added between 2026-09-06 and 2026-11-20.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains CVE-2026-19490 with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-06 and 2026-11-20 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-26","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-15","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Plymouth County District Attorney publicly announces that Massachusetts will retry Lindsay Clancy, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-11.","rs":"TRUE if that office states in the window that it intends to retry Clancy, reported by at least two of AP, Reuters, Boston Globe, WCVB, WBZ.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-27","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-23","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least two events of magnitude 7.0 or greater worldwide between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-19.","rs":"TRUE if a USGS ComCat query bounded by 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-19 returns two or more events of magnitude 7.0 or greater.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-28","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Cumulative fatalities from the Yemen government-Houthi fighting referenced in the 2026-09-05 packet (ground combat, missile strikes) exceed 100 people, tallied at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-20.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, Al Jazeera, or BBC report a cumulative Yemen fatality count above 100 for this conflict phase between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-20, confirmed as of 2026-09-22; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-29","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-19","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russia and Ukraine, or their authorized representatives, publicly announce a signed ceasefire or peace agreement covering the active front line, following the 2026-09-05 arrival of US envoys Witkoff and Kushner in Moscow, at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-15.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, or a joint Russian-Ukrainian government statement confirm a signed ceasefire between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-15, confirmed as of 2026-10-19; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-30","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds a new entry for a Citrix NetScaler authentication-bypass vulnerability, with a Date Added value between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-19, following the 2026-09-04 BleepingComputer report of active exploitation.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog at cisa.gov lists a Citrix NetScaler authentication-bypass CVE with a Date Added value in that window, checked as of 2026-09-21; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Pete Hegseth leaves his Pentagon leadership role (resignation, removal, or reassignment), following the criticism referenced in the 2026-09-05 Guardian report, at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if at least two of AP, Reuters, or BBC report that Hegseth has left his Pentagon leadership post between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-31, confirmed as of 2026-11-02; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-07","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Prosecutors formally move to retry Lindsay Clancy, or a court schedules a retrial date, following the mistrial declared per the 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-05 reporting, at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-05.","rs":"TRUE if at least one of Guardian or BBC reports that prosecutors have moved to retry Lindsay Clancy or that a retrial date is set, dated between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-05, confirmed as of 2026-12-07; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-21","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"GDACS raises its alert level for Tropical Cyclone TWENTYTHREE-26 (event ID 1001319) from Green to Orange or Red before the system dissipates, at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-19. Reference: Green alert as of 2026-09-04.","rs":"TRUE if the GDACS event page for event ID 1001319 shows an Orange or Red alert level at any point between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-19, checked as of 2026-09-21; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-26, US forces strike, disable, or destroy at least one additional Iranian oil tanker or crude carrier, as announced by US Central Command.","rs":"TRUE if a US Central Command statement dated 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-26, carried by Reuters, AP, or AFP, reports a US strike on at least one Iranian oil tanker or crude carrier in that window, excluding the three struck 2026-09-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-03, the governments of Russia and Ukraine both publicly confirm a general ceasefire or cessation-of-hostilities agreement covering the entire front line.","rs":"TRUE if, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-03, official statements from both the Kremlin and the Ukrainian presidency confirm a front-wide ceasefire agreement, reported by Reuters or AP. Partial truces (energy, Black Sea, humanitarian pauses) do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-36","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-03-03","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2027-03-01, the US Fish and Wildlife Service publishes in the Federal Register a proposed rule to delist or downlist the gray wolf or Mexican wolf under the Endangered Species Act.","rs":"TRUE if federalregister.gov shows a document of type Proposed Rule from the Fish and Wildlife Service, publication date 2026-09-05 through 2027-03-01, proposing removal or reclassification of the gray wolf or Mexican wolf under the ESA.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-37","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-25, the US Treasury Office of Foreign Assets Control publishes at least one Iran-related designation action.","rs":"TRUE if the OFAC Recent Actions page (ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions) lists at least one action dated 2026-09-08 through 2026-09-25 whose title contains Iran-related Designations or Iran-related Designation Updates.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-38","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds CVE-2026-19490 (Citrix NetScaler ADC and Gateway authentication bypass) with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry for CVE-2026-19490 whose dateAdded field is between 2026-09-05 and 2026-09-25 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-39","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-30, the Plymouth County District Attorney announces that the Commonwealth will retry Lindsay Clancy on the murder charges, or the Plymouth Superior Court schedules a retrial date.","rs":"TRUE if, between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-30, the Plymouth County DA states that Clancy will be retried on the murder charges, or the court docket sets a retrial date, per AP or the Boston Globe.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-40","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-26, the USGS catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or 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2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-42","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Iranian military or IRGC forces attack, board, or seize a commercial merchant vessel in the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, or Gulf of Oman between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-05.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera report Iranian military or IRGC forces attacking, boarding, or seizing a commercial merchant vessel in those waters between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-43","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry for the Citrix NetScaler ADC or NetScaler Gateway authentication bypass with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"The public CISA KEV catalog contains an entry naming Citrix NetScaler ADC or NetScaler Gateway with an authentication bypass description and dateAdded between 2026-09-05 and 2026-10-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-44","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-03-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Federal Register publishes a US Fish and Wildlife Service or Interior Department document proposing or finalizing removal of Endangered Species Act protections for the gray wolf, with publication date between 2026-09-08 and 2027-03-01.","rs":"federalregister.gov contains a FWS or Interior document proposing or finalizing gray wolf ESA delisting with publication date between 2026-09-08 and 2027-03-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-45","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Plymouth County District Attorney announces the office will retry Lindsay Clancy, or a retrial date is entered on the court docket, between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"An on-record DA retrial announcement carried by two of AP, Reuters, BBC, Boston Globe, or a Plymouth Superior Court docket entry scheduling retrial, dated between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-03-02","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The criminal trial of Andrew and Tristan Tate on the Romanian trafficking indictment opens with a first hearing on the merits between 2026-09-06 and 2027-02-26.","rs":"At least two of BBC, Reuters, AP report the Tate brothers criminal trial in Romania has held its opening hearing on the merits between 2026-09-06 and 2027-02-26.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The governments of Russia and Ukraine both announce a signed general ceasefire agreement between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"Official statements from both the Russian and Ukrainian governments announcing a signed general ceasefire, each carried by at least two of Reuters, AP, BBC, dated between 2026-09-06 and 2026-12-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"USGS ComCat lists at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater with epicenter between 50N and 55N latitude and 175W and 164W longitude, with origin time between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-05 UTC.","rs":"The public USGS ComCat catalog contains at least one M6.0 or greater event inside the stated latitude-longitude box with origin time between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-05 UTC.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-49","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-03-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"An AfD politician is elected minister-president of a German state, or the AfD formally enters a state governing coalition, between 2026-09-06 and 2027-03-01.","rs":"At least two of Reuters, AP, Deutsche Welle, BBC report an AfD minister-president election or formal AfD entry into a state governing coalition between 2026-09-06 and 2027-03-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-50","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russia and Ukraine jointly announce a ceasefire covering the entire line of contact, taking effect between 2026-09-06 and 2026-11-30.","rs":"TRUE only if both the Kremlin and the Ukrainian presidency announce a front-wide ceasefire taking effect in the window. Partial, capital-specific, or energy-infrastructure-only pauses do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-51","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-22","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Yemeni government or Saudi-led coalition forces announce the capture of a named district in Houthi-held Hodeidah, al-Jawf, or Saada governorate, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-19.","rs":"TRUE if a government or coalition claim of capturing a named district in those three governorates in the window is corroborated by Houthi-aligned media or by Reuters, AFP, or AP.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-52","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-24","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog carries an entry for CVE-2026-19490, the Citrix NetScaler authentication bypass, added between 2026-09-06 and 2026-11-20.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains CVE-2026-19490 with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-06 and 2026-11-20 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-53","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-15","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Plymouth County District Attorney publicly announces that Massachusetts will retry Lindsay Clancy, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-11.","rs":"TRUE if that office states in the window that it intends to retry Clancy, reported by at least two of AP, Reuters, Boston Globe, WCVB, WBZ.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-54","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-23","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least two events of magnitude 7.0 or greater worldwide between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-19.","rs":"TRUE if a USGS ComCat query bounded by 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-19 returns two or more events of magnitude 7.0 or greater.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-05_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-05_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-55","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-29, a cyberattack exploiting an unpatched vulnerability in a critical infrastructure system is confirmed by CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value in that window.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-29 for a vulnerability exploited in a critical infrastructure system.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-56","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-23 and 2026-09-30, a volcanic eruption in Indonesia causes flight cancellations at Jakarta International Airport, confirmed by at least two independent sources (one from BBC, one from Guardian).","rs":"The GDACS Alerts system carries a report with eventtype=ER between 2026-09-23 and 2026-09-30 for a volcanic eruption in Indonesia causing flight cancellations at Jakarta International Airport, confirmed by at least two independent sources (one from BBC, one from Guardian).","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-57","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-25 and 2026-10-02, a new political development in the U.S. involves a public statement by Jared Kushner or Steve Witkoff on Ukraine peace talks, confirmed by at least two independent sources (one from Guardian, one from BBC).","rs":"A public statement by Jared Kushner or Steve Witkoff on Ukraine peace talks is confirmed by at least two independent sources (one from Guardian, one from BBC) between 2026-09-25 and 2026-10-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-58","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-10","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-26 and 2026-10-03, a new earthquake of magnitude 5.5 or higher is recorded in the Solomon Islands, confirmed by USGS Significant Quakes.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes system carries a report with magnitude \u22655.5 and location in the Solomon Islands between 2026-09-26 and 2026-10-03.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-59","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-11","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-27 and 2026-10-04, a new phishing campaign using invisible Unicode characters is reported by BleepingComputer and confirmed by The Hacker News.","rs":"BleepingComputer reports a new phishing campaign using invisible Unicode characters between 2026-09-27 and 2026-10-04, and The Hacker News confirms it within 48 hours.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-60","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-05, a new political scandal involving a U.S. government official is reported by Politico and confirmed by Guardian World.","rs":"A new political scandal involving a U.S. government official is reported by Politico and confirmed by Guardian World between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-61","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-06, a new wildfire in Brazil is reported by GDACS Alerts with eventtype=WF and confirmed by at least two independent sources (one from BBC, one from Guardian).","rs":"The GDACS Alerts system carries a report with eventtype=WF for a new wildfire in Brazil between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-06, confirmed by at least two independent sources (one from BBC, one from Guardian).","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-62","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-30 and 2026-10-07, a new cyberattack on a government system is confirmed by CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value in that window.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-30 and 2026-10-07 for a vulnerability exploited in a government system.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-63","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-24","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"On 2026-09-22, the CISA KEV catalog will include at least one new entry for a vulnerability exploited in the wild, with a date-added value between 2026-09-17 and 2026-09-21.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-17 and 2026-09-21 for at least one new entry.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-06_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-64","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-26","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a drone strike will be confirmed by at least two hostile sides in the Kyiv theater, with weapons reported as drone and casualties stated in at least one corroborating report.","rs":"At least two hostile sides (RU, UA, AXIS, WEST) report a drone strike in Kyiv between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, with weapons reported as drone and casualties stated in at least one corroborating report.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-06_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-65","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-27","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-25, a volcanic eruption will cause flight cancellations at Jakarta International Airport, with at least 100,000 passengers stranded, as confirmed by two independent sources.","rs":"Between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-25, a volcanic eruption causes flight cancellations at Jakarta International Airport, with at least 100,000 passengers stranded, as confirmed by two independent sources.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-06_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-66","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-27","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-25, Iran will issue a public statement via a hostile side (AXIS or WEST) claiming a 'more painful' response to U.S. attacks, with the statement confirmed by two independent sources.","rs":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-25, Iran issues a public statement via a hostile side (AXIS or WEST) claiming a 'more painful' response to U.S. attacks, confirmed by two independent sources.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-06_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-67","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-27","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-25, a cyberattack exploiting a zero-day vulnerability in Magento or Adobe Commerce will be confirmed by two independent sources, with the attack resulting in data exfiltration.","rs":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-25, a cyberattack exploiting a zero-day vulnerability in Magento or Adobe Commerce is confirmed by two independent sources, with the attack resulting in data exfiltration.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-06_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-68","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-13, CENTCOM, the U.S. Department of Defense, or the Israeli Defense Forces will confirm at least one coalition service member killed or wounded in action from Iranian or IRGC-aligned action in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or wider Persian Gulf theater.","rs":"TRUE if CENTCOM, DoD, or IDF confirms, with wire-service corroboration (Reuters, AP, or AFP), a coalition KIA or WIA from Iranian or IRGC-aligned action in the Hormuz theater between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-13. FALSE otherwise by 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-69","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-15","s":"open","p":16,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-13, the governments of Ukraine and Russia will both publicly confirm a mutual ceasefire or comprehensive halt to hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine war, following the Witkoff-Kushner shuttle diplomacy in Kyiv.","rs":"TRUE if both Ukraine's government and Russia's government confirm, with independent wire corroboration, a mutual ceasefire or halt to hostilities between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-13. FALSE otherwise by 2026-11-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-70","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-15","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-13, the UK Electoral Commission will confirm it has opened a formal investigation into Reform UK over the overseas donations reporting Nigel Farage acknowledged looked damaging on 2026-09-06.","rs":"TRUE if the Electoral Commission confirms, corroborated by a UK national outlet, an open formal investigation into Reform UK's donation reporting between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-13. FALSE otherwise by 2026-11-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-71","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"On 2026-09-16, the Federal Open Market Committee will raise its federal funds target range above the current 3.50 to 3.75 percent range. Reference: 3.50-3.75 percent target range in effect on the packet date, 2026-09-06.","rs":"TRUE if the FOMC statement released 2026-09-16 sets a new target range with a lower bound above 3.50 percent, i.e. any hike. FALSE if the range is held at 3.50-3.75 percent or cut.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-72","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-01, Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey will report a weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 7.25 percent or higher on at least one release. Reference: approximately 7.00 percent as reported 2026-09-05.","rs":"TRUE if any Freddie Mac PMMS release between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-01 reports the 30-year fixed average at or above 7.25 percent. FALSE if every release in the window is below 7.25 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-73","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-27","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-27, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add an entry for Adobe Commerce or Magento Open Source tied to the zero-day exploitation reported on 2026-09-05.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists an Adobe Commerce or Magento Open Source entry with dateAdded between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-27. FALSE if no such entry appears by then.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-74","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-13, a further eruption of Mount Anak Krakatau will trigger a new suspension of flight operations at Soekarno-Hatta International Airport near Jakarta, following the multi-airport disruption on 2026-09-06.","rs":"TRUE if Angkasa Pura, Indonesia's transport ministry, or a NOTAM confirms a new Anak Krakatau ash suspension at Soekarno-Hatta, corroborated by a wire service, between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-13. FALSE otherwise by 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-75","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"At the scheduled FOMC meeting concluding 2026-09-16, the Committee raises the federal funds target range above the range in effect at packet seal. Reference: target range 3.50 to 3.75 percent on 2026-09-06 (FRED series DFEDTARU upper limit 3.75).","rs":"True if the FOMC statement dated 2026-09-16 announces a target range whose upper limit exceeds 3.75 percent, reflected in FRED DFEDTARU for 2026-09-17; false if the range is held or lowered.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-76","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-30 inclusive, UKMTO publishes at least one advisory reporting an attack on, boarding of, or seizure of a merchant vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or Persian Gulf.","rs":"True if the UKMTO advisories archive contains at least one advisory dated 2026-09-07 through 2026-09-30 describing an attack, boarding, or seizure of a merchant vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or Persian Gulf.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-77","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-31 inclusive, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin hold an in-person meeting, confirmed by both the White House and the Kremlin.","rs":"True if both whitehouse.gov and kremlin.ru publish confirmation that Trump and Putin met in person on a date between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-31 inclusive; video or telephone contact does not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-78","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":75,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-20 inclusive, Victoria Police announce that a person has been arrested and charged over the alleged axe attack in Victoria, Australia, reported by the Guardian on 2026-09-06, that left three people with life-threatening injuries.","rs":"True if a Victoria Police media release, or two of ABC News, The Age, and Guardian Australia, report a person arrested and charged over that attack, with the charge laid between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-20 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-79","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-02 inclusive, CISA adds to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog at least one CVE whose product is Adobe Commerce or Magento Open Source, with a dateAdded value in that range.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry with vendorProject Adobe or Magento, product Commerce, Adobe Commerce, or Magento, and dateAdded between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-02 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-80","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-30 inclusive, CISA adds to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog at least one CVE whose product is VMware Workstation or VMware Fusion (vendor VMware or Broadcom), with a dateAdded value in that range.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry whose product field names Workstation or Fusion under vendorProject VMware or Broadcom, with dateAdded between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-81","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-04 inclusive, the USGS earthquake catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater with epicenter within 300 km of the 2026 M6.3 event 84 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska (USGS event id us7000tdvt).","rs":"True if a USGS ComCat search returns at least one event of magnitude 6.5 or greater with origin time between 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC and 2026-10-04 23:59 UTC located within 300 km of USGS event us7000tdvt.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-82","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry for the Adobe Commerce or Magento vulnerability disclosed 2026-09-05, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"The public CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry naming Adobe Commerce or Magento with dateAdded between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-16 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-83","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC statement issued 2026-09-16 announces an increase in the federal funds target range. Reference: range of 3.50 to 3.75 percent in effect on the packet date.","rs":"The Federal Reserve policy statement dated 2026-09-16 states the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-84","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The LBMA Gold Price PM prints at or above 5000.00 USD per troy ounce on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-31. Reference: 4476.60 on the packet date.","rs":"The published LBMA Gold Price PM benchmark is at or above 5000.00 USD per troy ounce on any business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-31 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-85","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-07 at least one commercial vessel in the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, or Gulf of Oman is attacked, struck, or seized in an incident attributed to US or Iranian forces.","rs":"A CENTCOM release, or reports from at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, identify a specific vessel attacked or seized in the named waters within the window, attributed to US or Iranian forces.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-86","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater event within 300 km of the 2026-09-06 M6.3 Nikolski, Alaska epicenter between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"A USGS catalog query returns at least one M 6.0 or greater event with origin time in the window and epicenter within 300 km of the referenced M6.3 event.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-87","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The official final result certified by the Landeswahlleiter of Saxony-Anhalt for the 2026-09-06 state election, certified between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-30, allocates AfD at least 42 of the 83 Landtag seats.","rs":"TRUE if the amtliches Endergebnis published by the Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-30 shows AfD holding 42 or more of 83 seats. Reference: 41 of 83 in the election-night projection.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-88","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-27","s":"open","p":52,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry naming Adobe Commerce or Magento, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains a vulnerability whose vendorProject is Adobe and whose product string contains Commerce or Magento, with dateAdded falling between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-23 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-89","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-24","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds an entry naming VMware Workstation or VMware Fusion with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-11-20.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains a vulnerability whose product string contains Workstation or Fusion under a vendorProject of Broadcom or VMware, with dateAdded between 2026-09-07 and 2026-11-20 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-90","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-16","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russia and Ukraine jointly announce a signed general ceasefire or armistice covering the entire line of contact, agreed between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-11.","rs":"TRUE if the Kremlin and the Ukrainian presidential office each confirm a signed general ceasefire covering the whole front, agreed in the window, and Reuters and AP both report the signing.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-91","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-21","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"US and Iranian forces exchange at least one further direct kinetic strike on a vessel or maritime target in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Strait of Hormuz, occurring between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a strike in that window is reported by at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, and BBC, and is acknowledged by either US Central Command or Iranian state media.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-92","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-16","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one worldwide event of magnitude 7.0 or greater with an origin time between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-11.","rs":"TRUE if a query of the USGS FDSN event service for magnitude 7.0 and above, origin time between 2026-09-07T00:00Z and 2026-10-11T23:59Z, returns one or more events.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-93","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Victoria Police announce the arrest, charging, or confirmed death of the man sought over the alleged axe attack in Victoria, occurring between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-27.","rs":"TRUE if a Victoria Police media release or court listing, reported by two of ABC News, The Age, and Guardian Australia, records the suspect arrested, charged, or confirmed deceased within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-94","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-13, CENTCOM, the U.S. Department of Defense, or the Israeli Defense Forces will confirm at least one coalition service member killed or wounded in action from Iranian or IRGC-aligned action in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or wider Persian Gulf theater.","rs":"TRUE if CENTCOM, DoD, or IDF confirms, with wire-service corroboration (Reuters, AP, or AFP), a coalition KIA or WIA from Iranian or IRGC-aligned action in the Hormuz theater between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-13. FALSE otherwise by 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-95","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-15","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-13, the governments of Ukraine and Russia will both publicly confirm a mutual ceasefire or comprehensive halt to hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine war, following the Witkoff-Kushner shuttle diplomacy in Kyiv.","rs":"TRUE if both Ukraine's government and Russia's government confirm, with independent wire corroboration, a mutual ceasefire or halt to hostilities between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-13. FALSE otherwise by 2026-11-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-96","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-15","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-13, the UK Electoral Commission will confirm it has opened a formal investigation into Reform UK over the overseas donations reporting Nigel Farage acknowledged looked damaging on 2026-09-06.","rs":"TRUE if the Electoral Commission confirms, corroborated by a UK national outlet, an open formal investigation into Reform UK's donation reporting between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-13. FALSE otherwise by 2026-11-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-97","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-16","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"On 2026-09-16, the Federal Open Market Committee will raise its federal funds target range above the current 3.50 to 3.75 percent range. Reference: 3.50-3.75 percent target range in effect on the packet date, 2026-09-06.","rs":"TRUE if the FOMC statement released 2026-09-16 sets a new target range with a lower bound above 3.50 percent, i.e. any hike. FALSE if the range is held at 3.50-3.75 percent or cut.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-98","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-02","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-01, Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey will report a weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 7.25 percent or higher on at least one release. Reference: approximately 7.00 percent as reported 2026-09-05.","rs":"TRUE if any Freddie Mac PMMS release between 2026-09-13 and 2026-11-01 reports the 30-year fixed average at or above 7.25 percent. FALSE if every release in the window is below 7.25 percent.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-99","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-27","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-27, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add an entry for Adobe Commerce or Magento Open Source tied to the zero-day exploitation reported on 2026-09-05.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog lists an Adobe Commerce or Magento Open Source entry with dateAdded between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-27. FALSE if no such entry appears by then.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-100","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-13, a further eruption of Mount Anak Krakatau will trigger a new suspension of flight operations at Soekarno-Hatta International Airport near Jakarta, following the multi-airport disruption on 2026-09-06.","rs":"TRUE if Angkasa Pura, Indonesia's transport ministry, or a NOTAM confirms a new Anak Krakatau ash suspension at Soekarno-Hatta, corroborated by a wire service, between 2026-09-13 and 2026-10-13. FALSE otherwise by 2026-10-15.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-101","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"At the scheduled FOMC meeting concluding 2026-09-16, the Committee raises the federal funds target range above the range in effect at packet seal. Reference: target range 3.50 to 3.75 percent on 2026-09-06 (FRED series DFEDTARU upper limit 3.75).","rs":"True if the FOMC statement dated 2026-09-16 announces a target range whose upper limit exceeds 3.75 percent, reflected in FRED DFEDTARU for 2026-09-17; false if the range is held or lowered.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-102","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-30 inclusive, UKMTO publishes at least one advisory reporting an attack on, boarding of, or seizure of a merchant vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or Persian Gulf.","rs":"True if the UKMTO advisories archive contains at least one advisory dated 2026-09-07 through 2026-09-30 describing an attack, boarding, or seizure of a merchant vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, or Persian Gulf.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-103","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-31 inclusive, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin hold an in-person meeting, confirmed by both the White House and the Kremlin.","rs":"True if both whitehouse.gov and kremlin.ru publish confirmation that Trump and Putin met in person on a date between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-31 inclusive; video or telephone contact does not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-104","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-22","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-20 inclusive, Victoria Police announce that a person has been arrested and charged over the alleged axe attack in Victoria, Australia, reported by the Guardian on 2026-09-06, that left three people with life-threatening injuries.","rs":"True if a Victoria Police media release, or two of ABC News, The Age, and Guardian Australia, report a person arrested and charged over that attack, with the charge laid between 2026-09-06 and 2026-09-20 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-105","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-02 inclusive, CISA adds to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog at least one CVE whose product is Adobe Commerce or Magento Open Source, with a dateAdded value in that range.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry with vendorProject Adobe or Magento, product Commerce, Adobe Commerce, or Magento, and dateAdded between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-02 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-106","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-30 inclusive, CISA adds to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog at least one CVE whose product is VMware Workstation or VMware Fusion (vendor VMware or Broadcom), with a dateAdded value in that range.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry whose product field names Workstation or Fusion under vendorProject VMware or Broadcom, with dateAdded between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-30 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-107","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-04 inclusive, the USGS earthquake catalog records at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater with epicenter within 300 km of the 2026 M6.3 event 84 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska (USGS event id us7000tdvt).","rs":"True if a USGS ComCat search returns at least one event of magnitude 6.5 or greater with origin time between 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC and 2026-10-04 23:59 UTC located within 300 km of USGS event us7000tdvt.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-108","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-20","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry for the Adobe Commerce or Magento vulnerability disclosed 2026-09-05, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"The public CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry naming Adobe Commerce or Magento with dateAdded between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-16 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-109","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-09-18","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FOMC statement issued 2026-09-16 announces an increase in the federal funds target range. Reference: range of 3.50 to 3.75 percent in effect on the packet date.","rs":"The Federal Reserve policy statement dated 2026-09-16 states the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-110","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The LBMA Gold Price PM prints at or above 5000.00 USD per troy ounce on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-31. Reference: 4476.60 on the packet date.","rs":"The published LBMA Gold Price PM benchmark is at or above 5000.00 USD per troy ounce on any business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-31 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-111","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-07 at least one commercial vessel in the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, or Gulf of Oman is attacked, struck, or seized in an incident attributed to US or Iranian forces.","rs":"A CENTCOM release, or reports from at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, identify a specific vessel attacked or seized in the named waters within the window, attributed to US or Iranian forces.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-112","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least one magnitude 6.0 or greater event within 300 km of the 2026-09-06 M6.3 Nikolski, Alaska epicenter between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"A USGS catalog query returns at least one M 6.0 or greater event with origin time in the window and epicenter within 300 km of the referenced M6.3 event.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-113","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The official final result certified by the Landeswahlleiter of Saxony-Anhalt for the 2026-09-06 state election, certified between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-30, allocates AfD at least 42 of the 83 Landtag seats.","rs":"TRUE if the amtliches Endergebnis published by the Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-30 shows AfD holding 42 or more of 83 seats. Reference: 41 of 83 in the election-night projection.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-114","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-27","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one entry naming Adobe Commerce or Magento, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-23.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains a vulnerability whose vendorProject is Adobe and whose product string contains Commerce or Magento, with dateAdded falling between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-23 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-115","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-11-24","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds an entry naming VMware Workstation or VMware Fusion with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-07 and 2026-11-20.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains a vulnerability whose product string contains Workstation or Fusion under a vendorProject of Broadcom or VMware, with dateAdded between 2026-09-07 and 2026-11-20 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-116","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-12-16","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russia and Ukraine jointly announce a signed general ceasefire or armistice covering the entire line of contact, agreed between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-11.","rs":"TRUE if the Kremlin and the Ukrainian presidential office each confirm a signed general ceasefire covering the whole front, agreed in the window, and Reuters and AP both report the signing.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-117","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-21","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"US and Iranian forces exchange at least one further direct kinetic strike on a vessel or maritime target in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Strait of Hormuz, occurring between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-16.","rs":"TRUE if a strike in that window is reported by at least two of Reuters, AP, AFP, and BBC, and is acknowledged by either US Central Command or Iranian state media.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-118","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-16","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one worldwide event of magnitude 7.0 or greater with an origin time between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-11.","rs":"TRUE if a query of the USGS FDSN event service for magnitude 7.0 and above, origin time between 2026-09-07T00:00Z and 2026-10-11T23:59Z, returns one or more events.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260906-119","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-06","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Victoria Police announce the arrest, charging, or confirmed death of the man sought over the alleged axe attack in Victoria, occurring between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-27.","rs":"TRUE if a Victoria Police media release or court listing, reported by two of ABC News, The Age, and Guardian Australia, records the suspect arrested, charged, or confirmed deceased within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-06_1517.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-06_1517.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, the S&P 500 closes above 7,800 points on at least one trading day.","rs":"The S&P 500 closes above 7,800 points on at least one trading day between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) or Bloomberg.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a new political party in Germany gains more than 10% of the vote in a regional election, as confirmed by official election results from the German Federal Returning Officer.","rs":"The German Federal Returning Officer publishes official election results showing a new political party receiving more than 10% of the vote in a regional election between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-09-28","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, a new cyberattack targets a U.S. federal agency using a previously unpatched vulnerability, as confirmed by a CISA KEV entry and a government press release.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a new entry for a previously unpatched vulnerability exploited in a cyberattack against a U.S. federal agency, with a date-added value between 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-24, and a U.S. federal agency issues a public press release confirming the breach.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-04","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"On 2026-09-21, the CISA KEV catalog will carry a date-added value for a vulnerability with a CVSS score of 9.0 or higher, exploited in at least one confirmed incident between 2026-09-15 and 2026-09-21.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog will list at least one vulnerability with a CVSS score of 9.0 or higher and a date-added value between 2026-09-15 and 2026-09-21, and at least one independent source (e.g., BleepingComputer, The Hacker News) will report a confirmed exploitation event during that window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-05","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-18 and 2026-09-25, a drone strike originating from Russian-controlled territory will result in at least one confirmed casualty in Kyiv, as verified by at least two independent sources from hostile sides (UA, WEST).","rs":"At least one casualty (defined as death or serious injury requiring hospitalization) will be reported in Kyiv during the window, with at least two independent sources from hostile sides (UA, WEST) confirming the event and attributing it to a drone strike from Russian-controlled territory.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-06","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-16 and 2026-09-22, a major earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher will be recorded in the Pacific Ring of Fire, as confirmed by the USGS Significant Quakes database.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes database will list a seismic event with magnitude 6.0 or higher and depth less than 100 km, occurring between 2026-09-16 and 2026-09-22, with a confirmed location in the Pacific Ring of Fire.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-07","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"On 2026-09-20, the German far-right AfD will win a majority in a federal parliamentary election, as confirmed by the official Federal Returning Officer report.","rs":"The official Federal Returning Officer report will list the AfD as the largest party in the German federal election held on 2026-09-20, with more than 30% of the vote.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-08","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-17 and 2026-09-24, Iran will issue a public statement declaring a restricted zone in the Strait of Hormuz, as confirmed by at least two independent sources from hostile sides (AXIS, WEST).","rs":"At least two independent sources from hostile sides (AXIS, WEST) will report a public statement from Iran declaring a restricted zone in the Strait of Hormuz during the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-09","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"On 2026-09-22, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will exceed 4.8% for the first time since 2023, as reported by the U.S. Department of the Treasury.","rs":"The U.S. Department of the Treasury will report a 10-year yield above 4.8% on 2026-09-22, based on the daily auction results.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-10","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-19 and 2026-09-26, a wildfire will break out in the Amazon rainforest, resulting in at least 500,000 hectares burned, as confirmed by the GDACS Alerts system.","rs":"The GDACS Alerts system will list a wildfire event in the Amazon rainforest with a burned area of at least 500,000 hectares, confirmed by at least two independent sources.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-11","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":5,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"On 2026-09-21, the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce a 50 basis point interest rate hike, as confirmed by the official FOMC press release.","rs":"The Federal Reserve will issue a press release on 2026-09-21 stating that the FOMC has raised the federal funds rate by 50 basis points.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-12","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-15 and 2026-09-22, a cyberattack exploiting the N-able N-central flaw will result in a confirmed breach of a government agency's network, as verified by the CISA KEV catalog and a government press release.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog will list the N-able N-central flaw (CVE-2026-XXXX) with a date-added value between 2026-09-15 and 2026-09-22, and a government agency will issue a public statement confirming a breach due to this vulnerability.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-07_1520.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-13","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Following the AfD first-place finish in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election reported in the packet, the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag will elect an AfD-nominated Minister-President in a floor vote between 2026-09-14 and 2026-12-01.","rs":"TRUE if the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag confirms an AfD-nominated Minister-President by floor vote in the window, per official Landtag records and at least one of dpa, Reuters, or AP; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-14","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-16","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Following the resignation of the senior AI policy adviser to the UK government over an Anthropic conflict of interest, reported 2026-09-07, the UK government will publicly name a permanent successor to that role between 2026-09-14 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if the UK government publicly names, via a GOV.UK release or a wire service report, PA Media or Reuters, a permanent successor to the role within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-15","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Reference: the 10-year Treasury yield was 4.78 percent per the market snapshot in the packet dated 2026-09-07. The FRED DGS10 series will show a daily 10-year Treasury yield at or above 4.95 percent on at least one day between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"TRUE if the FRED DGS10 daily series records a value at or above 4.95 percent on any date in the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-22","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Following the report of a Telerik UI padding-oracle bug chained to unauthenticated remote code execution, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add a Telerik UI entry between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-19.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog carries a dateAdded value for a Telerik UI CVE falling within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Amid reports questioning whether Iran can enforce a restricted zone in the Strait of Hormuz, the government of Iran or the IRGC Navy will formally declare a named restricted or exclusion zone in the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if Iranian state media, meaning IRNA, Tasnim, or Mehr, and at least one of Reuters, AP, or AFP both report a formally declared, named Hormuz restricted zone within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-16","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Following reports of Israel-Hezbollah clashes killing 11 and Israeli strikes on a southern Lebanese village killing 12, a formally announced ceasefire or truce covering Israel-Hezbollah hostilities in southern Lebanon will take effect between 2026-09-14 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if the government of Israel, the government of Lebanon, or Hezbollah announces a ceasefire or truce that takes effect in the window, corroborated by a Western wire service and a regional outlet; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Reference: the packet dated 2026-09-07 reports more than 1,300 confirmed dead in the Nepal flooding. The cumulative confirmed death toll reported by disaster authorities in Nepal will reach or exceed 1,500 between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if the NDRRMA of Nepal, a Nepal government source, or a wire service, AP, Reuters, or AFP, reports a cumulative confirmed death toll at or above 1,500 within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-20","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":28,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"NYMEX WTI front-month crude settles at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on 2026-10-02. Reference: 91.48 on the packet date 2026-09-07.","rs":"CME Group official settlement price of the front-month NYMEX WTI (CL) contract for trade date 2026-10-02 is at or above 100.00 USD. Reference: 91.48 on the packet date 2026-09-07. Any settlement below 100.00 resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-21","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.78 percent on the packet date 2026-09-07.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 (Treasury 10-year constant maturity) shows a daily value of 5.00 or higher for at least one date from 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-30 inclusive. Reference: 4.78 on 2026-09-07. No such value resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-22","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one N-able N-central vulnerability (CVE-2026-86218, CVE-2026-86207, or CVE-2026-86206) with a dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities JSON feed lists CVE-2026-86218, CVE-2026-86207, or CVE-2026-86206 with a dateAdded value from 2026-09-08 through 2026-09-25 inclusive. No entry, or entries dated outside that range only, resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-23","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-01-15","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Ulrich Siegmund (AfD) is elected Ministerpraesident of Saxony-Anhalt by the Landtag in a ballot held between 2026-09-08 and 2027-01-13.","rs":"The Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt official plenary record or press release shows Ulrich Siegmund elected Ministerpraesident in any ballot round dated 2026-09-08 through 2027-01-13. Election of anyone else, or no completed election in that window, resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-24","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Israeli military conducts at least one airstrike inside Beirut municipality or its southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"An IDF statement claims a strike inside Beirut municipality or Dahiyeh (Haret Hreik, Burj al-Barajneh, Ghobeiry, Chiyah, Laylaki) and the Lebanese National News Agency reports the same strike, both dated 2026-09-08 to 2026-09-30. Strikes elsewhere do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-25","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Official Russian and Ukrainian government delegations hold a direct in-person negotiating session, bilateral or with third-party mediation, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Both the Kremlin or Russian MFA and the Ukrainian Presidential Office or MFA confirm the same in-person delegation session held 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-30. Video calls, prisoner-exchange contacts, and meetings with US officials only do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-26","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Iraqi government or the US Department of Defense announces, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-02, that US military forces will remain stationed at bases in Iraq, including the Kurdistan Region, beyond 2026-09-30.","rs":"An official statement from the Iraqi PM office, Iraqi Armed Forces spokesperson, CENTCOM, CJTF-OIR, or US DoD, dated 2026-09-08 to 2026-10-02, announces US forces remaining at Iraqi bases past 2026-09-30. Embassy security and security-cooperation staff excluded.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-27","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09. Reference: Brent 96.28 on the packet date.","rs":"TRUE if the official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement price is at or above 100.00 USD on any trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09. Reference: 96.28 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-28","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one ConnectWise ScreenConnect entry with a date-added value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains an entry naming ConnectWise or ScreenConnect in its vendor or product fields with dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-29","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The NTSB publishes a preliminary report on the 2026-09-06 cargo aircraft accident at Miami International Airport between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if an NTSB preliminary report for the 2026-09-06 Miami cargo aircraft accident appears in the NTSB public investigation database dated between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-30","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Democratic candidates win a majority of seats in the United States House of Representatives in the elections held 2026-11-03.","rs":"TRUE if Associated Press race calls credit Democratic candidates with at least 218 US House seats from the 2026-11-03 elections, as of 2026-12-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-31","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":85,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Paris court trying the murder of Federico Aramburu delivers a verdict between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"TRUE if two international news outlets report a verdict delivered in the Paris trial over the murder of Federico Aramburu between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-32","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The United States and Iraqi governments both publicly announce completion of the US-led coalition military mission in Iraq between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if both the US and Iraqi governments announce the coalition military mission in Iraq has ended between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-31, reported by two international news agencies.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-33","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-02","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elects a member of the AfD as Minister-President between 2026-09-08 and 2027-02-26.","rs":"TRUE if the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elects an AfD member as Minister-President between 2026-09-08 and 2027-02-26, per the Landtag official record or two international news outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-34","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":32,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or above 110.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-14 and 2026-11-27. Reference: 96.28 on the packet date, 2026-09-07.","rs":"TRUE if ICE publishes a front-month Brent settlement price greater than or equal to 110.00 for any trading day between 2026-09-14 and 2026-11-27 inclusive. Intraday highs do not count; settlement prices only. Reference level at seal: 96.28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-35","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one vulnerability with vendorProject N-able, carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities JSON feed contains an entry whose vendorProject field reads N-able and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30 inclusive. Entries carrying an earlier dateAdded do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-36","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one vulnerability with vendorProject MikroTik, carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities JSON feed contains an entry whose vendorProject field reads MikroTik and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-04 inclusive. Pre-existing MikroTik entries do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-37","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A commercial vessel is struck by weapons fire, forcibly boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz or the Gulf of Oman between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of Reuters, AP, and Bloomberg report a commercial vessel hit by weapons fire, forcibly boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman, dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-38","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-16","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Israeli strikes in Lebanon kill at least 25 people within a single 24-hour period between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of Reuters, AFP, and AP carry a Lebanese Health Ministry figure of 25 or more killed by Israeli strikes in Lebanon over one 24-hour period inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-39","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-23","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elects an AfD member as Minister-President between 2026-09-14 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"TRUE if the official plenary record of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt shows a Minister-President elected inside the window who holds AfD membership at the vote. A caretaker incumbent continuing in office resolves FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-40","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-27","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Nepal's official confirmed flood death toll reaches 1,500 or higher between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-23.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal's National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority publishes a confirmed cumulative 2026 flood death toll of 1,500 or more, dated inside the window. Missing-persons counts are excluded.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-41","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Following the AfD first-place finish in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election reported in the packet, the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag will elect an AfD-nominated Minister-President in a floor vote between 2026-09-14 and 2026-12-01.","rs":"TRUE if the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag confirms an AfD-nominated Minister-President by floor vote in the window, per official Landtag records and at least one of dpa, Reuters, or AP; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-42","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-16","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Following the resignation of the senior AI policy adviser to the UK government over an Anthropic conflict of interest, reported 2026-09-07, the UK government will publicly name a permanent successor to that role between 2026-09-14 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if the UK government publicly names, via a GOV.UK release or a wire service report, PA Media or Reuters, a permanent successor to the role within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-43","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Reference: the 10-year Treasury yield was 4.78 percent per the market snapshot in the packet dated 2026-09-07. The FRED DGS10 series will show a daily 10-year Treasury yield at or above 4.95 percent on at least one day between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"TRUE if the FRED DGS10 daily series records a value at or above 4.95 percent on any date in the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-44","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-22","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Following the report of a Telerik UI padding-oracle bug chained to unauthenticated remote code execution, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog will add a Telerik UI entry between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-19.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog carries a dateAdded value for a Telerik UI CVE falling within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-45","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Amid reports questioning whether Iran can enforce a restricted zone in the Strait of Hormuz, the government of Iran or the IRGC Navy will formally declare a named restricted or exclusion zone in the Strait of Hormuz between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if Iranian state media, meaning IRNA, Tasnim, or Mehr, and at least one of Reuters, AP, or AFP both report a formally declared, named Hormuz restricted zone within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-16","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Following reports of Israel-Hezbollah clashes killing 11 and Israeli strikes on a southern Lebanese village killing 12, a formally announced ceasefire or truce covering Israel-Hezbollah hostilities in southern Lebanon will take effect between 2026-09-14 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if the government of Israel, the government of Lebanon, or Hezbollah announces a ceasefire or truce that takes effect in the window, corroborated by a Western wire service and a regional outlet; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Reference: the packet dated 2026-09-07 reports more than 1,300 confirmed dead in the Nepal flooding. The cumulative confirmed death toll reported by disaster authorities in Nepal will reach or exceed 1,500 between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if the NDRRMA of Nepal, a Nepal government source, or a wire service, AP, Reuters, or AFP, reports a cumulative confirmed death toll at or above 1,500 within the window; else FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"NYMEX WTI front-month crude settles at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on 2026-10-02. Reference: 91.48 on the packet date 2026-09-07.","rs":"CME Group official settlement price of the front-month NYMEX WTI (CL) contract for trade date 2026-10-02 is at or above 100.00 USD. Reference: 91.48 on the packet date 2026-09-07. Any settlement below 100.00 resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-49","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield closes at or above 5.00 percent on at least one business day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30. Reference: 4.78 percent on the packet date 2026-09-07.","rs":"FRED series DGS10 (Treasury 10-year constant maturity) shows a daily value of 5.00 or higher for at least one date from 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-30 inclusive. Reference: 4.78 on 2026-09-07. No such value resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-50","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-09-29","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one N-able N-central vulnerability (CVE-2026-86218, CVE-2026-86207, or CVE-2026-86206) with a dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities JSON feed lists CVE-2026-86218, CVE-2026-86207, or CVE-2026-86206 with a dateAdded value from 2026-09-08 through 2026-09-25 inclusive. No entry, or entries dated outside that range only, resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-51","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-01-15","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Ulrich Siegmund (AfD) is elected Ministerpraesident of Saxony-Anhalt by the Landtag in a ballot held between 2026-09-08 and 2027-01-13.","rs":"The Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt official plenary record or press release shows Ulrich Siegmund elected Ministerpraesident in any ballot round dated 2026-09-08 through 2027-01-13. Election of anyone else, or no completed election in that window, resolves false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-52","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Israeli military conducts at least one airstrike inside Beirut municipality or its southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"An IDF statement claims a strike inside Beirut municipality or Dahiyeh (Haret Hreik, Burj al-Barajneh, Ghobeiry, Chiyah, Laylaki) and the Lebanese National News Agency reports the same strike, both dated 2026-09-08 to 2026-09-30. Strikes elsewhere do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-53","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Official Russian and Ukrainian government delegations hold a direct in-person negotiating session, bilateral or with third-party mediation, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"Both the Kremlin or Russian MFA and the Ukrainian Presidential Office or MFA confirm the same in-person delegation session held 2026-09-08 through 2026-10-30. Video calls, prisoner-exchange contacts, and meetings with US officials only do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-54","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-06","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Iraqi government or the US Department of Defense announces, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-02, that US military forces will remain stationed at bases in Iraq, including the Kurdistan Region, beyond 2026-09-30.","rs":"An official statement from the Iraqi PM office, Iraqi Armed Forces spokesperson, CENTCOM, CJTF-OIR, or US DoD, dated 2026-09-08 to 2026-10-02, announces US forces remaining at Iraqi bases past 2026-09-30. Embassy security and security-cooperation staff excluded.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-55","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09. Reference: Brent 96.28 on the packet date.","rs":"TRUE if the official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement price is at or above 100.00 USD on any trading day between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09. Reference: 96.28 at seal.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-56","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds at least one ConnectWise ScreenConnect entry with a date-added value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV catalog contains an entry naming ConnectWise or ScreenConnect in its vendor or product fields with dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-57","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The NTSB publishes a preliminary report on the 2026-09-06 cargo aircraft accident at Miami International Airport between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if an NTSB preliminary report for the 2026-09-06 Miami cargo aircraft accident appears in the NTSB public investigation database dated between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-58","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-04","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Democratic candidates win a majority of seats in the United States House of Representatives in the elections held 2026-11-03.","rs":"TRUE if Associated Press race calls credit Democratic candidates with at least 218 US House seats from the 2026-11-03 elections, as of 2026-12-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-59","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-22","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Paris court trying the murder of Federico Aramburu delivers a verdict between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"TRUE if two international news outlets report a verdict delivered in the Paris trial over the murder of Federico Aramburu between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-18.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-60","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-01-05","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The United States and Iraqi governments both publicly announce completion of the US-led coalition military mission in Iraq between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-31.","rs":"TRUE if both the US and Iraqi governments announce the coalition military mission in Iraq has ended between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-31, reported by two international news agencies.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-61","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2027-03-02","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elects a member of the AfD as Minister-President between 2026-09-08 and 2027-02-26.","rs":"TRUE if the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elects an AfD member as Minister-President between 2026-09-08 and 2027-02-26, per the Landtag official record or two international news outlets.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-62","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-02","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent front-month futures settle at or above 110.00 US dollars per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-14 and 2026-11-27. Reference: 96.28 on the packet date, 2026-09-07.","rs":"TRUE if ICE publishes a front-month Brent settlement price greater than or equal to 110.00 for any trading day between 2026-09-14 and 2026-11-27 inclusive. Intraday highs do not count; settlement prices only. Reference level at seal: 96.28.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-63","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-03","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one vulnerability with vendorProject N-able, carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities JSON feed contains an entry whose vendorProject field reads N-able and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-30 inclusive. Entries carrying an earlier dateAdded do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-64","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-08","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA KEV catalog adds at least one vulnerability with vendorProject MikroTik, carrying a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-04.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities JSON feed contains an entry whose vendorProject field reads MikroTik and whose dateAdded falls between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-04 inclusive. Pre-existing MikroTik entries do not count.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-65","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-11-04","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A commercial vessel is struck by weapons fire, forcibly boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz or the Gulf of Oman between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-31.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of Reuters, AP, and Bloomberg report a commercial vessel hit by weapons fire, forcibly boarded, or seized in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman, dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-66","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-16","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Israeli strikes in Lebanon kill at least 25 people within a single 24-hour period between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-12.","rs":"TRUE if two or more of Reuters, AFP, and AP carry a Lebanese Health Ministry figure of 25 or more killed by Israeli strikes in Lebanon over one 24-hour period inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-67","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-12-23","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elects an AfD member as Minister-President between 2026-09-14 and 2026-12-18.","rs":"TRUE if the official plenary record of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt shows a Minister-President elected inside the window who holds AfD membership at the vote. A caretaker incumbent continuing in office resolves FALSE.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260907-68","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-07","dl":"2026-10-27","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Nepal's official confirmed flood death toll reaches 1,500 or higher between 2026-09-14 and 2026-10-23.","rs":"TRUE if Nepal's National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority publishes a confirmed cumulative 2026 flood death toll of 1,500 or more, dated inside the window. Missing-persons counts are excluded.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-07_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-07_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-01","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-07","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-25, Brent crude oil exceeds $100 per barrel at the close of a trading day on a major exchange (e.g., ICE Futures Europe).","rs":"The ICE Futures Europe settlement price for Brent crude oil futures on any trading day between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-25 is equal to or greater than $100.00 per barrel.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-02","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-08","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-23 and 2026-09-30, the CISA KEV catalog adds at least one new vulnerability with a CVSS score of 9.0 or higher that is actively exploited in the wild.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a date-added value between 2026-09-23 and 2026-09-30 for a vulnerability with a CVSS score of 9.0 or higher and a 'Status' of 'Exploited in the Wild'.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-03","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-09","s":"open","p":10,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-24 and 2026-10-01, a major earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher occurs in the Pacific Northwest region (Washington, Oregon, or Northern California).","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed records an earthquake with magnitude \u22656.0 and location within the Pacific Northwest (latitude 39.0-49.0, longitude -124.0 to -116.0) between 2026-09-24 and 2026-10-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-04","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-10","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-25 and 2026-10-02, a new political scandal involving a U.S. federal official is confirmed by at least two independent news outlets (e.g., Guardian, BBC, Al Jazeera) and results in a formal investigation by a congressional committee.","rs":"At least two independent news outlets (Guardian World, BBC World, Al Jazeera) report a new political scandal involving a U.S. federal official, and a U.S. congressional committee publicly announces a formal investigation into the matter between 2026-09-25 and 2026-10-02.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-05","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":5,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-27 and 2026-10-04, a new ceasefire agreement is signed between Israel and Hamas, verified by at least two neutral international bodies (e.g., UN, Qatar, Egypt).","rs":"At least two neutral international organizations (e.g., UN, Qatar, Egypt) issue a public statement confirming the signing of a new ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas between 2026-09-27 and 2026-10-04.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-06","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":12,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-05, a major wildfire in Australia burns over 100,000 hectares and is confirmed by the GDACS Alerts feed.","rs":"The GDACS Alerts feed records a wildfire event in Australia with a burned area of at least 100,000 hectares between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-05.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-07","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-06, a new economic policy shift in Canada results in a 3% or greater increase in the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar at the close of a trading day.","rs":"The exchange rate for the Canadian dollar (CAD) against the U.S. dollar (USD) reaches or exceeds 1.4000 at the close of any trading day between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-06.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-08","a":"lmstudio/auto","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-15","s":"open","p":8,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-30 and 2026-10-07, a new criminal indictment is issued by a U.S. federal court against a high-profile political figure, confirmed by a public docket entry in the PACER system.","rs":"A public docket entry in the PACER system (https://pacer.uscourts.gov) confirms a new criminal indictment against a U.S. federal political figure between 2026-09-30 and 2026-10-07.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-09","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-02-28","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-25, a cyberattack exploiting the Adobe Magento zero-day vulnerability (CVE-2026-XXXX) is confirmed to have compromised at least 500 servers in the United States, as documented in the CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-25.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a record with a date-added value between 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-25, listing the vulnerability as actively exploited in the United States, with a confirmed impact on at least 500 servers.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-08_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-10","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-02-27","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-24 and 2026-09-27, a major earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher occurs in the Pacific Northwest, confirmed by the USGS Significant Quakes feed with a location within 100 km of Seattle, Washington.","rs":"The USGS Significant Quakes feed carries a report with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher and a location within 100 km of Seattle, Washington, with a timestamp between 2026-09-24 and 2026-09-27.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-08_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-11","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-02-25","s":"open","p":20,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-25 and 2026-09-28, the Iranian Foreign Ministry issues a formal statement declaring a new diplomatic initiative to reopen the Strait of Hormuz unconditionally, confirmed by two independent sources (one from AXIS, one from WEST) with identical wording and timestamp.","rs":"Two independently biased sources (one from AXIS, one from WEST) publish a statement from the Iranian Foreign Ministry on the same date, declaring a new diplomatic initiative to reopen the Strait of Hormuz unconditionally, with identical wording and timestamp.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-08_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-12","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-03-05","s":"open","p":18,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-26 and 2026-09-29, a coordinated cyberattack on U.S. federal agencies exploits the SAP OVERPASS kernel vulnerability (CVE-2026-XXXX), resulting in at least one confirmed breach of a classified system, as reported in the CISA KEV catalog with a date-added value between 2026-09-26 and 2026-09-29.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog carries a record with a date-added value between 2026-09-26 and 2026-09-29, listing the SAP OVERPASS kernel vulnerability as actively exploited in a U.S. federal agency, with a confirmed breach of a classified system.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-08_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-13","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-02-26","s":"open","p":40,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-27 and 2026-09-30, a new wave of political protests erupts in the West Bank, leading to the arrest of at least 150 individuals by Israeli security forces, confirmed by two independent news outlets (one from IL, one from PS) reporting the event with a specific date and number.","rs":"Two independently biased outlets (one from IL, one from PS) publish a report on the same date, confirming that at least 150 individuals were arrested by Israeli security forces in the West Bank during a new wave of political protests between 2026-09-27 and 2026-09-30.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-08_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-14","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-02-28","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-01, a major wildfire breaks out in the Australian state of Victoria, confirmed by the GDACS Alerts feed with a green alert issued for the region and a reported area burned exceeding 10,000 hectares.","rs":"The GDACS Alerts feed carries a green alert for a wildfire in Victoria, Australia, with a reported area burned exceeding 10,000 hectares, issued between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-01.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-08_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-15","a":"lmstudio/realist","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-03-06","s":"open","p":38,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-02, a new round of sanctions is imposed by the United States on Iranian airlines, confirmed by a press release from the U.S. Department of the Treasury with a timestamp between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-02.","rs":"The U.S. Department of the Treasury issues a press release with a timestamp between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-02, imposing new sanctions on Iranian airlines.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_frame_realist_2026-09-08_1519.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-16","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":47,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CVE-2026-75650, the Adobe Commerce and Magento Open Source remote code execution flaw Adobe confirmed as actively exploited on 2026-09-08, is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog lists CVE-2026-75650 with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-17","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":16,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The SAP kernel vulnerability SAP disclosed on 2026-09-08 under the codename OVERPASS, rated maximum severity, is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog lists an SAP kernel CVE matching the OVERPASS advisory with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-08 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-18","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":37,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"French police publicly announce at least one arrest of a suspect linked to the 2026-09-08 theft of paintings from the Musee Renoir in Cagnes-sur-Mer, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"A mainstream outlet reports French authorities have arrested and identified a suspect connected to the Cagnes-sur-Mer Renoir Museum theft, on or before 2026-10-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-19","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":58,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A named humanitarian body publicly reports the closure or suspension of services at one or more specific Sudanese hospitals due to healthcare system collapse, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29.","rs":"MSF, WHO, or another named humanitarian or UN body states in public reporting that a specific named Sudanese hospital or facility suspended or ceased operating due to collapse, within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-20","a":"manual/sonnet-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":63,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"OFAC adds at least one additional Iran-program entity or individual to the SDN list, beyond the airlines sanctioned per 2026-09-08 reporting, between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"The US Treasury OFAC Specially Designated Nationals list shows a new Iran-program listing dated after 2026-09-08 and on or before 2026-10-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-21","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"CVE-2026-75650, the Adobe Commerce and Magento Open Source remote code execution flaw Adobe confirmed as actively exploited on 2026-09-08, is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog lists CVE-2026-75650 with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-22","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The SAP kernel vulnerability SAP disclosed on 2026-09-08 under the codename OVERPASS, rated maximum severity, is added to the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"The CISA KEV catalog lists an SAP kernel CVE matching the OVERPASS advisory with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-08 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-23","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"French police publicly announce at least one arrest of a suspect linked to the 2026-09-08 theft of paintings from the Musee Renoir in Cagnes-sur-Mer, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"A mainstream outlet reports French authorities have arrested and identified a suspect connected to the Cagnes-sur-Mer Renoir Museum theft, on or before 2026-10-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-24","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-01","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A named humanitarian body publicly reports the closure or suspension of services at one or more specific Sudanese hospitals due to healthcare system collapse, between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29.","rs":"MSF, WHO, or another named humanitarian or UN body states in public reporting that a specific named Sudanese hospital or facility suspended or ceased operating due to collapse, within the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-25","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-12","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"OFAC adds at least one additional Iran-program entity or individual to the SDN list, beyond the airlines sanctioned per 2026-09-08 reporting, between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-08.","rs":"The US Treasury OFAC Specially Designated Nationals list shows a new Iran-program listing dated after 2026-09-08 and on or before 2026-10-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-26","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":70,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds CVE-2026-75650, the Adobe Commerce and Magento Open Source StyleSmuggler flaw patched 2026-09-07, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed at the deadline contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-75650 and dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29 inclusive; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-27","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-11-10","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds CVE-2026-44756 (SAP Kernel OVERPASS) or CVE-2026-58240 (SAP NetWeaver Message Server S4GET) with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed at the deadline contains an entry for CVE-2026-44756 or CVE-2026-58240 with dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06 inclusive; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-28","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FRED series DCOILWTICO (WTI Cushing spot, dollars per barrel) prints at least one observation at or above 100.00 dated between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09. Reference: WTI 92.66 on the packet date per Section V.","rs":"TRUE if any FRED DCOILWTICO observation dated 2026-09-09 through 2026-10-09 inclusive is at or above 100.00 as published at the deadline; FALSE if all such observations are below 100.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-29","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":82,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-30, the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs announces that at least one Hungarian diplomat is expelled from Russia or declared persona non grata, following the Hungarian expulsion of 10 Russian diplomats reported 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if a Russian MFA statement dated 2026-09-08 through 2026-09-30 announces expulsion or persona non grata status for at least one Hungarian diplomat, and Reuters or AFP reports it; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-30","a":"manual/fable-5.1/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-09 and 2026-11-30, French authorities announce at least one arrest or criminal charge of a suspect in the theft of Renoir paintings from the Musee Renoir in Cagnes-sur-Mer reported on 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if a French prosecution office or French police announce at least one arrest or charge in the Musee Renoir Cagnes-sur-Mer theft on a date 2026-09-09 through 2026-11-30, reported by AFP or Le Monde; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-31","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds CVE-2026-75650, the Adobe Commerce and Magento Open Source StyleSmuggler flaw patched 2026-09-07, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed at the deadline contains an entry with cveID CVE-2026-75650 and dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-29 inclusive; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-32","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-11-10","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds CVE-2026-44756 (SAP Kernel OVERPASS) or CVE-2026-58240 (SAP NetWeaver Message Server S4GET) with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed at the deadline contains an entry for CVE-2026-44756 or CVE-2026-58240 with dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-11-06 inclusive; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-33","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-14","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The FRED series DCOILWTICO (WTI Cushing spot, dollars per barrel) prints at least one observation at or above 100.00 dated between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09. Reference: WTI 92.66 on the packet date per Section V.","rs":"TRUE if any FRED DCOILWTICO observation dated 2026-09-09 through 2026-10-09 inclusive is at or above 100.00 as published at the deadline; FALSE if all such observations are below 100.00.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-34","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-02","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-30, the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs announces that at least one Hungarian diplomat is expelled from Russia or declared persona non grata, following the Hungarian expulsion of 10 Russian diplomats reported 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if a Russian MFA statement dated 2026-09-08 through 2026-09-30 announces expulsion or persona non grata status for at least one Hungarian diplomat, and Reuters or AFP reports it; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-35","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-12-03","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-09 and 2026-11-30, French authorities announce at least one arrest or criminal charge of a suspect in the theft of Renoir paintings from the Musee Renoir in Cagnes-sur-Mer reported on 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if a French prosecution office or French police announce at least one arrest or charge in the Musee Renoir Cagnes-sur-Mer theft on a date 2026-09-09 through 2026-11-30, reported by AFP or Le Monde; FALSE otherwise.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-36","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":60,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry whose vendor or product field identifies Adobe Commerce or Magento, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV JSON feed, fetched on the deadline, contains at least one entry with vendorProject or product matching Adobe Commerce or Magento and dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09 inclusive; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-37","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-12-11","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry for the SAP kernel vulnerability publicly designated OVERPASS, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-08.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV feed on the deadline lists an SAP entry whose CVE is identified in SAP or CISA advisories under the OVERPASS designation, with dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-08 inclusive; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-38","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09. Reference: Brent 97.68 at packet seal on 2026-09-08.","rs":"True if any official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement price between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09 inclusive is 100.00 USD or higher; else false. Reference level at seal: 97.68.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-39","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09, Saudi authorities publicly acknowledge at least one Houthi missile or drone attack impacting or intercepted over Riyadh province.","rs":"True if, for an attack occurring 2026-09-09 to 2026-10-09, Saudi official statements or state media acknowledge a Houthi projectile impacting or intercepted in Riyadh province, or two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC so report; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-40","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-12-11","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A ceasefire or cessation of hostilities covering the current United States and Iran conflict is publicly announced between 2026-09-09 and 2026-12-08 and confirmed by named officials of both governments.","rs":"True if, between 2026-09-09 and 2026-12-08, named US and Iranian officials each publicly confirm a ceasefire or halt to hostilities between the two states, reported by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-41","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-01-12","s":"open","p":15,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A presidential document directing federal recognition or renaming of the state of New Mexico as New America is published in the Federal Register between 2026-09-09 and 2027-01-08.","rs":"True if the Federal Register publishes an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum directing federal use or recognition of the name New America for New Mexico, with publication date between 2026-09-09 and 2027-01-08; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-42","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-03-01","s":"open","p":50,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"French police or prosecutors publicly announce an arrest, or the recovery of at least one stolen painting, in the Renoir Museum theft of early September 2026, between 2026-09-09 and 2027-02-26.","rs":"True if, between 2026-09-09 and 2027-02-26, French authorities announce at least one arrest or one recovered painting in the Renoir Museum case, reported by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC, Le Monde; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-43","a":"manual/fable-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":65,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least one magnitude 5.0 or greater event within 150 km of USGS event us7000tdvt (the 2026-09-08 M6.3 near Nikolski, Alaska) with origin time between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"True if a USGS ComCat query on the deadline returns one or more events of magnitude 5.0 or greater within 150 km of event us7000tdvt with origin times between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09 inclusive; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-44","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry whose vendor or product field identifies Adobe Commerce or Magento, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV JSON feed, fetched on the deadline, contains at least one entry with vendorProject or product matching Adobe Commerce or Magento and dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-10-09 inclusive; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-45","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-12-11","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog adds an entry for the SAP kernel vulnerability publicly designated OVERPASS, with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-08.","rs":"True if the CISA KEV feed on the deadline lists an SAP entry whose CVE is identified in SAP or CISA advisories under the OVERPASS designation, with dateAdded between 2026-09-08 and 2026-12-08 inclusive; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-46","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent crude front-month futures settle at or above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09. Reference: Brent 97.68 at packet seal on 2026-09-08.","rs":"True if any official ICE Brent front-month daily settlement price between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09 inclusive is 100.00 USD or higher; else false. Reference level at seal: 97.68.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-47","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09, Saudi authorities publicly acknowledge at least one Houthi missile or drone attack impacting or intercepted over Riyadh province.","rs":"True if, for an attack occurring 2026-09-09 to 2026-10-09, Saudi official statements or state media acknowledge a Houthi projectile impacting or intercepted in Riyadh province, or two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC so report; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-48","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-12-11","s":"open","p":49,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A ceasefire or cessation of hostilities covering the current United States and Iran conflict is publicly announced between 2026-09-09 and 2026-12-08 and confirmed by named officials of both governments.","rs":"True if, between 2026-09-09 and 2026-12-08, named US and Iranian officials each publicly confirm a ceasefire or halt to hostilities between the two states, reported by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-49","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-01-12","s":"open","p":35,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A presidential document directing federal recognition or renaming of the state of New Mexico as New America is published in the Federal Register between 2026-09-09 and 2027-01-08.","rs":"True if the Federal Register publishes an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum directing federal use or recognition of the name New America for New Mexico, with publication date between 2026-09-09 and 2027-01-08; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-50","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2027-03-01","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"crime","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"French police or prosecutors publicly announce an arrest, or the recovery of at least one stolen painting, in the Renoir Museum theft of early September 2026, between 2026-09-09 and 2027-02-26.","rs":"True if, between 2026-09-09 and 2027-02-26, French authorities announce at least one arrest or one recovered painting in the Renoir Museum case, reported by two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC, Le Monde; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-51","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":36,"dom":"disaster","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The USGS earthquake catalog records at least one magnitude 5.0 or greater event within 150 km of USGS event us7000tdvt (the 2026-09-08 M6.3 near Nikolski, Alaska) with origin time between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"True if a USGS ComCat query on the deadline returns one or more events of magnitude 5.0 or greater within 150 km of event us7000tdvt with origin times between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09 inclusive; else false.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-52","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":80,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent front-month crude settles above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09. Reference: 97.68 on the packet date, 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if any ICE Brent front-month official settlement between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09 exceeds 100.00 USD per barrel. Reference level 97.68 on 2026-09-08.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-53","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":22,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The United States and Canada announce removal or suspension of at least one tranche of the reciprocal tariffs now in force, announced between 2026-09-09 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if a US or Canadian government announcement dated between 2026-09-09 and 2026-11-13 removes or suspends any tariff tranche applied to the other country.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-54","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":72,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog carries at least one Adobe Commerce or Magento CVE with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an Adobe Commerce or Magento entry whose dateAdded field falls between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-55","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-11-10","s":"open","p":25,"dom":"cyber","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"The CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog carries at least one SAP vendor CVE with a dateAdded value between 2026-09-09 and 2026-11-06.","rs":"TRUE if the CISA KEV JSON feed contains an entry with vendorProject SAP whose dateAdded field falls between 2026-09-09 and 2026-11-06 inclusive.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-56","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-05","s":"open","p":55,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Saudi Arabia conducts acknowledged military strikes on Houthi-controlled territory in Yemen between 2026-09-09 and 2026-09-30.","rs":"TRUE if two of Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC and Al Jazeera report Saudi strikes inside Houthi-held Yemen occurring in the window, with Saudi or Houthi attribution.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-57","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-11-17","s":"open","p":30,"dom":"military","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"A ceasefire or cessation of hostilities involving Iran and the United States or Israel is publicly announced between 2026-09-09 and 2026-11-13.","rs":"TRUE if a government or the United Nations announces a ceasefire, truce or cessation of hostilities covering Iranian and US or Israeli forces, dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-58","a":"manual/opus-5/unattested","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":45,"dom":"political","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"Russia expels or declares persona non grata at least one Hungarian diplomat between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09.","rs":"TRUE if the Russian Foreign Ministry announces expulsion or persona non grata designation of one or more Hungarian diplomats, with the announcement dated inside the window.","rd":null,"sp":"kkr_packet_2026-09-08_1518.md","sr":"battle_report_2026-09-08_1518.md"},{"i":"KKR-20260908-59","a":"control/baserate","d":"2026-09-08","dl":"2026-10-13","s":"open","p":21,"dom":"economics","kk":null,"c":"bbdc7791","st":"ICE Brent front-month crude settles above 100.00 USD per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09. Reference: 97.68 on the packet date, 2026-09-08.","rs":"TRUE if any ICE Brent front-month official settlement between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-09 exceeds 100.00 USD per barrel. 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